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HomeMy WebLinkAboutDAQ-2024-011369 Prepared for: Utah Division of Air Quality Science for Solutions Research Grant – FY 2025 Prepared by: Ramboll Americas Engineering Solutions, Inc. 50 West Broadway, Suite 300 Salt Lake City, UT 84101 February 2, 2024 Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front A Proposal Submitted to the Utah Division of Air Quality Science for Solutions Research Grant Program – FY 2025 Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front i Contents Contents ................................................................................................................... i 1.0 Summary Information Page ............................................................................. 1 1.1 Project Title ................................................................................................ 1 1.2 Applicant Information .................................................................................. 1 1.3 Funding Requested ...................................................................................... 1 1.4 Project Period ............................................................................................. 1 2.0 Scope of Work ................................................................................................. 2 2.1 Abstract ..................................................................................................... 2 2.2 Basis and Rationale ..................................................................................... 2 2.3 Technical Approach ..................................................................................... 5 2.4 Expected Outputs and Outcomes ................................................................... 7 2.5 Deliverables ............................................................................................... 7 2.6 Schedule .................................................................................................... 8 2.7 References ................................................................................................. 9 3.0 Budget ........................................................................................................... 11 4.0 Personnel Roles and Responsibilities ............................................................. 12 TABLES Table 1. Ramboll proposed project budget, including breakdown by task, personnel (rates, hours and cost), and other direct costs. .......................................... 12 FIGURES Figure 1. Schematic conceptual model of pollutant transport from Asia to North America (from EPA, 2020; HTAP, 2010). Blue text on left refers to continental boundary layer processes, red text along bottom refers to low level transport, and black/white text along top and right refers to high altitude transport. ............. 4 Figure 2. Examples of modeled surface background ozone (ppb) from (top) Baker et al. (2015) showing July 2011 average total background from CAMx source apportionment, and (bottom) Zhang et al. (2020) showing tracked ozone from Asia on May 24, 2017 from the AM4 global model. ....................................... 4 Figure 3. Example of boundary condition ozone contribution from three sets of vertical model layers (Baker et al., 2015); boundary layer (left), mid troposphere (middle), stratosphere (right). ................................................................... 7 Figure 4. Proposed project schedule by task, including deliverable dates. ..................... 8 APPENDICES Appendix A Resumes of Key Personnel Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 1 1.0 Summary Information Page 1.1 Project Title Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 1.2 Applicant Information Organization: Ramboll Americas Engineering Solutions, Inc. Address: 5050 West Broadway, Suite 300 Salt Lake City, UT 84101 Principal Investigator: Chris Emery, Senior Managing Consultant Phone Number: (415) 899-0740 Email Address: cemery@ramboll.com 1.3 Funding Requested Total Project Budget: $98,012 1.4 Project Period July 1, 2024 – September 30, 2025 Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 2 2.0 Scope of Work 2.1 Abstract In its State Implementation Plan (SIP) for the Northern Wasatch Front (NWF), the Utah Division of Air Quality (UDAQ) tabulates the minor ozone contributions derived from local controllable emissions within the NWF relative to more substantial contributions from regional emissions among neighbor states and foreign sources that are consistently present during exceedance episodes. UDAQ’s findings are consistent with those of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) addressing ozone over the western US. Despite a multitude of modeling studies in the peer-reviewed literature that consistently characterize total global background contributions to the western US, only a few specifically assess and confirm the importance of deep vertical transport of global ozone from the middle and upper troposphere. However, those studies have employed relatively coarse resolution (12-50 km) with seasonal and regional perspectives, meaning that they have addressed contributions from large-scale general circulations and perhaps some portion of the largest terrain-induced transport mechanisms. Furthermore, the importance of vertical transport has not been evaluated or quantified specifically for international anthropogenic (IA) ozone arriving in the NWF. Source apportionment modeling reported by UDAQ estimates how much IA ozone arrives in NWF but not it’s transport path. A mechanistic explanation is needed to understand why western US background ozone is consistently highest over Utah and to describe the specific processes that bring IA ozone into the NWF. Such information would bolster and add weight of evidence elements for any future 179B demonstrations for the area. Ramboll proposes to directly assess, via high-resolution CAMx modeling, the amount of mid/upper-tropospheric IA ozone that is transported into the NWF. The approach will utilize UDAQ’s SIP modeling platform with source apportionment, which resolves local topography from 1 to 4 km scale over the NWF and Utah, respectively, to characterize daily variations in IA contributions from several different altitude ranges between the surface and the stratosphere. The project will address several topics, including the relative importance among transport pathways; the extent to which high pressure centered over Utah blocks or enhances background ozone entering the area; how the relative strengths of these transporting motions vary in time and modulate inter-daily variations of background ozone; and the extent to which transported peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN) impacts transported ozone into the NWF. The proposed work addresses the FY 2025 Science for Solutions Research Grant solicitation by targeting two research priorities: (3) Meteorology-Chemistry Coupling, and (1) Summertime Ozone Chemistry and Sources, specifically (f) background ozone. 2.2 Basis and Rationale Background The Wasatch Front experiences exceedances of the ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) during summer months. The Northern Wasatch Front (NWF), covering all or parts of Salt Lake, Davis, Weber, and Tooele counties, is currently designated as a moderate ozone nonattainment for the 2015 8-hour ozone standard based on exceedances through 2020. Exceedances have continued through 2023 and thus the area will be bumped up to serious nonattainment later in 2024 with an attainment date of August 2026. Serious nonattainment areas are subject to stricter emissions reporting/permitting levels and additional control measure requirements. Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 3 In its State Implementation Plan (SIP) addressing the moderate designation, the Utah Division of Air Quality (UDAQ, 2023) tabulates the minor ozone contributions derived from local controllable emissions within the NWF relative to more substantial contributions from regional emissions among neighbor states and foreign sources that are consistently present during exceedance episodes. UDAQ’s findings are consistent with a summary by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA, 2015) and a preliminary modeling study by Ramboll (2021a) that shows most of the ozone in the Wasatch Front results from the combination of natural and international anthropogenic emissions. The Clean Air Act provides some regulatory flexibility for nonattainment areas impacted by international contributions if they fail to attain despite reasonable efforts to control local emissions. According to Section 179B of the Act, a State may develop a technical demonstration showing that the nonattainment area would attain the ozone standard “but for” the contribution from international emissions. In a previous retrospective demonstration looking back at the 2020 marginal attainment year (UDAQ, 2021)1 and a prospective demonstration included in the SIP looking forward to the 2023 moderate attainment year (UDAQ, 2023), both employing detailed photochemical modeling following EPA’s guidance (EPA, 2018; 2020), UDAQ shows that the Wasatch Front would attain the ozone NAAQS in the absence of international anthropogenic contributions. As summarized by EPA (2020), persistent global circulation patterns establish a direct transport route in the mid- to upper troposphere linking Asia to the western US, which brings pollutant-laden air to North America within days to weeks (Figure 1). Sinking air within a high pressure dome over the western US brings transported ozone and peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN, an ozone precursor; Jiang et al, 2016) toward the surface, while complex topography enhances vertical transport, and thus high-altitude locations throughout the western US experience the greatest ozone impacts from intercontinental transport. This transport mechanism is especially persistent throughout the summer season. Moreover, a recent multi-decadal trend analysis through 2021 indicates that free tropospheric ozone over western North America continues to increase despite a decreasing trend in boundary layer ozone, affirming vertically different sources and mechanisms (Chang et al., 2023, and references therein). Despite a multitude of modeling studies in the peer-reviewed literature consistently characterizing total global background contributions to the western US (Jaffe et al., 2018), we are aware of only a few (e.g., Baker et al., 2015; Zhang et al., 2020) that specifically assess and confirm the importance of deep vertical transport of global ozone from the middle and upper troposphere to the western US. Interestingly, both studies referenced above show that summer surface background ozone in the western US often peaks over Utah as a result of transport from the mid-troposphere (Figure 2). However, those studies employed relatively coarse resolution (12-50 km) with seasonal and regional perspectives, meaning that they addressed contributions from large-scale general circulations and perhaps some portion of the largest terrain-induced transport mechanisms. 1 UDAQ (2021) incorporated the Ramboll (2021a) modeling report into the agency’s 179B retrospective demonstration to EPA of foreign ozone contributions in the Wasatch Front. Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 4 Figure 1. Schematic conceptual model of pollutant transport from Asia to North America (from EPA, 2020; HTAP, 2010). Blue text on left refers to continental boundary layer processes, red text along bottom refers to low level transport, and black/white text along top and right refers to high altitude transport. Figure 2. Examples of modeled surface background ozone (ppb) from (top) Baker et al. (2015) showing July 2011 average total background from CAMx source apportionment, and (bottom) Zhang et al. (2020) showing tracked ozone from Asia on May 24, 2017 from the AM4 global model. Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 5 Furthermore, the importance of vertical transport has not been evaluated or quantified specifically for international anthropogenic (IA) ozone arriving in the NWF. Source apportionment modeling conducted by Ramboll (2021a) and UDAQ (2023) estimates how much IA ozone arrives in NWF but not it’s transport path, and backward trajectories are too simple to quantify ozone contributions from aloft. A mechanistic explanation is needed to understand why background ozone is consistently highest over Utah and to describe the specific processes that bring IA ozone into the NWF. Such information would bolster and add weight of evidence elements for any future 179B demonstrations for the area. Objectives We propose to directly assess, via high-resolution CAMx modeling, the amount of mid/upper-tropospheric IA ozone that is transported into the NWF. The approach will utilize UDAQ’s SIP modeling platform with source apportionment, which resolves local topography from 1 to 4 km scale over the NWF and Utah, respectively, to characterize daily variations in IA contributions from several different altitude ranges from the surface to the stratosphere. The project will help to answer the following questions: • What is the relative importance among transport pathways; i.e., via gradual subsidence in the high pressure dome over the western US versus local, short-term, deep terrain-induced “fumigation” events? • Does high pressure centered over Utah that often leads to ozone exceedances block background ozone from entering the area and transport it around to the north, or does it cause substantial sinking motions that bring down background ozone directly into the NWF? • How do the relative strengths of these transporting motions vary in time and how do they modulate inter-daily variations of background ozone? • Can PAN transport from Asia enhance the impact of transported ozone in Utah? Alignment with FY 2022 Science for Solutions Goals and Priorities Our proposed project will address two Goals and Priorities stated in the RFP. This first is (3) Meteorology-Chemistry Coupling, specifically “models to better characterize the complex meteorological features … associated with … summertime air pollution episodes.” While not a monitoring study, the study also partially addresses (1) Summertime Ozone Chemistry and Sources, specifically (f) background ozone. 2.3 Technical Approach Task 1: Modeling Application Ramboll will employ the UDAQ 2017 modeling platform developed to support the NWF moderate area ozone SIP. The platform consists of the CAMx photochemical model applied on a set of three nested grid systems, with the largest domain covering the western US at 12 km resolution and the finest resolution covering the NWF at 1.33 km resolution. The modeling period extends from late June through July of 2017. The modeling system includes requisite three-dimensional meteorological fields for all grids developed using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF; Skamarock et al., 2019) model, as well as all anthropogenic, biogenic, and fire emission inventories within the domain. Three- dimensional boundary conditions (BC) for the master domain were developed from Ramboll’s application of the GEOS-Chem global chemistry model (Ramboll, 2021b). The GEOS-Chem runs included: (1) a full representation of ozone, PM, and precursors from the entire globe, and (2) a scenario in which all IA emissions were removed. UDAQ used the Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 6 differences between the two global model scenarios to define an OSAT run tracking the IA contributions to total simulated ozone at NWF monitors. We will rerun the 2017 CAMx/OSAT modeling system based on UDAQ’s configuration, but with a few modifications. First, we will reduce the number of sources and regions to be tracked in order to minimize model runtimes and data generation. The model will track only the BCs from global IA and natural contributions, along with a single all-encompassing tracer representing all in-domain emissions. Second, we will use the latest public-released version of CAMx (v7.3), which will include the CB6r5h halogen mechanism that Ramboll implemented in v7.1 for UDAQ in 2022 (Ramboll, 2022). Third, we will modify CAMx OSAT routines to separately track the BC contributions from several aggregated sets of 44 vertical layers, similar to the approach of Baker et al. (2015), to provide additional information about the source altitudes of IA ozone. We anticipate tracking at least four altitude ranges: • 0-2 km: planetary boundary layer • 2-5 km: lower troposphere • 5-10 km: upper troposphere • 10-18 km: stratosphere Finally, we will conduct two CAMx sensitivity tests to assess whether PAN transport from Asia can enhance the contribution of transported ozone to ground-level ozone in Utah. PAN transported from Asia through the upper troposphere becomes an ozone precursor when brought down to ground-level where PAN converts to NO2 and therefore contributes to NOx. OSAT does not separately track the amount of ozone generated by PAN, so brute-force sensitivity is necessary. We would compare two runs: (1) 1 ppb of PAN added to western BCs; (2) 10 ppb of ozone added to western BCs. In both cases, concentrations would be added in the altitude range upwind of Utah during the selected episode. An ozone increment of 10 ppb will produce a reasonable signal without distorting the chemistry. The rationale for a PAN increment of 1 ppb is that efficient ozone production from NO2 produces ~10 ozone molecules per NO2, so if the PAN conjecture is correct the two sensitivity runs will produce similar impacts. Task 2: Analysis and Synopsis Ramboll will extensively analyze the results from the CAMx/OSAT simulation to characterize the spatial and temporal variability of BC ozone tracers from various altitudes. Graphical products will include maps and vertical cross sections of each of the ozone tracers at key dates during the simulation period. Time-averaged contribution maps may be developed as well if transport patterns are sufficiently persistent. Maps will be developed and evaluated in terms of absolute concentrations as well as percentages of total IA and total simulated ozone. For example, Figure 3 from Baker et al. (2015) presents surface ozone concentrations tracked from 3 different layers of the atmosphere. Time series of IA tracer contributions at NWF monitoring sites relative to emission contributions will be developed to illustrate the time-variation of each IA vertical tracer. Other graphical and tabular products will be considered and developed based on initial findings, in order to express results in the clearest manner possible. We will compile all information gleaned from our analysis into a conceptual model for IA ozone transport into the NWF. The conceptual model will address each of the questions listed with our project objectives above. Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 7 Figure 3. Example of boundary condition ozone contribution from three sets of vertical model layers (Baker et al., 2015); boundary layer (left), mid troposphere (middle), stratosphere (right). Task 3: Management and Reporting This task will comprise project management activities during the execution of the contract. Activities include: (1) day-to-day staff and resource management; (2) internal team meetings and external conference calls with UDAQ, including a project kickoff meeting; (3) monthly invoicing and progress reporting to UDAQ; (4) preparation of quarterly progress reports; (5) assembly of the draft and final project report; (6) preparation for, and attendance at the Science for Solutions technical conference; and (7) sharing of data and modeling system with UDAQ. 2.4 Expected Outputs and Outcomes Based on the technical approach described above, Ramboll expects to gain new insights, and to draw definitive, quantified conclusions on the relative strengths and variability of different IA ozone transport pathways into the NWF area based on UDAQ’s high-resolution seasonal SIP modeling system. Results will help to answer questions posed under the project objectives listed in Section 2.2. Ramboll will provide UDAQ with the modeling programs, datasets, and evaluation products from our proposed study. 2.5 Deliverables Monthly and Quarterly Progress Reports Ramboll is proposing to conduct the study on a time and materials basis. As such, we will submit monthly invoices for labor and other direct costs around the 15th of each month. Each invoice will be accompanied by a brief monthly progress report that summarizes activities performed during the month, anticipated activities for the following month, and a budget summary. As required by the RFP, Ramboll will prepare quarterly progress reports over the course of the contract. Based on information in the RFP, and assuming a start date of July 1, 2024, quarterly reports will be submitted in October 2024, January 2025, April 2025, and July 2025. Each report will follow the example template provided by the UDAQ. Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 8 Final Report A draft final project report is required within 90 days of project completion. Ramboll will develop a draft report and submit it to UDAQ for review at the close of all technical work. Ramboll will then address comments and suggestions received on the draft, compile the final report, and submit it to UDAQ by the specified deadline. The final report will contain all of the components required by UDAQ and listed in the RFP. Conference Presentation As required by the RFP, Ramboll will prepare and deliver an oral or poster presentation at the 2025 Science for Solutions conference. The presentation will include study objectives, approach, results, and recommendations for any additional investigation. Data Sharing Ramboll will share with UDAQ all datasets and models developed during the course of the proposed project. We will arrange with UDAQ the most appropriate way to provide the data. Following the specifications of the RFP, all data to be shared will be made available within 8 months of project completion. We anticipate the following data will be generated and shared from this project: • All CAMx modeling codes, scripts and files specifically developed in this work (all other general CAMx updates are periodically made available to the public at Ramboll’s website www.camx.com); • All CAMx and pre-processor inputs; • All CAMx and post-processor output files, reduced datasets, spreadsheets, or a subset of key files selected in coordination with UDAQ. 2.6 Schedule Our proposed project schedule with key deliverable dates is shown in Figure 3. Per information in the RFP, we anticipate a start date of July 1, 2024 and expect to complete all tasks of the project by June 30, 2025, including the submission of our final report and presentation at the 2025 Science for Solutions conference. We expect to complete all data transfer by September 30, 2025. Figure 4. Proposed project schedule by task, including deliverable dates. Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Kickoff Meeting Task 1: Modeling Application Task 2: Analysis and Synopsis Task 3: Management and Reporting Monthly Reports Quarterly Reports Science for Solutions Presentation Draft/Final Report Database Delivery Task/Deliverable 20252024 Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 9 2.7 References Baker, K.R., C. Emery, P. Dolwick, G. Yarwood, 2015. Photochemical grid model estimates of lateral boundary contributions to ozone and particulate matter across the continental United States. Atmos. Environ., 123, 49-62. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.10.055. Chang, K.-L., O.R. Cooper, G. Rodriguez, L.T. Iraci, E.L. Yates, M.S. Johnson, et al., 2023). Diverging ozone trends above western North America: Boundary layer decreases versus free tropospheric increases. J. Geophys. Res.: Atmospheres, 128, e2022JD038090. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD038090. EPA, 2015. Implementation of the 2015 Primary Ozone NAAQS: Issues Associated with Background Ozone, White Paper for Discussion (December 30, 2015). https://www.epa.gov/ground-level-ozone-pollution/background-ozone-workshop- and-information. EPA, 2018. Modeling Guidance for Demonstrating Attainment of Air Quality Goals for Ozone, PM2.5 and Regional Haze (EPA 454/R-18-009, November 2018). https://www3.epa.gov/ttn/scram/guidance/guide/O3-PM-RH-Modeling_Guidance- 2018.pdf. EPA, 2020. Guidance on the Preparation of Clean Air Act Section 179B Demonstrations for Nonattainment Areas Affected by International Transport of Emissions (EPA-457/P- 20-001F, December 2020). https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2020- 12/documents/final_caa_179b_guidance_december_2020_with_disclaimer_ogc.pdf. HTAP, 2010. Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution 2010: Part A: Ozone and Particulate Matter Air Pollution Studies, No. 17. Prepared by the Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution, F. Dentener, T. Keating, and H. Akimoto, Eds. https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/83641741.pdf. Jaffe, D.A, O.R. Cooper, A.M. Fiore, B.H. Henderson, G.S. Tonnesen, A.G. Russell, D.K. Henze, A.O. Langford, M. Lin, T. Moore, 2018. Scientific assessment of background ozone over the U.S.: Implications for air quality management. Elem. Sci Anth, 6, https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.309. Jiang, Z., Worden, J.R., Payne, V.H., Zhu, L., Fischer, E., Walker, T. and Jones, D.B., 2016. Ozone export from East Asia: The role of PAN. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121(11), pp.6555-6563. Ramboll, 2021a. Modeling International Ozone Contribution to Wasatch Front Nonattainment Areas. Prepared for the Utah Petroleum Association and Utah Mining Association, Salt Lake City, UT (February 2021). Ramboll, 2021b. 2017 GEOS-Chem Application to Support US Regional Modeling. Prepared for the Western States Air Resources Council, Santa Fe, New Mexico (8 April, 2021). https://views.cira.colostate.edu/docs/IWDW/Modeling/WRAP/2017/Ramboll_WESTAR _GEOS-Chem_Report_8Apr_2021.pdf. Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 10 Ramboll, 2022. Technical memorandum documenting the CB6r5 mechanism with halogens: CB6r5h. Prepared for Chris Pennell and Nancy Daher, UDAQ (October 17, 2022). Skamarock, W.C., J.B. Klemp, J. Dudhia, D.O. Gill, Z. Liu, J. Berner, J., et al., 2019. A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Model Version 4 (No. NCAR/TN- 556+STR), doi:10.5065/1dfh-6p97. UDAQ, 2021. Clean Air Act 179B(b) Demonstration, Northern Wasatch Front Ozone Nonattainment Area (05/05/2021). https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air- quality/planning/air-quality-policy/DAQ-2021-005764.pdf. UDAQ, 2023. State Implementation Plan, 2015 Ozone NAAQS Northern Wasatch Front Moderate Nonattainment Area, Section IX Part D.11. https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/DAQ-2023-011344.pdf. Zhang, L., M. Lin, A.O. Langford, L.W. Horowitz, C.J. Senff, E. Klovenski, Y. Wang, R.J. Alvarez, I. Petropavlovskikh, P. Cullis, C.W. Sterling, J. Peischl, T.B. Ryerson, S.S. Brown, Z.C.J. Decker, G. Kirgis, S. Conley, 2020. Characterizing sources of high surface ozone events in the southwestern US with intensive field measurements and two global models. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 10379–10400. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-10379-2020. Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 11 3.0 Budget This project will be conducted by Ramboll Americas Engineering Solutions, Inc. The total estimated cost for the entire scope of work described in Section 2 is $98,012. Table 1 presents a detailed budget workup, which includes costs by task, personnel (fully loaded labor rates, hours, and cost), and other direct costs. Ramboll’s loaded labor rates are defined by the labor categories shown in Table 1. The proposed rate structure for this study is based on a 10% reduction from our floor commercial rates. Ramboll adds 3% to direct labor costs for telephones, copier services, and facsimile charges, and 3% to direct labor costs for computers and printers (6% total). Other direct costs include a high-volume data disk drive to transfer project-generated modeling datasets, programs, and scripts to UDAQ at the close of the project. Other direct costs also include 2-day travel for a single person by air with meals and hotel accommodations to attend the 2025 Science for Solutions conference. No other costs related to equipment, materials/supplies, or travel is anticipated during the project. We are proposing to conduct this study on a time and materials basis. As such, Ramboll will submit monthly invoices for labor and other direct costs around the 15th of each month. We request payment terms on a net 30-day basis. Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 12 Table 1. Ramboll proposed project budget, including breakdown by task, personnel (rates, hours and cost), and other direct costs. 4.0 Personnel Roles and Responsibilities Below we list the key personnel that will conduct the proposed scope of work, noting their titles and describing their main roles and responsibilities. We also provide a summary paragraph for each describing relevant qualifications and experience. Full resumes for each are presented in Appendix A. Additional Ramboll staff, not listed here for page restrictions, will be utilized in this project to support our key personnel. Mr. Chris Emery, senior managing consultant, will serve as principal investigator and project manager. As principal investigator, he will develop details of the technical approach, guide photochemical modeling applications and evaluation, and lead quality assurance steps. As project manager, Mr. Emery will manage Ramboll’s day-to-day project activities including ensuring the project remains on schedule and budget, managing personnel assignments, and communicating progress, technical issues, and results to UDAQ. He will also lead the development of the project report. Mr. Emery has over 30 years of experience in numerical modeling and analysis of multi- scale air pollution and meteorology. His expertise includes design, development, and application of air quality modeling systems. Chris co-authors the Comprehensive Air Quality Hourly Labor Rate Lbr Category/Name Hrs Dollars Hrs Dollars Hrs Dollars Hrs Dollars Principal Greg Yarwood 288.00 4 1,152 4 1,152 4 1,152 12 3,456 Sr. Managing Consultant Chris Emery 274.50 24 6,588 44 12,078 84 23,058 152 41,724 Managing Consultant Gary Wilson 247.50 40 9,900 0 1 248 41 10,148 Sr. Consultant 2 Lynsey Parker 207.00 0 8 1,656 0 0 8 1,656 Jung Chien 207.00 10 2,070 4 828 0 0 14 2,898 Pradeepa Vennam 207.00 0 12 2,484 0 0 12 2,484 Sr. Consultant 1 Trang Tran 189.00 48 9,072 32 6,048 27 5,103 107 20,223 Liji David 189.00 16 3,024 8 1,512 0 0 24 4,536 Consultant 3 Jean Guo 171.00 0 12 2,052 0 0 12 2,052 Support 103.50 0 0 19 1,967 19 1,967 Ramboll Labor Subtotal 142 31,806 124 27,810 135 31,527 401 91,143 Labor Subtotal 142 31,806 124 27,810 135 31,527 401 91,143 Other Direct Costs Communications (1)3%954 834 946 2,734 Computing (2)3%954 834 946 2,734 Travel 0 0 1,200 1,200 Misc. 0 0 200 200 ODCs Subtotal 1,908 1,669 3,292 6,869 GRAND TOTAL 142 33,714 124 29,479 135 34,819 401 98,012 Task 1 Task 2 Task 3 Modeling Analysis &Management Application Synopsis & Reporting Total All Tasks Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front 13 Model with extensions (CAMx). He has applied a variety of models for private and public clients, in both local and regional regulatory arenas, throughout the US and abroad. His recent projects include several for the UDAQ where he has contributed to model updates and improvements addressing ozone and PM2.5. Chris has applied and evaluated meteorological models and global chemical transport models to develop inputs needed by regional photochemical modeling applications. He has served as a member of the American Meteorological Society’s Board of the Urban Environment. Dr. Greg Yarwood, principal, will serve as a technical advisor and as Ramboll’s contracting representative with approval authority and administrative oversight. Dr. Yarwood is an internationally recognized expert with over 30 years of experience in atmospheric chemistry, air quality modeling, photochemical model development, interpreting ambient air quality data, and emissions inventory development. He directs air quality, meteorological and emissions modeling studies for clients in government and industry with emphasis on photochemical air pollution issues, such as ozone, secondary particulate matter (PM), visibility and air toxics. He implemented the CAMx methods for source attribution (OSAT and PSAT), sensitivity analysis (DDM and HDDM) and process analysis. He is an expert atmospheric chemist and leads development of the Carbon Bond chemical mechanisms that are used to model ozone and PM in both CAMx and US EPA’s CMAQ model. For UDAQ, he recently led the implementation and testing of the Regional Atmospheric Chemistry Model (RACM) in CAMx. Greg was appointed to USEPA’s Board of Scientific Counselors for the Clean Air Research Program. Mr. Gary Wilson, managing consultant, will lead all model development and testing activities. For over 30 years, he has been the primary programmer in photochemical and emissions modeling development at Ramboll. Mr. Wilson is responsible for the ongoing maintenance and development of the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with extensions (CAMx), including all probing tools. Gary is proficient in all tasks necessary for carrying out CAMx simulations. Gary is an expert in Fortran, PERL and Linux shell scripting, and has programming experience in C, HTML C++, Visual Basic, SQL and SAS. Dr. Trang Tran, senior/lead consultant, will lead all modeling and analysis activities during the project. She has over 10 years of experience in air quality modeling, specializing in weather and 3D-chemical transport modeling (e.g., WRF, WRF-Chem, CAMx) with advanced tool utilization (e.g., data assimilation, source apportionment, and process analysis). She is an expert in statistical model evaluation tools (e.g., AMET, SMAT-CE) and has strong experience in emission inventory development and format processing (both top-down and bottom-up-derived inventories) using various models/tools. Dr. Tran is experienced in environmental impact assessment (EIA) reporting, particularly for oil and gas clients. Her programming expertise includes both basic and visualization languages (e.g., Fortran, C, R, python, NCL, VAPOR, IDL) and she is also comfortable working on UNIX/Linux Cluster High Performance Computing systems. Ramboll – Assessing Global Background Ozone Transport Pathways to the Northern Wasatch Front APPENDIX A Resumes of Key Personnel 1/3 CV, CHRISTOPHER A EMERY CHRISTOPHER A. EMERY Senior Managing Consultant Chris Emery has over 30 years of experience in numerical modeling and analysis of multi-scale air pollution and meteorology. His expertise includes design, development and application of air quality modeling systems. Chris co-authors the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with extensions (CAMx—a regional nested grid photochemical model with Probing Tool extensions), prepares the CAMx User’s Guide, and manages public distributions of CAMx and support programs. He has delivered training on photochemical modeling for numerous US and international clients including private, governmental, and academic institutions. He has applied a variety of models for private and public clients, in both local and regional regulatory arenas, throughout the US and abroad. His projects have included ozone, particulate matter and carbon monoxide modeling to support regulatory planning; analyzing source contributions and emission sensitivity; modeling fate of toxic air pollutants; determining effects of alternative and innovative air quality management strategies including urban heat island mitigation; studying prospective and retrospective air quality trends; and estimating North American background ozone. Chris has applied and evaluated meteorological models and global chemical transport models to develop inputs needed by regional photochemical modeling applications. He has served as a member of the American Meteorological Society’s Board of the Urban Environment. CAREER 1995-Present Senior Managing Consultant Ramboll / ENVIRON International Corporation 1990-1995 Staff and Senior Scientist ICF Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California, United States EDUCATION 1988-1990 MS, Meteorology San Jose State University, San Jose, California, United States 1985-1988 BS, Meteorology San Jose State University, San Jose, California, United States CONTACT INFORMATION Christopher A. Emery cemery@ramboll.com +1 (415) 8990740 Ramboll 7250 Redwood Boulevard Suite 105 Novato, 94945 United States of America 2/3 CV, CHRISTOPHER A EMERY MEMBERSHIPS Air and Waste Management Association (AWMA) American Meteorological Society (AMS) RECENT EXPERIENCE Air Quality Model Development − Co-developer of Ramboll’s Comprehensive Air Quality Model with extensions (CAMx); manages updates and distribution of CAMx, associated pre- and postprocessors, and model documentation; conducts CAMx training for numerous US and international private, governmental, and academic institutions. − Assisted in implementing updates to the CAMx surface model and chemistry mechanisms for the State of Utah. − Led the development of a hemispheric CAMx modeling capability. − Co-developer of emission estimating models for fires, sea salt, wind-blown dust, and lightning NOx. − Assisted the development and testing of a near-real-time CAMx air quality system for Texas. − Co-developer of the Mesoscale Model InterFace (MMIF) program that directly translates MM5 and WRF meteorological output to CALPUFF and AERMOD input format. Air Quality Model Applications − Managing photochemical modeling applications to support the Clark County Ozone State Implementation Plan. − Managing modeling analyses of toxic air pollutants and deposition at the Hanford, Washington Site. − Assessed international anthropogenic pollutant contributions to ozone air quality along the Wasatch Front, Utah and in El Paso, Texas. − Investigated causes of ammonia emission shortfalls in CAMx modeling of PM2.5 for the Salt Lake City, Utah, State Implementation Plan. − Assessed contributions of California natural gas power plants to Statewide ozone and PM2.5 using the CAMx source apportionment tool. − Managed an analysis of and comments on EPA’s draft guidance on Modeled Emissions Rates for Precursors (MERP) addressing single-source impacts on ozone and PM2.5. − Evaluated global chemical transport models (GEOS-Chem, MOZART, AM3) to characterize US background sources of ozone and to supply boundary conditions for regional models (CAMx and CMAQ). − Assisted in the development of international CAMx ozone and PM modeling programs for the Marseille area of France, Rhine area of France/Germany, Po Valley (Milan) area of Italy, Medellin area of Colombia, and several areas of Spain. − Managed a modeling project to estimate ozone sensitivity to US anthropogenic precursor reductions to help inform the EPA ozone NAAQS review process. − Managed a North American modeling analysis to estimate spatial and temporal patterns in background ozone over the US, and related source attribution, for input to the EPA ozone NAAQS review process. Meteorological Model Applications and Analysis − Managed the application of WRF to support the 2017 Western Air Quality Study for the Western States Air Resources Council (WESTAR). − Managed a high-resolution application of WRF to the Upper Green River Basin in southwest Wyoming to support winter photochemical modeling of the area. − Managed an application of WRF to provide boundary conditions for highly refined computational fluid dynamics (CFD) windflow modeling of a neighborhood in the South Coast air basin in California. 3/3 CV, CHRISTOPHER A EMERY − Managed testing of WRF meteorological model improvements that allow for more detailed treatment of clouds and vertical diffusion in the CAMx photochemical model. Specialized Analyses − Reviewed and developed new recommendations on photochemical model performance evaluation and benchmarks for statistical performance metrics. − Assisted in an EPA evaluation of various modeling platforms for the purpose of simulating single-source impacts on ozone, PM, visibility, and AQRVs for NEPA, PSD, and NSR assessments. − Applied and evaluated modeling methodologies that simulate the impacts of Urban Heat Island (Cool Communities) measures involving intensive tree planting and use of light-colored building materials to lower urban temperatures and ambient pollutant concentrations in Los Angeles and Houston. RECENT PUBLICATIONS Zhai, H., Huang, L., Emery, C., Zhang, X., Wang, Y., Yarwood, G., Fu, J.S., Li, L., 2024. Recommendations on benchmarks for photochemical air quality model applications in China — NO2, SO2, CO and PM10, Atmos Environ, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2023.120290. Huang, L., Zhu, Y., Zhai, H., Xue, S., Zhu, T., Shao, Y., Liu, Z., Emery, C., Yarwood, G., Wang, Y., Fu, J., Zhang, K., and Li, L. 2021. Recommendations on benchmarks for numerical air quality model applications in China – Part 1: PM2.5 and chemical species, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 2725–2743, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-2725-2021. Huang, L., Q. Wang, Y. Wang, C. Emery, A. Zhu, Y. Zhu, S. Yin, G. Yarwood, K. Zhang, L. Li, 2021. Simulation of secondary organic aerosol over the Yangtze River Delta region: The impacts from the emissions of intermediate volatility organic compounds and the SOA modeling framework. Atmos. Environ, 246, 118079, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.118079. Koo, B., Metzger, S., Vennam, P., Emery, C., Wilson, G. and Yarwood, G., 2019. Comparing the ISORROPIA and EQSAM Aerosol Thermodynamic. Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XXVI, p.93. Emery, C., Z. Liu, A.G. Russell, M.T. Odman, G. Yarwood, N. Kumar. 2017. Recommendations on statistics and benchmarks to assess photochemical model performance. Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association, DOI: 10.1080/10962247.2016.1265027. Downey, N., C. Emery, J. Jung, T. Sakulyanontvittaya, L. Hebert, D. Blewitt, G. Yarwood. 2015. Emission Reductions and Urban Ozone Responses Under more Stringent US Standards. Atmos. Environ., 101, 209-216, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.11.018. Baker, K.R., C. Emery, P. Dolwick, G. Yarwood. 2015. Photochemical Grid Model Estimates of Lateral Boundary Contributions to Ozone and Particulate Matter across the Continental United States. Atmos. Environ., 123, 49-62. Karamchandani, P., C. Emery, G. Yarwood, B. Lefer, J. Stutz, E. Couzo & W. Vizuete. 2015. “Implementation and Refinement of a Surface Model for Heterogeneous HONO Formation in a 3-D Chemical Transport Model”. Atmos. Environ.; 2015 January; doi: 1016/j.atmosenv.2015.01.046. Nopmongcol, U., C. Emery, T. Sakulyanontvittaya, J. Jung, E. Knipping, G. Yarwood. 2014. A modeling analysis of alternative primary and secondary US ozone standards in urban and rural areas. Atmos. Environ., 99, 266-276, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.09.062. Yarwood, G., C. Emery, K. Baker, and P. Dolwick. 2014. Resolving and Quantifying Ozone Contributions from Boundary Conditions Within Regional Models. Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XXIII. Springer Proceedings in Complexity, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-04379-1_17. Springer International Publishing Switzerland. Lefohn, A., C. Emery, D. Shadwick, H. Wernli, J Jung, S. Oltmans. 2014. Estimates of Background Surface Ozone Concentrations in the United States Based on Model-Derived Source Apportionment. Atmos. Environ., 84., 275-288, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2013.11.033. Yarwood, G., C. Emery, J. Jung, U. Nopmongcol, T. Sakulyanontvittaya. 2013. A Method to Represent Ozone Response To Large Changes In Precursor Emissions Using High-Order Sensitivity Analysis In Photochemical Models. Geosci. Model Dev., 6, 1601–1608, doi:10.5194/gmd-6-1601-2013. 1/3 CV, GREGORY YARWOOD GREGORY YARWOOD, PhD Principal Dr. Greg Yarwood is an internationally recognized expert with over 30 years of experience in atmospheric chemistry, air quality modeling, photochemical model development, interpreting ambient air quality data, and emissions inventory development. He directs air quality, meteorological and emissions modeling studies for clients in government and industry with emphasis on photochemical air pollution issues, such as ozone, fine particulate matter (PM2.5), visibility and air toxics. Greg designs and directs complex photochemical modeling studies using models such as CAMx, CMAQ, GEOS-Chem, SCICHEM and WRF. He oversees development of Ramboll’s Comprehensive Air quality Model with extensions (CAMx: http://www.camx.com) and he implemented the CAMx methods for source attribution (OSAT and PSAT), sensitivity analysis (DDM and HDDM) and process analysis. He is an expert atmospheric chemist and leads development of the Carbon Bond chemical mechanisms (including CB05, CB6 and CB7) that are used to model ozone and PM2.5 in both CAMx and USEPA’s CMAQ model. He has specialized expertise in characterizing air emissions from biogenic sources, combustion engines and industrial flares. He directs research studies that develop emission inventories from satellite measurements of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and nitrogen oxides (NOx). He has performed international air quality studies in Europe, the Middle East, China, Australia and Africa. In the US, Greg advises regional, state and local planning agencies as they develop and implement plans to address air quality (non-attainment) issues. He is experienced in communicating on air quality matters in settings that range from international scientific conferences to community meetings with diverse audiences. His scientific publication record is highly ranked with an H-index of 44. Greg was appointed to USEPA’s Board of Scientific Counselors for the Clean Air Research Program. CAREER 1995-Present Principal, Ramboll (formerly Environ) 1991-1995 Senior Scientist, ICF Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California 1988-1991 Post-Doctoral Researcher, Centre for Atmospheric Chemistry, York University, Canada 1987-1988 Post-Doctoral Researcher, Brookhaven National Laboratory, New York CONTACT INFORMATION Gregory Yarwood gyarwood@ramboll.com +1 (415) 899 0704 Ramboll 7250 Redwood Boulevard Suite 105 Novato, CA 94945 United States of America 2/3 CV, GREGORY YARWOOD EDUCATION 1987 PhD, Chemistry, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom 1982 BSc, Chemistry, University of Bath, United Kingdom EXPERIENCE Regional Air Quality Planning − Evaluating air quality (O3 and PM2.5) benefits of electrification and decarbonization strategies across the US out to 2050. − Near-real-time (NRT) photochemical modeling for Texas. The WRF/CAMx-based system models US- wide air quality with fine-scale resolution for Dallas and Houston. − Global modelling using GEOS-Chem to determine contributions of US and foreign emissions to background ozone in Texas’ ozone non-attainment areas. − Developed ozone control strategies for the Northeast Texas region through a multi-stakeholder process. These measures are included in the Texas State Implementation Plan (SIP) and the region is attaining the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS). − Directed technical studies to support Texas’ State Implementation Plan (SIP) for the Houston and Dallas ozone nonattainment areas including air quality, meteorological and emissions modeling and the design and evaluation of emissions reduction strategies. − Regional air quality planning studies for the Arabian Gulf (confidential client), China (Pearl River Delta) and Southern Africa (Cross-border Air Pollution Impact Assessment). Photochemical Model Development − Ramboll’s Comprehensive Air quality Model with extensions (CAMx). Greg is responsible for the model chemistry for O3 and PM2.5 and the advanced “probing tools” for source apportionment (OSAT and PSAT), sensitivity analysis (DDM) and chemical process analysis (CPA). − Designed the Ramboll Shair real-time air quality model (https://ramboll-shair.com) with hyperlocal resolution and integration with sensor data to address community-level issues including environmental justice. Air Quality Data − Designed aircraft-based monitoring studies for ozone and precursors in Texas. − Directed ground-level monitoring of ozone, nitrogen oxides (NOx and NOy) and volatile organic compounds (VOC). − Reviewed VOC receptor modeling and ambient ratio (VOC/NOx and CO/NOx) studies for evidence of systematic biases between emission inventories and ambient data. − Evaluated the air quality impacts of offshore oil drilling near Prudhoe Bay and the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge ANWR) in Alaska. − Testified on the PM impacts of re-powering a large utility boiler from oil to gas in a major Northeastern US city. Atmospheric Chemistry − Member of the CRC Research Panel on the Atmospheric Chemistry of Hydrocarbons (RPACH) that published reviews of the chemistry of alkenes and aromatic hydrocarbons. − Developer of Carbon Bond gas-phase chemical mechanisms including CB05, CB6 used in EPA regulatory modeling studies of ozone, particulate matter and air toxics, and the latest version CB7. − Created chemical mechanisms describing atmospheric transformations of polyfluorinated substances (PFAS) to perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) for regional and global modeling. − Made laboratory measurements of reaction rates for NOx species under high temperature (combustion) and low temperature (stratospheric) conditions. 3/3 CV, GREGORY YARWOOD Emission Inventories − Directed development of a Northeast Texas emission inventory for SIP modeling and submission to the National Emission Inventory (NEI). Local surveys were conducted to improve the area, off-road and biogenic emission inventories. − Directed optical remote sensing studies to measure VOC, NOx and SOx emissions from chemical industry facilities in Texas and the Middle East. − Analyzed the effects of reformulated/alternative fuels and advanced vehicles on mobile source emissions for the joint Auto/Oil Air Quality Improvement Research Program (AQIRP). MEMBERSHIPS Air and Waste Management Association (AWMA) American Chemical Society (ACS) American Geophysical Union (AGU) RECENT PUBLICATIONS Nawaz, M.O., Johnson, J., Yarwood, G., de Foy, B., Judd, L.M. and Goldberg, D.L., 2023. An intercomparison of satellite, airborne, and ground-level observations with WRF-CAMx simulations of NO 2 columns over Houston, TX during the September 2021 TRACER-AQ campaign. EGUsphere, 2023, pp.1-34. Huang, L., Liu, H., Yarwood, G., Wilson, G., Tao, J., Han, Z., Ji, D., Wang, Y. and Li, L., 2023. Modeling of secondary organic aerosols (SOA) based on two commonly used air quality models in China: Consistent S/IVOCs contribution but large differences in SOA aging. Science of The Total Environment, 903, p.166162. Huang, L., Fang, J., Liao, J., Yarwood, G., Chen, H., Wang, Y. and Li, L., 2023. Insights into soil NO emissions and the contribution to surface ozone formation in China. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 23(23), pp.14919-14932. Bistline, J.E., Blanford, G., Grant, J., Knipping, E., McCollum, D.L., Nopmongcol, U., Scarth, H., Shah, T. and Yarwood, G., 2022. Economy-wide evaluation of CO2 and air quality impacts of electrification in the United States. Nature Communications, 13(1), p.6693. Goldberg, D.L., Harkey, M., de Foy, B., Judd, L., Johnson, J., Yarwood, G. and Holloway, T., 2022. Evaluating NO x emissions and their effect on O3 production in Texas using TROPOMI NO2 and HCHO. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22(16), pp.10875-10900. Dunker, A.M., Wilson, G., Bates, J. and Yarwood, G., 2020. Chemical Sensitivity Analysis and Uncertainty Analysis of Ozone Production in the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions Applied to Eastern Texas. Environmental Science & Technology. doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.9b07543 Luecken, D.J., Yarwood, G., Hutzell, W. H., 2019. Multipollutant modeling of ozone, reactive nitrogen and HAPs across the continental US with CMAQ-CB6. Atmos. Environ. 201, 62–72. Guenther, A., Jiang, X., Shah, T., Huang, L., Kemball-Cook, S. and Yarwood, G., 2019. Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosol from Nature Version 3 (MEGAN3). Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XXVI, p.187. Emery, C., Liu, Z., Russell, A.G., Odman, M.T., Yarwood, G. and Kumar, N., 2017. Recommendations on statistics and benchmarks to assess photochemical model performance. Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, 67(5), pp.582-598. doi.org/10.1080/10962247.2016.1265027. Dunker, A.M., B. Koo, G. Yarwood. “Ozone Sensitivity to Isoprene Chemistry and Emissions and Anthropogenic Emissions in Central California.” Atmos. Environ., 145, 326-337, 2016. Nopmongcol, U., J. Jung, N. Kumar, G. Yarwood. 2016. “Changes in US Background Ozone Due to Global Anthropogenic Emissions from 1970 to 2020.” Atmos. Environ., 140, 446-455. Dunker, A. M., B. Koo, and G. Yarwood. 2015. “Source Apportionment of the Anthropogenic Increment to Ozone, Formaldehyde, and Nitrogen Dioxide by the Path-Integral Method in a 3D Model.” Environ. Sci. Technol., 49, 6751-6759. 1/3 CV, GARY M WILSON GARY M. WILSON Managing Consultant Gary Wilson is the primary programmer in photochemical modeling and emissions modeling development at Ramboll. He has over 30 years of experience with emissions models, including NONROAD, EPS3, MOVES, SMOKE, EMS95, MOBILEx, EMFAC7x, DTIM2, EXPLORA and GloBEIS. Working with the Office of Mobile Sources at USEPA, he developed NONROAD, a FORTRAN-based model that estimates the county-level emissions from non-road mobile sources. Gary also worked with a team headed by USEPA to incorporate the NONROAD model into the MOVES subsystem, adding the capability of MOVES to generate estimates for NONROAD sources. Gary is responsible for the ongoing maintenance and development of the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with extensions (CAMx), a state-of-the-science photochemical grid model. He is the principal programmer in incorporating all probing tools add-on tools into the CAMx model, each of which provides the ability to analyze the behavior of the photochemical model in a unique way. Gary is proficient in all tasks necessary for carrying out a modeling simulation using the CAMx model, from the preparation of all necessary inputs, to the configuring and execution of the model simulation, to the analysis of the model results using graphics of model predictions and statistics of model performance. Gary is an expert in FORTRAN, PERL and Linux shell scripting, and has programming experience in C, HTML C++, Visual Basic, SQL and SAS. He has provided training to other agencies in the use of modeling systems. In his capacity as system administrator, Gary possesses expert knowledge of the Linux, Windows Desktop and Windows Server operating systems. CAREER 1995-present Systems Administrator/Programmer Ramboll / ENVIRON International Corporation 1993-present Mathematics Teacher Santa Rosa Junior College, Santa Rosa, California 1990-1995 Staff Scientist ICF Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California CONTACT INFORMATION Gary M Wilson gwilson@ramboll.com +1 (415) 8990719 Ramboll 7250 Redwood Boulevard Suite 105 Novato, CA 94945 United States of America EDUCATION 1991 MS, Mathematics San Jose State University, San Jose, California 1987 BS, Mathematics California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, California 2/3 CV, GARY M WILSON EXPERIENCE High Performance Computing System Administration - Chief IT/Systems Administrator for Ramboll’s high performance Linux computer system, including hardware, networking, security, and OS/application/library software installation and maintenance. Air Quality Model Development and Application - Co-developer of the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with extensions (CAMx), including core model and Probing Tools, tracks and fixes reported bugs, prepares code for public distribution, applies extensive testing protocols, develops, tests, and distributes many pre- and post-processing systems. - Developed and managed a near-real time automated modeling system for the State of Texas, including meteorological and global model simulations, to track impacts from biomass burning in Mexico and Central America, stratospheric ozone intrusion, and anthropogenic emissions from Mexico. - Assisted in developing a Regional Air Quality Assessment for proposed Western Sydney Airport. Emission Processing System Development and Application - Designed and developed the Emissions Preprocessing System (EPS3), a FORTRAN-based model used to prepare emission inventories for photochemical modeling. - Developed detailed “bottom up” emission inventories using EPS3 to support the PM10 Maintenance Plan (SIP) for Northern Ada County, Idaho. - Designed and developed DTIM2, an emissions inventory model for on-road motor vehicle sources that works with traffic network demand model datasets. - Designed and implemented the approach to incorporate the NONROAD model, a FOTRTAN based model that estimates emissions from non-road mobile sources, into the MOVES model, a Java/SQL based model that estimates emissions for on-road mobile sources. - Developed complete emission inventories for the San-Antonio/Austin, Texas, ozone near- nonattainment areas, and assisted in training Alamo Area Council of Government staff on emissions processing systems. - Generated on-road motor vehicle emissions inventories for urban and regional scale modeling to develop control strategies for 1-hour and 8-hour ozone in East Texas. - Designed and developed the Global Biosphere Emissions and Interactions System (GLOBEIS), an ACCESS-based model that estimates emissions from natural (biogenic) sources. - Chief programmer for the EPA’s original NONROAD emissions model, an integrated system including a FORTRAN based core model for estimating emissions, an ACCESS based reporting utility for generating tables and reports, and a Visual Basic based graphical user interface. PUBLICATIONS Dunker, A.M., Wilson, G., Bates, J. and Yarwood, G., 2020. Chemical Sensitivity Analysis and Uncertainty Analysis of Ozone Production in the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions Applied to Eastern Texas. Environmental Science & Technology. doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.9b07543’ Koo, B., G. M. Wilson, R. E. Morris, A. M. Dunker, and G. Yarwood. 2009. “Comparison of Source Apportionment and Sensitivity Analysis in a Particulate Matter Air Quality Model.” Environ. Sci. Technol., 43, 6669-6675. July. Sowden, M., E. Cairncross, G. Wilson, M. Zunckel, E. Kirillova, V. Reddy, and S. Hietkamp. 2008. “Developing a Spatially and Temporally Resolved Emission Inventory for Photochemical Modeling in the City of Cape Town and Assessing Its Uncertainty.” Atmos. Environ, 42: 7155-7164. September. Wagstrom, K., M. Spyros, N. Pandis, G. Yarwood, G.M. Wilson and R.E. Morris. 2008. “Development and Application of a Computationally Efficient Particulate Matter Apportionment Algorithm in a Three- Dimensional Chemical Transport Model.” Atmos. Environ., 42: 5650-5659. July. Wilson, G.M., A. Dunker, G. Yarwood, and J. Ortmann. 2002. “The Decoupled Direct Method for Sensitivity Analysis in a Three-Dimensional Air Quality Model – Implementation.” Environ. Sci. Technol., Vol. 367, No. 13, July. 3/3 CV, GARY M WILSON PRESENTATIONS Emery, C., B. Koo, G. Wilson, G. Yarwood. 2016. “CAMx: Overview and Recent Updates.” Presentation at the 15th Annual CMAS Conference, Chapel Hill, NC, October. Emery, C., B. Koo, G. Wilson, G. Yarwood. 2016. “CAMx: Modeling System Overview.” Presentation at the LADCO/CenSARA Modelers Meeting. St. Louis, MO, 22 June. Koo, B., G.M. Wilson, R.E. Morris, G. Yarwood. 2009. “Comparison of PM Source Apportionment and Sensitivity Analysis in CAMx.” Presented at CMAS 8th Annual Conference, Chapel Hill, NC. October. Wilson, G., B. Wang, C. Emery, R. Morris and G. Yarwood. 2008. “Applying a 3-D Photochemical Model (CAMx) in Multi-Processor Cluster (MPI) and Shared-Memory (Open-MP) Computing Environments.” Presented at the 7th Annual CMAS Conference, University of North Carolina, October. Morris, R.E., G. Yarwood, C. Emery, G. Wilson, B. Koo. 2006. “Regional Modeling Using One- Atmospheric Models to Address Regional Haze, 8-Hour Ozone and PM2.5 Air Quality Issues.” Presented at the 99th Annual AWMA Conference, New Orleans, LA, June. Wilson, G.M., R.E. Morris, G. Yarwood, C.A. Emery. 2001. “Recent Advances in CAMx Air Quality Modeling.” Presented at the 94th A&WMA Annual Conference, Orlando, FL, June. Wilson, G.M., R.E. Morris, G. Yarwood, C.A. Emery. 2001. “Recent Development and Applications of the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with extensions (CAMx).” Presented at Guideline on Air Quality Models: A New Beginning. Newport, Rhode Island, April. Wilson, G.M., (with others). 1998. “Use of Advanced Ozone Source Apportionment Techniques to Estimate Are of Influence (AOI) of Emissions Contributions to Elevated Ozone Concentrations.” Presented at the 1998 Annual AAMA Meeting. 1/3 CV, TRANG TRAN TRANG TRAN, PHD Senior Consultant Dr. Trang Tran has over 10 years’ experience in air quality modeling, specializing in weather and 3D-chemical transport modeling (e.g., WRF, WRF-Chem, CAMx) with advance tool utilization (e.g., data assimilation, source apportionment, and process analysis). She is an expert in statistical model evaluation tools (e.g., AMET, SMAT-CE) and has strong experience in emission inventory development and format processing (both top-down and bottom-up-derived inventories) using various models/tools such as SMOKE, Prep_chem_sources, anthro_emiss, and EPA_anthro_emiss. Dr. Tran is experienced in environmental impact assessment (EIA) reporting, particularly for oil and gas clients. Her programming expertise includes both basic and visualization languages (e.g., Fortran, C, R, python, NCL, VAPOR, IDL) and she is also comfortable working on UNIX/Linux Cluster High Performance Computing systems. PROJECT EXPERIENCE 2022-2023 Clark County Ozone State Implementation Plan Processing and QA’ing emission input files for control strategies, performing photochemical simulations, Weigh of Evidence analysis, and model performance evaluation. In this project Ramboll is conducting and documenting the photochemical modeling and ancillary weight-of-evidence analyses that support an ozone attainment demonstration for the Clark County Non-Attainment Area Moderate Ozone SIP. 2019-2023 BLM Montana/Dakotas PGM Modeling Study Developing air quality modeling emissions for the BLM Montana/Dakotas PGM modeling study to assess the air quality and Air Quality Related Value (AQRV) impacts due to oil and gas development. The Bakken Shale formation in the Montana/Dakotas region is the most rapidly growing oil and gas development area in the U.S. Under this study, Ramboll is developing a comprehensive oil and gas emissions inventory and performing base year 2012/2013 and future year 2032 modeling using the CAMx photochemical grid model. 2022-2023 PGM for the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation Provided technical support in emission input preparation, QA’d on SMOKE output files, performed photochemical simulations and model performance evaluation. Ramboll provided PGM modeling assistance to: 1) assess The Tennessee Valley Authority Coal Plant Retirement impacts; 2) model Sullivan County SO2 NAA around Eastman CONTACT INFORMATION Trang Tran ttran@ramboll.com Ramboll 7250 Redwood Blvd. Suite 105 Novato, CA 94945 EDUCATION 2013 Ph.D., Environmental Chemistry (majoring in air quality modeling) University of Alaska, Fairbanks 2008 M.S., Environmental Engineering and Management Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand 2005 B.A., Environmental Sciences HCMC University of Natural Sciences, Vietnam 2/3 CV, TRANG TRAN Chemical Facility and 3) provide PGM training for the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation Staff. 2022-2023 Modeling the Visibility Impacts of Petroleum Refineries in the State of Washington Provided technical support in emission data processing, photochemical simulations, model performance evaluation and visibility impact analysis. Under this project, Ramboll provided technical support to satisfy the requirements in Western States Petroleum Association’s March 17, 2022 “Request for Proposal – Regional Haze Visibility Modeling” to estimate the effects on visibility due to emissions from the major five refineries. 2022-2023 FEI Processor Developments and Virtual Workshop for Texas Commission on Environmental, United States Processed observed and modeled data for CAMx Model Performance Evaluation. Ramboll assisted the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality to improve and expand usability of the FEI tool and conduct a workshop on photochemical modeling best practices. 2022-2023 WESTAR: WY CSAPR Western States Air Resources Council (WESTAR), United States Processed EPA’s AQS data to calculate O3 design values with and without wildfire exceptional events. Ramboll is analyzing EPA’s 2015 Ozone NAAQS Good Neighbor FIP for Wyoming as a subcontractor to WESTAR where EPA claims WY contributes significantly to ozone nonattainment at a monitor in Colorado. 2020-2023 Trinity: ADEC Fairbanks CMAQ PM2.5 SIP Processed observed and modeled data for CMAQ Model Performance Evaluation. Ramboll conducted CMAQ modeling for the Fairbanks region for the Alaska Department of Environmental Conservation (ADEC) to support the development of a PM2.5 State Implementation Plan (SIP) under subcontract to Trinity Consultants. 2022-2023 MAG TO#1: 03 Precursor Controls: Comprehensive List Maricopa Assoc. of Governments, United States Reviewed and documented emission control measures. Task Order 1: Ramboll developed a comprehensive list of ozone precursor emission control measures in Maricopa County in support of State Implementation Planning. 2022-2023 MAG TO#2: 03 Precursors Controls: Emission and Cost Analysis Maricopa Assoc. of Governments, United States Reviewed and documented emission control measures. Task Order 2: Ramboll developed emission reductions and cost analysis for ozone precursors in Maricopa County in support of State Implementation Planning. 2022 Alberta Environment and Parks Task3 DIZ CMAQ Deposition Alberta Environment and Park, Canada Developed deposition results from the DIZ CMAQ modeling database. 3/3 CV, TRANG TRAN 2022-2023 Toyota: Future Year PM and Ozone Modeling Toyota Motor North America, Inc., United States Performed SMAT analysis. Ramboll conducted emissions development and air quality modeling to determine PM source attribution and ozone sensitivity to NOx and VOC emissions 2018-2022 Regional Air Quality Council: Denver Ozone SIP RAQC, Colorado, United States Provided technical support on emissions processing in conducting ozone SIP modeling to demonstrate that the Denver region will attain the 2015 ozone NAAQS by 2023 for the Denver Regional Air Quality Council. CAREER 7/2022 – present Ramboll, Senior Consultant I - Preparing SMOKE model input data, QA’ing on SMOKE emission output files. - Performing Photochemical Grid Model simulations, model performance evaluation, and other post-process analysis. - Technical report writing 9/2020 – 6/2022 Desert Research Institute, Air Quality Modeler – Assistant Research Professor - Conducted air quality modeling projects to study ozone sensitivity in response to emission changes in New York City area - Air quality/ wildfire forecasting using numerical models - Published and contributed to proposal development 6/2013 – 8/2020 Bingham Research Center – Utah State University, Senior Research Scientist/Postdoctoral Researcher - Conducted air quality modeling projects to study winter ozone pollution due to oil and gas exploration activities in Uinta Basin. - Contributed to air monitoring projects funded for Energy and Minerals Department, Ute Indian Tribe - Published, prepared technical reports, proposal development and project management 2/2009 – 5/2013 Department of Environmental Chemistry – University of Alaska, Fairbanks, Research Assistant - Developed and conducted research to investigate the reasons for air quality degradation in the wilderness areas of Alaska. - Research focus: air quality modeling with WRF/Chem, CMAQ, HYSPLIT, AEMOD, GIS - Published and presented research findings in conferences/meetings PUBLICATIONS Available upon request