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HomeMy WebLinkAboutDAQ-2025-000868 Utah State Implementation Plan Regional Haze Second Implementation Period Section XX.A [August 1, 2022] 2 List of tables .................................................................................................................. 6 List of figures ................................................................................................................ 8 List of acronyms ......................................................................................................... 11 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .............................................................................................. 13 Chapter 1: Background and Overview of the Federal Regional Haze Rule ............ 16 1.A Regional Haze Planning Periods and Due Dates ..................................................... 16 1.B Class I Areas in Utah .................................................................................................. 17 1.B.1 Arches National Park ................................................................................................................. 18 1.B.2 Bryce Canyon National Park ................................................................................................... 19 1.B.3 Canyonlands National Park .................................................................................................... 20 1.B.4 Capitol Reef National Park ...................................................................................................... 20 1.B.5 Zion National Park ................................................................................................................... 21 1.C Haze Characteristics and Effects .............................................................................. 21 1.D Monitoring Strategy .................................................................................................... 22 1.D.1 Participation in the IMPROVE Network ................................................................................... 24 1.E History of Regional Haze in Utah .................................................................................. 25 1.E.1 Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission ....................................................................... 26 1.E.2 Western Regional Air Partnership ............................................................................................ 28 1.E.3 2003 Regional Haze SIP ......................................................................................................... 29 1.E.4 2008 Regional Haze SIP Revision .......................................................................................... 29 1.E.5 2011 Regional Haze SIP Revision .......................................................................................... 30 1.E.6 2015 Regional Haze SIP Revision .......................................................................................... 30 1.E.7 2019 Regional Haze SIP Revision .......................................................................................... 31 1.F General Planning Provisions ..................................................................................... 32 1.F.1 Regional Haze Program Requirements .................................................................................. 32 1.F.2 SIP Submission and Planning Commitments ......................................................................... 32 1.F.3 Utah Statutory Authority .......................................................................................................... 33 Chapter 2: Utah Regional Haze SIP Development Process ..................................... 34 2.A WRAP Engagement .................................................................................................... 34 2.A.1 Technical Information and Data: WRAP TSS2.0 .................................................................... 35 2.B Consultation with Federal Land Managers .............................................................. 35 2.C Collaboration with Tribes .......................................................................................... 36 2.D Consultation with Other States ................................................................................. 36 2.E Public and Stakeholder Consultation ....................................................................... 37 Chapter 3: Progress to Date ....................................................................................... 38 3.A Embedded Progress Report Requirements ............................................................. 38 3.A.1 Implementation status of all measures in first planning period ............................................... 38 3 3.A.2 Summary of emission reductions achieved by control measure implementation ................... 39 3.A.3 Assessment of visibility conditions .......................................................................................... 39 3.A.4 Analysis of any changes in emissions from all sources and activities within the state .......... 40 3.A.5 Assessment of any changes in emissions from within or outside the state. ........................... 44 Chapter 4: Utah Visibility Analysis ............................................................................ 49 4.A Baseline, Current Conditions and Natural Visibility Conditions ............................ 52 4.A.1 Baseline (2000-2004) visibility for the most impaired and clearest days ................................ 53 4.A.2 Natural visibility for the most impaired and clearest days ....................................................... 53 4.A.3 Current (2014-2018) visibility for the most impaired and clearest days .................................. 54 4.A.4 Progress to date: most impaired and clearest days ................................................................ 55 4.A.5 Differences between current and natural for the most impaired and clearest days ................ 55 4.B Uniform Rate of Progress .......................................................................................... 56 4.C Adjustments to URP: International impacts and/or prescribed fire ....................... 56 Chapter 5: Utah Sources of Visibility Impairment .................................................... 61 5.A Natural Sources of Impairment ................................................................................. 61 5.B Anthropogenic Sources of Impairment .................................................................... 61 5.C Overview of Emission Inventory System - TSS ....................................................... 62 5.D Wildland Prescribed Fires ......................................................................................... 63 5.E Utah Emissions ........................................................................................................... 64 Chapter 6: Long-Term Strategy for Second Planning Period .................................. 72 6.A LTS Requirements ..................................................................................................... 72 6.A.1 States reasonably anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in the Utah CIAs ............ 73 6.A.2 Utah sources identified by downwind states that are reasonably anticipated to impact CIAs 77 6.A.3 Technical Basis of Reasonable Progress Goals ..................................................................... 81 6.A.4 Identify Anthropogenic Sources .............................................................................................. 81 6.A.5 Emissions Reductions Due to Ongoing Pollution Control Programs ...................................... 81 6.A.6 Measures to Mitigate the Impacts of Construction Activities .................................................. 86 6.A.7 Basic smoke management practices ...................................................................................... 87 6.A.8 Emissions Limitations and Schedules for Compliance to Achieve the RPG .......................... 88 6.A.9 Source retirement and replacement schedules ...................................................................... 88 6.A.10 Anticipated net effect on visibility from projected changes in emissions during this planning period 89 6.A.11 Enforceability of Emissions Limitations ............................................................................... 96 Chapter 7: Emission Control Analysis ...................................................................... 97 7.A Source Screening ....................................................................................................... 97 7.A.1 Q/d Analysis ............................................................................................................................ 99 7.A.2 Secondary Screening of Sources .......................................................................................... 102 7.A.3 Weighted Emissions Potential Analysis of Sources in Utah and Neighboring States .......... 108 7.A.4 Other Sources .......................................................................................................................... 120 4 7.A.5 Environmental Justice Considerations ................................................................... 122 7.B Four-Factor Analyses for Utah Sources ................................................................. 126 7.B.1 Control Equipment Descriptions ............................................................................................ 127 7.B.2 Existing Controls on Active EGUs ......................................................................................... 130 7.C Source Consultation .............................................................................................................. 131 7.C.1 Ash Grove Cement Company- Leamington Cement Plant Four-Factor Analysis Summary and Evaluation ................................................................................................... 132 Ash Grove’s Four-Factor Analysis Conclusion ................................................................................. 133 UDAQ Four-Factor Analysis Evaluation ............................................................................................ 133 Ash Grove’s Evaluation Response ................................................................................................... 133 UDAQ Response Conclusion ............................................................................................................ 134 7.C.2 Graymont Western US Incorporated- Cricket Mountain Plant Four-Factor Analysis Summary and Evaluation .................................................................................... 134 Graymont Four-Factor Analysis Conclusion ..................................................................................... 135 UDAQ Four-Factor Analysis Evaluation ............................................................................................ 135 Graymont’s Evaluation Response ..................................................................................................... 137 UDAQ Response Conclusion ............................................................................................................ 138 7.C.3 PacifiCorp's Hunter and Huntington Power Plants Four-Factor Analysis Summary and Evaluation ................................................................................................... 138 PacifiCorp Four Factor Analysis Conclusion ..................................................................................... 139 UDAQ Four-Factor Analysis Evaluation ............................................................................................ 140 Huntington Power Plant .................................................................................................................... 140 PacifiCorp Four Factor Analysis Conclusion ..................................................................................... 141 UDAQ’s Four Factor Analysis Conclusion ........................................................................................ 142 PacifiCorp’s Four-Factor Analysis Evaluation Response for Hunter and Huntington ....................... 142 UDAQ Response Conclusion ............................................................................................................ 144 7.C.4 Sunnyside Cogeneration Associates- Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility Four- Factor Analysis Summary and Evaluation ........................................................................ 164 Sunnyside Four Factor Analysis Conclusion .................................................................................... 166 UDAQ Evaluation Summary and Conclusion .................................................................................... 166 Sunnyside’s Evaluation Response .................................................................................................... 167 UDAQ Response Conclusion ............................................................................................................ 169 7.C.5 US Magnesium LLC- Rowley Plant ...................................................................... 169 US Magnesium Four-Factor Analysis Conclusion ............................................................................ 170 UDAQ Evaluation .............................................................................................................................. 170 US Magnesium’s Evaluation Response ............................................................................................ 171 UDAQ Response Conclusion ............................................................................................................ 171 Chapter 8: Determination of Reasonable Progress Goals ..................................... 172 8.A Reasonable Progress Requirements ...................................................................... 172 8.B. Regional Modeling of the LTS to set RPGs ............................................................ 172 8.C URP Glidepath Checks ............................................................................................. 173 8.C.1 Bryce Canyon National Park ................................................................................................. 174 5 8.C.2 Canyonlands and Arches National Park ............................................................................... 175 8.C.3 Capitol Reef National Park .................................................................................................... 176 8.C.4 Zion National Park ................................................................................................................... 177 8.C.5 Summary of URP Glidepaths .................................................................................................. 178 8.D Reasonable Progress Determinations .................................................................... 178 8.D.1 Reasonable Progress Determination for Ash Grove Cement Company – Leamington Cement Plant 178 8.D.2 Reasonable Progress Determination for Graymont Western US Incorporated – Cricket Mountain Plant .................................................................................................................................. 179 8.D.3 Reasonable Progress Determination for PacifiCorp: Hunter and Huntington Power Plants 179 8.D.4 Reasonable Progress Determination for Sunnyside Cogeneration Associated – Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility ........................................................................................................................ 179 8.D.5 Reasonable Progress Determination for US Magnesium LLC – Rowley Plant ....................... 179 8.D.6 Intermountain Power Service Corporation – Intermountain Generation Station ..................... 180 Chapter 9: Consultation, Public Review, Commitment to further Planning ......... 181 9.A Federal requirements ............................................................................................... 181 9.B Interstate Consultation .......................................................................................................... 181 9.C Documentation of Federal Land Manager consultation and commitment to continuing consultation ...................................................................................................... 186 9.C.1 FLM SIP Review ...................................................................................................................... 187 9.C.2 NPS Feedback Summary and UDAQ Responses .................................................................. 187 9.C.3 USFS Feedback Summary and UDAQ Responses ................................................................ 193 9.D Coordination with Indian tribes ............................................................................... 194 9.E Stakeholder Outreach and Communication ........................................................... 194 9.F Public Comment Period ........................................................................................... 196 9.G Comment Conclusions ............................................................................................ 196 9.H Commitment to Further Planning............................................................................ 197 9.H.1 Process for conducting future emissions inventories and future monitoring strategy ........... 197 9.H.2 Commitment to provide other elements necessary to report on visibility, including reporting, recordkeeping, and other measures ................................................................................................. 198 9.H.3 Commitment to submit January 31, 2025 progress report .................................................... 198 6 List of tables Table 1: 30-day Rolling Average Emission Limits for the Retrofitted Hunter and Huntington Units .................................................................................................................................................... 39 Table 2: Western Coal Unit Retirement and Control Summary .................................................. 45 Table 3: Changes in Emissions from 1996 - 2018 for 9 GCVTC States ..................................... 48 Table 4: Representative IMPROVE Monitoring Sites ................................................................. 53 Table 5: IMPROVE site information for CIAs .............................................................................. 53 Table 6: Baseline Visibility for the 20% Most Impaired Days and 20% Clearest Days ............... 53 Table 7: Natural Visibility values for Utah CIAs .......................................................................... 54 Table 8: Current Visibility (2014-2018) conditions in Utah CIAs ................................................. 54 Table 9: Progress to date for the most impaired and clearest days ............................................ 55 Table 10: Current visibility compared to natural visibility ............................................................ 55 Table 11: Uniform Rates of Progress .......................................................................................... 56 Table 12: Calculation of 2028 Uniform Rate of Progress Level .................................................. 56 Table 13: Data sources for WRAP emissions sectors ................................................................ 61 Table 14: Status of Utah EGU Retirements in RepBase2 and 2028OTBa2 Inventories ............ 64 Table 15: Utah SO₂ Emission Inventory – RepBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 ................. 66 Table 16: Utah NOx Emission Inventory – RepBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 ................. 66 Table 17: Utah VOC Emission Inventory – RebBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 ............... 67 Table 18: Utah PM2.5 Emission Inventory – RepBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 ............... 68 Table 19: Utah PM2.5 PM10 Emission Inventory – RepBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 .... 69 Table 20: Utah NH3 Emission Inventory – RepBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 ................. 70 Table 21: Utah Share of U.S. Anthropogenic Nitrate Impacts on Neighboring State CIAs ......... 77 Table 22: Utah Share of U.S. Anthropogenic Sulfate Impacts on Neighboring State CIAs ........ 78 Table 23: Utah Share of Total Nitrate Impacts on Neighboring State CIAs ................................ 79 Table 24: Utah Share of Total Sulfate Impacts on Neighboring State CIAs ............................... 80 Table 25: Status of Utah EGU Retirements in RepBase2 and 2028OTBa2 Inventories ............ 89 Table 26: Net Changes in Emissions from New and Existing Measures Relative to 2028OTBa2 .................................................................................................................................................... 91 Table 27: Statewide Anthropogenic Scenario Totals and LTS Emission Reductions (tpy) ......... 92 Table 28: Comparison of baseline, 2028 URP, 2028 EPA w/o fire projection for worst and clearest days ............................................................................................................................... 92 Table 29: Sources initially selected to perform a Four-Factor analysis..................................... 100 Table 30: 2017 NEI Q/d Screen ................................................................................................ 101 Table 31: Paradox Lisbon Plant Q/d Analysis for nearest CIAs ................................................ 103 Table 32: 2017 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC – Mine & Concentrator Emissions and Revised Q/d .................................................................................................................................................. 104 Table 33: Existing Controls in Utah’s SIP for Screened Sources ............................................. 105 Table 34: Nitrate Point Source WEP Rank for Utah CIAs ......................................................... 109 Table 35: Sulfate Point Source WEP Rank for Utah CIAs ........................................................ 113 Table 36: Nitrate Utah Point Source WEP Rank for Non-Utah CIAs ........................................ 117 7 Table 37: Sulfate Utah Point Source WEP Rank for Non-Utah CIAs ........................................ 118 Table 38: Ash Grove Leamington Cement Plant EJScreen Findings ....................................... 122 Table 39: Graymont Western Cricket Mountain Plant EJScreen Findings ............................... 123 Table 40: PacifiCorp Hunter Power Plant EJScreen Findings .................................................. 123 Table 41: PacifiCorp Huntington Power Plant EJScreen Findings ........................................... 123 Table 42: Sunnyside Cogeneration Power Plant EJScreen Findings ....................................... 124 Table 43: US Magnesium Rowley Plant EJScreen Findings .................................................... 124 Table 44: Intermountain Generation Station EJScreen Findings .............................................. 124 Table 45: Kennecott Power Plant EJScreen Findings .............................................................. 125 Table 46: Kennecott Mine and Copperton Concentrator EJScreen Findings ........................... 125 Table 47: Paradox Lisbon Plant EJScreen Findings ................................................................. 126 Table 48: Existing controls on active coal units in Utah ............................................................ 130 Table 49: Existing controls on active gas units in Utah ............................................................. 131 Table 50: Ash Grove Leamington Cement Plant Current Potential to Emit .............................. 133 Table 51: Current Potential to Emit - Graymont ........................................................................ 135 Table 52: Estimated Direct Annual Costs (doubled) Graymont ................................................ 136 Table 53: Hunter Current Potential to Emit ............................................................................... 139 Table 54: Current Potential to Emit: Huntington ....................................................................... 141 Table 55: PacifiCorp Updated Hunter SNCR Cost Effectiveness ............................................. 143 Table 56: PacifiCorp Updated Huntington SNCR Cost Effectiveness ...................................... 144 Table 57: Cost-effectiveness of SNCR and SCR and Hunter and Huntington Power Plants ... 147 Table 58: 2028 Mass-based NOx Limit - SNCR Cost-effectiveness ......................................... 156 Table 59: 2028 Mass-based NOx Limit – SCR Cost-effectiveness ........................................... 156 Table 60: Hunter Actuals and Limits ......................................................................................... 158 Table 61: Huntington Actual and Limits .................................................................................... 159 Table 62: Sunnyside: Current Potential to Emit (Tons/Year) .................................................... 165 Table 63: Current Potential to Emit ........................................................................................... 169 Table 64: US Magnesium’s Reevaluation of Riley Boiler Controls ........................................... 171 Table 65: Comparison of baseline, 2028 URP, 2028 EPA w/o fire projection for worst and clearest days ............................................................................................................................. 178 Table 66: Summary of Interstate Meetings with UDAQ ............................................................ 182 Table 67: Second Implementation Period Status of Non-Utah Sources Identified in NO3 WEP Analysis ..................................................................................................................................... 184 Table 68: Second Implementation Period Status of Non-Utah Sources Identified in SO4 WEP Analysis ..................................................................................................................................... 184 Table 69: Summary of FLM Meetings with UDAQ .................................................................... 186 Table 70: Summary of Stakeholder Meetings with UDAQ ........................................................ 194 8 List of figures Figure 1: Regional Haze Timeline option for GCVTC areas ....................................................... 16 Figure 2: Map of Utah CIAs ........................................................................................................ 17 Figure 3: Map of Utah Class I Area Land Ownership ................................................................. 18 Figure 4: Arches National Park ................................................................................................... 18 Figure 5: Bryce Canyon National Park ........................................................................................ 19 Figure 6: Canyonlands National Park ......................................................................................... 20 Figure 7: Capitol Reef National Park .......................................................................................... 20 Figure 8: Zion National Park ....................................................................................................... 21 Figure 9: Monitoring station for Capitol Reef National Park ........................................................ 22 Figure 10: Monitoring station for Bryce Canyon National Park ................................................... 23 Figure 11: Monitoring station for Canyonlands and Arches National Park ................................. 23 Figure 12: Monitoring station layout ............................................................................................ 24 Figure 13: IMPROVE monitoring sites ........................................................................................ 24 Figure 14: United States map of mandatory CIAs ...................................................................... 26 Figure 15: Regional haze glidepath for Bryce Canyon National Park tracking progress towards natural conditions in 2064 ........................................................................................................... 27 Figure 16:Statewide NOx Emissions Trends by Sector ............................................................... 40 Figure 17: Statewide VOC Emissions Trends by Sector ............................................................ 41 Figure 18: Statewide SO2 Emissions Trends by Sector ............................................................. 41 Figure 19: Statewide PM10 Emissions Trends by Sector ............................................................ 42 Figure 20: Statewide PM2.5 Emissions Trends by Sector ............................................................ 42 Figure 21: Utah Particulate Matter Trends .................................................................................. 43 Figure 22: Utah Gaseous Trends ................................................................................................ 43 Figure 23: SO2 and NOx Emissions Trends for Western Power Plants ...................................... 44 Figure 24: Remaining and Retiring EGU Emissions Apportionment ........................................... 48 Figure 25: Light extinction for Utah Class I Areas: natural and anthropogenic sources ............. 50 Figure 26: URP Glidepath for Clearest Days, Bryce Canyon NP ............................................... 51 Figure 27: URP Glidepath for most impaired days, Bryce Canyon NP ....................................... 52 Figure 28: Projected Source Contributions to Light Extinction in Bryce Canyon NP .................. 57 Figure 29: Projected Source Contributions to Light Extinction in Canyonlands and Arches NP . 58 Figure 30: Projected Source Contributions to Light Extinction in Capitol Reef NP ..................... 58 Figure 31: Projected Source Contributions to Light Extinction in Zion NP .................................. 59 Figure 32: Example URP Glidepath for Bryce Canyon National Park Showing Adjustment Options ........................................................................................................................................ 59 Figure 33: WRAP States Ammonium Nitrate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Bryce Canyon National Park ....................................................................................................... 73 Figure 34: WRAP States Ammonium Sulfate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Bryce Canyon National Park ....................................................................................................... 73 Figure 35: WRAP States Ammonium Sulfate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Canyonlands and Arches National Park ..................................................................................... 74 9 Figure 36: WRAP States Ammonium Nitrate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Canyonlands and Arches National Park ..................................................................................... 74 Figure 37: WRAP States Ammonium Sulfate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Capitol Reef National Park .......................................................................................................... 75 Figure 38: WRAP States Ammonium Nitrate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Capitol Reef National Park .......................................................................................................... 75 Figure 39: WRAP States Ammonium Sulfate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Zion National Park ...................................................................................................................... 76 Figure 40: WRAP States Ammonium Nitrate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Zion National Park ...................................................................................................................... 76 Figure 41: Modeled Visibility Progress for MID at Bryce Canyon National Park ......................... 93 Figure 42: Modeled Visibility Progress for MID at Canyonlands and Arches National Park ....... 93 Figure 43: Modeled Visibility Progress for MID at Capitol Reef National Park............................ 94 Figure 44: Modeled Visibility Progress for MID at Zion National ................................................. 94 Figure 45: Modeled Visibility Progress for US Anthropogenic Contributions to MIDs at Bryce Canyon National Park ................................................................................................................. 95 Figure 46: Modeled Visibility Progress for US Anthropogenic Contributions to MIDs at Canyonlands and Arches National Park ..................................................................................... 95 Figure 47: Modeled Visibility Progress for US Anthropogenic Contributions to MIDs at Capitol Reef National Park ...................................................................................................................... 96 Figure 48: Modeled Visibility Progress for US Anthropogenic Contributions to MIDs at Zion National Park .............................................................................................................................. 96 Figure 49: Average Light Extinction by Sources in Bryce Canyon National Park ....................... 97 Figure 50: Source Contributions on Average Most Impaired Days in Bryce Canyon National Park ............................................................................................................................................. 98 Figure 51: WRAP States Ammonium Sulfate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Bryce Canyon National Park ....................................................................................................... 98 Figure 52: Map of Utah Regulated Sources with Emissions >100 TPY ...................................... 99 Figure 53: Hunter and Huntington SO2 Rate ............................................................................. 145 Figure 54: SCR Cost-effectiveness by utilization level at Hunter and Huntington Power Plants .................................................................................................................................................. 149 Figure 55: Hunter and Huntington Capacity Factors ................................................................. 150 Figure 56: Hunter and Huntington Utilization (based on Net Summer Capability) .................... 151 Figure 57: Hunter and Huntington NOx Emissions by Unit........................................................ 151 Figure 58: PacifiCorp 2021 IRP Cumulative Resource Additions ............................................. 152 Figure 59: PacifiCorp 2021 IRP Cumulative Coal Retirements/Gas Conversions .................... 153 Figure 60: PacifiCorp 2021 IRP Coal Capacity (MW) vs. Coal % of Total Energy and % of Total Capacity .................................................................................................................................... 153 Figure 61: State Control Cost-effectiveness Ranges ................................................................ 161 Figure 62: Daily Nitrate Light Extinction MIDs at Utah CIA IMPROVE Sites, 2014-2019 ......... 162 Figure 63: Combined Hunter and Huntington Monthly NOx Emissions vs. Monthly Gross Load, 2014-2021 ................................................................................................................................. 163 Figure 64: Example of projected RPGs for Canyonlands and Arches CIAs ............................. 164 10 Figure 65: Projected 2028 RPG Bryce Canyon National Park .................................................. 174 Figure 66: Projected 2028 RPG Canyonlands and Arches National Parks .............................. 175 Figure 67: Projected 2028 RPG Capitol Reef National Park .................................................... 176 Figure 68: Projected 2028 RPG Zion National Park ................................................................. 177 Figure 69: USFS Fire Glidepath Adjustment for Bryce Canyon ................................................ 194 11 List of acronyms BACT BACM Best Available Control Technology Best Available Control Measures CIA CAA CAMx Class 1 Area Clean Air Act Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions CCR CF CIRA Consumer Confidence Report Code of Federal Regulations Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere CO CSU Carbon Monoxide Colorado State University DAQ Division of Air Quality DEQ Department of Environmental Quality EPA Environmental Protection Agency FLM FWS GCVTC IMPROVE LTS NAAQS Federal Land Manager US Fish and Wildlife Service Grand Canyon Visibility Transportation Commission Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visibility Elements Long Term Strategy National Ambient Air Quality Standards NOI Notice of Intent NO2 Nitrogen Dioxide NOx NPS Nitrogen Oxides National Parks Service O3 Ozone PAL PB Plantwide Applicability Limit Lead PM Particulate Matter PM10 Particulate Matter Smaller Than 10 Microns in Diameter PM2.5 RH Particulate Matter Smaller Than 2.5 Microns in Diameter Regional Haze RHR RHPWG RPEL RPG SCR SIP Regional Haze Rule Regional Haze Planning Work Group (WRAP) Reasonable Progress Emissions Limit Reasonable Progress Goals Selective Catalytic Reduction State Implementation Plan SNCR SO2 Selective Non-Catalytic Reduction Sulfur Dioxide SOx TSS UDOGM Sulfur Oxides Technical Support System Utah Division of Oil, Gas, and Mining URP UAC USFS Uniform Rate of Progress Utah Administrative Code US Forest Service VOCs WESTAR Volatile Organic Compounds Western States Air Resources 12 WRAP Western Regional Air Partnership 13 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This document comprises the State of Utah's State Implementation Plan (SIP) submittal to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) under the Regional Haze Rule.1 The purpose of this SIP revision is to comply with the requirements of the Regional Haze Rule (RHR).2 Specifically, this SIP addresses requirements for periodic comprehensive revisions of implementation plans for regional haze.3 The RHR requires Utah to address regional haze in each mandatory Class I Area (CIA) located within Utah and in each mandatory CIA located outside Utah that may be affected by primary pollutants emitted from sources within Utah. Utah is required to submit a SIP addressing the specific elements required by the rule. The objectives of the RHR are to improve existing visibility in 156 national parks, wilderness areas, and monuments (termed Mandatory Class I Areas or CIAs), prevent future impairment of visibility by manmade sources, and meet the national goal of natural visibility conditions in all mandatory CIAs by 2064. Utah’s CIAs consist of: Arches National Park, Bryce Canyon National Park, Canyonlands National Park, Capitol Reef National Park, and Zion National Park.4 The RHR establishes several planning periods extending from 2005 to 2064. The State of Utah is required to develop a Regional Haze (RH) SIP for each period. The first implementation period spanned from 2008 to 2018. This SIP revision consists of the second implementation period spanning from 2018 to 2028. This SIP was originally due for submittal to the EPA on July 31st, 2018. However, the deadline was extended to July 31st, 2021. In this revision, UDAQ demonstrates the visibility progress to date5 in each of Utah’s CIAs and analyzes Utah’s emissions trends and sources of visibility impairment6. Utah is required to set reasonable progress goals which 1) must provide for an improvement in visibility for the most impaired days over the period of the implementation plan and 2) ensure no degradation in visibility for the least impaired days over the same period.7 For this purpose, Utah has outlined its Long-Term Strategy (LTS) in this document8 as well as determination of reasonable progress goals (RPGs) for CIAs in Utah. The RH SIP must also address mandatory CIAs outside of the state that are reasonably anticipated to be affected by emissions from Utah as well as out-of-state sources impacting Utah CIAs. For this requirement, UDAQ analyzed Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) photochemical modeling and found that Utah does not significantly impact visibility at out-of- 1 40 CFR 51.308(f) and (g) 2 40 CFR 51 3 40 CFR 51.308(f) 4 See chapter 1 for more information on the RHR and Utah’s regional haze history 5 See chapter 3 to view Utah’s visibility and emissions reduction progress to date 6 See chapter 5 to review Utah’s sources of visibility impairment 7 See chapter 8 for more information on Utah’s reasonable progress goals 8 See chapter 6 for Utah’s Long-Term Strategy 14 state CIAs.9 Utah has also determined that Utah’s CIAs are not significantly impacted by out-of- state sources. Upon consultation with Utah’s surrounding states, Utah will not require any actions from other states for impacts on Utah’s CIAs and Utah has received no requests for actions regarding Utah sources’ impacts on out-of-state CIAs.10 Throughout this second implementation period, UDAQ has participated in the WRAP, which has conducted modeling and technical analysis for the purposes of supporting state RH planning. UDAQ has also consulted with Federal Land Managers (FLMs), Tribes, Utah’s surrounding states, as well as environmental advocates, industry stakeholders, and the public.11 This SIP revision also determines what control measures are necessary for reasonable progress in the second implementation period. The examination required to determine new control measures for this period is known as a four-factor analysis12 and consists of four criteria: 1) cost of compliance, 2) time necessary for compliance, 3) energy and non-air quality environmental impacts, and 4) remaining useful life. In order to determine which sources must submit a four-factor analysis to the State, UDAQ performed a Q/d (emissions/distance) analysis to determine which of Utah’s sources have the highest potential visibility impact on Utah’s CIAs. These facilities include the Ash Grove Cement Company Leamington Cement Plant, the Graymont Western US Inc. Cricket Mountain Plant, the PacifiCorp Hunter and Huntington Plants, the Sunnyside Cogeneration Associated Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility, and the US Magnesium LLC Rowley Plant. UDAQ requested each facility to submit a four-factor analysis for the purpose of this second implementation period. UDAQ has received each facility’s four-factor analysis, provided each with an evaluation of their analysis, received evaluation responses from each, and subsequent information submittals13. After consideration of the information provided, as well as the modeling results provided by the WRAP, UDAQ has made the following reasonable progress determinations14 for Utah’s second implementation period of regional haze planning. UDAQ identified several existing measures necessary for reasonable progress, including federal on-road and non-road vehicle and equipment standards, BACM measures and BACT controls included in the recently completed Serious Area PM2.5 SIP for the Salt Lake Nonattainment Area, as well as the following first implementation period regional haze controls: • Existing NOx control rate-based limits and Hunter power plant • Existing NOx control rate-based limits and Huntington power plant 9 See sections 6.A.1 and 6.A.2 for Utah’s impacts on out of state CIAs and other state’s impacts on Utah’s CIAs 10 See Appendix B for interstate consultation agreement documentation 11 See chapter 9 for details on Utah’s consultation efforts 12 See chapter 7 for Utah’s source selection and the four-factor analyses, evaluations, responses, and conclusions for each source 13 See Appendix D.2 to view additional information submittals by sources 14 See sections 6.A.10 to view Utah’s Long-Term Strategy, 8.D to view UDAQ’s reasonable progress determinations, and IX.H in appendix A to view the enforceable language for these determinations. 15 • Existing SO2 limits for Hunter power plant (Section 309 control added to SIP in round 2) • Existing SO2 limits for Huntington power plant (Section 309 control added to SIP in round 2) • Closure of the Carbon power plant UDAQ also identified and included the following existing control measures to ensure ongoing enforceability in the second implementation period: • Ash Grove • Graymont • Sunnyside • US Magnesium • Intermountain Generation Station Finally, UDAQ identified and included the following new control measures as necessary for reasonable progress: • A plantwide enforceable mass-based NOx limit on Hunter power plant • A plantwide enforceable mass-based NOx limit on Huntington power plant • Installation of FGR on the US Magnesium Rowley Plant Riley Boiler • An enforceable closure date for Units 1 and 2 of the Intermountain Generation Station 16 Chapter 1: Background and Overview of the Federal Regional Haze Rule 1.A Regional Haze Planning Periods and Due Dates Utah took part in early regional haze planning through participation in the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission (GCVTC), which originally consisted of nine states and 211 tribal lands. In 1996, the GCVTC submitted a report containing recommendations for improving western vistas.15 In 2000, Utah established Sulfur Dioxide (SO₂) milestones with an Annex16 to the original GCVTC report through the Western Regional Air Partnership. Based on the recommendations of the GCVTC and the Annex, in 2003 Utah’s Air Quality Board adopted section XX17 of the State Implementation Plan (SIP) to address regional haze and the many source categories and pollutants contributing to the regional haze in Utah. The first state plans were due in 2007 and the last date for states to submit initial regional haze control plans for all Mandatory Federal CIAs was in 2008. Utah submitted its evaluation of the Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) in 201518 along with a revision in 201919. Progress reports are due every five years and full plan revisions are required every 10 years. The first revision was originally due in 2018, but in 2017 EPA extended the deadline to July 31, 2021 with the latest revision of the Regional Haze Rule (RHR)20. As part of the RH SIP process, Utah must work towards the overarching goal of achieving natural visibility in its CIAs by 2064. This timeline is summarized in the figure below. 15 The original 1996 report of The Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission can be found at https://www.phoenixvis.net/PDF/GCVTCFinal.pdf 16 The EPA Notice of Availability of the Annex to the Report of The Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission can be found at https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2000/11/15/00-29226/notice-of-availability-of-annex-to-the-report-of-the-grand-canyon-visibility-transport-commission 17 Section XX of Utah’s Regional Haze SIP can be found at https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2020-008934.pdf 18 Utah’s 2015 RH SIP can be found at https://documents.deq.utah.gov/legacy/laws-and-rules/air-quality/sip/docs/2015/07Jul/SecXXRegHaze201Final.pdf 19 Utah’s 2019 RH SIP revision can be found at https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/DAQ-2019-012208.pdf 20 40 C.F.R. § 51.308(f). For the purposes of this SIP submittal, the RHR acronym refers to the most current 2017 Regional Haze Rule revisions. Figure 1: Regional Haze Timeline option for GCVTC areas 17 1.B Class I Areas in Utah In the 1977 Clean Air Act, Congress established requirements for the prevention of significant deterioration of air quality in areas within the United States and for the review of pollution controls on new sources. Coupled with this, Congress established a visibility protection program for those larger national parks and wilderness areas designated as mandatory Federal CIAs. This program establishes a national goal of “the prevention of any future, and remedying of any existing, impairment of visibility in mandatory CIAs which impairment results from manmade air pollution”21 and requires states to develop long-term strategies to assure reasonable progress toward this national goal. 40 CFR 81.400 Scope: Subpart D, §§ 81.401 through 81.437, lists Mandatory Federal CIAs, where the Administrator, in consultation with the Secretary of the Interior, has determined visibility to be an important value. As shown in Figure 2, there are five Mandatory Federal CIAs in Utah, all of which are National Parks: Arches National Park, Bryce National Park, Canyonlands National Park, Capitol Reef National Park and Zion National Park. The following sections include data from the National Parks Service (NPS) Stats website.22 21 42 U.S.C.A. § 7491(a)(1) (West). 22 Statistics for all the National Parks discussed in this section come from the NPS Stats website at: https://irma.nps.gov/STATS/ Figure 2: Map of Utah CIAs 18 1.B.1 Arches National Park Arches National Park was originally designated as a National Monument in 1929 and became a national park in 1978. Congress established the park “to protect extraordinary examples of geologic features including arches, natural bridges, windows, spires, balanced rocks, as well as other features of geologic, historic, and scientific interest, and to provide opportunities to experience these resources and Figure 3: Map of Utah Class I Area Land Ownership Figure 4: Arches National Park 19 their associated values in their majestic natural settings.”23 Located in southwest Utah, Arches National Park is home to over 2,000 cataloged, naturally formed, sandstone arches. These 76,679 acres of red sandstone are surrounded by thousands of acres of additional natural lands, administered mainly by the Bureau of Land Management and Utah’s School and Institutional Trust Lands Administration (See Figure 3). Over 1.6 million people visited Arches in 2019.24 Over the past 10 years, park visitation has increased, on average, five percent each year.25 The largest population center near Arches National Park is Moab. This town of over 5,300 residents26 is about five miles south of the Park. It is the major hub for recreation in Arches, Canyonlands National Park, and the surrounding areas. 1.B.2 Bryce Canyon National Park Bryce Canyon was originally established as a National Monument in June 1923. One year later it was designated a national park. According to its foundation document, the purpose of the park was to “protect and conserve resources integral to a landscape of unusual scenic beauty exemplified by highly colored and fantastically eroded geological features, including rock fins and spires, for the benefit and enjoyment of the people.”27 Bryce Canyon contains the highest concentration of irregular rock columns (Hoodoos) on Earth. Located in southern Utah near the city of Bryce, the national park sits along the edge of a high plateau on top of the Grand Staircase. At 35,835 acres, Bryce Canyon is Utah’s smallest National Park. However, nearly 2.6 million people visited Bryce Canyon in 2019.28 23 Arches National Park Foundation Document, website: https://www.nps.gov/arch/learn/management/foundation-document.htm#CP_JUMP_5740028 24 Data source: Stats Report Viewer (nps.gov). 25 See id. 26 United States Census Bureau, website: https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/moabcityutah (data for July 1, 2019). 27 Bryce Canyon National Park Foundation Document, website: https://www.nps.gov/brca/learn/management/upload/BRCA_FD_SP.pdf 28 Data source: Stats Report Viewer (nps.gov). Figure 5: Bryce Canyon National Park 20 1.B.3 Canyonlands National Park Canyonlands National Park was originally established on September 12, 1964 with the help of Bates Wilson, the superintendent of Arches National Park. Located near Moab, Utah with 337,598 acres of land and water, Canyonlands is Utah’s largest national park. The Green and Colorado rivers split this section of the Colorado Plateau into three main districts: “Island in the Sky,” “The Needles,” and “The Maze.” Since 2007, over 400,000 people visit Canyonlands each year with a record of 776,218 in 2016 alone.29 Canyonlands features deep canyons, mesas, pinnacles, cliffs, and spires and contains one of the most photographed landforms in the west—the Mesa Arch. 1.B.4 Capitol Reef National Park Capitol Reef National Park was originally designated a national monument in August 1937 but then turned into a national park in 1971. Spanning 241,904 acres, Capitol Reef is made of a geologic monocline almost 100 miles long. This monocline is called the Waterpocket Fold and is considered a geologic warp in the 29 Data source: Stats Report Viewer (nps.gov). Figure 7: Capitol Reef National Park Figure 6: Canyonlands National Park 21 Earth’s crust spanning from Thousand Lake Mountain to Lake Powell. The tall, seemingly impassible ridges made by the Waterpocket Fold were called “reefs” by early settlers. The white Navajo sandstone dome formations appear like those placed on capitol buildings, giving the park its name. Capitol Reef had 1,226,519 visitors in 201930 and offers many hiking and backpacking opportunities, including 71 campsites. 1.B.5 Zion National Park Established on July 31, 1909, Zion National Park was the first national park in Utah. It is also the fourth most visited National Park in the United States with 4.48 million visitors in 2019.31 The park’s 147,243 acres contain the Zion Canyon which is 15 miles long and 2,640 feet tall.32 The purpose of Zion National Park is to “preserve the dramatic geology including Zion Canyon and a labyrinth of deep and brilliantly colored Navajo sandstone canyons formed by extraordinary processes of erosion at the margin of the Colorado Plateau.”33 Located in southwestern Utah near St. George, Zion is home to famous hikes including Angel’s Landing, The narrows, Observation Point, and the Emerald Pools. 1.C Haze Characteristics and Effects Unimpaired visibility is important to fully enjoy the experience of visiting Utah’s national parks and wilderness areas. Visibility is defined as the greatest distance at which an observer can see a black object viewed against the horizon sky. Visibility is impaired by light scattering and absorption caused by PM and gases in the atmosphere that occur from both natural and anthropogenic activities. This diminished clarity is called haze. Haze obscures the color, texture, and form of objects that can be seen at a distance. Visibility can be impaired by natural sources such as rain, wildland fires, volcanic activity, sea mists, and wind-blown dust from undisturbed desert areas. Visibility also can be impaired by anthropogenic sources of air pollution such as industrial processes, (utilities, smelters, 30 Data source: Stats Report Viewer (nps.gov). 31 Data source: Stats Report Viewer (nps.gov). 32 Data Source: https://www.nps.gov/subjects/lwcf/upload/NPS-Acreage-12-31-2012.pdf 33 Zion National Park Foundation Document, website: https://www.nps.gov/zion/learn/management/upload/ZION_Foundation_Document_SP-2.pdf Figure 8: Zion National Park 22 refineries, etc.), mobile sources (cars, trucks, trains, etc.), and area sources (residential wood burning, prescribed burning on wild and agricultural lands, wind-blown dust from disturbed soils, etc.). These sources emit pollutants that, in higher concentrations, can also affect public health. Regional haze is the cumulative impact of emissions from varied sources, often located over a broad geographic area. The haze-causing particles can be transported great distances in the air, sometimes hundreds or thousands of miles. Therefore, one single source of emissions may not have a visible impact on haze, but emissions from many sources in a region can add up and cause haziness. There are different metrics to measure impact on visibility. Visual range is the most intuitive and is defined as the distance at which a given standard object can be seen with the unaided eye. It is measured in miles or kilometers. A deciview is a unit of visibility proportional to the logarithm of the atmospheric light extinction. This unit will be used in many figures and tables within this report. Deciviews measure visibility derived from light extinction so that incremental changes in the haze index correspond to uniform incremental changes in visual perception ranging from pristine to highly impaired conditions. 1.D Monitoring Strategy34 Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments (IMPROVE) was designated as the visibility monitoring network representative of the 156 visibility-protected federal CIAs. IMPROVE was developed in 1985 to establish current visibility conditions, track changes in visibility, and help determine the causes and sources of visibility impairment in CIAs. The network is comprised of 110 monitoring sites across the nation35, four of which are in Utah. IMPROVE monitoring sites in Utah’s CIAs include those at Canyonlands National Park (monitoring site for both Arches and Canyonlands national parks), Capitol Reef National Park, Bryce Canyon National Park, and Zion National Park. Figure 10 through Figure 12 show three of Utah’s monitoring stations. 34 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6) (IMPROVE PROGRAM) 35 Shown in Figure 13 Figure 9: Monitoring station for Capitol Reef National Park 23 The IMPROVE monitoring sites contain equipment programmed to automatically collect samples of haze-forming particles from the air continually. Local operators at each field site—in many cases a park ranger, firefighter, or rancher—inspect the samples and exchange filters weekly, shipping all exposed filters back to the Air Quality Research Center (AQRC) at the University of California (UC) Davis every three weeks. Each month, the program’s 110 field sites generate about 7,000 filters, which are processed in AQRC’s laboratories by staff members and UC Davis students working part-time.36 The analyses conducted at the AQRC test samples for various pollutants and trace metals and estimate the light scattering effect of each species This estimation results in a light extinction value. For purposes of the RHR, light extinction is estimated for sulfate, nitrate, organic mass by carbon (OMC), light absorbing carbon (LAC), fine soil (FS), sea salt, and coarse material (CM)—all components of particulate emissions. Figure 12 shows the four separate modules used for sampling the different species. 36 For more information see: https://aqrc.ucdavis.edu/improve Figure 10: Monitoring station for Canyonlands and Arches National Park Figure 11: Monitoring station for Bryce Canyon National Park 24 1.D.1 Participation in the IMPROVE Network In 1985, the IMPROVE program was established to coordinate the monitoring of air quality in national parks and wilderness areas and to ensure sound and consistent scientific methods were being used. The IMPROVE Steering Committee established monitoring protocols for visibility measurement, PM measurement, and scientific photography of the CIAs. IMPROVE monitoring is designed to establish reference information on visibility conditions and trends to aid in the development of visibility protection programs. Monitoring from the IMPROVE network, shown in Figure 13, demonstrated that visibility in all the CIAs is impaired to some degree by regional haze. Figure 12: Monitoring station layout Figure 13: IMPROVE monitoring sites 25 1.E History of Regional Haze in Utah Utah has been at the forefront of haze improvement and prevention since 1991 when the GCVTC was formed. The GCVTC recognized haze as a regional issue prior to the creation of the RHR in 1999 and was the first multi-state collaborative effort to address visual air quality issues. In recognition of the GCVTC, Section 309 of the RHR provided an early regional haze planning opportunity for states within the Colorado Plateau region. Utah is one of the five states to submit a complete Section 309 regional haze plan in 2003. In amendments to the Clean Air Act (CAA) in 1977, Congress added Section 169A setting the national visibility goal of restoring pristine conditions in national parks and wilderness areas: “Congress hereby declares as a national goal the prevention of any future, and the remedying of any existing, impairment of visibility in mandatory CIAs which impairment results from man- made air pollution.”37 When the CAA was amended in 1990, Congress added Section 169B,38 authorizing further research and regular assessments of the progress to improve visibility in the mandatory CIAs.39 37 42 U.S.C.A. § 7491. 38 See id. § 7492. 39 Figure 14: Map of 156 Mandatory Federal CIAs shows the location of the CIAs of concern and the Federal Land Managers (FLMs) responsible for each area around the nation. 26 The RHR specifies that these CIAs should attain “natural conditions” by 2064 and that states should make progress in controlling air pollution to meet this goal. The timeline is broken into 10-year planning periods, and in each period, states must show reductions in emissions of haze-causing pollutants along a linear path, or glidepath, toward the 2064 end goal. To meet the RHR planning requirements, states conduct analyses of visibility in each Class I area, identify the available reasonable measures to reduce haze, and implement those measures. The implemented measures establish the required Reasonable Progress Goals (RPG) for each Class I area. The RPGs are the visibility improvement benchmarks on the glidepath toward the long-term goal of natural visibility conditions by 2064.40 The analysis, measures, and RPGs are the basis of the long-term strategy for the states, and this strategy must be included in the states’ SIPs. States are also required to assess progress halfway through the 10-year implementation period - a process that is intended to keep the states on target to meet the 10-year goals established for each Class I area. 1.E.1 Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission The GCVTC was established by EPA in November of 1991, consisting of seven western governors (or their designees), five tribes, and five ex-officio members representing federal land management agencies and EPA. When establishing the GCVTC, EPA designated a transport region including seven western states: California, Oregon, Nevada, Idaho, Utah, Arizona, 40 See Figure 15 for an RPG glidepath example of Bryce Canyon National Park, provided by the Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) Technical Support System. Figure 14: United States map of mandatory CIAs Figure 14: United States map of mandatory CIAs 27 Colorado, and New Mexico. Although a part of the Transport Region, the State of Idaho declined the invitation to participate in the GCVTC. Although Congress required a commission to be established for Grand Canyon National Park, the member states agreed to expand the scope of the GCVTC to address all 16 of the CIAs on the Colorado Plateau. The GCVTC elected to use a stakeholder-driven process to accomplish its objectives. Ultimately, the organization included 200+ political, policy and technical stakeholders who staffed a variety of committees and subcommittees to perform policy analysis and technical studies, and to participate in the public debate. The GCVTC was funded by EPA grants and contributions from stakeholders, including substantial in-kind labor. During its four- and-one-half year development, the GCVTC was expanded to include the State of Wyoming and tribal leaders as members. The GCVTC appointed a Public Advisory Committee (PAC) representing broad stakeholder interests to provide input and feedback to the GCVTC. Many Utahns were members of the PAC, with two serving on the PAC Steering Committee, and one serving on the Executive Committee as Vice-Chair of the PAC. The 80+ member Public Advisory Committee developed a consensus report of recommendations for the GCVTC that was ultimately adopted by the GCVTC and submitted to EPA in June 1996.41 Recommendations of the GCVTC included the following: • Policies based on energy conservation, increased energy efficiency, and promotion of the use of renewable resources for energy production; • Careful tracking of emissions growth that may affect air quality in clean air corridors; 41 The Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission. Recommendations for Improving Western Vistas (June 10, 1996) available at https://www.phoenixvis.net/PDF/GCVTCFinal.pdf Figure 15: Regional haze glidepath for Bryce Canyon National Park tracking progress towards natural conditions in 2064 28 • Regional targets for SO₂ emissions with a backstop program, probably including a regional cap and possibly a market-based trading program; • Cooperatively developed strategies, expanded data collection and improved modeling for reducing or preventing visibility impairment in areas within and adjacent to CIAs, pending further studies of sources adjacent to CIAs; • Emissions cap for mobile sources at the lowest level (expected to occur in 2005) and establishment of a regional emissions budget, as well as the implementation of national strategies aimed at reducing tailpipe emissions; • Further study to resolve issues regarding the modeled contribution to visibility impairment of dust from paved and unpaved roads; • Continued bi-national cooperation to resolve data gaps and jurisdictional issues around emissions from Mexico; • Programs to minimize emissions and visibility impacts and to educate the public about impacts from prescribed fire and wildfire, because emissions are projected to increase significantly through 2040; and • Creation of an entity like the GCVTC to promote, support, and oversee the implementation of many of the recommendations in this report. EPA initially proposed regional haze regulations in 1997.42 The proposed regulations described a generic program to apply nationally and did not include provisions to address the recommendations of the GCVTC. The Western Governors’ Association (WGA) engaged key stakeholders to develop a recommendation on how to transform the GCVTC recommendations into the regional haze regulations. WGA approved the stakeholders’ recommendation and transmitted it to EPA in June 1998.43 Based on this and other public input, EPA issued the final Regional Haze Rule in July 1999 with a national program (Section 308) that could apply to any state or tribe and an optional program (Section 309) relying on the work of the GCVTC that is available to the states and tribes in the nine-state GCVTC transport region.44 1.E.2 Western Regional Air Partnership The GCVTC recognized the need for a long-term organization to address the policy and technical studies needed to address regional haze. The Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) was formed in September 1997 to fulfill this need. The WRAP’s charter allows it to address any air quality issue of interest to WRAP members, though most current work is focused on developing the policy and technical work products needed by states and tribes in writing their regional haze SIPs and tribal implementation plans (TIPs). The WRAP has been co- chaired by the governor of Utah and the governor of the Acoma Pueblo. The WRAP Board is currently composed of representatives from 13 states, 13 tribes, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the U.S. Department of the Interior, and the EPA. The WRAP operates on a consensus basis and receives financial support from EPA. The WRAP established stakeholder- 42 Regional Haze Regulations, 62 Fed. Reg. 41138 (July 31, 1997) (proposed rule). 43 Leavitt, M. O., Governor of Utah, Letter to EPA Administrator Browner on behalf of the Western Governors’ Association, June 29, 1998. 44 Regional Haze Regulations, 64 Fed. Reg. 35714 (July 1, 1999), codified at 40 C.F.R. pt. 51. 29 based technical and policy oversight committees to assist in managing the development process of regional haze work products. Stakeholder-based working groups and forums were established to focus on the policy and technical work products the states and tribes need to develop their implementation plans. The WRAP developed and submitted an Annex to the GCVTC recommendations to define a voluntary program of SO₂ emission reduction milestones coupled with a backstop market-trading program to assure emission reductions. EPA proposed changes to the Regional Haze Rule to incorporate the GCVTC Annex, and the final revised rule was published on June 5, 2003.45 The WRAP has completed a suite of products to support states and tribes developing GCVTC-based regional haze implementation plans.46 1.E.3 2003 Regional Haze SIP On June 5, 2003, EPA approved the Annex and incorporated the stationary source provisions into the RHR In December 2003 the Utah Air Quality Board adopted Section XX of the SIP to address regional haze. This plan was based on the GCVTC recommendations and the Annex and contained a broad-based strategy to address the many source categories and pollutants that contributed to regional haze in Utah, including clean air corridors, fire, mobile sources, paved and unpaved road dust, pollution prevention and renewable energy programs, and stationary sources. EPA’s approval of the Annex was challenged in court, and on February 18, 2005, the DC Circuit Court of Appeals vacated EPA’s 2003 rules.47 The Court determined that EPA had required a BART demonstration in the Annex that was based on a methodology that had been vacated by the Court in 2002 in American Corn Growers Association v. E.P.A., 291 F.3d 1 (D.C. Cir. 2002), decision. On October 13, 2006, EPA revised the RHR to establish the methodology for states to develop an alternative to BART that was consistent with the DC Circuit’s 2005 decision.48 1.E.4 2008 Regional Haze SIP Revision While most of the 2003 SIP remained unchanged, in 2008 the Utah Air Quality Board adopted revisions to the stationary source provisions of the SIP to meet the requirements of the revised RHR and to reflect changes in the number of states participating in the program. In addition to these changes, the rule required an update to the SIP in 2008 to address the BART requirement for NOx and PM as well as an analysis of the impact of sources in Utah on CIAs outside of the Colorado Plateau. 45 Revisions to Regional Haze Rule to Incorporate SO₂ Milestones and Backstop Emissions Trading Program for Nine Western States and Eligible Indian Tribes Within That Geographic Area, 68 Fed. Reg. 33764 (June 5, 2003), codified at 40 C.F.R. pt. 51. 46 Additional information about the WRAP can be found on the WRAP website at https://www.wrapair2.org/ 47 See Ctr. for Energy & Econ. Dev. v. E.P.A., 398 F.3d 653 (D.C. Cir. 2005) 48 See Regional Haze Regulations, 71 Fed. Reg. 60,612, 60,631 (Oct. 13, 2006), codified at 40 C.F.R. pt. 51. 30 1.E.5 2011 Regional Haze SIP Revision The SO₂ milestones were updated in 2011 to reflect a reduced number of states participating in the program (Arizona elected to pursue a SIP under Section 308 of the RHR). In addition, the growth estimates for coal-fired utilities and the estimates for emission reductions due to BART were revised. 1.E.6 2015 Regional Haze SIP Revision On June 4, 2015, Utah resubmitted its SIP for PM BART and submitted an alternative to BART for NOx for PacifiCorp’s Electrical Generating Units (EGUs). On January 14, 2016, EPA issued a proposed rule containing a proposal to approve the PM BART and a co-proposal to either approve or disapprove the BART Alternative for NOx and to impose a Federal Implementation Plan (FIP) requiring BART for NOx in the event of the disapproval.49 On July 5, 2016, EPA issued the final rule disapproving the BART alternative for NOx and approving the BART for the PM portion of the June 4, 2015 SIP.50 To replace the disapproved BART alternative, EPA promulgated a FIP, requiring installation of Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) controls on the subject EGUs by August of 2021.51 Utah filed a lawsuit against EPA challenging the July 5, 2016 disapproval of BART Alternative for NOx in the Tenth Circuit on September 1, 2016.52 The parties engaged in settlement discussions to resolve the case administratively. As a result of the settlement negotiations, Utah conducted an additional technical analysis using the state-of-the-science model and methodologies to perform air quality model simulations.53 Utah used the photochemical grid model Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions (CAMx) to estimate and compare the potential visibility impacts at selected CIAs for different emissions scenarios considered for PacifiCorp’s EGUs. The CAMx was used because it accounts for complex processes such as the chemistry, transport, and deposition of pollutants responsible for regional haze. Utah came to the same conclusion employing the CAMx modeling: that its NOx BART Alternative would provide greater reasonable progress toward natural visibility conditions than BART.54 Utah revised the disapproved SIP to include this additional technical analysis and, after 49 See Approval, Disapproval and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Partial Approval and Partial Disapproval of Air Quality Implementation Plans and Federal Implementation Plan; Utah; Revisions to Regional Haze State Implementation Plan; Federal Implementation Plan for Regional Haze, 81 Fed. Reg. 2004 (Jan. 14, 2016) (proposed rule). 50 See Approval, Disapproval and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Partial Approval and Partial Disapproval of Air Quality Implementation Plans and Federal Implementation Plan; Utah; Revisions to Regional Haze State Implementation Plan; Federal Implementation Plan for Regional Haze, 81 Fed. Reg. 43894 (July 5, 2016), codified at 40 C.F.R. pt. 52. 51 See id., 81 Fed. Reg. at 43907. 52 See Utah v. E.P.A. et al., No. 16-9541 (10th Cir. Sept. 1, 2016). 53 See Section 1.E.7 below for additional details. 54 Staff Review Recommended Alternative to BART for NOx at 5-2 (Jan. 14, 2019) ("The model results... indicate that the emissions modeled under the Utah SIP will not degrade visibility conditions relative to the Baseline scenario at any of the analyzed CIAs during either the 20% best or 20% worst visibility days. 31 public notice and comment, submitted the revised NOx BART Alternative to EPA on July 3, 2019. Utah submitted a supplement to the July 2019 submission on December 3, 2019 on the issue unrelated to the initial disapproval—the requirement to report all deviations from compliance with the applicable requirements under BART and BART Alternative, including emission limits for PacifiCorp’s EGUs. On January 22, 2020, EPA published a proposed rule to approve the July 2019 SIP submittal with December 2019 supplement.55 After EPA’s public notice and comment, on November 27, 2020, EPA issued a final rule approving Utah’s July 2019 SIP submittal and December 2019 supplement.56 This concluded and resolved the litigation that Utah initiated on September 1, 2016. The Tenth Circuit dismissed the case and issued a mandate on January 11, 2021.57 EPA’s November 27, 2020 final rule is currently challenged in the Tenth Circuit by the conservation organizations (HEAL Utah, National Parks Conservation Association, Sierra Club, and Utah Physicians for a Healthy Environment).58 The lawsuit was filed on January 19, 2021.59 1.E.7 2019 Regional Haze SIP Revision In the 2019 SIP revision, Utah used dispersion modeling and the two-prong test prescribed by the RHR60 to demonstrate that the proposed alternative to BART does show greater progress than the most stringent NOx controls (installation of SCR). The two prongs that Utah had to satisfy are (1) that visibility does not decline in any Class I area; and (2) that there is an overall improvement in visibility determined by comparing the average differences between BART and the BART Alternative over all affected CIAs. The two-prong test was an objective pass-fail test which Utah’s BART Alternative met. EPA proposed approval of this latest SIP on January 22, 2020.61EPA issued final approval of the 2019 SIP revision on November 27, 2020 with effective date of December 28, 2020.62 In the final rule EPA concluded “that Utah’s NOX BART Alternative achieves greater reasonable progress under 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2) and (3).”63 With the final approval, EPA also found that “Utah’s SIP fully satisfies the requirements of section 309 of the Regional Haze Rule and The modeling results also show that, on average, visibility improvement at the analyzed CIAs is greater under the Utah SIP than the USEPA FIP scenarios during both the 20% best and 20% worst visibility days.”). 55 See Approval and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Utah; Regional Haze State and Federal Implementation Plans, 85 Fed. Reg. 3558 (Jan. 22, 2020) (proposed rule). 56 Approval and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Utah; Regional Haze State and Federal Implementation Plans, 85 Fed. Reg. 75860 (Nov. 27, 2020), codified at 40 C.F.R. pt. 52. 57 See Order, Utah v. E.P.A. et al., No. 16-9541 (10th Cir. Jan. 11, 2021). 58 See HEAL Utah et al. v. E.P.A. et al., No. 21-9509 (10th Cir. Jan 19, 2021). 59 See Petition for Review, HEAL Utah et al., No. 21-9509 (10th Cir. Jan. 19, 2021). 60 40 CFR 51.308€ (3) 61 See 85 Fed. Reg. 3558. 62 See 85 Fed. Reg. 75860. 63 Id., 85 Fed. Reg. at 75861. 32 therefore the State has fully complied with the requirements for reasonable progress, including BART, for the first implementation period.”64 1.F General Planning Provisions 1.F.1 Regional Haze Program Requirements The program requirements of the RHR65 are identified in Subsection 51.308(f) which lists the requirements for haze SIP updates, including a reference to the requirements in Subsection 51.308(d). In addition to re‐evaluating all elements required in subsection (d), the states must also do the following: • Assess current visibility conditions for the most impaired and least impaired days. • Address actual progress made towards natural conditions during the previous implementation period. • Determine the effectiveness of the long‐term strategy for achieving reasonable progress goals over the prior implementation period. • Affirm or revise reasonable progress goals according to procedures in paragraph (d). As noted above, the section addressing the requirements for the SIP revisions references the requirements of subsection (d). The subsection (d) requirements are as follows: requirements: • Establishing reasonable progress goals for the implementation period, including the four‐ factor analysis. • Determining current visibility conditions and comparing to natural conditions. • Developing long‐term strategies to reduce emissions that contribute to visibility impairment. • Submitting a monitoring strategy. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5) requires states to address the requirements of Subsections 51.308(g)(1)- (5) in the 2021 plan revision. According to the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g), states shall submit periodic reports that describe progress toward the natural visibility goals. Therefore, this RH SIP submittal also serves as a progress report addressing the period since Utah’s September 18, 2017 progress report. The RHR requires that subsequent progress reports are due by January 31, 2025, July 31, 2033, and every 10 years thereafter. 1.F.2 SIP Submission and Planning Commitments This SIP revision meets the requirements of the EPA’s RHR and the CAA. Elements of this SIP address the core elements required by 40 CFR Section 51.308(f)(3)—the establishment of RPGs and measures that Utah will take to meet the RPGs. This SIP revision also addresses 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2) (long-term strategy for regional haze) and 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2) (state 64 Id. 65 40 CFR 51.308 33 coordination with the FLMs) and commits to develop future plan revisions and adequacy determinations as necessary. The State of Utah commits to participate in a regional planning process, as a member state through the Western States Air Resource Council (WESTAR) and as a partner in WRAP. WESTAR is a partnership of 15 western states formed to promote the exchange of information, serve as a forum to discuss western regional air quality issues, and share resources for the common benefit of the member states. WRAP is a voluntary partnership of state, tribes, FLMs, local air agencies, and the EPA whose purpose is to understand current and evolving regional air quality issues in the West. The regional planning process describes the process, goals, objectives, management and decision-making structure, and deadlines for completing significant technical analyses of the regional group. To assist in making sound planning decisions, Utah has assisted the regional planning organization to complete regional analyses that include certain methods, inputs, and resources. Utah commits to continue regional participation through future SIPs. Pursuant to the Tribal Authority Rule66, any Tribe whose lands are within the boundaries of the State of Utah have the option to develop a regional haze Tribal Implementation Plan (TIP) for their lands to assure reasonable progress in the twelve CIAs in Utah. As such, no provisions of this Implementation Plan shall be construed as being applicable to tribal lands. 1.F.3 Utah Statutory Authority The Utah Air Conservation Act67 gives the Utah Air Quality Board authority to make rules pertaining to air quality activities.68 An administrative rule serves two purposes: • A properly enacted administrative rule has the binding effect of law. Therefore, a rule affects the regulated entities and citizens as much as a statute passed by the Legislature. • An administrative rule informs citizens of actions a state government agency will take or how a state agency will conduct its business. This SIP is a compilation of analyses under Utah’s statutory authority that satisfies the requirements of Sections 110 and 169 of the CAA. Indian Tribes: Air Quality Planning and Management, 63 Fed. Reg. 7254 (Feb. 12, 1998). 67 Utah Code Ann. §§ 19-2-101 through 19-2-304 (West 2021). 68 See id. § 19-2-104. 34 Chapter 2: Utah Regional Haze SIP Development Process This SIP addresses regulatory requirements of the second planning period by screening facilities with the most impact on Utah’s CIAs, conducting and evaluating the four-factor analysis,69 and making controls determinations based on this analysis. The current visibility conditions in relation to our Uniform Rate of Progress (URP) goals were also analyzed with the modeled data analysis tools provided by the WRAP Technical Support System (TSS). Utah’s SIP development process included consultation with industry stakeholders, environmental advocate stakeholders, regional states, WESTAR, WRAP, FLMs from the National Parks Service and the US Forest Service, and EPA’s Region 8 office. Utah also consulted members of other state agencies including the Department of Energy Development and Office of Public Utilities. This chapter outlines Utah’s consultation and communications with these entities. For additional details regarding individual consultation, see Chapter 9 Consultation, Public Review, Commitment to further Planning. After initial consultation, Utah submitted the second planning period RH SIP to the FLMs, EPA, and Tribes of Utah on December, 8, 2021 for their mandatory 60-day comment period. After the comment period, the SIP was submitted to Utah Air Quality Board for the April 6th, 2022 Utah Air Quality Board meeting. The Board then proposed the SIP for public comment on May 1st, 2022 for the required 30 days. Utah then submitted the final SIP to the EPA on August 1, 2022. 2.A WRAP Engagement During this second planning period, the WRAP Regional Haze Planning Work Group (RHPWG)70 has helped create a framework for regional haze planning for all 15 participating states as well as the City of Albuquerque within the WESTAR and WRAP region. This initiative included regular meetings to discuss regional haze planning, encourage coordination among states, and offer training opportunities. WRAP has also been responsible for the WRAP TSS which is an online portal to the technical and analytical results created from technology development from Colorado State University (CSU) and the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA). TSS is the source of the key summary analytical results and methods for the required technical elements of the RHR contained within this SIP including: • Inventories: current and future (growth projections methodologies by source categories) • Development of a transparent and complete monitoring data metric for planning and model projection purposes • Database management (including the TSS database) 69 For purposes of this document, the Four-Factor Analysis is defined as the analysis required by 40 C.F.R. § 51.308(d)(1)(i)(A). 70 More information on the Regional Haze Planning Work Group can be found at https://www.wrapair2.org/RHPWG.aspx 35 • Four-Factor Analysis for control measures • Regional photochemical modeling • Assessment of “unknowns” and uncertain categories (natural conditions, international emissions, fire, and dust emission, etc.) • Development of RH SIP package content and progress report template • Development of control strategies menu for major western state sources For additional information on the origins of WRAP, see Section 1.E.2. 2.A.1 Technical Information and Data: WRAP TSS2.0 The WRAP TSS 2.0 is the data warehouse and online portal used by air quality planners to evaluate the technical data and analytical results to support regional haze implementation plans. The TSS 2.0 is a “system of systems” that integrates capabilities from many systems, including systems focused on: monitoring data analysis efforts, emissions data management systems, fire emissions tracking systems, photochemical aerosol regional modeling analyses, and visualization and summary data analyses.71 These diverse data sets can be analyzed through the TSS and the resultant outputs can be downloaded for use in SIP reports. This SIP submittal relies on the data stored in and retrieved from the TSS 2.0 system. 2.B Consultation with Federal Land Managers The federal land management agencies with jurisdiction over mandatory CIAs in the West include the National Park Service (NPS), U.S. Forest Service (U.S. Department of Agriculture) (USFS), and the Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS). FLMs have a critical role in protecting air quality in national parks, wilderness, and other federally protected areas. They have an affirmative responsibility to protect air quality related values, including visibility, in all CIAs.72 Utah primarily meets with the NPS and USFS for RH planning. States must provide the FLMs with an opportunity for an early in-person consultation about the state’s long-term strategy to reduce emissions.73 This consultation should happen early enough in the process so that the information and recommendations provided by the FLMs can meaningfully inform the State’s decisions.74 The opportunity for consultation is sufficient if the consultation happened at least 120 days prior to any public hearing or other public comment opportunity on SIP or SIP revision.75 The opportunity for consultation must also be provided no less than 60 days prior to said public hearing or public comment opportunity.76 71 https://views.cira.colostate.edu/tssv2/About/Default.aspx 72 See 40 C.F.R. § 51.166(p)(2). 73 See 40 C.F.R. § 51.308(i)(2). 74 See id. 75 See id. 76 See id. 36 This consultation must include the opportunity for the affected FLMs to discuss their: • Assessment of impairment of visibility in any mandatory CIA; and • Recommendations on the development of the reasonable progress goal and on the development and implementation of strategies to address visibility impairment.77 FLM of any mandatory Class I area can submit any recommendations on the implementation of this subpart (40 C.F.R. Part 51, Subpart P: Protection of Visibility) including, but not limited to: i. Identification of impairment of visibility in any mandatory CIA(s); and ii. Identification of elements for inclusion in the visibility monitoring strategy required by § 51.305.78 Utah has engaged with the FLMs and shared the RH SIP with them on December 8, 2021. See Chapter 9 Consultation, Public Review, Commitment to Further Planning for full documentation of Utah’s consultation with the FLMs during this implementation period. Numerous opportunities were provided through the WRAP for states and FLMs to participate fully in the development of technical documents included in this SIP. This included the ability to review and comment on these analyses, reports, and policies. A summary of the WRAP- sponsored meetings and conference calls is provided on the WRAP website79. 2.C Collaboration with Tribes Tribal governments are responsible for coordinating with federal and state governments to protect air quality on their sovereign lands and to ensure emission sources on tribal lands meet federal requirements. The federally recognized tribes in Utah include the Paiute Indian Tribe, the Skull Valley Band of Goshute Indiana, and the Ute Indian Tribe of the Uintah and Ouray Reservation. The sources located on tribal lands are considered federal jurisdiction. For example, The Bonanza power plant, located on “Indian Country” in the Uinta Basin, has a Q/d value large enough to require a Four-Factor Analysis, but is not under the jurisdiction of the Utah Department of Environmental Quality. In order to further the environmental justice initiative in Utah, UDAQ shared its RH SIP draft with the tribes of Utah at the same time it was shared with the FLMs and EPA for a 60-day review on December 8, 2021. 2.D Consultation with Other States States are required to share information with other states that have CIAs that are reasonably anticipated to be impacted by each other’s emissions. States are also required to evaluate, though not necessarily implement, control measures requested by other states and document actions taken to resolve disagreements. The TSS 2.0 analyses tools, including emissions tools and source apportionment modeling results, aid states to determine if an in-state source could be impacting an out-of-state Class I area. Utah consulted with neighboring states, both through 77 See id., § 51.308(i)(2)(i) and (ii). 78 See id., § 51.308(i)(1)(i) and (ii). 79 More information on WRAP-sponsored meetings and conference calls is available at https://www.wrapair2.org/RHPWG.aspx. 37 webinars and calls organized through the WRAP, and via state-to-state communication, to address the requirements of the RHR for coordinated emissions control strategies between states. Specifically, 40 CFR § 51.308(f)(2)(ii) requires that Utah consult with other states that have emissions that are reasonably anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in Utah CIAs to develop coordinated emission management strategies containing the emission reductions necessary to make reasonable progress. WRAP conducted technical analyses to evaluate interstate emissions impacts. These analyses include source apportionment modeling and area of influence/weighted emissions potential (AOI/WEP) analyses. Source apportionment modeling is used to identify states and sectors that are contributing haze. AOI/WEP analyses can identify what significant emission sources are upwind from a Class I area. Utah discussed the results of these analyses with surrounding states. Due to all of Utah’s CIAs visibility being at or below their projected glidepath goals towards natural conditions in 2064, UDAQ will not ask for any additional controls from other states that may impact Utah’s visibility in CIAs. Refer to sections 6.A.1 and 6.A.2 for a detailed analysis on out of state impacts on Utah’s CIA’s and Utah’s impacts on out of state CIAs. Utah has met with Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona, and Wyoming directly as well as attended Region 8, WRAP, WESTAR, and Four Corners States meetings as part of the second planning period SIP development. For additional details regarding individual consultation, see Chapter 9 as well as Appendix B or Utah’s interstate consultation agreements with surrounding states. 2.E Public and Stakeholder Consultation Many different agencies and interests come together to develop a RH SIP. Prior to formal public review and EPA action, states should communicate regularly with industry and the public. Utah communicated regularly with the regulated industry, including the sources that may be impacted by the Four-Factor Analysis, environmental advocates, as well as members of the public. Utah holds six meetings each for the industry stakeholders and environmental advocates. For additional details regarding stakeholder consultation, see Chapter 9. 38 Chapter 3: Progress to Date 3.A Embedded Progress Report Requirements Section 51.308(f)(5) of the RHR requires a state to address the requirements of subsections 51.308 (g)(1) through (5) in the plan revision. By fulfilling this requirement, the plan revision due in 2021 will also serve as a progress report for the period since submission of the progress report for the first implementation period. The progress report for the first implementation period included visibility levels, emissions, and implementation status up to a date prior to submittal.80 This chapter is meant to inform the public and EPA about implementation activities since the last regional haze SIP submission. 3.A.1 Implementation status of all measures in first planning period81 The RHR82 requires certain major stationary sources to evaluate, install, operate and maintain BART technology or an approved BART alternative for NOx and PM emissions. The State of Utah chose to evaluate BART for PM under the case-by-case provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(e)(1) and BART for NOx through alternative measures83. BART for SO₂ is addressed through an alternative program84 that is described in Part E of the 2019 Regional Haze SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(e)(1)(ii) requires states to determine which BART-eligible sources are also “subject to BART.” BART-eligible sources are subject to BART if they emit any air pollutant that may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment of visibility in any mandatory CIA. Four BART-eligible electric generating units were identified in the State of Utah: PacifiCorp’s Hunter Units 1 and 2 and Huntington Units 1 and 2. The units are located at fossil fuel-fired steam electric plants of more than 250 million Btu per hour heat input, one of the 26 specific BART source categories. The units had potential emissions greater than 250 tons per year of visibility impairing pollutants. The units had commenced construction within the BART time frame of August 7, 1962 to August 7, 1977. PacifiCorp Hunter Units 1 and 2 and Huntington Units 1 and 2 replaced first generation low-NOx burners with Alstom TSF 2000TM low-NOx firing system and installation of two elevations of separated overfire air with an emission limit of 0.26 lb./MMBtu on a 30-day rolling average. In addition, PacifiCorp Hunter Unit 3 (not subject-to-BART) replaced first generation low-NOx burners with improved low-NOx burners with overfire air with an emission limit of 0.34 lb./MMBtu 80 The 2017 Regional Haze Guidance document can be found at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-08/documents/8-20-2019_-_regional_haze_guidance_final_guidance.pdf 81 (40 CFR 51.308(g)(1)) 82 40 CFR 51.308(e) and 40 CFR 51.309(d)(4)(vii) 83 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2) and (3) 84 40 CFR 51.309 39 on a 30-day rolling average and PacifiCorp Carbon Units 1 and 2 (not subject-to-BART) were permanently retired by August 15, 2015. Table 1: 30-day Rolling Average Emission Limits for the Retrofitted Hunter and Huntington Units Units Utah Permitted Limits SO₂ (lb./MMBtu) NOx (lb./MMBtu) PM (lb./MMBtu) Hunter 1 0.12 0.26 0.015 Hunter 2 0.12 0.26 0.015 Hunter 3 0.34 Huntington 1 0.12 0.26 0.015 Huntington 2 0.12 0.26 0.015 3.A.2 Summary of emission reductions achieved by control measure implementation85 The enforceable retirement of Carbon Units 1 and 2 resulted in SO₂ reductions of 3,388 tons/year from Unit 1 and 4,617 tons per year from Unit 2, resulting in a total of 8,005 tons per year. Utah’s emissions reductions are further detailed in Chapter 5. 3.A.3 Assessment of visibility conditions86 Please refer to Chapter 4 for information regarding Utah’s visibility analyses. 85 (40 CFR 51.308(g)(2)(5)) 86 (40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)) 40 3.A.4 Analysis of any changes in emissions from all sources and activities within the state87 88 The following figures show Utah’s statewide total emissions trends by sector from 2002 to 2017. This data comes from Utah’s statewide emissions inventories. In 2011, there are certain spikes in emissions for area source emissions due to inventory method changes and an increase in the amount of Source Classification Codes (SCCs) defining area sources. UDAQ notes that inventory methodologies have changed over time and the emissions inventories based on WRAP modeling data in section 5.E may be more useful for comparing historical and recent emissions to future projections for the purposes of satisfying the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(4). 87 (40 CFR 51.308(g)(4)) 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 Area Source 6,294 5,536 8,664 41,987 13,848 4,134 Area Source - Oil & Gas 15,340 13,130 Non-Road Mobile 36,257 22,212 23,296 19,507 17,288 16,388 On-Road Mobile 77,437 82,449 61,634 68,109 60,952 57,387 Point Source 82,421 75,102 86,857 69,913 63,370 41,903 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 to n s / y e a r Statewide NOx Emissions Trends by Sector Figure 16:Statewide NOx Emissions Trends by Sector 41 Figure 17: Statewide VOC Emissions Trends by Sector 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 Area Source 50,152 56,416 59,587 184,099 31,574 33,935 Area Source - Oil & Gas 111,880 70,217 Non-Road Mobile 27,584 22,479 24,677 22,629 20,066 10,671 On-Road Mobile 53,582 36,278 31,673 25,282 20,487 19,619 Point Source 6,555 6,963 8,872 5,707 5,899 6,104 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 to n s / y e a r Statewide VOC Emissions Trends by Sector Figure 18: Statewide SO2 Emissions Trends by Sector 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 Area Source 3,416 1,660 1,284 2,156 89 117 Area Source - Oil & Gas 92 74 Non-Road Mobile 1,536 1,627 1,132 759 214 220 On-Road Mobile 2,458 1,667 247 333 295 327 Point Source 41,704 43,019 28,621 25,170 25,600 11,786 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 to n s / y e a r Statewide SO2 Emissions Trends by Sector 42 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 Area Source 29,181 31,416 47,552 164,142 150,865 128,303 Area Source - Oil & Gas 675 483 Non-Road Mobile 2,243 1,892 1,841 1,627 1,528 1,230 On-Road Mobile 24,246 29,077 37,137 16,856 12,426 14,212 Point Source 11,080 11,739 11,877 9,443 10,397 9,303 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 to n s / y e a r Statewide PM10 Emissions Trends by Sector Figure 19: Statewide PM10 Emissions Trends by Sector 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 Area Source 8,613 9,806 13,878 23,254 21,254 17,460 Area Source - Oil & Gas 656 483 Non-Road Mobile 1,840 1,473 1,727 1,533 1,449 1,117 On-Road Mobile 4,101 5,404 3,111 6,074 4,278 4,532 Point Source 3,587 4,518 4,089 4,809 5,653 4,998 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 to n s / y e a r Statewide PM2.5 Emissions Trends by Sector Figure 20: Statewide PM2.5 Emissions Trends by Sector 43 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 PM10 66,751 74,125 98,407 192,067 175,891 153,531 PM2.5 18,142 21,201 22,806 35,670 33,290 28,589 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 to n s / y e a r Utah Particulate Matter Trends Figure 21: Utah Particulate Matter Trends 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 NOx 202,409 185,300 180,451 199,517 170,798 132,942 SO2 49,113 47,975 31,283 28,418 26,290 12,524 VOC 137,873 122,136 124,809 237,717 189,907 140,545 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 to n s / y e a r Utah Gaseous Trends Figure 22: Utah Gaseous Trends 44 3.A.5 Assessment of any changes in emissions from within or outside the state.89 The Center for the New Energy Economy (CNEE) at Colorado State University conducted an analysis of current and future emissions of NOx and SO2 from fossil-fueled EGUs in 13-Western states1 for WESTAR and WRAP.90 WRAP state air quality staff and representatives of Western electric utilities actively participated in the project and helped develop the study parameters, including information needed for Western regional air quality analyses and planning under the federal Clean Air Act. SO2 and NOx emissions from the Western power sector have decreased dramatically over the last 20 years. As shown in Figure 23, 2018 EGU emissions of SO2 were 84% below 1998 levels and NOx emissions were 71% below 1998. Table 2 below shows that 29 of the 84 coal units operating in the West in 2018 have plans (not all federally enforceable) to retire by 2028. Emissions from these units were omitted from the 2028 projections produced by the CNEE, though some states opted to include emissions for some of the listed EGUs in the final WRAP 2028OTBa2 projections due to uncertainties about firm closures (e.g., North Valmy, San Juan Generating Station, etc.). 89 (40 CFR 51.308(g)(5)) 90 The Analysis of EGU Emissions for Regional Haze Planning by the CNEE can be found at http://www.wrapair2.org/%5C/pdf/Final%20EGU%20Emissions%20Analysis%20Report.pdf 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018 SO2 & NOx Emissions from Western Power Plants 13-State Region -EPA CAMD (thousand tons) SO2 NOx Figure 23: SO2 and NOx Emissions Trends for Western Power Plants1 45 Table 2: Western Coal Unit Retirement and Control Summary State Facility Name Unit ID Operating Year Retirement Year Notes PLANNED RETIREMENTS - NO POST-COMBUSTION CONTROL FOR NO=x AZ Cholla 1 1962 2025 APS IRP AZ Cholla 3 1980 2025 APS IRP AZ Cholla 4 1981 2025 PAC IRP AZ Navajo Generating Station 1 1974 2019 SRP IRP AZ Navajo Generating Station 2 1975 2019 SRP IRP AZ Navajo Generating Station 3 1976 2019 SRP IRP CO Comanche (470) 1 1973 2022 Xcel Colorado Energy Plan CO Comanche (470) 2 1975 2025 Xcel Colorado Energy Plan CO Craig C1 1980 2025 Legal/Regulatory CO Nucla 1 1991 2022 Legal/Regulatory CO Valmont 5 1964 2017 Retired MT Colstrip 1 1975 2022 Legal/Regulatory MT Colstrip 2 1976 2022 Legal/Regulatory NM San Juan 1 1976 2022 PNM IRP (SNCR) NM San Juan 2 1973 2017 Retired NM San Juan 3 1979 2017 Retired NM San Juan 4 1982 2022 PNM IRP NV North Valmy 1 1981 2025 NV IRP (2019 per ID Power?) NV North Valmy 2 1985 2025 NV IRP NV Reid Gardner 4 1983 2017 Retired OR Boardman 1SG 1980 2021 Legal/Regulatory UT Intermountain 1SGA 1986 2025 Planned (new gas?) UT Intermountain 2SGA 1987 2025 Planned (new gas?) WA Centralia BW21 1972 2021 Legal/Regulatory (12/31/2020) WA Centralia BW22 1973 2026 Legal/Regulatory (12/31/2025) WY Naughton 3 1971 2018 PAC IRP - gas in 2019? MT Hardin 2017 POTENTIAL RETIREMENTS - NO POST-COMBUSTION CONTROL FOR NOx AZ Coronado Generating Station U1B 1979 Retire or install SCR in 2025 UT Bonanza 1-Jan 1986 2030 Coal consumption cap WY Dave Johnston BW41 1959 2027 PAC IRP WY Dave Johnston BW42 1961 2027 PAC IRP WY Dave Johnston BW43 1964 2027 PAC IRP 46 State Facility Name Unit ID Operating Year Retirement Year Notes WY Dave Johnston BW44 1972 2027 PAC IRP WY Jim Bridger BW71 1974 2028 PAC IRP (SCR req'd 2022) WY Naughton 1 1963 2029 PAC IRP WY Naughton 2 1968 2029 PAC IRP POST 2028 RETIREMENT DATE - SCR INSTALLED AZ Coronado Generating Station U2B 1980 SCR 2014 AZ Springerville Generating Station 4 2009 SCR AZ Springerville Generating Station TS3 2006 SCR CO Comanche (470) 3 2010 SCR CO Craig C2 1979 SCR 2017 CO Hayden H1 1965 2030 Xcel IRP - SCR in 2015 CO Hayden H2 1976 2036 Xcel IRP - SCR 2016 CO Pawnee 1 1981 2034 Xcel IRP - SCR 2014 NM Four Corners Steam Elec Station 4 1969 2031 per TEP&PNM - SCR 2017 NM Four Corners Steam Elec Station 5 1970 2031 per TEP&PNM - SCR 2017 NV TS Power Plant 1 2008 SCR WY Dry Fork Station 1 2011 SCR WY Jim Bridger BW73 1976 2037 PAC IRP - SCR 2015 WY Jim Bridger BW74 1979 2037 PAC IRP - SCR 2016 WY Laramie River 1 1981 SCR 2019 WY Wygen I 1 2003 SCR WY Wygen II 1 2008 SCR WY Wygen III 1 2010 SCR AZ Apache Station 3 1979 SNCR 2017 CO Craig C3 1984 SNCR 2017 WY Laramie River 2 1981 SNCR 2018 WY Laramie River 3 1982 SNCR 2018 POST 2028 RETIREMENT DATE - NO POST COMBUSTION CONTROLS FOR NOx AZ Springerville Generating Station 1 1985 AZ Springerville Generating Station 2 1990 CO Martin Drake 6 1968 CO Martin Drake 7 1974 CO Rawhide Energy Station 101 1984 47 State Facility Name Unit ID Operating Year Retirement Year Notes CO Ray D Nixon 1 1980 MT Colstrip 3 1984 MT Colstrip 4 1986 MT Lewis & Clark B1 1958 NM Escalante 1 1984 UT Hunter 1 1978 2042 PAC IRP - Haze Lawsuit UT Hunter 2 1980 2042 PAC IRP - Haze Lawsuit UT Hunter 3 1983 2042 PAC IRP UT Huntington 1 1977 2036 PAC IRP - Haze Lawsuit UT Huntington 2 1974 2036 PAC IRP - Haze Lawsuit WY Jim Bridger BW72 1975 2032 PAC IRP (SCR Req'd 2021) WY Neil Simpson II 1 1995 WY Wyodak BW91 1978 2039 PAC IRP - Haze Lawsuit Emissions from coal units that will retire by 2028 comprised 27% of the SO2 and 34% of the NOx emitted in 2018 by all EGUs (coal and gas) in the 13-state Western region.91 Figure 24 below shows the portion of EGU emissions represented by remaining fossil units and retiring coal units. Table 3 below contains data compiled by WESTAR-WRAP showing the changes in emissions from 1996-2018 and percent change throughout the GCVTC states. 91 The Analysis of EGU Emissions for Regional Haze Planning by the CNEE can be found at http://www.wrapair2.org/%5C/pdf/Final%20EGU%20Emissions%20Analysis%20Report.pdf 48 Table 3: Changes in Emissions from 1996 - 2018 for 9 GCVTC States Year VOC NOx SO₂ PM2.5* CM 1996 3325 3952 1063 1197 1171 2002 2449 2241 675 832 1886 2018 2760 1683 503 832 2104 % Change -17 -57 -53 -30 80 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 SO2 NOx 2018 EGU Emissions -13 Western States 28 Coal Units Retiring by 2028 Remaining Fossil Units Retiring Coal Units Figure 24: Remaining and Retiring EGU Emissions Apportionment 49 Chapter 4: Utah Visibility Analysis92 The rule adopted in 1999 defined “visibility impairment” as “any humanly perceptible change” (i.e., difference) “in visibility (light extinction, visual range, contract, or coloration) from that which would have existed under natural conditions.”93 The 1999 rule directed states to track visibility impairment on the 20% “most impaired days” and 20% “least impaired days” in order to determine progress towards natural visibility conditions.94 This iteration of the rule did not define “most impaired days” or “least impaired days” or clearly indicate whether they were the days with the highest and lowest values for both natural and anthropogenic impairment or for anthropogenic impairment only. However, the preamble to the 1999 final rule stated that the least and most impaired days were to be selected as the monitored days with the lowest and highest actual deciview levels, respectively, which encompass both natural and anthropogenic contributions to reduced visibility.95 In 2003, the EPA issued a guidance detailing the steps for selecting and calculating light extinction on the “worst” and “best” visibility days, which also indicated that it is preferable for states to determine the least and most impaired days based on monitoring data rather than determining and selecting the days with the highest and lowest anthropogenic impacts.96 For the assessment purposes in the first planning period, the GCVTC considered the average of the days representing the 20% best visibility conditions to be the least impaired days. The “worst” visibility days for some CIAs are impacted by natural emissions (e.g., wildfires and dust storms). These natural contributions to haze vary in magnitude and duration. WRAP used regional photochemical grid models to project visibility improvement between the 2002 baseline and the 2018 future year and to set RPGs for the RHR state implementation plans. Despite western states projecting large emission reductions from EGUs, mobile sources and smoke management programs, the results of the 2018 visibility RPGs indicated many western CIAs were projected to achieve less progress than the glidepath. As a result, EPA modified the way in which certain days during each year are to be selected for purposes of tracking progress towards natural visibility conditions in order to focus attention on days when anthropogenic emissions impair visibility and away from days when wildfires and natural dust storms are the greatest contributors to visibility impairment.97 These changes will 92 40 CFR 51.308(F)(1) 93 “64 Fed. Reg. 35714, 35764.” 94 “40 CFR 51.308(d)(2)(i)-(iv).” 95 The 2019 EPA Guidance can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-08/documents/8-20-2019_-_regional_haze_guidance_final_guidance.pdf 96 The EPA Guidance for Tracking Progress Under the Regional Haze Rule can be found at https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-tracking-progress-under-regional-haze-rule 97 The 2019 EPA Guidance can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-08/documents/8-20-2019_-_regional_haze_guidance_final_guidance.pdf 50 provide the public and public officials with more meaningful information on how emission reduction contribute to a decline in anthropogenic visibility impairment by reasonably reducing the distorting effects of wildfires and natural dust storms on estimates of reasonable progress. The EPA method defined a threshold for the episodic portion of natural haze for the carbonaceous species (organic mass carbon (OMC), elemental carbon (EC)) and crustal material (fine soil plus coarse mass), components that are indicators of wildfires and dust storms, respectively.98 EPA recommended nominal thresholds for each episodic species’ combinations as the minimums of the yearly 95th percentile for the 15-year period from 2000 to 2014. The daily fraction of species extinction values greater than the 95th percentile threshold are assigned to the natural episodic bin. Smaller, routine natural contributions from biogenic or geogenic emissions are assumed to be a constant fraction of the measured IMPROVE species concentrations on each day, with the fraction calculated as the ratio of a previously estimated annual average natural concentration99 (Natural Conditions II, NC-II) divided by the non- episodic annual average IMPROVE concentrations measured for each species. The metric calculates the natural routine portion, such that its annual average (excluding episodic events) is equal to the site and species-specific NC-II concentrations. Daily anthropogenic impairment is calculated as: ∆ dvanthropogenic visibility impairment = dvtotal – dvnatural Daily anthropogenic impairment values are ranked from high to low impairment in order to select the 20% most impaired days (MIDs) each year. States must now determine the baseline (2000- 2004) visibility condition for the 20% most anthropogenically impaired days. This approach differs from the previous round in which the 20% most impaired days were selected from days with the highest total impairment, not separating anthropogenic versus natural impairment. Once the most impaired days are selected, states must calculate the rate of visibility improvement over time that is required to reach natural conditions by 2064 for the 20% most impaired days. Using the metric described above for separating natural (episodic and routine) 98 Figure 25 shows how haze is separated into natural and anthropogenic causes 99 IMPROVE. 2007. Natural Haze Levels II: Application of the New IMPROVE Algorithm to Natural Species Concentrations Estimates. Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments. http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Improve/gray-literature/ (accessed October 2021) Figure 25: Light extinction for Utah Class I Areas: natural and anthropogenic sources Haze Anthropogenic Natural Episodic Routine 51 and anthropogenic, natural conditions are calculated as the average of the daily natural contributions on the 20% most impaired days, in the period 2000-2014. The figures below display the clearest and most impaired days calculated as described in EPA guidance. The line drawn from the baseline to the endpoint is termed the glidepath, or the “uniform rate of progress (URP),” and is calculated for each Class I area, and is used as a tracking metric for the path to natural conditions. The URP is calculated with the following formula: 𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼=[(𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐−𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐 𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗)𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐% 𝒎𝒎𝒎𝒎𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗 𝒗𝒗𝒎𝒎𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒗𝒗𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒊−(𝒏𝒏𝒊𝒊𝒗𝒗𝒏𝒏𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒗𝒗 𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗)𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐% 𝒎𝒎𝒎𝒎𝒗𝒗𝒗𝒗 𝒗𝒗𝒎𝒎𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒗𝒗𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒊]𝟔𝟔𝟐𝟐 The most impaired days are the 20% of days with the highest anthropogenic fraction of total haze. Tracking visibility progress on those days with highest impairment is intended to limit the influence of episodic wildfires and dust storms on the visibility trends. No changes were made from the previous implementation period in how the 20% clearest days are calculated. The 20% clearest days are calculated from the days with the lowest total impairment. As stated previously, the RHR requires states to demonstrate that there is no degradation in the 20% clearest days from the baseline period.100 100 “64 Fed. Reg. 35714, 35764.” Figure 26: URP Glidepath for Clearest Days, Bryce Canyon NP 52 4.A Baseline, Current Conditions and Natural Visibility Conditions Section 51.308(f)(1) of the RHR requires Utah to calculate the baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions as well as to determine the visibility progress to date and the uniform rate of progress (URP) for each of its five CIAs. According to the RHR, baseline period visibility conditions, current visibility conditions, natural conditions, and the URP should be expressed in deciviews and calculated based on total light extinction.101 Baseline visibility conditions are based on available monitoring data of the most impaired and clearest days during the period of 2000 to 2004. Current visibility conditions are to be calculated based upon the most recent five years of data by calculating the average of the annual deciview index values for the most impaired days and clearest days in this period, and averaging these respective annual values. Natural visibility conditions are to be calculated by estimating the average deciview index on most impaired and clearest days under natural conditions. Calculations were made in accordance with 40 CFR 51.308(d)(2) and EPA’s Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program.102 101 The 2019 EPA Guidance can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-08/documents/8-20-2019_-_regional_haze_guidance_final_guidance.pdf 102 Table 4 and Table 5 describe the IMPROVE site information for Utah’s CIAs Figure 27: URP Glidepath for most impaired days, Bryce Canyon NP 53 Table 4: Representative IMPROVE Monitoring Sites Class I Area Name Representative IMPROVE Site Site ID Arches National Park Canyonlands NP CANY1 Bryce Canyon National Park Bryce Canyon NP BRCA1 Canyonlands National Park Canyonlands NP CANY1 Capitol Reef National Park Capitol Reef NP CAPI1 Zion National Park Zion NP ZICA1 Table 5: IMPROVE site information for CIAs Site ID Class I Area Name(s) Latitude Longitude State AQS Code BRCA1 Bryce Canyon National Park 37.6184 -112.1736 UT 49-017-0101 CANY1 Arches National Park, Canyonlands National Park 38.4587 -109.821 UT 49-037-0101 CAPI1 Capitol Reef National Park 38.3022 -111.2926 UT 49-055-9000 ZICA1 Zion National Park 37.1983 -113.1507 UT 49-053-0130 4.A.1 Baseline (2000-2004) visibility for the most impaired and clearest days103 Baseline visibility conditions are based on the available IMPROVE monitoring data of the 20% most impaired and clearest days during the period of 2000 to 2004. Table 6 shows the baseline visibility calculated for clearest days and most impaired days for each of Utah’s CIAs. Table 6: Baseline Visibility for the 20% Most Impaired Days and 20% Clearest Days Site ID Class I Area Name(s) Clearest Days (dv) Most Impaired Days (dv) BRCA1 Bryce Canyon National Park 2.77 8.42 CANY1 Arches National Park, Canyonlands National Park 3.75 8.79 CAPI1 Capitol Reef National Park 4.10 8.78 ZICA1 Zion National Park 4.48 10.40 4.A.2 Natural visibility for the most impaired and clearest days104 Natural visibility conditions are to be calculated by estimating the average deciview index on most impaired and clearest days under natural conditions. Table 7 summarizes the natural visibility values calculated for the clearest and most impaired days in each of Utah’s CIAs. 103 (40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i)) 104 (40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii)) 54 Table 7: Natural Visibility values for Utah CIAs Site ID Class I Area Name(s) Clearest Days (dv) Most Impaired Days (dv) BRCA1 Bryce Canyon National Park 0.57 4.08 CANY1 Arches National Park, Canyonlands National Park 1.05 4.13 CAPI1 Capitol Reef National Park 1.28 4.00 ZICA1 Zion National Park 1.83 5.26 4.A.3 Current (2014-2018) visibility for the most impaired and clearest days105 Current visibility conditions are to be calculated based upon the most recent five years of data by calculating the average of the annual deciview index values for the most impaired days and clearest days in this period, and averaging these respective annual values. Table 8 below shows the current visibility values calculated for the clearest and most impaired days in each of Utah’s CIAs. Table 8: Current Visibility (2014-2018) conditions in Utah CIAs Site ID Class I Area Name(s) Clearest Days (dv) Most Impaired Days (dv) BRCA1 Bryce Canyon National Park 1.46 6.60 CANY1 Arches National Park, Canyonlands National Park 2.20 6.76 CAPI1 Capitol Reef National Park 2.38 7.18 ZICA1 Zion National Park 3.86 8.75 105 (40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(iii)) 55 4.A.4 Progress to date: most impaired and clearest days106 Actual progress towards the natural visibility conditions goal has been calculated in relation to the baseline period for each of Utah’s CIAs. This is exhibited by the difference between the average visibility condition during the 5-year baseline, previous implementation period, and each subsequent 5-year period up to and including the current period. Table 9 displays the progress in Utah’s CIAs comparing the baseline values for clearest and most impaired days with the first implementation period and 2014-2018 values. Table 9: Progress to date for the most impaired and clearest days Site ID 2000-2004 Baseline (dv) 2008-2012 Previous implementation period (dv) 2014-2018 Current (dv) 20% Clearest 20% Most Impaired 20% Clearest 20% Most Impaired 20% Clearest 20% Most Impaired BRCA1 2.77 8.42 1.82 7.69 1.46 6.60 CANY1 3.75 8.79 2.93 8.12 2.20 6.76 CAPI1 4.10 8.78 2.53 8.16 2.38 7.18 ZICA1 4.48 10.40 4.22 9.17 3.86 8.75 4.A.5 Differences between current and natural for the most impaired and clearest days107 Table 10 compares the difference between the current deciview values for each CIA to the estimated natural visibility for the 20% most impaired days and clearest days. Table 10: Current visibility compared to natural visibility 106 (40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(iv)) 107 (40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(v)) Site ID 2014-2018 Current (dv) Natural Visibility (dv) Difference (dv) 20% Clearest 20% Most Impaired 20% Clearest 20% Most Impaired 20% Clearest 20% Most Impaired BRCA1 1.46 6.60 0.57 4.08 0.89 2.52 CANY1 2.20 6.76 1.05 4.13 1.15 2.63 CAPI1 2.38 7.18 1.28 4.00 1.1 3.18 ZICA1 3.86 8.75 1.83 5.26 2.03 3.49 56 4.B Uniform Rate of Progress108 Utah analyzed and determined the uniform rate of progress (URP) over time for each of its five CIAs, starting at the baseline period of 2000-2004, that would be needed to attain the natural visibility condition on the 20% most anthropogenically impaired days by the year 2064. Table 11 shows the URP for each IMPROVE site. Table 11: Uniform Rates of Progress CIA IMPROVE Site Baseline Conditions (Most Impaired Days) (dv) 2064 Natural Conditions (Most Impaired Days) (dv) Years to Reach Natural Conditions Uniform Rate of Progress (URP) (dv/year) BRCA1 8.42 4.08 60 -0.072 CANY1 8.79 4.13 60 -0.078 CAPI1 8.78 4.00 60 -0.080 ZICA1 10.40 5.26 60 -0.086 Utah then used the URP to establish the level of visibility change needed from baseline conditions by 2028 as shown in Table 12. The 2028 URP level is used for comparison to WRAP photochemical modeling projections for 2028 shown in sections 6.A.10 and 8.C. Table 12: Calculation of 2028 Uniform Rate of Progress Level CIA IMPROVE Site Baseline Conditions (Most Impaired Days) (dv) Visibility Change by 2028 (URPX24 years) (dv) 2028 URP Level (dv) BRCA1 8.42 -1.74 6.68 CANY1 8.79 -1.87 6.92 CAPI1 8.78 -1.91 6.87 ZICA1 10.40 -2.06 8.35 4.C Adjustments to URP: International impacts and/or prescribed fire109 EPA added a provision in the 2019 guidance that allows EPA to approve adjustments to the URP to reflect the impacts of international and wildland prescribed fire sources of visibility impairment if an adjustment has been developed through scientifically valid data and methods. These adjustments would be developed and applied separately, although they would both be accomplished by adding an estimate of the impact of the relevant source type or types to the value of the natural visibility condition for the 20% most anthropogenically impaired days, for the purposes of calculating the URP.110 The wildland prescribed fires that are eligible under the 108 (40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi)) 109 (40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B)(1) and (2)) 110 The 2019 EPA Guidance can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-08/documents/8-20-2019_-_regional_haze_guidance_final_guidance.pdf 57 RHR to be included in this adjustment are those conducted with the objective to establish, restore, and/or maintain sustainable and resilient wildland ecosystems, to reduce the risk of catastrophic wildfires, and/or to preserve endangered or threatened species during which appropriate basic smoke management practices were applied.111 Consistent with the methods evaluated in the EPA Technical Support Document112, WRAP calculated the international and wildland prescribed fire glidepath adjustments for Utah using 2028OTBa2 source apportionment modeling results normalized to the IMPROVE monitoring data and added to EPA estimated natural conditions.113 Modeling done by both EPA and WRAP shows that Utah is significantly impacted by international and wildland prescribed fire emissions (as shown by Figures 28-31). Further detail on emission source apportionment can be found in Chapter 5: Utah Sources of Visibility Impairment. 111 “64 Fed. Reg. 35714, 35764.” 112 Technical Support Document (TSD) Revised Recommendations for Visibility Progress Tracking Metrics for the Regional Haze Program https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2016- 07/documents/technical_support_document_for_draft_guidance_on_regional_haze.pdf 113 WRAP Technical Support System for Regional Haze Planning: Modeling Methods, Results, and References https://views.cira.colostate.edu/tssv2/Docs/WRAP_TSS_modeling_reference_final_20210930.pdf Figure 28: Projected Source Contributions to Light Extinction in Bryce Canyon NP 58 Figure 29: Projected Source Contributions to Light Extinction in Canyonlands and Arches NP Figure 30: Projected Source Contributions to Light Extinction in Capitol Reef NP 59 Figure 32 shows an example of Bryce Canyon’s URP glidepath with the international and wildland prescribed fire adjustments. It should be noted that the prescribed fire adjustments for Utah’s CIAs are small relative to those in other states. The international source adjustments, on the other hand, can be sizable. While the international and wildland prescribed fire adjustments are available for Utah’s CIA glidepaths, UDAQ is choosing to remain conservative for the purposes of this implementation period by not using them. However, this choice does not preclude the use of glidepath adjustments in future planning periods, since international and Figure 32: Example URP Glidepath for Bryce Canyon National Park Showing Adjustment Options Figure 31: Projected Source Contributions to Light Extinction in Zion NP 60 wildland prescribed fire emissions do impact Utah CIAs and are largely beyond the control of individual states and since prescribed fires are seen to be an increasingly important tool for land managers in the future. 61 Chapter 5: Utah Sources of Visibility Impairment 5.A Natural Sources of Impairment Natural impairment sources include any non-anthropogenically caused visibility-reducing emissions and are often seasonally attributed to natural events such as rain, sea mists, windblown dust, wildfire, volcanic activity, and biogenic emissions. Natural sources of impairment are often caused by seasonal conditions and lead to high concentrations of visibility- impairing emissions that are short-term. Natural contributions to impairment are categorized into the “episodic” and “routine” types. Episodic contributions, such as large wildfires or dust storms, occur infrequently and vary yearly in number and size. Routine contributions include biogenic sources, sea salt, and incorporate the site-specific value for Rayleigh scattering, a term which refers to the scattering of light off of particles in the air. These contributions occur often and are more consistent on a yearly basis. 5.B Anthropogenic Sources of Impairment Anthropogenic impairment sources include any visibility-decreasing emissions directly related to human-caused activities. These activities include industrial processes (utilities, smelters, refineries, etc.), mobile sources (cars, trucks, trains, etc.) and area sources (residential wood burning, prescribed burning on wild and agricultural lands, wind-blown dust from disturbed soils, etc.). Anthropogenic sources of emissions include those originating within Utah as well as neighboring states, Mexico, Canada, and maritime shipping emissions from across the Pacific Ocean. While Utah can consult with regional states about their anthropogenic emission contributions to impairment in Utah’s CIAs, those international contributions cannot be controlled at the state level. Table 13 details the data sources used by WRAP for determining anthropogenic source emissions contributions. Table 13: Data sources for WRAP emissions sectors114 114 This table’s data comes from the 2021 WRAP Technical Support System Emissions and Modeling Report and References document. Source Sector 2014v2 RepBase2 2028OTBa2 California All Sectors 12WUS2 CARB-2014v2 CARB-2014v2 CARB-2028 WRAP Fossil EGU w/ CEM WRAP-2014v2 WRAP-RB-EGU 1 WRAP-2028-EGU 1 WRAP Fossil EGU w/o CEM EPA-2014v2 WRAP-RB-EGU 1 WRAP-2028-EGU 1 WRAP Non-Fossil EGU EPA-2014v2 EPA-2016v1 EPA-2028v1 Non-WRAP EGU EPA-2014v2 EPA-2016v1 EPA-2028v1 O&G WRAP O&G States WRAP-2014v2 WRAP-RB-O&G 2 WRAP-2028-O&G 2 O&G WRAP Other States EPA-2014v2 EPA-2016v1 EPA-2016v1 3 O&G non-WRAP States EPA-2014v2 EPA-2016v1 EPA-2016v1 3 WRAP Non-EGU Point WRAP-2014v2 WRAP-2014v2 4 WRAP-2014v2 4 Non-WRAP non-EGU Point EPA-2014v2 EPA-2016v1 EPA-2016v1 On-Road Mobile 12WUS2 WRAP-2014v2 WRAP-2014v2 WRAP-2028-Mobile 5 On-Road Mobile 36US EPA-2014v2 EPA-2016v1 EPA-2028v1 Non-Road 12WUS2 EPA-2014v2 EPA-2016v1 WRAP-2028-Mobile 5 Non-Road non-WRAP 36US EPA-2014v2 EPA-2016v1 6 EPA-2028v1 6 62 5.C Overview of Emission Inventory System - TSS The WRAP 2014v2 inventory was based on the National Emissions Inventory (NEI) and updates provided by states through their Emissions and Modeling Protocol subcommittee. Specific data sources for each emissions sector are detailed below: The CAMx Particle Source Apportionment tool (PSAT) is a photochemical model that tracks gaseous and particle air emissions from sources through atmospheric dispersion, photochemical reactions, and transport to receptors where IMPROVE monitors are located. These PSAT runs include aerosol concentrations of: • AmmNO3 • AmmSO4 • Primary Organic Mass from Carbon (OMC) • Primary Elemental Carbon (EC) • Primary Fine Soil • Primary Coarse Mass • Sea salt • Secondary Organic Aerosols o Anthropogenic (SOAA) o Biogenic (SOAB) These particles are direct products of primary gaseous and particle emissions and secondary aerosol formation. Secondary organic aerosols (SOA) tracers are not used in these PSAT runs, rather SOAs at the receptor are assigned to anthropogenic (SOAA) or biogenic (SOAB) contributions based on the chemical signatures (e.g., isoprene is assigned as biogenic in origin; benzene is assigned as anthropogenic in origin). Other (Non-Point) 12WUS2 EPA-2014v2 EPA-2014v2 7 EPA-2014v2 7 Other (Non-Point) 36US EPA-2014v2 EPA-2016v1 EPA-2016v1 Can/Mex/Offshore 12WUS2 EPA-2014v2 EPA-2016v1 EPA-2016v1 Fires (WF, Rx, Ag) WRAP-2014-Fires WRAP-RB-Fires 8 WRAP-RB-Fires 8 Natural (Bio, etc.) WRAP-2014v2 WRAP-2014v2 WRAP-2014v2 Boundary Conditions (BCs) WRAP-2014-GEOS WRAP-2014-GEOS WRAP-2014-GEOS 1. WRAP-RepBase2-EGU and WRAP-2028OTBa2-EGU include changes/corrections/updates from WESTAR-WRAP states. 2. WRAP-RepBase2-O&G and WRAP-2028OTBa2-O&G both include corrections for WESTAR-WRAP states. 3. O&G for other WRAP states and Non-WRAP states use EPA-2016v1 assumptions for 2028OTBa2 and unit- level changes provided by WESTAR-WRAP states. 4. WRAP-2014v2 Non-EGU Point is used for RepBase2 and 2028OTBa2, with source specific updates provided by WESTAR-WRAP states. 5. WRAP-2028-MOBILE is used for On-Road and Non-Road sources for the 12WUS2 domain. 6. EPA-2016v1 and EPA-2028v1 are used for On-Road and Non-Road Mobile for the 36km US domain. 7. Non-Point emissions use 2014v2 emissions for RepBase2 and 2028OTBa2 scenarios, including state- provided corrections. 8. RepBase fires are used for both RepBase2 and 2028OTBa2 63 WRAP modeled values for six source categories and 15 component source groups115: • U.S. Anthropogenic (USAnthro) o U.S. anthropogenic (AntUS) o U.S. agricultural fire (AgfireUS) o Secondary Organic Aerosol-Anthropogenic (SOAA) o Commercial Marine Vessels (CMVUS) o U.S. anthropogenic contributions from outside the CAMx 36-km domain boundary as defined by the GEOS-Chem global model. (BC-US) • U.S. Wildfire (WFUS) • U.S. Wildland Prescribed fire (RxUS) • Canadian and Mexican fires (OthFr) • Natural o Natural (Nat) o Secondary Organic Aerosol -Biogenic (SOAB) o Natural contributions from outside the CAMx 36-km domain boundary as defined by the GEOS-Chem global model. (BC-Nat) • International Anthropogenic (IntlAnthro) o International Anthropogenic contributions from outside the CAMx 36-km domain boundary as defined by the GEOS-Chem global model. (BC-Int) o Canadian Anthropogenic (AntCAN) o Mexican Anthropogenic (AntMEX) o Commercial Marine vessels – International (beyond 200km from U.S. coast) (CMV_nonUS) Summaries of Utah’s emissions data are located in Table 15 to Table 20. 5.D Wildland Prescribed Fires Most forest ecosystems in the West have a general pattern in which fires naturally occur, otherwise called a fire regime. These regimes serve the purpose of helping a forest get rid of excess wood fuel and cause opportunities for regrowth and regeneration. Many forest ecosystems in the West depend on fire to create their optimal conditions. As human populations increase in the West, the Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) has led to fire suppression which impedes natural fire regimes for the safety of residential areas. This causes an increase in fuel (burnable wood) in the forests of Utah that increases their chances of unintentionally catching fire. Further contributing to the dangers of uncontrolled fire is the increase in climate change every year. To better control the location and degree at which forest fires occur, fire can be prescribed for an area under certain weather conditions and with the appropriate permits. Utilizing prescribed fires and returning fire to an ecosystem in a controlled manner helps restore its health and reduce potentially catastrophic wildfires. Healthy ecosystems with restored natural fire regimes are more resistant to severe fire, disease, and insect infestations. The United States Forest Service (USFS) and other land management agencies in Utah closely monitor 115 Information on the TSS source apportionment data is located at http://views.cira.colostate.edu/tssv2/Reports2/Modeling/Src-App-DB-Avg-Bext-By-Source.aspx 64 local precipitation, wind, fuel, moisture, and other elements to determine the best conditions to carry out prescribed burning. The State of Utah and the USFS have developed mutual commitments to advance the strategy of “Shared Stewardship” in Utah. In August 2018, the Forest Service released a document outlining a new strategy for land management called “Toward Shared Stewardship Across Landscapes: An Outcome-Based Investment Strategy.” This strategy responds to the growing challenges faced by land managers including catastrophic wildfires. Of particular concern are longer fire seasons and the increasing size and severity of wildfires, along with the expanding risk to communities, water sources, wildlife habitat, air quality, and the safety of firefighters. Through Shared Stewardship, the State and Forest Service can work together and set landscape-scale priorities, implement projects at the appropriate scale, co-manage risks, share resources, and learn from each other while building long-term capacity to live with wildfire. Due to these initiatives, more frequent wildfires in the West, and thus increasing importance of prescribed fires, Utah does not consider reducing prescribed fires as a reasonable method to reduce visibility impairment. 5.E Utah Emissions Federal visibility regulations116 require a statewide emissions inventory of pollutants anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in Utah’s CIAs. WRAP inventoried pollutants in Utah including SO₂, NOx, VOCs, PM2.5, PM10, and NH3. The WRAP 2014v2 inventory was based on the 2014v2 National Emissions Inventory (NEI) as well as updates provided by western states (including Utah). RepBase2, the representative baseline emissions scenario, updated the 2014v2 inventory originally used to account for changes and variations in emissions from 2014 to 2018.117 This version also accounted for duplicate records found and revised some EGU, non-EGU point, oil, and gas emissions. The 2028 On the Books Inventory (2028OTBa2) projection follows the methods presented by the EPA in their 2019 Technical Support Document. WRAP states updated projections for all anthropogenic source sectors. Oil and gas area emissions were also updated by Ramboll, Inc. and the WRAP Oil and Gas Workgroup and separated into Tribal and non-Tribal mineral ownership. Table 14 contains data compiled by WRAP with information on the status of EGU retirements in Utah that were used in the RepBase2 and 2028OTBa2 inventories. Table 14: Status of Utah EGU Retirements in RepBase2 and 2028OTBa2 Inventories Facility Name Unit ID In- Service Year Retirement Year Notes Operator Unit Type Intermountain 1SGA 1986 2025 Announced retirement Intermountain Power Service Corporation Dry bottom wall-fired boiler Intermountain 2SGA 1987 2025 Announced retirement Intermountain Power Service Corporation Dry bottom wall-fired boiler 116 40 C.F.R. § 51.308(d)(4)(v). 117 UDAQ notes that these projections include emission not under state jurisdiction (i.e. Tribal) 65 Facility Name Unit ID In- Service Year Retirement Year Notes Operator Unit Type Bonanza 1-Jan 1986 2030 Coal consumption cap Deseret Generation & Transmission Dry bottom wall-fired boiler Hunter 1 1978 2042 PAC IRP; Round 1 RH FIP in Litigation PacifiCorp Energy Generation Tangentially-fired Hunter 2 1980 2042 PAC IRP; Round 1 RH FIP in Litigation PacifiCorp Energy Generation Tangentially-fired Hunter 3 1983 2042 PAC IRP PacifiCorp Energy Generation Dry bottom wall-fired boiler Huntington 1 1977 2036 PAC IRP; Round 1 RH FIP in Litigation PacifiCorp Energy Generation Tangentially-fired Huntington 2 1974 2036 PAC IRP; Round 1 RH FIP in Litigation PacifiCorp Energy Generation Tangentially-fired The resulting inventories were then used by WRAP to model future visibility in Utah’s CIAs.118 State and federal law require Utah to conduct a statewide emissions inventory program every three years. This inventory accounts for point, area, and mobile sources and accounts for the following criteria pollutants: • Ammonia (NH3) • Carbon Monoxide (CO) • Lead and Lead Compounds • Nitrogen Oxides (NO) • Particulate Matter (PM10 and PM2.5) • Sulfur Oxides (SO₂) • Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) The following tables contain Utah’s projected emissions inventories by species resulting from the RepBase2 and 2018OTBa2 modeling projections. 118 The complete methodology used to develop the WRAP emissions inventory can be found in “WRAP Technical Support System for Regional Haze Planning: Emissions and Modeling Methods, Results, and References” released on August 19, 2021. 66 Table 15: Utah SO₂ Emission Inventory – RepBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 Utah – Statewide SO₂ Emissions (TPY) Type Source Category 2014v2 Actual Representative Baseline 2 2028 OTB a2 Anthropogenic Electric Generating Units (EGU) 24,011 11,357 9,866 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas – Point 664 545 570 Anthropogenic Industrial and Non-EGU Point 2,400 2,402 2,402 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas – Non-point 41 41 31 Anthropogenic Residential Wood Combustion 24 24 24 Anthropogenic Fugitive dust 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Agriculture 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Remaining Non-point 61 61 61 Anthropogenic On-Road Mobile 275 275 185 Anthropogenic Non-road Mobile 25 16 13 Anthropogenic Rail 3 3 3 Anthropogenic Commercial Marine 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Agricultural Fire 5 5 5 Anthropogenic Wildland Prescribed Fire 320 524 524 Total Anthropogenic 27,829 15,253 13,684 Natural Wildfire 375 1,295 1,295 Natural Biogenic 0 0 0 Total Natural 375 1,295 1,295 Grand Total 28,204 16,548 14,979 The largest source of SO₂ emissions is fossil fuel combustion (mainly coal) at power plants and other industrial facilities. In Utah, the largest source of SO₂ emissions are EGUs. Smaller sources include metal extraction, mobile vehicles, and wood burning. Wildfires are the second largest source of SO₂ emissions in both the RepBase and 2028 scenarios. SO₂ emissions that lead to high concentrations of SO₂ in the air generally also lead to the formation of other sulfur oxides (SOx). SOx can react with other compounds in the atmosphere to form small particles. These particles contribute to PM pollution. Ammonium sulfate particles can have a great impact on visibility due to their greater light scattering effects. According to the 2028OTBa2 modeling, SO2 emissions are projected to decline to 14,979 tons per year in 2028. Table 16: Utah NOx Emission Inventory – RepBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 Utah – Statewide NOx Emissions (TPY) Type Source 2014v2 Representative 2028 OTB a2 67 Utah – Statewide NOx Emissions (TPY) Category Actual Baseline 2 Anthropogenic Electric Generating Units (EGU) 54,497 31,882 23,848 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas – Point 14,636 14,589 9,140 Anthropogenic Industrial and Non-EGU Point 13,086 13,107 13,107 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas – Non-point 1,811 1,806 1,428 Anthropogenic Residential Wood Combustion 189 189 189 Anthropogenic Fugitive dust 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Agriculture 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Remaining Non-point 4,846 4,846 4,846 Anthropogenic On-Road Mobile 74,643 74,643 25,539 Anthropogenic Non-road Mobile 9,669 7,029 4,741 Anthropogenic Rail 5,646 5,646 4,164 Anthropogenic Commercial Marine 1 0 0 Anthropogenic Agricultural Fire 19 19 19 Anthropogenic Wildland Prescribed Fire 596 572 572 Total Anthropogenic 179,639 154,328 87,593 Natural Wildfire 704 2,063 2,063 Natural Biogenic 12,602 12,602 12,602 Total Natural 13,306 14,665 14,665 Grand Total 192,945 168,993 102,258 NOx is a group of highly reactive gases formed in high-temperature combustion processes. This group includes NO2, nitrous acid, and nitric acid. NO2 emissions are primarily caused by fuel combustion from cars, trucks, buses, power plants, and off-road equipment. These substances are toxic by themselves and can react to form ozone or PM10 in the form of nitrates. Large nitrate particles have a greater light-scattering effect than large sulfate particles or dust particles. Most NOx emissions in Utah are from EGUs. NOx emissions are projected to decline to 102,258 tons per year, according to the 2028OTBa2 modeling. Table 17: Utah VOC Emission Inventory – RebBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 Utah - Statewide VOC Emissions (TPY) Type Source Category 2014v2 Actual Representative Baseline 2 2028 OTB a2 Anthropogenic Electric Generating Units (EGU) 391 285 276 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas - Point 111,225 110,906 71,207 Anthropogenic Industrial and Non-EGU Point 3,146 3,152 3,152 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas - Non-point 37,069 35,252 21,513 Anthropogenic Residential Wood Combustion 1,589 1,589 1,589 Anthropogenic Fugitive dust 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Agriculture 2,120 2,120 2,120 68 Utah - Statewide VOC Emissions (TPY) Anthropogenic Remaining Non-point 29,913 29,913 29,913 Anthropogenic On-Road Mobile 28,356 28,356 11,589 Anthropogenic Non-road Mobile 17,694 8,966 6,314 Anthropogenic Rail 287 287 179 Anthropogenic Commercial Marine 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Agricultural Fire 31 31 31 Anthropogenic Wildland Prescribed Fire 8,675 23,415 23,415 Total Anthropogenic 240,496 244,272 171,298 Natural Wildfire 10,062 54,614 54,614 Natural Biogenic 717,742 717,742 717,742 Total Natural 727,804 772,356 772,356 Grand Total 968,300 1,016,628 943,654 VOCs are volatile organic compounds that have high vapor pressure at room temperature. Many VOCs are human-made compounds that are used and produced in the manufacturing of paints, pharmaceuticals, and refrigerants. Companies in Utah must report all reactive VOC emissions (including fugitive emissions). Different VOCs have differing levels of reactivity that convert them to ozone. Therefore, changes in their emissions have limited effects on local or regional ozone pollution. VOCs also play a role in the formation of secondary particulates that can impact regional haze. The largest source of VOC emissions in Utah is oil and gas point sources. VOC emissions are expected to decline to 943,654 tons per year according to the 2028OTBa2 projections. Table 18: Utah PM2.5 Emission Inventory – RepBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 Utah - Statewide PM2.5 Emissions (TPY) Type Source Category 2014v2 Actual Representative Baseline 2 2028 OTB a2 Anthropogenic Electric Generating Units (EGU) 2,799 2,195 1,310 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas - Point 631 621 476 Anthropogenic Industrial and Non-EGU Point 2,618 2,620 2,620 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas - Non-point 81 81 61 Anthropogenic Residential Wood Combustion 1,403 1,403 1,403 Anthropogenic Fugitive dust 12,177 12,177 12,177 Anthropogenic Agriculture 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Remaining Non-point 1,181 1,181 1,181 Anthropogenic On-Road Mobile 2,726 2,726 1,081 Anthropogenic Non-road Mobile 1,103 706 447 Anthropogenic Rail 165 165 108 Anthropogenic Commercial Marine 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Agricultural Fire 83 83 83 69 Anthropogenic Wildland Prescribed Fire 3,580 7,092 7,092 Total Anthropogenic 28,547 31,050 28,039 Natural Wildfire 4,161 17,381 17,381 Natural Biogenic 0 0 0 Total Natural 4,161 17,381 17,381 Grand Total 32,708 48,431 45,420 PM2.5 particulates are fine, inhalable particles or droplets with a diameter of 2.5 microns or smaller. Within two years after the EPA revises NAAQS for criteria pollutants, it must designate areas according to their attainment status. These designations are based on the most recent three years of monitoring data, state recommendations, and other technical information. If an area is not meeting the standard, Utah must write a PM2.5 SIP that includes necessary control measures to ensure future attainment. The sector with the largest contribution of PM2.5 emissions in Utah is fugitive dust. PM2.5 emissions are expected to decline somewhat according to the 2028OTBa2 modeling. Table 19: Utah PM10 Emission Inventory – RepBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 Utah - Statewide PM10 Emissions (TPY) Type Source Category 2014v2 Actual Representative Baseline 2 2028 OTB a2 Anthropogenic Electric Generating Units (EGU) 3,671 2,534 1,607 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas - Point 632 621 476 Anthropogenic Industrial and Non-EGU Point 5,385 5,387 5,387 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas - Non-point 81 81 61 Anthropogenic Residential Wood Combustion 1,410 1,410 1,410 Anthropogenic Fugitive dust 95,505 95,505 95,505 Anthropogenic Agriculture 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Remaining Non-point 1,317 1,317 1,317 Anthropogenic On-Road Mobile 4,547 4,547 3,550 Anthropogenic Non-road Mobile 1,165 745 477 Anthropogenic Rail 179 179 111 Anthropogenic Commercial Marine 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Agricultural Fire 119 119 119 Anthropogenic Wildland Prescribed Fire 4,224 8,097 8,097 Total Anthropogenic 118,235 120,542 118,117 Natural Wildfire 4,910 20,318 20,318 Natural Biogenic 0 0 0 Total Natural 4,910 20,318 20,318 Grand Total 123,145 140,860 138,435 70 PM10 is inhalable particulate matter that is 10 microns or smaller in diameter. Sources of PM10 include: • Vehicles • Wood-burning • Wildfires or open burns • Industry • Dust from construction sites, landfills, gravels pits, agriculture, and open lands The NAAQS for PM specifies the maximum amount of PM present in outdoor air. PM concentration is measured in micrograms per cubic meter, or µg/m3. For PM10, most high values tend to occur during wintertime inversions. In the summertime, high wind events can also lead to unusually high PM10 values. According to the 2028OTBa2 projections, PM10 emissions are expected to decrease to 138,435 tons per year in 2028. This is lower than the representative baseline from 2014 to 2017, but higher than the recalculated 2014 emissions. Table 20: Utah NH3 Emission Inventory – RepBase2 (2014-2018) and 2028OTBa2 Utah - Statewide NH3 Emissions Type Source Category 2014v2 Actual Representative Baseline 2 2028 OTB a2 Anthropogenic Electric Generating Units (EGU) 273 262 261 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas - Point 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Industrial and Non-EGU Point 400 400 400 Anthropogenic Oil and Gas - Non-point 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Residential Wood Combustion 63 63 63 Anthropogenic Fugitive dust 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Agriculture 12,982 12,982 12,982 Anthropogenic Remaining Non-point 5,012 5,012 5,012 Anthropogenic On-Road Mobile 1,025 1,025 1,039 Anthropogenic Non-road Mobile 17 14 17 Anthropogenic Rail 3 3 3 Anthropogenic Commercial Marine 0 0 0 Anthropogenic Agricultural Fire 70 70 70 Anthropogenic Wildland Prescribed Fire 678 1,164 1,164 Total Anthropogenic 20,523 20,995 21,011 Natural Wildfire 787 2,702 2,702 Natural Biogenic 0 0 0 Total Natural 787 2,702 2,702 Grand Total 21,310 23,697 23,713 NH3 plays a role in light extinction since it is involved in the formation of ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulfate. The various industries that emit NH3 include: 71 • Fertilizer manufacturing • Fossil fuel combustion • Livestock management • Refrigeration methods Currently, there is limited federal regulation of NH3 emissions, although the CAA provides federal authority to regulate this pollutant. NH3 emissions levels are consistent in each of the three WRAP projections for 2014, 2014-2017, and 2028. 72 Chapter 6: Long-Term Strategy for Second Planning Period119 6.A LTS Requirements 120 The Long-Term Strategy requirements under Subsections 51.308(d)(3) and (f)(2) include the following: • Submit an initial LTS and 5-year progress review per 40 CFR 51.308(g) that addresses regional haze visibility impairment. • Consult with other states to develop coordinated emission management strategies for CIAs outside Utah where Utah emissions cause or contribute to visibility impairment, or for CIAs in Utah where emissions from other states cause or contribute to visibility impairment. • Enforceable emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures necessary to achieve the reasonable progress goals established by Utah for its CIAs. • Document the technical basis on which the state is relying to determine its apportionment of emission reduction obligations necessary for achieving reasonable progress in each CIA it affects. • Identify all anthropogenic sources of visibility impairing emissions (major and minor stationary sources, mobile sources, and area sources). • Consider the following factors when developing the LTS: o Emission reductions due to ongoing air pollution control programs, including measures to address Reasonably Attributable Visibility Impairment (RAVI); o Measures to mitigate the impacts of construction activities; o Emission limitations and schedules for compliance to achieve the reasonable progress goal; o Source retirement and replacement schedules; o Smoke management techniques for agricultural and forestry management purposes including plans as currently exist within the state for this purpose; o Enforceability of emission limitations and control measures; and o The anticipated net effect on visibility due to projected changes in point, area, and mobile source emissions over the period addressed by the long-term strategy. Sections 6.A.1 through 6.A.8 detail how Utah addressed the above LTS factors. 119 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2) 120 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3) and (f)(2) 73 6.A.1 States reasonably anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in the Utah CIAs121 Bryce Canyon National Park In Bryce Canyon National Park, California contributes the highest portion of U.S. anthropogenic ammonium nitrate-caused light extinction on most impaired days at 35%, followed by Utah at 23%. California also contributes the highest amount of U.S. anthropogenic ammonium sulfate light extinction in Bryce Canyon at 19% followed by non-WRAP states at 14%, Utah at 14%, Arizona at 12%, Wyoming at 12%, and New Mexico at 11%. 121 40 CFR 51.308 (f)(2)(ii) Figure 34: WRAP States Ammonium Sulfate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Bryce Canyon National Park Figure 33: WRAP States Ammonium Nitrate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Bryce Canyon National Park 74 Canyonlands and Arches National Park In Canyonlands and Arches National Park, Utah contributes the largest portion of U.S. ammonium nitrate light extinction (60%) followed by Colorado (14%). Utah also contributes the most U.S. ammonium sulfate light extinction (40%) on the park’s most impaired days followed by New Mexico (13%) and non-WRAP US states (12%). Figure 36: WRAP States Ammonium Nitrate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Canyonlands and Arches National Park Figure 35: WRAP States Ammonium Sulfate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Canyonlands and Arches National Park 75 Capitol Reef National Park Utah contributes the highest portion of U.S. anthropogenic ammonium nitrate light extinction on Capitol Reef’s most impaired days at 35%. California contributes the second-highest amount at 21%. Utah also contributes the highest portion of U.S. anthropogenic ammonium sulfate light extinction at 20%, closely followed by non-WRAP states (15%), California (13%), and Wyoming (13%). Figure 37: WRAP States Ammonium Sulfate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Capitol Reef National Park Figure 38: WRAP States Ammonium Nitrate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Capitol Reef National Park 76 Zion National Park For Zion National Park’s most impaired days, California contributes the highest portion of U.S. anthropogenic ammonium nitrate light extinction (49%) with mobile emissions comprising the majority of their impact (27%). California also contributes to the majority of U.S. anthropogenic ammonium sulfate light extinction (37%), most of which are from non-EGU sources (23%). Figure 40: WRAP States Ammonium Nitrate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Zion National Park Figure 39: WRAP States Ammonium Sulfate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Zion National Park 77 6.A.2 Utah sources identified by downwind states that are reasonably anticipated to impact CIAs122 Utah has analyzed the WRAP photochemical modeling for OTB 2028 and found that emissions from Utah can impact visibility at CIAs in other states. Table 21 and Table 22 below summarize Utah’s percent contribution to total U.S. anthropogenic nitrate and sulfate light extinction at CIAs in neighboring states. As can be seen, Utah’s highest nitrate impacts occur in Colorado, Idaho, and Wyoming CIAs and mostly stem from mobile source emissions. Utah’s highest sulfate impacts also occur in Colorado, Idaho, and Wyoming (namely at MOZI1, WHRI1, CRMO1, and BRID1) and predominantly stem from EGU emissions and some non-EGU emissions in the case of CRMO1. It should be noted that the WRAP source apportionment results for Utah EGUs include impacts from the Bonanza power plant, which is located in Indian Country and which is not, therefore, a source regulated by UDAQ. A review of the weighted emissions potential (WEP) values for sulfate at the latter CIAs identified one Utah EGU, Kennecott Power Plant, with a top-ten sulfate WEP value for BRID1 (rank 2, 7.4% of total WEP). However, this facility was officially closed in 2020. The facilities with the two highest ranking non-EGU WEP sulfate values at CRMO1 were the Tesoro (now Marathon) refinery (rank 6, 6.8% of total WEP) and the Kennecott Smelter and Refinery (rank 10, 2.2% of total WEP), both of which recently underwent BACT analysis for the Salt Lake PM2.5 serious area SIP and are well-controlled for SO2. As one might expect, when Utah anthropogenic impacts are compared to total nitrate and sulfate light extinction at the same CIAs, Utah’s shares drop markedly, as shown in Table 23 and Table 24, respectively. And nitrate and sulfate are only two of several contributors to total visibility impairment. As such, Utah’s shares of nitrate and sulfate impacts should be considered in this broader context. That said, the aforementioned source apportionment results were not used to screen out any sources from a requirement to conduct a four-factor analysis. Rather, UDAQ relied upon a preliminary Q/d analysis to identify sources with a Q/d of >=6. UDAQ then conducted a secondary screening to review the initial pool of Q/d-qualifying sources to account for factors such as recent emissions controls required by other air quality programs, facility closures, federal preemptions on state controls, etc. Finally, UDAQ reviewed WEP results for nitrate and sulfate to ensure that the remaining Q/d pool reasonably captured sources with impacts at Utah and non-Utah CIAs. This screening analysis is detailed in section 7.A. Table 21: Utah Share of U.S. Anthropogenic Nitrate Impacts on Neighboring State CIAs State Site EGU Mobile Non-EGU Oil & Gas Remaining Anthro Utah Total AZ BALD1 0.19% 0.22% 0.10% 0.02% 0.03% 0.55% AZ CHIR1 0.76% 0.68% 0.29% 0.19% 0.13% 2.05% AZ GRCA2 0.64% 0.63% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% 1.71% AZ IKBA1 0.21% 0.29% 0.10% 0.05% 0.07% 0.73% AZ PEFO1 2.89% 1.95% 0.75% 0.57% 0.56% 6.73% AZ SAGU1 0.35% 0.32% 0.10% 0.08% 0.07% 0.93% AZ SIAN1 0.19% 0.19% 0.11% 0.02% 0.03% 0.53% 122 40 CFR 51.308 (f)(2)(ii)(A) 78 State Site EGU Mobile Non-EGU Oil & Gas Remaining Anthro Utah Total AZ SYCA_RHTS 1.12% 1.45% 0.57% 0.23% 0.26% 3.62% AZ TONT1 0.22% 0.30% 0.09% 0.05% 0.07% 0.74% CO GRSA1 2.39% 1.35% 0.44% 0.59% 0.32% 5.08% CO MEVE1 4.33% 2.76% 0.81% 0.91% 0.68% 9.49% CO MOZI1 4.14% 7.23% 3.00% 3.00% 1.44% 18.81% CO ROMO1 1.95% 3.53% 1.47% 1.27% 0.72% 8.94% CO WEMI1 2.43% 2.20% 0.72% 0.99% 0.25% 6.59% CO WHRI1 5.14% 6.75% 2.23% 2.64% 0.98% 17.74% ID CRMO1 0.62% 6.88% 3.42% 0.03% 2.02% 12.97% ID SAWT1 0.05% 0.38% 0.22% 0.01% 0.09% 0.74% ID SULA1 0.09% 0.96% 0.45% 0.01% 0.13% 1.63% NM BAND1 0.58% 0.43% 0.14% 0.14% 0.08% 1.37% NM BOAP1 0.50% 0.47% 0.19% 0.12% 0.12% 1.41% NM GICL1 0.27% 0.38% 0.15% 0.07% 0.06% 0.93% NM GUMO1 0.17% 0.27% 0.09% 0.06% 0.02% 0.60% NM SACR1 0.06% 0.06% 0.02% 0.02% 0.01% 0.17% NM SAPE1 0.84% 0.60% 0.24% 0.24% 0.14% 2.05% NM WHIT1 0.12% 0.14% 0.05% 0.04% 0.03% 0.38% NM WHPE1 0.96% 0.84% 0.29% 0.23% 0.16% 2.48% NV JARB1 0.43% 1.32% 0.54% 0.10% 0.23% 2.63% WY BRID1 2.98% 12.91% 6.56% 1.53% 2.41% 26.39% WY NOAB1 0.49% 3.11% 1.60% 0.07% 0.72% 5.98% WY YELL2 0.63% 5.90% 2.94% 0.07% 1.43% 10.97% Table 22: Utah Share of U.S. Anthropogenic Sulfate Impacts on Neighboring State CIAs State Site EGU Mobile Non-EGU Oil & Gas Remaining Anthro Utah Total AZ BALD1 0.60% 0.03% 0.23% 0.02% 0.02% 0.91% AZ CHIR1 1.26% 0.04% 0.33% 0.08% 0.03% 1.74% AZ GRCA2 2.18% 0.08% 0.19% 0.28% 0.08% 2.81% AZ IKBA1 1.29% 0.07% 0.29% 0.10% 0.06% 1.81% AZ PEFO1 2.30% 0.11% 0.51% 0.14% 0.07% 3.12% AZ SAGU1 1.36% 0.06% 0.34% 0.06% 0.04% 1.86% AZ SIAN1 0.62% 0.03% 0.18% 0.03% 0.03% 0.89% AZ SYCA_RHTS 4.21% 0.22% 1.45% 0.09% 0.15% 6.13% AZ TONT1 1.31% 0.06% 0.33% 0.09% 0.04% 1.84% CO GRSA1 4.85% 0.09% 0.38% 0.52% 0.07% 5.91% CO MEVE1 7.97% 0.17% 0.84% 1.57% 0.14% 10.69% CO MOZI1 10.25% 0.27% 1.48% 0.67% 0.18% 12.85% CO ROMO1 5.89% 0.28% 2.12% 0.49% 0.17% 8.96% CO WEMI1 6.79% 0.19% 0.96% 1.41% 0.14% 9.49% CO WHRI1 22.85% 0.45% 1.91% 2.12% 0.30% 27.62% 79 State Site EGU Mobile Non-EGU Oil & Gas Remaining Anthro Utah Total ID CRMO1 4.17% 0.48% 4.08% 0.01% 0.35% 9.10% ID SAWT1 1.23% 0.06% 0.82% 0.01% 0.04% 2.15% ID SULA1 0.79% 0.11% 0.70% 0.01% 0.08% 1.70% NM BAND1 1.25% 0.04% 0.18% 0.22% 0.02% 1.70% NM BOAP1 0.68% 0.03% 0.14% 0.04% 0.02% 0.91% NM GICL1 0.89% 0.04% 0.26% 0.04% 0.03% 1.25% NM GUMO1 0.49% 0.02% 0.12% 0.03% 0.01% 0.66% NM SACR1 0.21% 0.01% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00% 0.27% NM SAPE1 2.07% 0.06% 0.31% 0.25% 0.05% 2.74% NM WHIT1 0.29% 0.01% 0.06% 0.02% 0.01% 0.38% NM WHPE1 1.55% 0.05% 0.28% 0.13% 0.03% 2.04% NV JARB1 2.05% 0.12% 0.85% 0.03% 0.07% 3.13% WY BRID1 12.26% 0.63% 5.98% 0.30% 0.42% 19.59% WY NOAB1 4.01% 0.15% 1.12% 0.17% 0.12% 5.57% WY YELL2 5.29% 0.35% 3.22% 0.05% 0.24% 9.15% Table 23: Utah Share of Total Nitrate Impacts on Neighboring State CIAs State Site EGU Mobile Non-EGU Oil & Gas Remaining Anthro Utah Total AZ BALD1 0.06% 0.07% 0.03% 0.01% 0.01% 0.17% AZ CHIR1 0.17% 0.15% 0.06% 0.04% 0.03% 0.45% AZ GRCA2 0.07% 0.07% 0.01% 0.03% 0.01% 0.20% AZ IKBA1 0.12% 0.16% 0.06% 0.03% 0.04% 0.41% AZ PEFO1 1.34% 0.90% 0.35% 0.26% 0.26% 3.11% AZ SAGU1 0.18% 0.17% 0.05% 0.04% 0.04% 0.48% AZ SIAN1 0.10% 0.09% 0.06% 0.01% 0.01% 0.27% AZ SYCA_RHTS 0.38% 0.50% 0.19% 0.08% 0.09% 1.24% AZ TONT1 0.13% 0.18% 0.06% 0.03% 0.04% 0.44% CO GRSA1 1.19% 0.68% 0.22% 0.29% 0.16% 2.54% CO MEVE1 2.38% 1.52% 0.45% 0.50% 0.37% 5.21% CO MOZI1 1.77% 3.09% 1.28% 1.28% 0.61% 8.03% CO ROMO1 1.19% 2.16% 0.90% 0.77% 0.44% 5.45% CO WEMI1 0.94% 0.85% 0.28% 0.38% 0.10% 2.54% CO WHRI1 1.81% 2.39% 0.79% 0.93% 0.35% 6.27% ID CRMO1 0.26% 2.94% 1.46% 0.01% 0.86% 5.54% ID SAWT1 0.01% 0.08% 0.05% 0.00% 0.02% 0.16% ID SULA1 0.02% 0.18% 0.08% 0.00% 0.02% 0.31% NM BAND1 0.32% 0.24% 0.08% 0.08% 0.05% 0.75% NM BOAP1 0.24% 0.22% 0.09% 0.06% 0.06% 0.67% NM GICL1 0.01% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% NM GUMO1 0.06% 0.09% 0.03% 0.02% 0.01% 0.20% 80 State Site EGU Mobile Non-EGU Oil & Gas Remaining Anthro Utah Total NM SACR1 0.04% 0.04% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.12% NM SAPE1 0.44% 0.31% 0.13% 0.12% 0.07% 1.07% NM WHIT1 0.05% 0.06% 0.02% 0.02% 0.01% 0.17% NM WHPE1 0.42% 0.37% 0.13% 0.10% 0.07% 1.09% NV JARB1 0.11% 0.33% 0.13% 0.03% 0.06% 0.65% WY BRID1 0.97% 4.20% 2.13% 0.50% 0.78% 8.57% WY NOAB1 0.08% 0.49% 0.25% 0.01% 0.11% 0.95% WY YELL2 0.18% 1.69% 0.84% 0.02% 0.41% 3.14% Table 24: Utah Share of Total Sulfate Impacts on Neighboring State CIAs State Site EGU Mobile Non-EGU Oil & Gas Remaining Anthro Utah Total AZ BALD1 0.06% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.10% AZ CHIR1 0.13% 0.00% 0.03% 0.01% 0.00% 0.17% AZ GRCA2 0.93% 0.03% 0.08% 0.12% 0.03% 1.19% AZ IKBA1 0.14% 0.01% 0.03% 0.01% 0.01% 0.20% AZ PEFO1 0.46% 0.02% 0.10% 0.03% 0.01% 0.63% AZ SAGU1 0.20% 0.01% 0.05% 0.01% 0.01% 0.27% AZ SIAN1 0.06% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.09% AZ SYCA_RHTS 0.50% 0.03% 0.17% 0.01% 0.02% 0.72% AZ TONT1 0.15% 0.01% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00% 0.21% CO GRSA1 1.31% 0.02% 0.10% 0.14% 0.02% 1.60% CO MEVE1 1.98% 0.04% 0.21% 0.39% 0.03% 2.66% CO MOZI1 2.68% 0.07% 0.39% 0.18% 0.05% 3.36% CO ROMO1 1.64% 0.08% 0.59% 0.14% 0.05% 2.50% CO WEMI1 1.45% 0.04% 0.20% 0.30% 0.03% 2.02% CO WHRI1 4.16% 0.08% 0.35% 0.39% 0.05% 5.02% ID CRMO1 0.46% 0.05% 0.45% 0.00% 0.04% 1.01% ID SAWT1 0.08% 0.00% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.13% ID SULA1 0.05% 0.01% 0.05% 0.00% 0.01% 0.11% NM BAND1 0.41% 0.01% 0.06% 0.07% 0.01% 0.55% NM BOAP1 0.19% 0.01% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00% 0.25% NM GICL1 0.12% 0.01% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.17% NM GUMO1 0.11% 0.00% 0.03% 0.01% 0.00% 0.15% NM SACR1 0.06% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% NM SAPE1 0.54% 0.01% 0.08% 0.07% 0.01% 0.71% NM WHIT1 0.07% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.10% NM WHPE1 0.44% 0.01% 0.08% 0.04% 0.01% 0.58% NV JARB1 0.13% 0.01% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.20% WY BRID1 2.01% 0.10% 0.98% 0.05% 0.07% 3.21% WY NOAB1 0.35% 0.01% 0.10% 0.02% 0.01% 0.49% 81 State Site EGU Mobile Non-EGU Oil & Gas Remaining Anthro Utah Total WY YELL2 0.68% 0.05% 0.41% 0.01% 0.03% 1.17% 6.A.3 Technical Basis of Reasonable Progress Goals Please refer to sections 4.A.4 and 4.A.5 to view visibility progress to date and natural baseline comparisons for Utah’s CIAs as well as section 6.A.10 to review UDAQ’s Long-Term Strategy along with its technical basis. 6.A.4 Identify Anthropogenic Sources Please refer to sections 5.C and 5.E for Utah’s detailed emissions inventory by sector. Please refer to sections 7.A and 7.A.1 for Utah’s source screening processes and Q/d analysis for determining which sources have the highest potential impact on Utah’s CIAs. 6.A.5 Emissions Reductions Due to Ongoing Pollution Control Programs123 RAVI RAVI refers to a process to identify and control visibility impairment that is caused by the emissions of air pollutants from one, or a small number of sources directly impacting a CIA. The three primary steps in this process are:124 • FLM certification of impairment • State identification of existing sources causing or contributing to the impairment • BART analysis to determine what controls, if any, are required on any existing source that meets BART criteria and has been identified as contributing to impairment In the case that a FLM certifies impairment for any of Utah’s CIAs, RAVI125 will be addressed by the state through the following actions: • Submittal of an initial RAVI LTS along with periodic revisions every three years • Submittal of an LTS revision within three years of an FLM certification of impairment • Consultation with FLMs • Submittal of a report to the EPA and public on Utah’s progress towards the national goal UDAQ consulted with NPS who confirmed that none of Utah’s CIAs have been certified as impaired by any FLMs. National Ambient Air Quality Standards The CAA requires the EPA to set NAAQS for pollutants considered harmful to public health and the environment. The CAA establishes two types of air quality standards: primary and 123 51.308(d)(3) and (f)(2) 124 The Recommendations for Making Attribution Determinations in the Context of Reasonably Attributable BART can be found at: http://www.westar.org/RA%20BART/final%20RA%20BART%20Report.pdf 125 40 CFR 51.302 82 secondary. Primary standards are set to protect public health, including the health of sensitive populations such as asthmatics, children, and the elderly. Secondary standards are set to protect public welfare, including protection from decreased visibility and damage to animals, crops, vegetation, and buildings. The EPA has established health-based NAAQS for the six criteria pollutants including CO, NO2, O3, PM, SO2, and lead. The EPA establishes the primary health standards after considering both the concentration level and the duration of exposure that can cause adverse health effects. Pollutant concentrations that exceed the NAAQS are considered unhealthy for some portion of the population. At concentrations between 1.0 and 1.5 times the standard, while the general public is not expected to be adversely affected by the pollutant, the most sensitive portion of the population may be. However, at levels above 1.5 times the standard, even healthy people may see adverse effects. The UDAQ monitors these criteria pollutants, as well as meteorological conditions and several non-criteria pollutants for special studies at various monitoring sites throughout the state. The CAA has three different designations for areas based on whether they meet the NAAQS for each pollutant. Areas in compliance with the NAAQS are designated as attainment areas. Areas where there is no monitoring data showing compliance or noncompliance with the NAAQS are designated as unclassifiable areas. Areas that are not in compliance with the NAAQS are designated as nonattainment areas. A maintenance area is an attainment area that was once designated as nonattainment for one of the NAAQS and has since been demonstrated as attaining and continuing to attain that standard for a period of a minimum of 10 years. Most of the State of Utah has been designated as either Attainment or Unclassifiable for all the NAAQS. Utah has never been out of compliance with any NO2 standard, and has not exceeded the lead standard since the 1970s. Three cities in Utah (Salt Lake City, Ogden, and Provo) were at one time designated as nonattainment areas for carbon monoxide. Due primarily to improvements in motor vehicle technology, Utah has complied with the carbon monoxide standards since 1994. Salt Lake City, Ogden, and Provo were successfully redesignated to attainment status in 1999, 2001, and 2006, respectively. Ozone (O3) In October of 2015, the EPA strengthened the ozone NAAQS from 75 ppb to 70 ppb, based on a three-year average of the annual 4th highest daily eight-hour average concentration. The standard was reviewed again in 2020 and the EPA chose to retain the standard at 70 ppb. Ozone monitors operated by the UDAQ along the Wasatch Front show exceedances of the current standard in Weber, Davis, and Salt Lake counties. There were also exceedances in Uinta County and Duchesne County during the winter. In 2016, the Governor recommended that portions of the Wasatch Front and Uinta Basin be designated non-attainment and that the rest of the State be designated attainment/unclassifiable. The current status of attainment for ozone in the Uintah basin is marginal non-attainment. 83 The unique wintertime ozone issue in the Uinta Basin is caused by oil and gas extraction. UDAQ is working on rule amendments and potentially new rules for the oil and gas industry to stay in compliance with the ozone NAAQS. PM10 The EPA established the 24-hour NAAQS for PM10 in July 1987 as 150 μg/m3. The standard is met when the probability of exceeding the standard is no greater than once per year for a three- year averaging period. Salt Lake County and Utah County had been designated nonattainment for PM10 shortly after the standard was promulgated. Ogden City was also designated as a nonattainment area due to one year of high concentrations (1992) but was determined to be attaining the standard in January 2013. State Implementation Plans (SIP) were written and promulgated in 1991 and included control strategies that resulted in the marked decrease in PM10 concentrations observed in the early 1990s. Ogden City, and Salt Lake and Utah Counties were officially designated as attainment for PM10 effective March 27, 2020. These three former nonattainment areas are now subject to the maintenance plans that were approved by EPA and the areas must continue to attain the standard for the first maintenance period of ten years. High values of monitored PM10 sometimes result from exceptional events, such as dust storms and wildfires. PM2.5 The EPA first established standards for PM2.5 in 1997. In 2006, the EPA lowered the 24-hour PM2.5 standard from 65µg/m3 to 35 µg/m3. The PM2.5 NAAQS underwent a review in 2020 and the standards were retained. In 2009, three areas in Utah were designated nonattainment for PM2.5. UDAQ wrote a moderate SIP for the Logan, UT-ID nonattainment area, including a vehicle emissions inspection program. Logan attained the standard, and has since been redesignated to attainment status. The Provo and Salt Lake PM2.5 nonattainment areas were unable to attain by the moderate attainment date and were reclassified to serious nonattainment. A serious SIP was submitted to EPA for the Salt Lake nonattainment area, and the Provo nonattainment area attained the standard prior to a serious SIP due date. Best Available Control Measures and Technologies were still required in both nonattainment areas, significantly reducing VOCs, NOx, and both primary and secondary PM2.5 in the airsheds. Both areas have now attained the standard, and EPA is reviewing SIP elements and maintenance plans for official redesignation to attainment/maintenance. Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) In 1971, EPA established a 24-hour average SO2 standard of 0.14 ppm, and an annual arithmetic average standard of 0.030 ppm. In 2010, EPA revised the primary standard for SO2, setting it at 75 ppb for a three-year average of the 99thpercentile of the annual distribution of daily maximum one-hour average concentrations for SO2. Throughout the 1970s, the Magna monitor routinely measured violations of the 1971 24-hour standard. Consequently, all of Salt Lake County and parts of eastern Tooele County above 5,600 feet were designated as nonattainment for that standard. Two significant technological upgrades at the Kennecott smelter costing the company nearly one billion dollars resulted in continued compliance with the SO2 standard since 1981. In the mid-1990s, Kennecott, Geneva Steel, the five refineries in Salt 84 Lake City, and several other large sources of SO2 made dramatic reductions in emissions as part of an effort to curb concentrations of secondary particulates (sulfates) that were contributing to PM10 violations. More recently, Kennecott closed Units 1, 2, and 3 of its coal-fired power plants in 2016 and Unit 4 in 2019, resulting in further SO2 emissions reductions. Utah submitted an SO2 Maintenance Plan and redesignation request for Salt Lake and Tooele Counties to the EPA in April of 2005, but EPA never took formal action on the request. Because of changes in the emissions in subsequent years, and changes in the modeling used to demonstrate attainment of the standard, in November 2019, the State of Utah withdrew its 2005 Maintenance Plan and redesignation request. UDAQ is currently working very closely with EPA to develop a new maintenance plan and redesignation request to address the 1971 standard. UDAQ will conduct modeling and other analyses in 2021 with the goal of submitting an approvable maintenance plan and redesignation request to EPA by the end of that year. On November 1, 2016, Governor Herbert submitted a recommendation to EPA that all areas of the state be designated as attainment for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS based on monitoring and air quality modeling data. On January 9, 2018, EPA formally concurred with this recommendation and designated all areas of the state as attainment/unclassifiable. The NAAQS program and Utah’s work to stay in compliance with all NAAQS has significantly decreased VOC, NOx, PM2.5, PM10, and SO2 emissions over time, benefiting the regional haze program. Air Quality Incentive Programs In addition to the NAAQS program, UDAQ administers multiple incentive programs created to encourage individuals and businesses to voluntarily reduce emissions. Funding for these programs comes from various sources, including settlement agreements, legislative appropriations, and federal grant programs. The emissions reductions from incentive programs are not included as part of any SIP, but the reductions do make an impact on monitored ambient values. Targeted Airshed Grants UDAQ has been a recipient of EPA targeted airshed grants in the past for PM2.5 and ozone in Logan, Salt Lake, Provo, and the Uinta Basin nonattainment areas. Programs include woodstove/fireplace conversions, school bus replacements, vehicle repair and replacement assistance programs, and an oil and gas engine replacement program. UDAQ applied for the competitive grants and was awarded a total of $14.5 million for these projects that are still in process. Utah Clean Diesel Program The Utah Clean Diesel Program aims to cut emissions from heavy- duty diesel vehicles and equipment that operate in the State’s nonattainment areas. Fleet owners receive a 25% incentive toward the purchase of new vehicles and equipment that meet the cleanest emissions standards. Retiring engine model years 2006 and older diesel trucks that are currently operational and have a minimum of three years remaining in their useful life and replacing them with current model years can achieve approximately 71 to 90% reductions in NOx, 97 to 98% 85 reductions in PM2.5, and 89 to 91% reductions in VOCs, according to the EPA Emissions Standards for Heavy-Duty Highway Engines and Vehicles. Nearly $24 million in federal grants have been awarded through the Utah Clean Diesel Program since 2008, resulting in thousands of tons reduced from diesel emissions. Legislative Appropriations for Incentive Programs The woodstove and fireplace conversion funded by the targeted airshed grant was wildly successful, and the Utah State Legislature appropriated UDAQ an additional $9 million to convert wood burning appliance to gas or electric along Utah’s Wasatch Front. This program is currently being administered. During the 2019 General Legislative Session, the State Legislature appropriated $4.9 million to be used as an incentive for the installation of electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) throughout the State. The EVSE Incentive Program allows businesses, non-profit organizations, and other governmental entities (excluding State Executive Branch agencies) to apply for a grant for reimbursement of up to 50% of the purchase and installation costs for a pre-approved EVSE project. Funds can be used for the purchase and installation of both Level 2 or DC fast charging EVSE. This program continues to be administered. During the 2019 Legislative Session, the Legislature appropriated $500,000 to the UDAQ to administer a Trip Reduction Program. A primary component of the Trip Reduction Program is a Free-Fare Day Pilot Project. The UDAQ has worked closely with the Utah Transit Authority (UTA) to provide free fares during inversion periods when air quality levels are increasing and projected to reach levels that are harmful to human health. Clean Air Violation Settlement Dollars for Emissions Reduction Incentives The State of Utah is a beneficiary of over $35 million from the Volkswagen (VW) Environmental Mitigation Trust, part of a settlement with VW for violations of the CAA. UDAQ has developed an environmental mitigation plan to offset the NOx emissions from the vehicles in the State affected by the automaker’s violations. The plan directs the $35 million settlement funds towards upgrades to government-owned diesel truck and bus fleets as well as the expansion of electric- vehicle (EV) charging equipment. Funding allocations are as follows: • Class 4-8 Local Freight Trucks and School Bus, Shuttle Bus, and Transit Bus: 73.5% • Light-Duty, Zero Emissions Vehicle Supply Equipment: 11% • Administrative Costs: 8.5% • Diesel Emission Reduction Act (DERA) options: 7% Projects were prioritized and selected based on their reduction of NOx, cost-per-ton of NOx reduced, value to the nonattainment areas, and community benefits. Awardees will have three years to complete their projects. Using settlement money from General Motors, UDAQ runs an electric lawn equipment exchange each year. Participants receive a higher incentive dollar amount if they scrap an old gas-powered piece of equipment. 86 6.A.6 Measures to Mitigate the Impacts of Construction Activities Fugitive dust is particles of soil, ash, coal, minerals, etc., which become airborne because of wind or mechanical disturbance. Fugitive dust can be generated from natural causes such as wind or from manmade causes such as unpaved haul roads and operational areas, storage, hauling and handling of aggregate materials, construction activities and demolition activities. Fugitive dust contributes particulate matter (PM) emissions to the atmosphere. PM emissions must be minimized to meet NAAQS. Fugitive dust is limited to an opacity of 20% or less on site, and 10% or less at the property boundary. Opacity is a measurement of how much visibility is obscured by a plume of dust. For example, if a plume of dust obscures 20% of the view in the background, the visible emissions from the dust plume is 20% opacity. The regulations described in this Subsection apply to the following areas of the state: • all regions of Salt Lake and Davis counties • all portions of the Cache Valley • all regions in Weber and Utah counties west of the Wasatch Mountain range • in Box Elder County, from the Wasatch Mountain range west to the Promontory Mountain range and south of Portage • in Tooele County, from the northernmost part of the Oquirrh mountain range to the northern most part of the Stansbury Mountain range and north of Route 199. In addition to opacity limits, any source 0.25 acre or greater in size is required to submit a Fugitive Dust Control Plan (FDCP) to the UDAQ. The FDCP is required to help sources minimize the amount of fugitive dust generated onsite. A source is required to submit a FDCP prior to initial construction or operation and prior to any modifications made on site that effect fugitive dust emissions. Sources are required to maintain records indicating compliance with the conditions of a FDCP. For high wind events (winds over 25 miles per hour) additional records are required. The sources must make these records available for review by the UDAQ upon request. There are also regulations regarding possible fugitive dust from roadways: • Any person whose activities result in fugitive dust from a road shall minimize fugitive dust to the maximum extent possible. • Any person who deposits materials that may create fugitive dust on a public or private paved road shall clean the road promptly. • Any person responsible for construction or maintenance of any existing road or having a right-of-way easement or possessing the right to use a road shall minimize fugitive dust to the maximum extent possible. • Any person responsible for construction or maintenance of any new or existing unpaved road shall prevent, to the maximum extent possible, the deposit of material from the unpaved road onto any intersecting paved road during construction or maintenance. This includes site entrances and exits for vehicles. • Demolition activities including razing homes, buildings, or other structures. 87 6.A.7 Basic smoke management practices Subsection 51.309(d)(6) of Title 40 Code of Federal Regulations includes the following requirements for state implementation plans regarding programs related to fire: (1) documentation that all federal, state and private prescribed fire programs in the state evaluate and address the degree of visibility impairment from smoke in their planning and application; (2) a statewide inventory and emissions tracking system for VOCs, NOx, elemental and organic carbon, and fine particle emissions from fire; (3) identification and removal of any administrative barriers to the use of alternatives to burning where possible; (4) inclusion of enhanced smoke management programs considering visibility as well as health and nuisance objectives based on specific criteria; (5) and establishment of annual emission goals for fire in cooperation with states, tribes, federal land managers and private entities to minimize emissions increases from fire to the maximum extent feasible. Utah implements an EPA-approved Smoke Management Plan (SMP) to regulate open burning and prescribed fire activities. Utah has developed a smoke management regulation (found in Utah Administrative Code r. R307-204) that implements the Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) Enhanced Smoke Management Programs for Visibility Policy. The SMP considers smoke management techniques and the visibility impacts of smoke when developing, issuing or conditioning permits, and when making dispersion forecast recommendations. Pursuant to 40 CFR § 51.309(d)(6)(i), the State of Utah has evaluated all federal, state, and private prescribed fire programs in the state, based on the potential to contribute to visibility impairment in the 16 CIAs of the Colorado Plateau, and how visibility protection from smoke is addressed in planning and operation. The State of Utah relied upon the WRAP report Assessing Status of Incorporating Smoke Effects into fire Planning and Operation as a guide for making this evaluation. The State of Utah has also evaluated whether these prescribed fire programs contain the following elements: actions to minimize emissions; evaluation of smoke dispersion; alternatives to fire; public notification; air quality monitoring; surveillance and enforcement; and program evaluation. The Utah Smoke Management Plan (SMP), revised March 23, 2000, provides operating procedures for federal and state agencies that use prescribed fire, wildfire, and wildland fire on federal, state, and private wildlands in Utah. The SMP includes the program elements listed in 40 CFR § 51.309(d)(6)(i), except for alternatives to fire. In a letter dated November 8, 1999, the EPA certified the Utah SMP under EPA’s April 1998 Interim Air Quality Policy on Wildland and Prescribed Fires (Policy). EPA’s Policy also includes the elements that are listed in 40 CFR § 51.309(d)(6)(i). In 2001, the Utah SMP requirements were codified through rulemaking and comprise R307-204 of the Utah Administrative Code. R307-204 applies to all persons using prescribed fire or wildland fire on land they own or manage, including federal, state, and private wildlands. The Utah TSD Supplement includes copies of the Utah SMP. Under R307-204, Land Managers are required to submit pre-burn information including the location of any CIAs within 15 miles of the burn, a map depicting the potential impact of the 88 smoke from the burn on any CIAs, a description of fuels and acres to be burned, emission reduction techniques to be applied, and monitoring of smoke effects to be conducted. In addition, Land Managers are required to submit a more detailed burn plan that includes, at a minimum, information on the fire prescription or conditions under which a prescribed fire may be ignited. Under R307-204, prescribed fires requiring a burn plan cannot be ignited and wildland fire used for resource benefits cannot be managed before the UDAQ Director approves the burn request. The burn approval requirement provides for the scheduling of burns to reduce impacts on visibility in CIAs. After the burn is completed, the Land Manager is required to submit post-burn information (daily emission report) to evaluate the effectiveness of the burn and provide a record of acres treated by the burn, emissions information, public interest, daytime and nighttime smoke behavior, any emission reduction techniques applied, and evaluation of those techniques. The procedures listed above serve as an evaluation of the degree of visibility impairment from smoke from prescribed fires that are conducted on federal, state, and private wildlands. Information on the types of management alternatives to fire considered by Land Managers are included in programmatic or long-term management plans. These programmatic plans are developed in accordance with the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) and are reviewed by the UDAQ on an individual basis. Typically, the Land Manager does not evaluate alternatives to fire once the decision has been made to use fire and the subsequent burn plan developed. 6.A.8 Emissions Limitations and Schedules for Compliance to Achieve the RPG The 2028OTBa2 modeled visibility projections from WRAP for Utah are based on recent actual emissions and activities of in-state sources. These projections are compared to the URP glidepaths in section 8.C. As shown in Table 26 (section 6.A.10), Utah is making reasonable progress in each of its parks and is projected to continue that progress through 2028 on the assumption that Utah sources continue operating within the confines of these “on-the-books” emissions trends. Section 8.D contains Utah’s reasonable progress determinations detailing emissions limits and controls UDAQ has deemed necessary for Utah to achieve reasonable progress in its CIAs. Emissions limitations and schedules for compliance for the second planning period may be found in SIP Subsection IX.H.23.126 6.A.9 Source retirement and replacement schedules Table 25 details the planned EGU retirement and replacement schedules for Utah sources used in WRAP’s RepBase2 and 2028OTBa2 modeling projections. Of all of the planned retirements, only the announced retirement of the Intermountain Generation Station in 2025 occurs within the second planning period. Though the IGS coal-fired units are expected to cease operation by mid-2025, Utah is establishing a firm closure date of no later than December 31, 2027, to 126 See Appendix A 89 ensure that these units will not continue to operate beyond the end of the second planning period. This date allows flexibility for closing the plant and the rescinding of the permit and approval order. Table 25: Status of Utah EGU Retirements in RepBase2 and 2028OTBa2 Inventories Facility Name Unit ID In-Service Year Retirement Year Notes Operator Unit Type Intermountain 1SGA 1986 2025 Announced retirement Intermountain Power Service Corporation Dry bottom wall-fired boiler Intermountain 2SGA 1987 2025 Announced retirement Intermountain Power Service Corporation Dry bottom wall-fired boiler Bonanza 1-Jan 1986 2030 Coal consumption cap from settlement agreement Deseret Generation & Transmission Dry bottom wall-fired boiler Hunter 1 1978 2042 PAC IRP; Round 1 RH FIP in Litigation PacifiCorp Energy Generation Tangentially- fired Hunter 2 1980 2042 PAC IRP; Round 1 RH FIP in Litigation PacifiCorp Energy Generation Tangentially- fired Hunter 3 1983 2042 PAC IRP PacifiCorp Energy Generation Dry bottom wall-fired boiler Huntington 1 1977 2036 PAC IRP; Round 1 RH FIP in Litigation PacifiCorp Energy Generation Tangentially- fired Huntington 2 1974 2036 PAC IRP; Round 1 RH FIP in Litigation PacifiCorp Energy Generation Tangentially- fired 6.A.10 Anticipated net effect on visibility from projected changes in emissions during this planning period According to the RHR, the 2028 RPG for the 20 percent most anthropogenically impaired days is to be compared to the 2000-2004 baseline period visibility condition for the same set of days and must provide for visibility improvement since the baseline period.127 UDAQ has used modeling data from WRAP’s TSS to project the anticipated net effect on visibility progress that will occur in the second planning period based on already adopted controls and “on-the-books" activities and emissions rates. UDAQ has chosen the “2028OTBa2 w/o fire” projection that excludes wildfire to more accurately represent future emissions from sources UDAQ is better able to control. This projection reduces the impact of elemental carbon and organic carbon from 127 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i) 90 fires from the original 2028 EPA projection to remove additional fire impacts that were not fully eliminated by the move from haziest days metric (used during the first planning period) to most impaired days metric (used during the second planning period). These projections result from in- state emission reductions due to ongoing air pollution control programs, including source measures the state has already adopted to meet RHR requirements and CAA requirements other than for visibility protection. Long Term Strategy Summary UDAQ’s long term strategy (LTS) includes an array of existing and new measures as detailed below. Existing Measures UDAQ relied upon several existing measures in the development of its LTS, including federal on-road and non-road vehicle and equipment standards and BACM measures and BACT controls included in the recently completed Serious Area PM2.5 SIP for the Salt Lake Nonattainment Area. Utah also relied upon the following existing round 1 regional haze controls: • Existing NOx control rate-based limits and Hunter power plant • Existing NOx control rate-based limits and Huntington power plant • Existing SO2 limits for Hunter power plant (Section 309 control added to SIP in round 2) • Existing SO2 limits for Huntington power plant (Section 309 control added to SIP in round 2) • Closure of the Carbon power plant UDAQ also added existing controls/limits on haze-forming pollutants at screened-in facilities to the round 2 SIP to ensure ongoing enforceability in the regional haze context: • Graymont • Ash Grove • Sunnyside • US Magnesium • Intermountain Generation Station Most of the above measures are already accounted for in the WRAP 2028OTBa2 scenario, which was based on the emission inventories and data sources listed in Section 5.B of this SIP revision. However, two existing measures led to additional emissions reductions that were not accounted for in the WRAP 2028OTBa2 projections: • PM2.5 SIP BACT SCR level NOx rate-based limit and subsequent closure of the Kennecott Utah Copper power plant • PM2.5 SIP BACT annual mass-based SO2 limit at the Tesoro Refinery New Measures As stated previously UDAQ required four-factor analyses on six sources with Q/d values >=6 that met additional screening criteria. These analyses informed the reasonable progress 91 determinations for these sources and led to the inclusion of the following new measures in the LTS: • A plantwide enforceable mass-based NOx limit on Hunter power plant • A plantwide enforceable mass-based NOx limit on Huntington power plant • Installation of FGR on the US Magnesium Rowley Plant Riley Boiler • An enforceable closure date for Units 1 and 2 of the Intermountain Generation Station Emissions reductions for one of these new measures, the closure of IGS Units 1 and 2, were already accounted for in the WRAP 2028OTBa2 projections based upon closure plans that had been announced at the time the scenario was developed. Table 26 below summarizes estimated net changes to the 2028 projection based upon the inclusion of both new and existing measures in the LTS. The emission reductions from the KUC power plant were estimated based on the elimination of the EGU emissions from that facility from the 2028OTBa2 scenario. The SO2 emission reductions for the Tesoro Refinery were estimated by reducing the 2028OTBa2 SO2 emissions for that facility (708 tons) to the SIP Section IX.H source-wide SO2 annual limit of 300 tons per year, resulting in a reduction of 408 tons. The remaining emission reductions stem from the four-factor analyses and reasonable progress determinations for the sources listed. Table 26: Net Changes in Emissions from New and Existing Measures Relative to 2028OTBa2 Source/Facility New or Existing Measure Reduction Included in 2028OTBa2 NOX SO2 PM10-PRI PM2.5- PRI VOC NH3 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant New No -158 0 0 0 0 0 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant New No 149 0 0 0 0 0 US Magnesium Riley Boiler New No -23 0 0 0 0 0 Tesoro Refining & Marketing Company LLC Existing No 0 -408 0 0 0 0 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Existing No -1,152 -2,152 -135 -99 -6 0 Total -1,184 -2,560 -135 -99 -6 0 Based upon these changes, UDAQ revised the original 2028OTBa2 projection as summarized in Table 27. The resulting 2028LTS scenario results in emissions reductions of 44% (NOx), 27% (SO2), 2% (PM10), 10% (PM2.5) and 30% (VOC) relative to RepBase2. 92 Table 27: Statewide Anthropogenic Scenario Totals and LTS Emission Reductions (tpy) Source Category 2014v2 RepBase2 2028OTBa2 Change Due to New and Existing Measures 2028LTS 2028LTS- RepBase2 2028LTS- RepBase2 (% Change) NOX 179,639 154,328 87,593 -1,184 86,409 -67,919 -44% SO2 27,829 15,253 13,684 -2,560 11,124 -4,129 -27% PM10 118,235 120,542 118,117 -135 117,982 -2,560 -2% PM2.5 28,547 31,050 28,039 -99 27,940 -3,110 -10% VOC 240,496 244,272 171,298 -6 171,292 -72,980 -30% NH3 20,523 20,995 21,011 0 21,011 16 0% Because the LTS was developed after the completion of the WRAP photochemical modeling, the additional reductions from the LTS relative to 2028OTBa2 are not expressly accounted for in the modeled reasonable progress goal. The omission of these emissions reductions in the 2028OTBa2 projection make our glidepath comparisons conservative, as actual 2028 visibility can be expected to improve due to additional emission reductions associated with the LTS. Visibility Comparison Table 28 compares the baseline visibility data for each of Utah’s CIAs with the 2028 point along the URP glidepath and the 2028 modeled projections and calculates the resulting percentage of progress towards the 2028 URP made in each. Table 28: Comparison of baseline, 2028 URP, 2028 EPA w/o fire projection for worst and clearest days CIA IMPROVE Site WORST DAYS CLEAREST DAYS Baseline (dv) 2028 URP (dv) 2028 EPA w/o Fire Projection (dv) % Progress to 2028 URP 2028 Below URP Glidepath? (Y/N) Baseline (dv) 2028 EPA Projection (dv) 2028 EPA w/o Fire Projection (dv) 2028 Below No Degradation Line? (Y/N) BRCA1 8.42 6.68 6.03 137.60% YES 2.77 1.22 1.20 YES CANY1 8.79 6.92 6.19 139.10% YES 3.75 1.94 1.92 YES CAPI1 8.78 6.87 6.63 112.28% YES 4.10 2.17 2.10 YES ZICA1 10.40 8.35 8.27 103.73% YES 4.48 3.65 3.54 YES The following figures compare the modeled 2002, representative baseline, and 2028 projections with source apportionment for most impaired days to show the visibility progress made in Utah’s CIAs. 93 Figure 42: Modeled Visibility Progress for MID at Canyonlands and Arches National Park Figure 41: Modeled Visibility Progress for MID at Bryce Canyon National Park 94 Figure 43: Modeled Visibility Progress for MID at Capitol Reef National Park Figure 44: Modeled Visibility Progress for MID at Zion National 95 The following figures represent the visibility progress made in each CIA based on only US anthropogenic contribution with the same modeling projections for most impaired days. Figure 46: Modeled Visibility Progress for US Anthropogenic Contributions to MIDs at Canyonlands and Arches National Park Figure 45: Modeled Visibility Progress for US Anthropogenic Contributions to MIDs at Bryce Canyon National Park 96 6.A.11 Enforceability of Emissions Limitations Any emissions limits and operating procedures identified for the implementation of the RHR are listed in SIP Subsection IX.H.21, 22, and 23, which are made enforceable through EPA approval and incorporation into the Utah Air Quality Rules. The proposed IX.H language can be found in Appendix A. Existing control measures from UDAQ’s PM2.5 and PM10 SIP revisions deemed necessary for reasonable progress can be found in IX.H.2, 4, and 12. Figure 47: Modeled Visibility Progress for US Anthropogenic Contributions to MIDs at Capitol Reef National Park Figure 48: Modeled Visibility Progress for US Anthropogenic Contributions to MIDs at Zion National Park 97 Chapter 7: Emission Control Analysis128 7.A Source Screening Through modeling done by WRAP with data collected at the IMPROVE sites in Utah’s CIAs, UDAQ was able to assess the source apportionment for the most impaired days in Utah’s National Parks. Figure 49 shows that, on most impaired days, US anthropogenic, international, and biogenic pollution are the most significant sources of light extinction. Figure 50 and Figure 51 further apportion species contributing to each pollution source. US anthropogenic impairment consists primarily of organic mass carbon, coarse mass, ammonium nitrate, and ammonium sulfate. For this implementation period, Utah has focused on visibility impairing pollutants attributed to anthropogenic sources which can be controlled including ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulfate. 128 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) Figure 49: Average Light Extinction by Sources in Bryce Canyon National Park 98 The regulated sources included in the map below consist of point sources and oil and gas wells within Utah. There are 37 sources emitting pollutants greater than 100 TPY (major sources) and Figure 50: Source Contributions on Average Most Impaired Days in Bryce Canyon National Park Figure 51: WRAP States Ammonium Sulfate Source Apportionment for Most Impaired Days at Bryce Canyon National Park 99 511 other point sources emitting less than 100 TPY. There are 13,853 oil and gas wells in Utah, including all “shut-in” wells which are not currently in use, but could resume production at any time, which would be documented by reports from the Utah Division of Oil, Gas, and Mining (UDOGM). 7.A.1 Q/d Analysis The RHR129 requires states to consider anthropogenic sources of visibility impairment and should consider evaluating major and minor stationary sources or groups of sources, mobile sources, and area sources. Sources in Utah were selected based on a Q/d analysis. The analysis is a ratio of a source’s emissions in tons per year (Q) in 2014 divided by the distance (d) in kilometers to any Class I area. Emissions in tons per year of SO₂, NOx, and PM were 129 40 C.F.R. § 51.308(f)(2). Figure 52: Map of Utah Regulated Sources with Emissions >100 TPY 100 included in the analysis. WRAP’s analysis suggested using a Q/d value of 10 as the threshold for sources with the most potential to impact CIAs. However, UDAQ used a more conservative threshold of six.130 Table 29: Sources initially selected to perform a Four-Factor analysis Facility Name Combined Q/d Total Q tpy* Distance to Nearest Class I area in km (D) Class I Area Q/d NOx Q/D SO₂ Q/D PM10 NOx tons per year (Q) SO₂ tons per year (Q) PM10 tons per year (Q) Ash Grove Cement Company- Leamington Cement Plant 6.9 930.5 134.0 Capitol Reef 6.3 0.04 0.6 845.5 5.9 79.1 CCI Paradox Midstream, LLC: Lisbon Natural Gas Processing Plant† 20.9 747.1 35.8 Canyonlands 5.3 14.0 1.6 188.6 499.6 59.0 Graymont Western Us Incorporated- Cricket Mountain Plant 9.0 1,180.7 130.8 Capitol Reef 7.0 0.3 1.7 916.5 40.8 223.4 Intermountain Power Service Corporation- Intermountain Generation Station† 193.6 28,945.7 149.5 Capitol Reef 153.3 29.2 11.1 22,909.2 4,371.5 1,665.0 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Mine & Copperton Concentrator† 22.1 5,234.5 237.2 Capitol Reef 17.7 0.01 4.4 4,199.6 2.0 1,032.9 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant, Lab, and Tailings Impoundment† 11.8 2,949.7 250.4 Capitol Reef 5.3 6.0 0.5 1,322.5 1,500.3 126.8 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant 216.1 16,177.9 74.9 Capitol Reef 153.5 52.6 10.0 11,491.2 3,939.3 747.4 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant 105.5 10,106.2 95.8 Capitol Reef 71.7 25.9 7.9 6,871.6 2,479.2 755.4 Sunnyside Cogeneration Associates- Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility 15.2 1,477.1 97.0 Arches 3.6 10.9 0.8 348.9 1,054.8 73.4 US Magnesium LLC- Rowley Plant 7.4 2,124.2 288.7 Capitol Reef 3.6 0.1 3.7 1,052.1 17.9 1,054.2 *Tons per year: Data is from version 2 of the 2014 National Emissions Inventory † Additional data from these sources, including recent emissions, projected 2028 emissions, and planned closure, allowed them to be exempt from a 4-factor analysis Because the original Q/d analysis used 2014 NEI data, UDAQ also conducted a follow-up Q/d screen using more recently available 2017 NEI data to ensure that the source selection results 130 See Table 27 101 remained consistent and that no sources with potential impacts were missed. No additional sources were identified with Q/d >=6. One source, CCI Paradox Lisbon Natural Gas Plant, was not selected as the plant was not in operation that year and had no emissions. Also, the 2017 NEI does not include haul truck emissions from the KUC Mine & Copperton Concentrator, resulting in a Q/d of 3.9 for that source. UDAQ elaborates on this source in Section 7.A.2 below. Table 30: 2017 NEI Q/d Screen Facility Name Combined Q/d Total Q tpy* Distance to Nearest Class I area in km (D) Class I Area Q/d NOx Q/D SO₂ Q/D PM10 NOx tons per year (Q) SO₂ tons per year (Q) PM10 tons per year (Q) Ash Grove Cement Company- Leamington Cement Plant 9.8 1,319.3 134.0 Capitol Reef 8.8 0.14 0.9 1,183.8 19.0 116.5 CCI Paradox Midstream, LLC: Lisbon Natural Gas Processing Plant† NA NA 35.8 Canyonlands NA NA NA NA NA NA Graymont Western Us Incorporated- Cricket Mountain Plant 6.3 823.8 130.8 Capitol Reef 4.07 0.13 2.1 532.7 17.5 273.6 Intermountain Power Service Corporation- Intermountain Generation Station† 85.5 12,785.0 149.5 Capitol Reef 62.3 16.6 6.6 9,318.8 2,483.6 982.6 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Mine & Copperton Concentrator†† 3.9 931.6 237.2 Capitol Reef 0.02 0.00 3.9 5.2 0.0 926.4 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant, Lab, and Tailings Impoundment† 6.3 1,570.1 250.4 Capitol Reef 1.8 4.1 0.3 460.8 1,036.4 73.0 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant 184.2 13,789.1 74.9 Capitol Reef 130.6 46.9 6.7 9,773.8 3,511.6 503.8 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant 90.7 8,686.0 95.8 Capitol Reef 61.9 23.8 5.0 5,931.2 2,281.0 473.8 Sunnyside Cogeneration Associates- Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility 10.0 965.4 97.0 Arches 4.4 4.9 0.6 428.0 477.0 60.3 US Magnesium LLC- Rowley Plant 6.4 1,832.5 288.7 Capitol Reef 3.5 0.02 2.8 1,004.9 6.7 820.9 102 *Tons per year: Data is from the 2017 National Emissions Inventory † Additional data from these sources, including recent emissions, projected 2028 emissions, and planned closure, allowed them to be exempt from a 4-factor analysis ††The 2017 NEI does not include the KUC Mine haul truck emissions. UDAQ elaborates on this in section 7.A.2 below 7.A.2 Secondary Screening of Sources After performing Q/d analysis, UDAQ further narrowed down the list of sources required to undergo the four-factor analysis based on current emissions, projected emissions in 2028, closure and controls put in place after the 2014 base year inventory. As a result of this secondary screening, the following sources were not required to provide a four-factor analysis: The CCI Paradox Midstream, LLC - Lisbon Natural Gas Processing Plant The CCI Paradox Midstream, LLC: Lisbon Natural Gas Processing Plant has a complicated regulatory and ownership history which has impacted its emissions performance over the recent past.131 The combined Q/d (for NOx, SO2, and PM10) for the facility was 13.68 for Arches and 20.87 for Canyonlands, both of which are above the Q/d threshold of 6 used to select significant sources of haze impairing pollutants to Utah's CIAs. These high Q/d values largely stemmed from anomalously high SO2 emissions in 2014 (and 2015) due to issues with the disposal well at the plant. DAQ reviewed Lisbon’s most recent five years of data (2017-2021) and re-calculated the Q/d values shown in Table 31 below, all of which fall below UDAQ’s Q/d threshold of 6. Of note, recent actual SO2 emissions have dropped dramatically to between 0.01 and 0.13 percent of the 2014 levels used in the original screening. For this reason, this source was ultimately not required to provide a four-factor analysis. However, UDAQ is continuing to work with this source to evaluate whether reductions in permitted emission limits may be appropriate, particularly for SO2, given recent actual emissions levels. 131 In 2009 the plant received a permit modification to lower the SO2 emissions from 1,593 tons down to 111 tons. The plant requested a reduction in emissions as it had installed both primary and secondary control systems to limit emissions of SO2. Unfortunately, in 2010 the plant requested a new modification and mistakenly restored the original 1,593 tons of SO2 emissions without explanation. While that PTE value has been carried forward in more recent permitting actions, actual emissions have never reached the 1,593-ton value. The plant changed ownership in early-2017, which resulted in changes in the operation of the facility and addition of a helium plant in early-2020. 103 Table 31: Paradox Lisbon Plant Q/d Analysis for nearest CIAs Year PM10-PRI SO2 NOx CIA Distance (km) PM10-PRI SO2 NOx Total Q/d 2017 Plant was not in operation 2018 45.1 0.1 111.6 Canyonlands 35.8 1.3 0.0 3.1 4.4 2018 45.1 0.1 111.6 Arches 54.6 0.8 0.0 2.0 2.9 2019 Plant was not in operation 2020 61.9 0.6 126.0 Canyonlands 35.8 1.7 0.0 3.5 5.3 2020 61.9 0.6 126.0 Arches 54.6 1.1 0.0 2.3 3.5 2021 27.8 0.1 181.4 Canyonlands 35.8 0.8 0.0 5.1 5.8 2021 27.8 0.1 181.4 Arches 54.6 0.5 0.0 3.3 3.8 Intermountain Power Service Corporation- Intermountain Generation Station On September 29, 2006, the Governor of California approved California Senate Bill (SB) 1368, which directed the California Energy Commission to establish a greenhouse gas (GHG) emission performance standard (EPS) for electricity generation and which disallowed load- serving entities in California from entering into long-term financial commitments with electrical corporations unless the generation supplied under the financial commitment complies with that standard. Because approximately 98% of the power generated at the Intermountain Generation Station (IGS) is consumed by customers of California utilities and because the power generated by the IGS’s two coal-fired units exceeds California’s GHG EPS, the current contract for coal- fired generation, which expires in 2025, will not be renewed for power from those units. Instead, the permittee, Intermountain Power Service Corporation (IPSC), plans to replace the coal-fired units with an EPS-compliant combined-cycle natural gas plant, which will be highly thermally efficient and which will include state-of-the-art emissions controls such as SCR. As a result, regional haze-related pollutants (PM, SO2, and NOx) from the IGS are expected to decrease dramatically. Though the coal-fired units are expected to cease operation by mid-2025, Utah is establishing a firm closure date of no later than December 31, 2027, to ensure that the coal-fired units at IGS will not continue to operate beyond the end of the second planning period. This date allows flexibility for closing the plant and the rescinding of the permit and approval order. UDAQ did approach IPSC about the feasibility of improving the efficiency of existing controls, particularly SO2 scrubbing, at the facility in the three years between mid-2022 and mid-2025, but the company indicated that such improvements are logistically and economically infeasible over such a short time period. Furthermore, the operator’s engineering and environmental staff and resources are fully engaged in the process of bringing the replacement gas-fired units online, the successful completion of which will bring about dramatic emissions reductions. Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Mine & Copperton Concentrator The predominant visibility impairing pollutant from the Kennecott Mine and Copperton Concentrator is NOx, the vast majority of which comes from mine haul trucks and other non-road equipment as shown in Table 32 below. Specifically, this equipment was responsible for 4,376.7 104 tons (82.5%) of the 5,308.3 tons of combined PM10, SO2, and NOx emissions from this facility. Section 209 of the Clean Air Act preempts the State from setting standards for non-road vehicles or engines, leaving UDAQ with few options to control NOx emissions from haul trucks.132 When non-road emissions are removed from the 2017 inventory for this source, the Q/d drops to 3.9 – i.e., below UDAQ’s threshold value of 6. That said, as identified by EPA,133 the anticipated NOx+NMHC emissions reduction from replacing a Tier 1 haul truck with a Tier 4 truck is 65.9%, and the NOx+NMHC emissions reduction from replacing a Tier 2 haul truck with a Tier 4 truck is 42.3%. This gives UDAQ a degree of comfort that emissions from this source will continue to improve over time as older vehicles are replaced. Additionally, this source recently underwent a thorough BACT analysis as part of the Salt Lake Serious Nonattainment Area PM 2.5 SIP. As a result, there are no additional controls that can be applied at this time beyond those already included in the SIP as identified in Table 33 in Section 7.A.2 below. Table 32: 2017 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC – Mine & Concentrator Emissions and Revised Q/d Source/Distance/Q/d PM10 SO2 NOX PM10+SO2+N OX Non-Truck Emissions 926.4 0.0 5.2 931.6 Haul Truck (non-road) Emissions 170.0 2.7 4,204.0 4,376.7 Total Emissions 1,096.4 2.7 4,209.2 5,308.3 Distance to nearest CIA (km) 237.2 237.2 237.2 237.2 Revised Q/d without haul truck emissions 3.9 0.0 0.0 3.9 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment The coal-fired boilers at the Power Plant Lab Tailings impoundment were decommissioned, and the Approval Order (AO) reflecting this change was updated on February 4, 2020.134 The February 2020 AO removed any ability for Kennecott to operate coal fired boilers as all the coal- fired boilers were removed from the approved equipment list. The AO summarizes the updates in the project description. Units 1-3 were prohibited to operate under the recently approved PM2.5 SIP, and a specific SIP condition set their closure date. Thus, due to that applicable condition, Units 1 – 3 were removed from the permit. Kennecott proposed the removal of Unit 4 from the permit because they planned to decommission the unit. The AO project summarizes that Kennecott made that decision voluntarily, and – based on that decision – Unit 4 was removed from the permit. The AO only lists remaining ancillary equipment. It does not list Units 1-3 or Unit 4 as equipment for the facility and – for this reason – Kennecott does not have 132 See 42 U.S.C. § 7543(e). 133 Source: https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100OA05.pdf 134 This Approval Order can be found at: https://daqpermitting.utah.gov/DocViewer?IntDocID=117327&contentType=application/pdf 105 approval to operate any coal-fired boilers. Based on this equipment change, UDAQ also rescinded the Title V permit for the facility on February 12, 2020.135 The vast majority of emissions from this facility were associated with the boilers, and emissions from the remaining equipment (a diesel emergency generator engine, cooling tower, degreasers and two natural gas-fired emergency generators to support the KUC electricity distribution control room) are low enough that this source is below the Q/d threshold for the four-factor analysis. Finally, even if had not been decommissioned, this source recently underwent a thorough BACT analysis for the PM2.5 SIP, which resulted in the inclusion of fuel-switching to natural gas and an SCR- derived NOx rate-based emission limit for Unit 4 in SIP Section IX.H as summarized in Table 33 below. For these reasons, this source was not required to provide a four-factor analysis for the round 2 regional haze SIP. Table 33: Existing Controls in Utah’s SIP for Screened Sources Company Facility Applicable Units Control Type Limits Implementation Date SIP Reference Last Revision EPA Approval Part H reference PacifiCorp Hunter 1 and 2 PM Emissions of particulate (PM) shall not exceed 0.015 lb/MMBtu heat input from each boiler based on a 3-run test average. No later than January 1, 2019 Regional Haze June 24, 2019 Pending H.22 Source Specific Emission Limitations: Regional Haze Requirements, Best Available Retrofit Technology PacifiCorp Hunter 1 and 2 NOx Emissions of NOx from each boiler shall not exceed 0.26 lb/MMBtu heat input for a 30-day rolling average. No later than January 1, 2019 Regional Haze June 24, 2019 Pending H.22 Source Specific Emission Limitations: Regional Haze Requirements, Best Available Retrofit Technology PacifiCorp Hunter 3 NOx Emissions of NOx shall not exceed 0.34 lb/MMBtu heat input for a 30- day rolling average. No later than January 1, 2019 Regional Haze June 24, 2019 Pending H.22 Source Specific Emission Limitations: Regional Haze Requirements, Best Available Retrofit Technology PacifiCorp Huntington 1 and 2 PM Emissions of particulate (PM) shall not exceed 0.015 lb/MMBtu heat input from each boiler based on a 3-run test average. No later than January 1, 2019 Regional Haze June 24, 2019 Pending H.22 Source Specific Emission Limitations: Regional Haze Requirements, Best Available Retrofit Technology PacifiCorp Huntington 1 and 2 NOx Emissions of NOx from each boiler shall not exceed 0.26 lb/MMBtu heat input for a 30-day rolling average. No later than January 1, 2019 Regional Haze June 24, 2019 Pending H.22 Source Specific Emission Limitations: Regional Haze Requirements, Best Available Retrofit Technology Kennecott Utah Copper LLC Bingham Canyon Mine Diesel-powered ore and waste haul trucks Mileage Maximum total mileage per calendar day for diesel-powered ore and waste haul trucks shall not exceed 30,000 miles. No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area 135 See Appendix G for UDAQ’s letter rescinding the Title V permit. 106 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC Bingham Canyon Mine In-pit crusher baghouse PM2.5 The In-pit crusher baghouse shall not exceed a PM2.5 emission limit of 0.78 lbs/hr(0.007 gr/dscf) PM2.5 monitoring shall be performed by stack testing every three years. No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Kennecott Utah Copper LLC Copperton Concentrator Dryers Control emissions from the Product Molybdenite Dryers with a scrubber during operation of the dryers. No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Kennecott Utah Copper LLC Copperton Concentrator Heaters NOx The remaining heaters shall not operate more than 300 hours per rolling 12- month period unless upgraded so the NOx emission rate is no greater than 30 ppm. No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Kennecott Utah Copper LLC Utah Power Plant 4 Fuel Only natural gas shall only be used as a fuel, unless the supplier or transporter of natural gas imposes a curtailment. Unit #4 may then burn coal, only for the duration of the curtailment plus sufficient time to empty the coal bins following the curtailment. No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Kennecott Utah Copper LLC Utah Power Plant 4 PM2.5 Filterable PM2.5 emissions to the atmosphere when burning natural gas shall not exceed 0.004 grains/dscf. Filterable+condensible PM2.5 emissions to the atmosphere when burning natural gas shall not exceed 0.03 grains/dscf. No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Kennecott Utah Copper LLC Utah Power Plant 4 NOx NOx emissions to the atmosphere when burning natural gas shall not exceed 32 lbs/hr or 0.04 lbs/MMBtu No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Kennecott Utah Copper LLC Utah Power Plant 5 PM2.5 PM2.5 with duct burning emissions to the atmosphere when burning natural gas shall not exceed 18.8 lbs/hr (filterable + condensible) No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area 107 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC Utah Power Plant 5 VOC VOC emissions to the atmosphere shall not exceed 2.0 ppmdv No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Chevron Products Co. Salt Lake Refinery Source-wide PM10 Combined emissions of PM10 shall not exceed 0.715 tons per day (tpd). No later than January 1, 2019 PM10 December 2, 2020 Pending H.2 Source Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake County PM10 Nonattainment/Maintenance Area Chevron Products Co. Salt Lake Refinery Source-wide NOx Combined emissions of NOx shall not exceed 2.1 tons per day (tpd) and 766.5 tons per rolling 12-month period. No later than January 1, 2019 PM10 December 2, 2020 Pending H.2 Source Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake County PM10 Nonattainment/Maintenance Area Chevron Products Co. Salt Lake Refinery Source-wide SO2 Combined emissions of SO2 shall not exceed 1.05 tons per day (tpd) and 383.3 tons per rolling 12-month period. No later than January 1, 2019 PM10 December 2, 2020 Pending H.2 Source Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake County PM10 Nonattainment/Maintenance Area Chevron Products Co. Salt Lake Refinery Source-wide PM2.5 Combined emissions of PM2.5 (filterable+condensable) shall not exceed 0.305 tons per day (tpd) and 110 tons per rolling 12-month period. No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Chevron Products Co. Salt Lake Refinery Source-wide NOx Combined emissions of NOx shall not exceed 2.1 tons per day (tpd) and 766.5 tons per rolling 12-month period. No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Chevron Products Co. Salt Lake Refinery Source-wide SO2 Combined emissions of SO2 shall not exceed 1.05 tons per day (tpd) and 383.3 tons per rolling 12-month period. No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Chevron Products Co. Salt Lake Refinery Engine K35001 NOx Emissions of NOx from each rich-burn compressor engine shall not exceed 236 NOx in ppmvd @ 0% O2 No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Chevron Products Co. Salt Lake Refinery Engine K35002 NOx Emissions of NOx from each rich-burn compressor engine shall not exceed 208 NOx in ppmvd @ 0% O2 No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area Chevron Products Co. Salt Lake Refinery Engine K35003 NOx Emissions of NOx from each rich-burn compressor engine shall not exceed 230 NOx in ppmvd @ 0% O2 No later than January 1, 2019 PM2.5 December 2, 2020 Pending H.12. Source-Specific Emission Limitations in Salt Lake City – UT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area 108 Chevron Products Co. Salt Lake Refinery External combustion process equipment PM10 Combined emissions of filterable PM10 from all external combustion process equipment shall be no greater than 0.234 tons per day. No later than January 1, 2019 PM10 December 2, 2020 Pending H.4 Interim Emission Limits and Operating Practices 7.A.3 Weighted Emissions Potential Analysis of Sources in Utah and Neighboring States WRAP released a Weighted Emissions Potential (WEP) analysis after UDAQ chose sources to submit a four-factor analysis. The WEP is obtained by overlaying extinction weighted residence time (EWRT) results with 2028OTBa2 emissions of light extinction precursors and shows which sources have the highest potential to impact visibility in CIAs. Table 34 and Table 35 list the point sources with the top ten WEP values for Utah CIAs for nitrate and sulfate, respectively, and summarize whether those sources were captured by Utah’s initial Q/d screen and whether they were ultimately required to submit a four-factor analysis. As can be seen, UDAQ’s initial Q/d screen captured most of the point sources with the highest-ranking WEP values at Utah CIAs. For those sources that were ultimately excluded from submitting a four-factor analysis, the tables provide notes as to the rationale for the exclusion, including plant closures, recent BACT analysis/controls, revised emission inventories, and the predominance of emissions from sources that states are largely preempted from controlling (e.g., non-road). The tables also include information regarding the status of non-Utah point sources with high-ranking WEP values, where available. Tables 36 and 37 list Utah point sources that were among the top ten WEP values in the CIAs of neighboring states for nitrate and sulfate, respectively. Again, the tables show that UDAQ’s initial and secondary screening largely succeeded in identifying the sources with the potential to impact CIAs, while excluding some sources that were already well-controlled, closed/closing, or that have few options for state-level controls. Tesoro and Chevron Refineries UDAQ's original Q/d screening using 2014 NEI data yielded values below 6 for the Chevron and Tesoro facilities. At EPA’s request, UDAQ re-calculated the Q/d thresholds of its major sources using 2017 NEI data to ensure that additional sources did not exceed a Q/d of 6 and confirmed that no additional sources would be screened-in using the newer data. Specifically, neither the Chevron or Tesoro refineries had a revised Q/d of 6 or greater. Here it should be noted that UDAQ chose a more stringent Q/d threshold of 6 rather than the Q/d value of 10 recommended by WRAP. However, both sources had high-ranking weighted emissions potential values for sulfate or nitrate and various in-state and out-of-state CIAs, Specifically, Chevron ranked 9th for nitrate at BRCA1 with a % of total point WEP of 1.4%. Chevron had no high-ranking sulfate impacts. Tesoro ranked 10th at BRCA1 for nitrate at BRCA1 (0.9%) and had the following rankings and % values for sulfate: 109 • BRCA1: Rank 8 (2.6%) • CAPI1: Rank 8 (1.6%) • BRID1: Rank 8 (3.9%) • YELL2: Rank 8 (3.4%) • CRMO1: Rank 6 (2.7%) • SAWT1: Rank 8 (2.7%) Though “Top 10” ranked, these WEP values represented a relatively small percentage of total point WEP at each CIA, as indicated above. In addition, the 2019 Guidance states that it "may be reasonable for a state not to select an effectively controlled source" (page 22) and that "the statutory considerations for selection of BACT and LAER are also similar to, if not more stringent than, the four statutory factors for reasonable progress" (See 2019 EPA Guidance at 23). Both Chevron and Tesoro recently underwent a thorough BACT analysis for the Serious Area PM2.5 Salt Lake Nonattainment Area SIP that resulted in additional controls and limits being added to SIP Section IX.H. Specifically, Tesoro installed a wet gas scrubber unit to control SO2 emissions and is now subject to a source-wide annual SO2 limit of 300 tons per year. For comparison, WRAP’s WEP analyses used a 2028OTBa2 projection of 708.3 tons. Tesoro’s actual SO2 emissions for 2019-2021 since the installation of new controls ranged between 22 and 23 tons per year. As a result, the sulfate WEP values for this source – which were already a tiny fraction of total point source sulfate WEP – are not representative of either the enforceable limits or the recent actuals for this facility. Please refer to section 7.A.2 to review the existing controls resulting from the recent PM2.5 and PM10 SIP revisions for Chevron and Tesoro which include both source-wide and equipment limits for NOx, SO2, PM10, and PM2.5. Please refer to section 6.A.10 to review the projected emissions reductions resulting from Tesoro's existing controls. Table 34: Nitrate Point Source WEP Rank for Utah CIAs Utah CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB NOX (tons) Distance (meters) NOx Q/d WEP_NO3 (% of total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) UT Four- Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes BRCA1 1 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 10,001.2 198,466.7 50.4 109,484.1 (18.6%) YES YES BRCA1 2 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant UT 6,091.4 216,464.4 28.1 61,138.6 (10.4%) YES YES BRCA1 3 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Mine & Copperton Concentrator UT 4,199.6 329,072.0 12.8 52,048.8 (8.8%) YES NO BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP; majority of NOX emissions from non- road sources 110 Utah CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB NOX (tons) Distance (meters) NOx Q/d WEP_NO3 (% of total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) UT Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes BRCA1 4 Graymont Western US Incorporated- Cricket Mountain Plant UT 916.5 155,620.0 5.9 34,304.4 (5.8%) YES YES BRCA1 5 Ash Grove Cement Company- Leamington Cement Plant UT 845.5 214,929.5 3.9 30,091.0 (5.1%) YES YES BRCA1 6 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 1,157.5 342,148.6 3.4 20,954.3 (3.6%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 BRCA1 7 Salt Lake City Intl UT 784.0 350,666.3 2.2 17,677.6 (3.0%) NO NO Q/d <6; majority of NOX emissions from non- road sources (aircraft take-offs and landings) BRCA1 8 US Magnesium LLC- Rowley Plant UT 1,052.1 367,453.2 2.9 10,062.0 (1.7%) YES YES BRCA1 9 Chevron Products Co - Salt Lake Refinery UT 375.6 355,251.0 1.1 8,359.5 (1.4%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP BRCA1 10 Tesoro Refining & Marketing Company LLC UT 358.1 351,572.8 1.0 8,053.0 (0.9%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP CANY1 1 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 10,001.2 130,681.1 76.5 128,112.8 (13.9%) YES YES CANY1 2 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant UT 6,091.4 148,607.2 41.0 68,616.5 (7.4%) YES YES CANY1 3 Bonanza TR 5,721.7 185,722.9 30.8 59,301.8 (6.4%) NA NA Likely closure in 2030 due to settlement CANY1 4 PNM - San Juan Generating Station NM 7,390.8 219,591.9 33.7 47,113.4 (5.1%) NA NA Subject to four-factor analysis in NM’s draft SIP. PNM has announced plant closure in 2022 111 Utah CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB NOX (tons) Distance (meters) NOx Q/d WEP_NO3 (% of total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) UT Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes CANY1 5 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Mine & Copperton Concentrator UT 4,199.6 307,168.4 13.7 45,956.2 (5.0%) YES NO BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP; majority of NOX emissions from non- road sources CANY1 6 Four Corners Power Plant TR 4,060.4 228,638.6 17.8 24,859.3 (2.7%) NA NA APS has announced plant closure in 2031 CANY1 7 Sunnyside Cogeneration Associates- Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility UT 442.2 129,762.3 3.4 22,940.9 (2.5%) YES YES CANY1 8 Chaco Gas Plant NM 2,053.4 264,690.7 7.8 14,056.2 (1.5%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in NM’s proposed SIP CANY1 9 CCI Paradox Midstream, LLC: Lisbon Natural Gas Processing Plant UT 201.9 57,532.7 3.5 12,076.0 (1.3%) YES NO 2018 emissions Q/d <6 CANY1 10 RED ROCK GATHERING- PREMIER BAR X C.S. CO 73.3 118,289.1 0.6 11,567.0 (1.3%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in CO’s proposed SIP due to low NOX Q/d CAPI1 1 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 10,001.2 98,938.2 101.1 334,329.1 (37.2%) YES YES CAPI1 2 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant UT 6,091.4 120,459.7 50.6 167,247.5 (18.6%) YES YES CAPI1 3 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Mine & Copperton Concentrator UT 4,199.6 263,195.8 16.0 42,259.0 (4.7%) YES NO BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP; majority of NOX emissions from non- road sources CAPI1 4 Graymont Western US Incorporated- Cricket Mountain Plant UT 916.5 148,543.7 6.2 26,049.6 (2.9%) YES YES 112 Utah CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB NOX (tons) Distance (meters) NOx Q/d WEP_NO3 (% of total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) UT Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes CAPI1 5 Ash Grove Cement Company- Leamington Cement Plant UT 845.5 159,501.2 5.3 24,633.4 (2.7%) YES YES CAPI1 6 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 1,157.5 275,718.8 4.2 13,860.1 (1.5%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 CAPI1 7 US Magnesium LLC- Rowley Plant UT 1,052.1 313,659.3 3.4 10,218.3 (1.1%) YES YES CAPI1 8 Bonanza TR 5,721.7 261,713.3 21.9 9,450.1 (1.1%) NA NA Likely closure in 2030 due to settlement CAPI1 9 Sunnyside Cogeneration Associates- Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility UT 442.2 158,414.3 2.8 8,764.7 (1.0%) YES YES CAPI1 10 Salt Lake City Intl UT 784.0 280,646.7 2.8 7,264.8 (0.8%) NO NO Q/d <6; majority of NOX emissions from non- road sources (aircraft take-offs and landings) ZICA1 1 St. George City Power- Red Rock Power Generation Station UT 34.3 38,429.0 0.9 13,108.2 (5.3%) NO NO Q/d <6 ZICA1 2 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 10,001.2 285,805.3 35.0 12,364.2 (5.0%) YES YES ZICA1 3 McCarran Intl NV 2,430.2 218,239.9 11.1 9,235.4 (3.7%) NA NA Majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources (aircraft take- offs and landings) ZICA1 4 Kern River Gas Transmission Company- Veyo Compressor Station UT 72.7 56,439.3 1.3 9,185.2 (3.7%) NO NO Q/d <6 113 Utah CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB NOX (tons) Distance (meters) NOx Q/d WEP_NO3 (% of total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) UT Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes ZICA1 5 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Mine & Copperton Concentrator UT 4,199.6 385,739.6 10.9 7,998.7 (3.2%) YES NO BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP; majority of NOX emissions from non- road sources ZICA1 6 Pg&E Topock Compressor Station CA 968.8 300,092.2 3.2 7,620.0 (3.1%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in CA’s proposed SIP due to low NOx Q/d ZICA1 7 Millcreek Power UT 19.4 38,438.7 0.5 7,402.2 (3.0%) NO NO Q/d <6 ZICA1 8 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant UT 6,091.4 300,744.4 20.3 7,156.5 (2.9%) YES YES ZICA1 9 Lhoist North America and Granite Const. (Apex) NV 1,361.8 181,728.8 7.5 7,041.9 (2.8%) NA NA NV’s proposed SIP requires SNCR on Kilns 1, 3, & 4 as well as LNB on Kiln 1. Kilns 3 & 4 have existing LNBs. ZICA1 10 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 1,157.5 398,524.3 2.9 6,609.7 (2.7%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 Table 35: Sulfate Point Source WEP Rank for Utah CIAs Utah CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB SO2 (tons) Distance (meters) SO2 Q/d WEP_SO4 (% of Total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) UT Four- Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes BRCA1 1 CHEMICAL LIME NELSON PLANT AZ 2,040.6 253,654.7 8.0 43,684.7 (21.8%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls BRCA1 2 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 3,498.2 198,466.7 17.6 22,430.8 (11.2%) YES YES 114 Utah CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB SO2 (tons) Distance (meters) SO2 Q/d WEP_SO4 (% of Total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) UT Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes BRCA1 3 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 2,151.9 342,148.6 6.3 17,191.7 (8.6%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 BRCA1 4 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant UT 2,449.0 216,464.4 11.3 14,397.6 (7.2%) YES YES BRCA1 5 ASARCO LLC - HAYDEN SMELTER AZ 3,062.1 527,077.3 5.8 14,391.7 (7.2%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls BRCA1 6 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Smelter & Refinery UT 704.4 342,656.1 2.1 5,618.9 (2.8%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP BRCA1 7 Four Corners Power Plant TR 2,537.7 341,751.7 7.4 5,413.2 (2.7%) NA NA APS has announced plant closure in 2031 BRCA1 8 Tesoro Refining & Marketing Company LLC UT 708.3 351,572.8 2.0 5,158.3 (2.6%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP BRCA1 9 TUCSON ELECTRIC POWER CO - SPRINGERVILLE AZ 6,991.9 455,128.8 15.4 3,654.7 (1.8%) NA NA New SO2 limits for units 1 & 2 included in AZ’s proposed SIP BRCA1 10 Phoenix Sky Harbor Intl AZ 275.1 463,195.4 0.6 3,615.9 (1.8%) NA NA Majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources (aircraft take- offs and landings) CANY1 1 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 3,498.2 130,681.1 26.8 78,098.2 (19.1%) YES YES CANY1 2 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant UT 2,449.0 148,607.2 16.5 48,079.5 (11.8%) YES YES CANY1 3 CCI Paradox Midstream, LLC: Lisbon Natural Gas Processing Plant UT 534.9 57,532.7 9.3 39,468.2 (9.7%) YES NO 2018 emissions Q/d <6 CANY1 4 Four Corners Power Plant TR 2,537.7 228,638.6 11.1 32,557.0 (8.0%) NA NA APS has announced plant closure in 2031 115 Utah CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB SO2 (tons) Distance (meters) SO2 Q/d WEP_SO4 (% of Total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) UT Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes CANY1 5 Sunnyside Cogeneration Associates- Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility UT 460.8 129,762.3 3.6 25,602.8 (6.3%) YES YES CANY1 6 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 2,151.9 317,050.4 6.8 21,266.8 (5.2%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 CANY1 7 TUCSON ELECTRIC POWER CO - SPRINGERVILLE AZ 6,991.9 463,072.9 15.1 13,923.7 (3.4%) NA NA New SO2 limits for units 1 & 2 included in AZ’s proposed SIP CANY1 8 CHEMICAL LIME NELSON PLANT AZ 2,040.6 448,519.3 4.6 13,409.0 (3.3%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls CANY1 9 Bonanza TR 1,281.3 185,722.9 6.9 11,908.4 (2.9%) NA NA Likely closure in 2030 due to settlement CANY1 10 PNM - San Juan Generating Station NM 823.1 219,591.9 3.7 10,995.1 (2.7%) NA NA Subject to four-factor analysis in NM’s draft SIP. PNM has announced plant closure in 2022 CAPI1 1 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 3,498.2 98,938.2 35.4 138,922.3 (34.7%) YES YES CAPI1 2 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant UT 2,449.0 120,459.7 20.3 79,880.4 (20.0%) YES YES CAPI1 3 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 2,151.9 275,718.8 7.8 31,599.4 (7.9%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 CAPI1 4 CHEMICAL LIME NELSON PLANT AZ 2,040.6 356,269.4 5.7 25,448.1 (6.4%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls 116 Utah CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB SO2 (tons) Distance (meters) SO2 Q/d WEP_SO4 (% of Total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) UT Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes CAPI1 5 Sunnyside Cogeneration Associates- Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility UT 460.8 158,414.3 2.9 10,823.1 (2.7%) YES YES CAPI1 6 ASARCO LLC - HAYDEN SMELTER AZ 3,062.1 589,323.9 5.2 10,351.8 (2.6%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls CAPI1 7 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Smelter & Refinery UT 704.4 277,921.4 2.5 10,261.2 (2.6%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP CAPI1 8 Tesoro Refining & Marketing Company LLC UT 708.3 280,166.8 2.5 6,278.1 (1.6%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP CAPI1 9 NORTH VALMY GENERATING STATION NV 2,277.3 574,890.7 4.0 5,620.2 (1.4%) NA NA NV’s proposed SIP includes a federally enforceable closure date of 12/31/28 CAPI1 10 Bonanza TR 1,281.3 261,713.3 4.9 4,809.0 (1.2%) NA NA Likely closure in 2030 due to settlement ZICA1 1 CHEMICAL LIME NELSON PLANT AZ 2,040.6 186,619.3 10.9 38,687.4 (24.8%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls ZICA1 2 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 2,151.9 398,524.3 5.4 9,186.4 (5.9%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 ZICA1 3 ASARCO LLC - HAYDEN SMELTER AZ 3,062.1 512,466.4 6.0 6,672.2 (4.3%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls 117 Utah CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB SO2 (tons) Distance (meters) SO2 Q/d WEP_SO4 (% of Total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) UT Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes ZICA1 4 McCarran Intl NV 265.3 218,239.9 1.2 4,713.6 (3.0%) NA NA Majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources (aircraft take-offs and landings) ZICA1 5 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 3,498.2 285,805.3 12.2 4,557.8 (2.9%) YES YES ZICA1 6 Phoenix Sky Harbor Intl AZ 275.1 428,694.4 0.6 4,554.6 (2.9%) NA NA Majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources (aircraft take-offs and landings) ZICA1 7 California Portland Cement Co. CA 1,445.5 520,498.4 2.8 4,038.8 (2.6%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in CA’s proposed SIP due to AB 617 ZICA1 8 Republic Services Sunrise NV 209.5 201,737.4 1.0 4,025.8 (2.6%) NA NA Not subject to four-factor analysis in NV’s proposed SIP due to low Q/d ZICA1 9 TUCSON ELECTRIC POWER CO - SPRINGERVILLE AZ 6,991.9 480,561.1 14.5 3,447.7 (2.2%) NA NA New SO2 limits for units 1 & 2 included in AZ’s proposed SIP ZICA1 10 PacifiCorp- Huntington Power Plant UT 2,449.0 300,744.4 8.1 3,032.3 (1.9%) YES YES Table 36: Nitrate Utah Point Source WEP Rank for Non-Utah CIAs CIA State CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB NOx (tons) Distance (meters) NOx Q/d WEP_NO3 (% of total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) Included in Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes WY BRID1 5 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Mine & Copperton Concentrator UT 4,199.6 328,062.1 12.8 23,190.1 (3.9%) YES NO BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP; majority of NOX emissions from non- road sources 118 CIA State CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB NOx (tons) Distance (meters) NOx Q/d WEP_NO3 (% of total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) Included in Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes WY YELL2 9 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Mine & Copperton Concentrator UT 4,199.6 461,954.1 9.1 4,042.4 (1.8%) YES NO BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP; majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources WY YELL2 10 Salt Lake City Intl UT 784.0 437,939.4 1.8 3,887.0 (1.7%) NO NO Q/d <6; majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources (aircraft take-offs and landings) ID CRMO1 10 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Mine & Copperton Concentrator UT 4,199.6 338,486.4 12.4 22,912.5 (2.5%) YES NO BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP; majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources Table 37: Sulfate Utah Point Source WEP Rank for Non-Utah CIAs CIA State CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB SO2 (tons) Distance (meters) SO2 Q/d WEP_SO4 (% of total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) Included in Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes CO MEVE1 6 CCI Paradox Midstream, LLC: Lisbon Natural Gas Processing Plant UT 534.9 126,687.8 4.2 22,144.4 (1.3%) YES NO 2018 emissions Q/d <6 CO MEVE1 9 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 3,498.2 310,434.6 11.3 11,845.4 (0.7%) YES YES CO WEMI1 3 CCI Paradox Midstream, LLC: Lisbon Natural Gas Processing Plant UT 534.9 140,388.0 3.8 24,308.8 (3.8%) YES NO 2018 emissions Q/d <6 CO WEMI1 6 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 3,498.2 326,019.1 10.7 12,361.1 (1.9%) YES YES 119 CIA State CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB SO2 (tons) Distance (meters) SO2 Q/d WEP_SO4 (% of total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) Included in Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes WY BRID1 5 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 2,151.9 317,383.8 6.8 53,003.7 (6.3%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 WY BRID1 8 Tesoro Refining & Marketing Company LLC UT 708.3 299,746.7 2.4 32,334.3 (3.9%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP WY NOAB1 8 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 2,151.9 499,395.1 4.3 15,792.1 (2.2%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 WY YELL2 2 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 2,151.9 449,396.5 4.8 23,791.3 (7.4%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 WY YELL2 8 Tesoro Refining & Marketing Company LLC UT 708.3 435,882.7 1.6 10,963.7 (3.4%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP ID CRMO1 4 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 2,151.9 326,319.5 6.6 18,525.9 (6.8%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 ID CRMO1 6 Tesoro Refining & Marketing Company LLC UT 708.3 325,079.4 2.2 7,431.8 (2.7%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP ID CRMO1 10 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Smelter & Refinery UT 704.4 323,667.2 2.2 6,113.6 (2.2%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP ID SAWT1 4 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 2,151.9 446,448.0 4.8 6,827.9 (5.4%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 ID SAWT1 8 Tesoro Refining & Marketing Company LLC UT 708.3 448,276.9 1.6 3,373.8 (2.7%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for +PM2.5 Serious SIP 120 CIA State CIA Rank Facility Name Source State 2028 OTB SO2 (tons) Distance (meters) SO2 Q/d WEP_SO4 (% of total) Selected in Utah Q/d Screen? (Y/N) Included in Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Notes ID SAWT1 10 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Smelter & Refinery UT 704.4 442,899.3 1.6 2,252.8 (1.8%) NO NO Q/d <6; BACT for PM2.5 Serious SIP NV JARB1 10 Kennecott Utah Copper LLC- Power Plant Lab Tailings Impoundment UT 2,151.9 304,126.8 7.1 5,105.3 (1.4%) YES NO Power plant closed in 2020 AZ GRCA2 10 PacifiCorp- Hunter Power Plant UT 3,498.2 363,743.3 9.6 2,321.3 (0.6%) YES YES 7.A.4 Other Sources The foregoing Q/d analysis, secondary screening, and WEP analysis sections were used to help identify point sources with potential impacts at Utah and non-Utah CIAs. However, the emissions inventories detailed in section 5.A and the WRAP photochemical source apportionment results provided in section 6.A suggest that non-point sources in Utah may also impact visibility in CIAs. This section discusses the potential impacts of and state of emissions controls for non-point sources in Utah. Oil and Gas Utah oil and gas sources are spread over a very large area making a traditional Q/d analysis problematic. Furthermore, in light of updated inventory findings discussed below, UDAQ does not consider the WRAP oil and gas inventories to be adequate for any type of Q/d emissions analysis, derived or otherwise. That said, UDAQ acknowledges that oil and gas sector emissions may affect visibility in CIAs. Most of Utah’s oil and gas sector emissions occur in the Uinta Basin (UB), where considerable work has already been done to address this sector’s contribution to wintertime ozone pollution. The UB, located in northeast Utah, contains the majority of oil and gas extraction in Utah. The UB has been found to have high levels of ozone during the winter months. This phenomenon is associated with the geological basin, cold temperature inversion, and snow cover albedo in the presence of VOCs and NOx. The majority of emissions for the ozone precursors of VOC and NOx come primarily from the oil and gas exploration and production in the area, not other urban or mobile sources. Since the discovery of these high ozone emissions, Utah has acted to control the oil and gas sources in the UB and the rest of the state. However, the jurisdictional complexity of the UB has led to inconsistency between state-controlled sources and EPA- controlled sources on Indian Country. Emission inventories show that about 80% of the emissions are under EPA regulatory control. The 2017 oil and gas emission inventory compared 121 to the total emission inventory for the UB accounts for about 97% of the total VOC emissions and 68% of the total NOx emissions. The 2017 oil and gas emission inventory showed that 80% of emissions in the UB result from areas under EPA control. Therefore, the state of Utah can only address about 20% of the ozone-forming precursors VOC and NOx and cannot address air quality issues on their own in the UB. Over the past several years, UDAQ has proposed and adopted a series of statewide rules specific to oil and gas operations found in Utah’s state administrative rules R301-500 to 511. Though these rules have been focused on controlling VOC emissions, there is also a state-specific rule for natural gas-powered engines associated with oil and gas production. Since the rule was put in place in 2018, several sources have provided engine stack test data that have led UDAQ, EPA, and the Tribes to initiate further research and compliance studies on engines in the Basin, with a focus on two-stroke smaller horsepower engines that power pump jacks associated with oil-producing wells. The data collected have indicated lower values for NOx emissions than what was reported in the 2017 oil and gas emission inventory for these engines, yet much higher emissions of VOCs. UDAQ will be evaluating this data and will be evaluating future rulemaking for engines associated with oil and gas operations that would be statewide. EPA did follow UDAQ’s lead and has proposed the Uintah and Ouray Federal Implementation Plan that is similar to Utah’s oil and gas rules, and will bring some regulatory consistency to the area. The UDAQ will continue to coordinate with EPA and the Tribe to encourage that rules are consistent across all regulatory jurisdictions, but ultimately any controls under EPA regulatory jurisdiction will be determined by EPA and the Tribe136. Mobile As identified in section 6.A above, mobile source emissions are a leading Utah source for nitrate impacts at all Utah CIAs and in some neighboring states, namely Colorado, Idaho, and Wyoming. Under Section 209 of the Clean Air Act, states are largely preempted from setting standards for on-road and non-road mobile sources. Fortunately, federal emission standards for on-road vehicles and engines as well as non-road equipment are projected to result in dramatic reductions in NOx and PM emissions in Utah over the second planning period for regional haze. To help guarantee these emissions reductions, the State of Utah has worked with the petroleum refiners that supply the Utah market to ensure that suppliers produce gasoline that meets the Tier 3 sulfur requirement of 30 ppm and not just comply using credits. In addition, Utah has taken measures as part of other air quality programs to ensure that mobile source emissions are well-controlled. For example, Utah has vehicle inspection and maintenance programs in place in Utah, Salt Lake, Davis, Weber, and Cache counties, which accounted for 79.3% of the state’s population in 2021i and 60.1% of total statewide on-road mobile source OTB2028a2 emissions. These programs also include diesel vehicle inspections which, while not creditable in Utah's various SIP revisions, help reduce NOx emissions that contribute to nitrate formation and CIA impacts. 136 Please refer to sections 5.B and 9.C.2, response 24 for additional information concerning Utah’s area sources. 122 Remaining Anthropogenic The remaining anthropogenic category of the WRAP photochemical analysis represents non-oil and gas area source emissions, and specifically includes fugitive dust, agriculture, agricultural fire, residential wood combustion, and all remaining nonpoint sources (e.g., residential and commercial stationary source fuel combustion). As shown in section 6.A, the remaining anthropogenic impacts are relatively small for Utah and non-Utah CIAs. That said, these sources are relatively well-controlled as a result of rulemaking associated with other air quality programs in Utah (e.g., the PM2.5 SIP BACM review and resulting controls). For example, Utah restricts residential wood burning on so-called mandatory action days when conditions are ripe for secondary formation of particulates. Utah has also adopted an ultra-low NOx water heater rule that applies statewide and, when fully implemented, will result in a 75% reduction in NOx emissions from residential and commercial water heating-related natural gas stationary source fuel combustion. Additional Utah area source rules to reduce NOx and/or PM emissions include those governing hydronic heaters, fugitive dust, and pilot lights. 7.A.5 Environmental Justice Considerations Environmental Justice (EJ) is the fair treatment and meaningful involvement of all people regardless of race, color, national origin, or income, with respect to the development, implementation, and enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and policies137. Absent further guidance from EPA, UDAQ believes the consideration of EJ is best used in the screening process to ensure sources within disproportionately affected areas are included in the four-factor analysis process. UDAQ has used the EJScreen (version 2.0) tool developed by EPA to analyze the environmental justice indices surrounding the sources selected to conduct four- factor analyses. EJScreen138. For the 10 sources originally screened in this implementation period, UDAQ reviewed all pollution and sources as well as socioeconomic indicators (a total of 19 indices) as percentiles calculated by comparing data from census blocks within the state of Utah. UDAQ notes that the RH program does not have the authority to control the following indexes included in this analysis: lead paint, superfund sites, wastewater discharge, RMP facilities, hazardous waste, or underground storage tanks. Percentiles for all indexes were generated for each source’s location centered within a 20-mile buffer radius. UDAQ recorded all indexes in the 80th percentiles and above at the state level for the screened sources and offers the following information used to consider the co-benefits of the reasonable progress determinations included in this implementation period. UDAQ was not able to draw significant conclusions from this analysis affecting the reasonable progress determinations made in this SIP revision. Table 38: Ash Grove Leamington Cement Plant EJScreen Findings Selected Variables Value State Avg. %tile 137 More information on EJ can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/environmentaljustice 138 Technical information on EJScreen can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-04/documents/ejscreen_technical_document.pdf 123 Pollution and Sources No percentiles above 80. Socioeconomic Indicators Under Age 5 12% 8% 85 Table 39: Graymont Western Cricket Mountain Plant EJScreen Findings Selected Variables Value State Avg. %tile Pollution and Sources Lead Paint (% Pre-1960 Housing) 0.3 0.17 81 Socioeconomic Indicators No percentiles above 80. Table 40: PacifiCorp Hunter Power Plant EJScreen Findings Selected Variables Value State Avg. %tile Pollution and Sources No percentiles above 80. Socioeconomic Indicators Over Age 64 16% 11% 81 Table 41: PacifiCorp Huntington Power Plant EJScreen Findings Selected Variables Value State Avg. %tile Pollution and Sources No percentiles above 80. Socioeconomic Indicators Unemployment Rate 6% 4% 84 Over Age 64 16% 11% 80 124 Table 42: Sunnyside Cogeneration Power Plant EJScreen Findings Selected Variables Value State Avg. %tile Pollution and Sources Lead Paint (% Pre-1960 Housing) 0.48 0.17 89 Socioeconomic Indicators Low Income 41% 27% 80 Unemployment Rate 8% 4% 89 Over Age 64 17% 11% 83 Table 43: US Magnesium Rowley Plant EJScreen Findings Selected Variables Value State Avg. %tile Pollution and Sources 2017 Air Toxics Respiratory HI 0.62 0.3 98 Wastewater Discharge (toxicity-weighted concentration/m distance) 11 13 88 Socioeconomic Indicators No percentiles above 80. Table 44: Intermountain Generation Station EJScreen Findings Selected Variables Value State Avg. %tile Pollution and Sources Lead Paint (% Pre-1960 Housing) 0.29 0.17 81 Socioeconomic Indicators No percentiles above 80. 125 Table 45: Kennecott Power Plant EJScreen Findings Selected Variables Value State Avg. %tile Pollution and Sources 2017 Air Toxics Cancer Risk* (lifetime risk per million) 24 21 89 2017 Air Toxics Respiratory HI* 0.37 0.3 89 Superfund Proximity (site count/km distance) 0.34 0.18 88 Hazardous Waste Proximity (facility count/km distance) 1.5 0.89 80 Socioeconomic Indicators No percentiles above 80. Table 46: Kennecott Mine and Copperton Concentrator EJScreen Findings Selected Variables Value State Avg. %tile Pollution and Sources 2017 Air Toxics Cancer Risk* (lifetime risk per million) 24 21 88 2017 Air Toxics Respiratory HI* 0.36 0.3 89 Superfund Proximity (site count/km distance) 0.24 0.18 83 Socioeconomic Indicators No percentiles above 80. 126 Table 47: Paradox Lisbon Plant EJScreen Findings Selected Variables Value State Avg. %tile Pollution and Sources Superfund Proximity (site count/km distance) 0.36 0.18 88 Socioeconomic Indicators Over Age 64 18% 11% 86 7.B Four-Factor Analyses for Utah Sources139 Each source subject to submitting a four-factor analysis in this second planning period submitted a report on the available control technologies for SO2 and NOx emission reductions and the application of each technology to that facility. UDAQ notes that none of the sources selected to complete a four-factor analysis are within any nonattainment areas under the NAAQS. The information on available controls should include the analysis of the following four factors when determining the possible emission reductions: 1. Factor 1 – The Costs of Compliance 2. Factor 2 – Time Necessary for Compliance 3. Factor 3 – Energy and Non-Air Quality Environmental Impacts of Compliance 4. Factor 4 – Remaining Useful Life of the Source140 Although not specifically required, the recommended approach was to follow a step-by-step review of possible emission reduction options in a “top-down” fashion similar to EPA’s guidelines for reviewing BART or Best Available Retrofit Technology (as found in 70 Fed. Reg. 39,104, 39,108-09 (July 6, 2005)). The steps involved are as follows: 1. Identify all available retrofit control technologies 2. Eliminate technically infeasible control technologies 3. Evaluate the control effectiveness of remaining control technologies 4. Evaluate impacts and document results The process is inherently similar to that used in selecting BACT (Best Available Control Technology) under the NSR/PSD (Title I) permitting program. UDAQ evaluated the submissions from each source following the methodology outlined above. Where a particular submission may 139 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) 140 See 40 C.F.R. § 51.308(f)(2)(i). 127 have differed from the recommended process, UDAQ makes a note, and provides additional explanation as necessary. 7.B.1 Control Equipment Descriptions Available NOx Reduction Strategies and Technologies141 The sources selected to provide additional analyses consistent with the four factors listed above-evaluated controls primarily for NOx emissions reductions. The following represents proven, available NOx reduction strategies and technologies for four-factor sources. The sources selected to provide additional analyses consistent with the four factors listed above evaluated controls primarily for NOx emissions reductions. Fuel switching. Fuel switching is the simplest and potentially the most economical way to reduce NOx emissions. Fuel-bound NOx formation is most effectively reduced by switching to a fuel with reduced nitrogen content. No. 6 fuel oil or another residual fuel, having relatively high nitrogen content, can be replaced with No. 2 fuel oil, another distillate oil, or natural gas (which is essentially nitrogen-free) to reduce NOx emissions. Flue-gas recirculation (FGR). Flue gas recirculation involves extracting some of the flue gas from the stack and recirculating it with the combustion air supplied to the burners. The process reduces both the oxygen concentration at the burners and the temperature by diluting the combustion air with flue gas. Reductions in NOx emissions ranging from 30 to 60% have been achieved with this control technology. Low NOx burners. Installation of burners especially designed to limit NOx formation can reduce NOx emissions by up to 50%. Greater reduction efficiencies can be achieved by combining a low-NOx burner with FGR—though not additive of each of the reduction efficiencies. Low-NOx burners are designed to reduce the peak flame temperature by inducing recirculation zones, staging combustion zones, and reducing local oxygen concentrations. Derating. Some industrial boilers can be derated to produce a reduced quantity of steam or hot water. Derating can be accomplished by reducing the firing rate or by installing a permanent restriction, such as an orifice plate, in the fuel line. Steam or water injection. Injecting a small amount of water or steam into the immediate vicinity of the flame will lower the flame temperature and reduce the local oxygen concentration. The result is to decrease the formation of thermal and fuel-bound NOx. Be advised that this process generally lowers the combustion efficiency of the unit by 1 to 2%. Staged combustion. Either air or fuel injection can be staged, creating either a fuel-rich zone followed by an air-rich zone or an air-rich zone followed by a fuel-rich zone. Staged combustion can be achieved by installing a low-NOx staged combustion burner, or the furnace can be 141 More information on emission control strategies can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/documents/chapter_5_emission_control_technologies.pdf 128 retrofitted for staged combustion. NOx reductions of more than 40% have been demonstrated with staged combustion. Fuel reburning. Staged combustion can be achieved through the process of fuel reburning by creating a gas-reburning zone above the primary combustion zone. In the gas-reburning zone, additional natural gas is injected, creating a fuel-rich region where hydrocarbon radicals react with NOx to form molecular nitrogen. Field evaluations of natural gas reburning (NGR) on several full-scale utility boilers have yielded NOx reductions ranging from 40 to 75%. Reduced-oxygen concentration. Decreasing the excess air reduces the oxygen available in the combustion zone and lengthens the flame, resulting in a reduced heat-release rate per unit flame volume. NOx emissions diminish in an approximately linear fashion with decreasing excess air. However, as excess air falls below a threshold value, combustion efficiency will decrease due to incomplete mixing, and CO emissions will increase. The optimum excess-air value must be determined experimentally and will depend on the fuel and the combustion- system design. A feedback control system can be installed to monitor oxygen or combustibles levels in the flue gas and to adjust the combustion-air flow rate until the desired target is reached. Such a system can reduce NOx emissions by up to 50%. Selective catalytic reduction (SCR). SCR is a post-formation NOx control technology that uses a catalyst to facilitate a chemical reaction between NOx and ammonia to produce nitrogen and water. An ammonia/air or ammonia/steam mixture is injected into the exhaust gas, which then passes through the catalyst where NOx is reduced. To optimize the reaction, the temperature of the exhaust gas must be in a certain range when it passes through the catalyst bed. Typically, removal efficiencies greater than 80% can be achieved, regardless of the combustion process or fuel type used. Among its disadvantages, SCR requires additional space for the catalyst and reactor vessel, as well as an ammonia storage, distribution, and injection system. Also, a Risk Management Plan (RMP) in compliance with Federal Accidental Release Prevention rules may have to be prepared and submitted for ammonia storage. Precise control of ammonia injection is critical. An inadequate amount of ammonia can result in unacceptable high NOx emission rates, whereas excess ammonia can lead to ammonia "slip," or the venting of undesirable ammonia to the atmosphere. As NH3 is both a visibility impairing air pollutant and a wastewater regulated pollutant, air emissions and water discharges can be impacted. Excess ammonia in the presence of other pollutants still remaining in the flue gas can also form species such as ammonium-sulfate which can create visible plumes downwind of the stack discharge. Selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR). Selective non-catalytic NOx reduction involves injection of a reducing agent—ammonia or urea—into the flue gas. The optimum injection temperature when using ammonia is 1850ºF, at which temperature 60% NOx removal can be approached. The optimum temperature range is wider when using urea. Below the optimum temperature range, ammonia forms, and above, NOx emissions actually increase. The success of NOx removal depends not only on the injection temperature but also on the ability of the agent to mix sufficiently with flue gas. 129 Available SO₂ Reduction Strategies and Technologies142 The following represents proven, available SO₂ reduction strategies and technologies for four- factor sources. Choice of Fuel. Since sulfur emissions are proportional to the sulfur content of the fuel, an effective means of reducing SO₂ emissions is to burn low-sulfur fuel such as natural gas, low- sulfur oil, or low-sulfur coal. Natural gas has the added advantage of emitting no PM when burned. Sorbent Injection. Sorbent injection involves adding an alkali compound to the combustion gases for reaction with the SO₂. Typical calcium sorbents include lime and variants of lime. Sodium-based compounds are also used. Dry sorbent injection systems are simple systems, and generally require a sorbent storage tank, feeding mechanism, transfer line and blower, and injection device. Sorbent injection processes remove 30–60% of sulfur oxide emissions; however, if the sorbent is hydrated lime, then 80% or greater removal can be achieved. These systems are commonly called lime spray dryers. Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD). FGD may be carried out using either of the two basic systems: regenerable or throwaway. Both methods may include wet or dry processes. Currently, more than 90% of utility FGD systems use a wet throwaway system process. Throwaway systems use inexpensive scrubbing mediums that are cheaper to replace than to regenerate. Regenerable systems use expensive sorbents that are recovered by stripping sulfur oxides from the scrubbing medium. These produce useful by-products, including sulfur, sulfuric acid, and gypsum. Regenerable FGDs generally have higher capital costs than throwaway systems but lower waste disposal requirements and costs. FGD processes can be wet or dry. In wet FGD processes, flue gases are scrubbed in a liquid or liquid/solid slurry of lime or limestone. Wet processes are highly efficient and can achieve SO₂ removal of 90% or more. With dry scrubbing, solid sorbents capture the sulfur oxides. Dry systems have 70–90% sulfur oxide removal efficiencies and often have lower capital and operating costs, lower energy and water requirements, and lower maintenance requirements, in addition to which there is no need to handle sludge. Examples of FGD include: Dual Alkali Wet Scrubber. Dual-alkali scrubbers use a sodium-based alkali solution to remove SO₂ from the combustion exhaust gas. The process uses both sodium-based and calcium- based compounds. The sodium-based reagents absorb SO₂ from the exhaust gas, and the calcium-based solution (lime or limestone) regenerates the spent liquor. Calcium sulfites and sulfates are precipitated and discarded as sludge, and the regenerated sodium solution is returned to the absorber loop. Spray Dry Absorber. The typical spray dry absorber (SDA) uses lime slurry and water injected into a tower to remove SO₂ from the combustion gases. The towers must be designed to provide adequate contact and residence time between the exhaust gas and the slurry to 142 More information on emission control strategies can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/documents/chapter_5_emission_control_technologies.pdf 130 produce a relatively dry by-product. The process equipment associated with an SDA typically includes an alkaline storage tank, mixing and feed tanks, atomizer, spray chamber, particulate control device, and recycle system. The recycle system collects solid reaction products and recycles them back to the spray dryer feed system to reduce alkaline sorbent use. SDAs are the commonly used dry scrubbing method in large industrial and utility boiler applications. SDAs have demonstrated the ability to achieve greater than 95% SO₂ reduction. Circulating Dry Scrubber. The circulating dry scrubber (CDS) uses a circulating fluidized bed of dry hydrated lime reagent to remove SO₂. Flue gas passes through a venturi at the base of a vertical reactor tower and is humidified by a water mist. The humidified flue gas then enters a fluidized bed of powdered hydrated lime where SO₂ is removed. The dry by-product produced by this system is routed with the flue gas to the particulate removal system. Hydrated Ash Reinjection. The hydrated ash reinjection (HAR) process is a modified dry FGD process developed to increase utilization of unreacted lime (CaO) in the CFB ash and any free lime left from the furnace burning process. The hydrated ash reinjection process will further reduce the SO₂ concentration in the flue gas. The actual design of a hydrated ash reinjection system is vendor specific. In a hydrated ash reinjection system, a portion of the collected ash and lime is hydrated and re-introduced into a reaction vessel located ahead of the fabric filter inlet. In conventional boiler applications, additional lime may be added to the ash to increase the mixture’s alkalinity. For CFB boiler applications, sufficient residual CaO is available in the ash and additional lime is not required. 7.B.2 Existing Controls on Active EGUs The following tables summarize existing controls on all active coal and gas facilities in Utah. For more detailed information on control compliance schedules from the first implementation period and retirement dates, refer to section 3.A.1. Table 48: Existing controls on active coal units in Utah Facility Unit Operator SO2 Control(s) NOx Control(s) Bonanza 43101 Deseret Generation & Transmission Wet Limestone Low NOx Burner Technology (Dry Bottom only) Hunter 1 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Wet Lime FGD Low NOx Burner Technology w/ Closed-coupled OFA Hunter 2 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Wet Lime FGD Low NOx Burner Technology w/ Separated OFA Hunter 3 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Wet Lime FGD Low NOx Burner Technology w/ Overfire Air Huntington 1 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Wet Lime FGD Low NOx Burner Technology w/ Closed-coupled OFA Huntington 2 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Wet Lime FGD Low NOx Burner Technology w/ Separated OFA 131 Table 49: Existing controls on active gas units in Utah Facility Name Unit ID Owner NOx Control(s) Lake Side Power Plant CT03 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Selective Catalytic Reduction Lake Side Power Plant CT04 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Selective Catalytic Reduction Lake Side Power Plant CT02 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Selective Catalytic Reduction Currant Creek Power Project CTG1B PacifiCorp Energy Generation Selective Catalytic Reduction Currant Creek Power Project CTG1A PacifiCorp Energy Generation Selective Catalytic Reduction Nebo Power Station U1 Utah Associated Municipal Power Systems Dry Low NOx Burners Selective Catalytic Reduction Millcreek Power MC-1 City of St. George Dry Low NOx Burners Millcreek Power MC-2 City of St. George Dry Low NOx Burners Selective Catalytic Reduction Gadsby 4 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Water Injection Selective Catalytic Reduction West Valley Power Plant U4 Utah Municipal Power Agency Water Injection Selective Catalytic Reduction West Valley Power Plant U2 Utah Municipal Power Agency Water Injection Selective Catalytic Reduction West Valley Power Plant U3 Utah Municipal Power Agency Water Injection Selective Catalytic Reduction Gadsby 5 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Water Injection Selective Catalytic Reduction West Valley Power Plant U5 Utah Municipal Power Agency Water Injection Selective Catalytic Reduction Gadsby 6 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Water Injection Selective Catalytic Reduction West Valley Power Plant U1 Utah Municipal Power Agency Water Injection Selective Catalytic Reduction Gadsby 2 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Low NOx Burner Technology (Dry Bottom only) Gadsby 1 PacifiCorp Energy Generation Low NOx Burner Technology (Dry Bottom only) 7.C Source Consultation UDAQ has kept regular contact with the sources selected to perform four-factor analyses on their units and offered guidance on developing control cost estimates using EPA’s Air Pollution 132 Control Cost Manual143 and facility-specific data representing current emissions, projected future emissions, and potential control scenarios. UDAQ received and reviewed each source’s initial four-factor analysis and sent an evaluation to each source with recommendations, requests for additional information, and explanations of any issues with calculations or assumptions made by sources in calculations. Refer to Chapter 9 to review detailed information on UDAQ’s meetings with the sources. The following sections contain each source’s four-factor analysis, UDAQ’s evaluation of their initial submittal, and the sources resulting responses and corrections.144 7.C.1 Ash Grove Cement Company- Leamington Cement Plant Four-Factor Analysis Summary and Evaluation145 Facility Identification Name: Ash Grove Cement Company Address: Hwy. 132, Leamington, Utah 84638 Owner/Operator: Ash Grove Cement Company UTM coordinates: 4,379,850 m Northing, 397,000 m Easting, Zone 12 Facility Process Summary Ash Grove Cement Company (Ash Grove) operates the Leamington Cement Plant. This plant has been in operation since 1981. At the Leamington cement plant, cement is produced when inorganic raw materials, primarily limestone (quarried on site), are correctly proportioned, ground and mixed, and then fed into a rotating kiln. The kiln alters the materials and recombines them into small stones called cement clinker. The clinker is cooled and ground with gypsum and additional limestone into a fine powdered cement. The final product is stored on site for later shipping. The major sources of air emissions are from the combustion of fuels for the kiln operation, from the kiln, and from the clinker cooling process. Facility Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions Sources This source consists of the following emission unit: • Unit Designation: Kiln 1 Kiln 1 has the following emission controls installed: SNCR for NOx control; NOx, CO, Total Hydrocarbons (VOC), and Oxygen (O2) CEMS on main stack; Mercury (Hg) CEMS or integrated sorbent trap monitoring system on main stack; TSP (PM) Continuous Parametric Monitoring System (CPMS) on main kiln and clinker cooler stack. 143 The EPA Air Pollution Control Cost Manual can be found in at: https://www.epa.gov/economic-and-cost-analysis-air-pollution-regulations/cost-reports-and-guidance-air-pollution#cost%20manual 144 Each source’s full four-factor analysis submittals, UDAQ’s four-factor analysis evaluations, and evaluation responses sent by sources can be found at https://deq.utah.gov/air-quality/regional-haze-in-utah in the ”Current Regional Haze Planning” section. 145 Ash Grove’s full four-factor analysis submittal can be found in appendix C.1.A or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2020-008930.pdf 133 Facility Current Potential to Emit The current PTE values for Ash Grove, as established by the most recent NSR permit issued to the source (DAQE-AN103030029-19) are as follows: Table 50: Ash Grove Leamington Cement Plant Current Potential to Emit Pollutant Potential to Emit (tons/year) SO2 192.50 NOx 1347.20 Ash Grove’s Four-Factor Analysis Conclusion Ash Grove believes that reasonable progress compliant controls are already in place. Ash Grove’s actual NOx emission level of 1198 tpy is adequate and the Leamington facility does not propose any change to their current limit of 2.8 lbs./ton clinker on a 30-day rolling average basis. UDAQ Four-Factor Analysis Evaluation146 Although some additional information should be supplied by the source regarding SNCR efficiency, the Leamington Cement Plant appears to be adequately controlled at this time for purposes of Second Planning Period. Ash Grove’s Evaluation Response147 AGC provided the actual SO2 emissions rates for the Leamington Plant’s main kiln which are lower than their PTE. Lowering SO2 emissions further would require the addition of aluminum and iron which are not readily available to Ash Grove. The efficiency of the Leamington Plant’s SNCR system was designed to be able to achieve 2.8 lb. NOx/ton clinker on a 30-day rolling average basis, and the plant typically operates in the 2.5-2.6 lb. NOx/ton clinker range. The system uses an Aqua NH3 solution as a chemical reagent. Adding additional solution is not feasible as the plant already requires reagent delivery by truck every two days and additional reagent would require the installation of larger nozzles and/or larger storage tanks. The system is also near solution saturation as it currently runs, and additional solution may not increase control efficiency, but rather cause NH3 to slip from the system and be emitted from the stack. Thus, Ash Grove believes that the current and NOx limits reflect a reasonable level of safety margin relative to actual emission rates. 146 UDAQs full evaluation of Ash Grove’s four-factor analysis submittal can be found in appendix C.1.A or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/DAQ-2021-009636.pdf 147 Ash Grove’s full evaluation response can be found in appendix C.1.B or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2021-011724.pdf 134 UDAQ Response Conclusion UDAQ accepts the additional information provided by Ash Grove on their emission rate efficiency and agrees that their units are well controlled. Refer to section 8.D.1. for UDAQ’s reasonable progress determination for Ash Grove. 7.C.2 Graymont Western US Incorporated- Cricket Mountain Plant Four-Factor Analysis Summary and Evaluation148 Facility Identification Name: Cricket Mountain Plant Address: 32 Miles Southwest of Delta, Utah; Highway 257 Owner/Operator: Graymont Western US Incorporated UTM coordinates: 4,311,010 m Northing, 343,100 m Easting, Zone 12 Facility Process Summary Graymont Western US Inc. (Graymont) operates the Cricket Mountain Lime Plant in Millard County. The Cricket Mountain Lime Plant consists of quarries and a lime processing plant, which includes five (5) rotary lime kilns (Kilns 1 through 5). The rotary kilns are used to convert crushed limestone ore into quicklime. The products produced for resale are lime, limestone, and kiln dust. The kilns operate on pet coke and coal. Sources of emissions at this source include mining, limestone processing, rotary lime kilns, post-kiln lime handling, and truck & loadout facilities. Facility Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions Sources The source consists of the following emission units: • Rotary Lime Kiln #1 rated at 600 tons of lime per 24-hour period with a preheater and baghouse emissions control system (D-85) rated at an exhaust gas flow rate 54,000 scfm and an Air to Cloth (A/C) ratio of 3.26:1. NESHAP Applicability: 40 CFR 63 Subpart AAAAA • Rotary Lime Kiln #2 rated at 600 tons of lime per 24-hour period with a preheater, cyclone and baghouse emissions control system (D-275) rated at an exhaust gas flow rate of 48,000 scfm and an A/C ratio of 2.9:1. NESHAP Applicability: 40 CFR 63 Subpart AAAAA • Rotary Lime Kiln #3 rated at 840 tons of lime per 24-hour period with a preheater, cyclone and baghouse emissions control system (D-375) rated at an exhaust gas flow rate of 55,000 scfm and a A/C ratio of 2.49:1. NESHAP Applicability: 40 CFR 63 Subpart AAAAA • Rotary Lime Kiln #4 rated at 1266 tons of lime per 24-hour period with a preheater, cyclone and baghouse emissions control system (D-485) rated at an exhaust gas flow 148 Graymont’s full four-factor analysis submittal for the Cricket Mountain Plant can be found in appendix C.2.A or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2020-008924.pdf 135 rate of 100,000 scfm and an A/C ratio of 5:1. NESHAP Applicability: 40 CFR 63 Subpart AAAAA • Rotary Lime Kiln #5 rated at 1400 tons of lime per 24-hour period with a preheater and baghouse emissions control system (D-585) rated at an exhaust gas flow rate of 103,000 scfm and an A/C ratio of 3.5:1. NESHAP Applicability: 40 CFR 63 Subpart AAAAA Facility Current Potential to Emit The current PTE values for Source, as established by the most recent NSR permit issued to the source (DAQE-AN103130044-21) are as follows: Table 51: Current Potential to Emit - Graymont Pollutant Potential to Emit (tons/year) SO2 760.29 NOx 3,883.85 Graymont Four-Factor Analysis Conclusion The facility currently uses low NOx burners in its five kilns to minimize NOx emissions. The use of low NOx burners is a commonly applied technology in current BACT determinations for new rotary preheater lime kilns today. The application of SCR has never been attempted on a lime kiln. SNCR has only one RBLC entry documenting implementation on a lime kiln. The use of these controls does not represent a cost-effective control technology given the limited expected improvements to NOx emission rates, high uncertainty of successful implementation, high capital investment, and high cost per ton NOx removed. Therefore, the emissions for the 2028 on-the- books modeling scenario are expected to be the same as those used in the “control scenario” for the Graymont Cricket Mountain facility. UDAQ Four-Factor Analysis Evaluation149 UDAQ disagrees with several points of Graymont’s analysis. Aside from the lack of SO2 analysis, UDAQ found several errors in the Graymont NOx analysis which must be corrected. 1. Two additional control technologies were identified by DAQ as potential ways of reducing NOx emissions: fuel switching and alternative production techniques. The Graymont Cricket Mountain Plant is fueled by coal – alternative fuels should be investigated. Secondly, the kilns at this facility are long horizontal rotary preheater/precalciner style kilns. Other types of kiln such as vertical lime kilns should also be investigated. 2. Graymont has claimed that SNCR is not technically feasible for installation on rotary preheater kilns. However, that is not accurate as there have been other SNCR retrofits 149 UDAQ’s full evaluation of Graymont’s four-factor analysis submittal can be found in appendix C.2.A or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/DAQ-2021-009634.pdf 136 done at preheater rotary lime kilns. Those lime kilns include the Lhoist North America O’Neal Plant in Alabama, the Unimin Corporation lime plant in Calera, Alabama, and the rotary lime kilns of the Lhoist North America Nelson Lime Plant in Arizona, as well as the Mississippi Lime Company plant in Illinois (specifically mentioned by Graymont as the only source listed on the RBLC). 3. A NOx reduction of 20% for SNCR is too low for use in the analysis, given that Graymont itself quoted the average NOx removal at cement kilns with SNCR was 40%, with the range of NOx removal efficiency between 35%-58%. At a minimum, Graymont should have evaluated the use of SNCR at 35% removal efficiency rather than merely 20%. 4. The current bank prime rate is 3.25% and not 4.75% as stated by Graymont. The economic analysis must be recalculated using the correct interest rate. 5. The cost of an air preheater was included – which appears to be a mistake based on an error (a typographical misprint) found in EPA’s SNCR control cost spreadsheets. In one place the spreadsheet uses a value of 3.0 lb. SO2/ton coal while in another the value is erroneously listed as 0.3 lb. SO2/ton coal. Graymont apparently included the cost of the air preheater when burning coal which does not require such equipment as part of an SNCR installation. Although DAQ has not fully evaluated these deficiencies, it has analyzed how Graymont’s cost evaluation would change if the correct bank prime interest rate were used, if the cost of the air preheater were not included, and if the removal efficiency of the SNCR were increased to a minimum of 35%. To reflect the increased cost of a more efficient SNCR than that proposed by Graymont, the direct annual costs (energy, cost of ammonia, etc.) were doubled as a conservative estimate. The results of these changes are as follows: Table 52: Estimated Direct Annual Costs (doubled) Graymont Kiln Capital Costs ($) Direct Annual Costs ($) Total Annual Costs ($) NOx Removed (tons) cost-effectiveness ($/ton) 1 $3,616,821 $180,574 $328,281 30 $10,943 2 $3,878,230 $186,204 $343,367 22 $15,608 3 $4,321,811 $208,776 $377,952 18 $20,997 4 $5,285,030 $258,458 $461,703 38 $12,150 5 $5,031,753 $289,720 $485,174 122 $ 3,977 Based on these revised results, the application of SNCR may appear to be feasible, at least for Kiln #5. Additional analysis should be provided by the source to further detail these deficiencies. 137 Graymont’s Evaluation Response150 In order to obtain a more accurate capital and operating cost estimate, Graymont commissioned a Class 4 engineering cost estimate to ascertain capital and operating costs associated with installing and operating Selective Non-Catalytic Reduction (SNCR) Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) abatement systems on Cricket Mountain kilns. The cost estimations performed by a third-party engineer indicate that the total capital cost for installation of SNCR systems at Cricket Mountain exceeds $6.9 MMUSD and operating costs exceed $1.4 MMUSD annually, resulting in a cost of $17,561 per ton of NOx removed based upon a 20% removal efficiency. A factor of 20% was utilized based on the temperature and residence time limitations of the SNCR reaction zone for each Cricket Mountain kiln combined with the Low NOx baseline concentration already achieved through the use of Low NOx Burners (LNB)151. Graymont also compared the current NOx emissions from Cricket Mountain to publicly available information for the Lhoist North America (LNA) rotary preheater kilns which utilize SCNR. Graymont offered the following observations: • The existing LNBs at Cricket Mountain have effectively reduced the NOx emission intensity to a level more than three times less than the pre-control NOx intensity of LNA’s Nelson Plant which utilizes SNCR. • Any additive efficiency that might be gained from Cricket Mountain’s use of SNCR would be marginal, at best, as SNCR NOx removal efficiency is highly dependent upon the inlet NOx concentration, reaction zone temperature and residence time, all of these factors reduce the anticipated efficiency that can reasonably be assumed for the Cricket Mountain Kilns. • The LNA SNCR technology for rotary lime kilns is proprietary and not unconditionally commercially available to Graymont. The technology appears to be patented, adding to its cost and the uncertainty as to its technical feasibility. • SNCR addition at Cricket Mountain would have unintended negative environmental impacts and visibility disbenefits, including the generation of condensable particulate, an identified regional haze primary pollutant. • The Cricket Mountain facility operates 5 rotary preheat lime kilns, each of which are substantially different technology than mid-fired cement kilns (more conducive reaction zone temperatures, higher NOx concentrations, and longer residence times). As such, it is not appropriate to draw direct comparisons with application of SNCR between cement kilns and lime kilns as referenced in your letter. Based on Graymont’s findings, requiring the installation of SNCR at Cricket Mountain would be unreasonable because it would be infeasible, unnecessary and counterproductive to making 150 Graymont’s full evaluation response can be found in appendix C.2.C or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2021- 011722.pdf 151 Lhoist North America indicated in a November 2020 4-factor analysis that Kilns 1, 2 & 3 would be capable of a maximum NOx control of 20%. 138 reasonable progress towards the goal of preventing future, and remedying any existing, anthropogenic impairment of visibility in mandatory Class I Federal areas in the context of Utah’s pending Round 2 Regional Haze State Implementation Plan (RH SIP). Cricket Mountain’s successful implementation of LNBs effectively controls NOx at the point of generation in kilns. These NOx rates are sufficient for inclusion in the UDAQ RH SIP since they are already some of the lowest achieved in the industry and far exceed what has been deemed BART at other kilns (such as the SNCR controlled kilns at the LNA Nelson Facility). UDAQ Response Conclusion UDAQ accepts Graymont’s four-factor analysis amendments and additional justification on the unfeasibility of additional controls on the Cricket Mountain Facility’s kilns. Refer to section 8.D.2 for UDAQ’s controls for reasonable progress determination. 7.C.3 PacifiCorp's Hunter and Huntington Power Plants Four-Factor Analysis Summary and Evaluation152 Facility Identification Name: Hunter Power Plant Address: P.O. Box 569, Castle Dale, UT 84513 Owner/Operator: PacifiCorp UTM coordinates: 497,800 m Easting, 4,335,800 m Northing, UTM Zone 12 Facility Process Summary The Hunter Power Plant is located near Castle Dale in Emery County. The plant is classified as a PSD source and is a Phase II Acid Rain source. The source is PSD major for SO₂, NOx, PM10, and CO and also major for VOC and HAPs. The source is subject to the provisions of 40 CFR 52.21(aa); 40 CFR 60 Subparts A, D, Da, Y, and HHHH; and 40 CFR 63 Subparts A, ZZZZ, and UUUUU. Facility Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions Sources The source consists of the following emission units: • Steam Generating Unit #1 - Nominal 480 MW gross capacity dry bottom, tangentially- fired boiler fired on subbituminous and bituminous coal using distillate fuel oil during start-up and flame stabilization. System is equipped with a low-NOx burner/overfire air system (OFA), baghouse, and SO₂ Wet FGD (WFGD) scrubber with no scrubber bypass. • Steam Generating Unit #2 - Nominal 480 MW gross capacity dry bottom, tangentially- fired boiler fired on subbituminous and bituminous coal using distillate fuel oil during 152 PacifiCorp’s full four-factor analysis submittal for the Hunter and Huntington power plants can be found in appendix C.3.A or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2020-008926.pdf 139 start-up and flame stabilization. System is equipped with a low-NOx burner/OFA, baghouse, and SO₂ WFGD scrubber with no scrubber bypass. • Steam Generating Unit #3 - Nominal 495 MW gross capacity dry bottom, wall-fired boiler fired on subbituminous and bituminous coal using distillate fuel oil during start-up and flame stabilization. System is equipped with baghouse, a low NOx burner/OFA, and SO₂ FGD scrubber. Facility Current Potential to Emit The current PTE values for the Hunter Power Plant, as established by the most recent NSR permit issued to the source (DAQE-AN102370028-18) are as follows: Table 53: Hunter Current Potential to Emit Pollutant Potential to Emit (Tons/Year) SO₂ 5,537.5 NOx 15,095 PacifiCorp Four Factor Analysis Conclusion When balanced for Hunter Units 1, 2, and 3 the four factors demonstrate that the RPEL is the best option for making reasonable progress during the second planning period. First, installation of SNCR or SCR are not cost effective (even with the skewed depreciable life assumptions) and would result in hundreds of millions of dollars in costs for PacifiCorp customers, and tens of millions in additional operating costs for PacifiCorp. Implementation of the Hunter RPEL would not result in any significant additional costs for customers and would result in minimal additional operating costs. Second, installation of SNCR or SCR would involve long-lead times for permitting, design, procurement, and installation before reductions and compliance can be achieved. The Hunter RPEL requires negligible time for compliance, and could be implemented as soon as the State’s implementation plan is finalized and achieves federal approval. Third, SCR requires more energy to implement, and SNCR and SCR result in additional non-air environmental impacts over the Hunter RPEL. As documented, the Hunter RPEL has less potential consumption of natural resources, less GHG emissions, and less generation of CCR. Fourth and finally, a requirement to install SCR or SNCR on Hunter Units 1, 2, and 3 would create uncertainty about the facility’s remaining useful life. Many coal-fired power plants across the country have been forced to shut down due to the increased costs associated with SNCR and SCR. Implementing the Hunter RPEL would not be expected to either increase or decrease the remaining useful life of the facility. Based on this analysis, Utah should determine that the Hunter RPEL is the best option for achieving reasonable progress during the second planning period. The Utah Division of Air Quality has indicated that photochemical grid modeling and analysis of visibility impacts will be performed by WRAP as part of the state’s second planning period analysis. PacifiCorp anticipates that visibility modeling which incorporates the Hunter RPEL (and is compared to modeling of Hunter’s current, permitted potential to emit) would assist the 140 state in demonstrating reasonable progress at the CIAs impacted by emissions from the Hunter plant, supporting a conclusion that no additional installation of retrofit pollution control equipment is required at Hunter. However, if the State were to determine that the Hunter RPEL, as proposed, would not contribute to reasonable progress, PacifiCorp respectfully requests that the State propose an alternative RPEL (NOx +SO₂ limit) for Hunter (allowing time for PacifiCorp to analyze the feasibility of the alternative RPEL proposal) as opposed to pursuing a requirement to install SNCR or SCR retrofits. This reasonable progress analysis demonstrates that implementing a RPEL is a better option than installing SNCR or SCR retrofits under each of the four statutory factors. UDAQ Four-Factor Analysis Evaluation153 At this time, UDAQ is unable to proceed with its review and requests additional information as follows: 1. The source needs to resubmit the Four-factor analysis correcting the errors mentioned above. 2. Additional information must be provided regarding the infeasibility of SCR. a. This information can include additional details on economics as well as technical limitations. 3. Additional information must be provided regarding the infeasibility of SNCR. a. As with SCR, this information can include additional details on economics as well as technical limitations. 4. Supplemental details regarding the RPEL approach, including the selection of allowable limits should be provided. The methodology used for setting the allowable limits should be discussed in detail. 5. Any other pertinent information PacifiCorp feels is warranted should also be provided in order to assist UDAQ in the review process. Huntington Power Plant Facility Identification Name: Huntington Power Plant Address: P.O. Box 680, Huntington, UT 84528 Owner/Operator: PacifiCorp UTM coordinates: 493,130 Easting 4,358,840 Northing, UTM Zone 12 Facility Process Summary The PacifiCorp Huntington Power Plant is a coal-fired steam electric generating facility consisting of two (2) boilers. Unit #1 is a 480 MW unit constructed in October 1973; Unit #2 is a 480 MW unit that commenced construction in April 1970. Bituminous and sub-bituminous coal is the primary fuel source for the dry bottom, tangentially-fired boilers. Fuel oil is used to start up the boilers from a cold start and for boiler flame stabilization. The Huntington Power Plant uses 153 UDAQ’s full four-factor analysis evaluation for the Hunter and Huntington power plants can be found in appendix C.3.B or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional- haze/DAQ-2020-008926.pdf 141 low-NOx burners, separated overfire air system, SO₂ FGD scrubber system, and pulse jet fabric filters for both units. Facility Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions Sources The source consists of the following emission units: • Boiler Unit #1 – Nominal 480 MW gross capacity dry bottom, tangentially-fired utility boiler fired on subbituminous and bituminous coal using fuel oil during startup and flame stabilization. Equipped with a fabric filter baghouse, low NOx burners with overfire air system, and a SO₂ FGD scrubber. NSPS Subpart D. • Boiler Unit #2 – Nominal 480 MW gross capacity dry bottom tangentially-fired utility boiler fired on subbituminous and bituminous coal using fuel oil during startup and flame stabilization. Equipped with a fabric filter baghouse, low-NOx burners with overfire air system, and a SO₂ FGD scrubber. Facility Current Potential to Emit The current PTE values for the Huntington Power Plant, as established by the most recent NSR permit issued to the source (DAQE-AN102370028-18) are as follows: Table 54: Current Potential to Emit: Huntington Pollutant Potential to Emit (Tons/Year) SO₂ 3,105 NOx 7,971 PacifiCorp Four Factor Analysis Conclusion When balanced for Huntington Units 1 and 2, the four factors demonstrate that the RPEL is the best option for making reasonable progress during the second planning period. First, installation of SNCR or SCR are not cost effective (even with the skewed depreciable life assumptions) and would result in hundreds of millions of dollars in costs for PacifiCorp customers, and tens of millions in additional operating costs for PacifiCorp. Implementation of the Huntington RPEL would not result in any significant additional costs for customers and would result in minimal additional operating costs. Second, installation of SNCR or SCR would involve long-lead times for permitting, design, procurement, and installation before reductions and compliance can be achieved. The Huntington RPEL requires negligible time for compliance, and could be implemented as soon as the State’s implementation plan is finalized and achieves federal approval. Third, SCR requires more energy to implement, and SNCR and SCR result in additional non-air environmental impacts over the Huntington RPEL. As documented, the Huntington RPEL has less potential consumption of natural resources, less GHG emissions, and less generation of CCR. Fourth and finally, a requirement to install SCR or SNCR on Huntington Units 1 and 2 would create uncertainty about the facility’s remaining useful life. Many coal-fired power plants across the country have been forced to shut down due to the increased costs associated with SNCR and SCR. Implementing the Huntington RPEL would not be expected to either increase or decrease the remaining useful life of the facility. Based on this 142 analysis, Utah should determine that the Huntington RPEL is the best option for achieving reasonable progress during the second planning period. The Utah Division of Air Quality has indicated that photochemical grid modeling and analysis of visibility impacts will be performed by the Western Regional Air Partnership (“WRAP”) as part of the state’s second planning period analysis. PacifiCorp anticipates that visibility modeling which incorporates the Huntington RPEL (and is compared to modeling of Huntington’s current, permitted potential to emit) would assist the state in demonstrating reasonable progress at the CIAs impacted by emissions from the Huntington plant, supporting a conclusion that no additional installation of retrofit pollution control equipment is required at Huntington. However, if the State were to determine that the Huntington RPEL, as proposed, would not contribute to reasonable progress, PacifiCorp respectfully requests that the State propose an alternative RPEL (NOx +SO₂ limit) for Huntington (allowing time for PacifiCorp to analyze the feasibility of the alternative RPEL proposal) as opposed to pursuing a requirement to install SNCR or SCR retrofits. This reasonable progress analysis demonstrates that implementing a RPEL is a better option than installing SNCR or SCR retrofits under each of the four statutory factors. UDAQ’s Four Factor Analysis Conclusion At this time, UDAQ is unable to proceed with its review and requests additional information as follows: 1. The source needs to resubmit the Four-factor analysis correcting the errors mentioned above. 2. Additional information must be provided regarding the infeasibility of SCR. a. This information can include additional details on economics as well as technical limitations. 3. Additional information must be provided regarding the infeasibility of SNCR. a. As with SCR, this information can include additional details on economics as well as technical limitations. 4. Supplemental details regarding the RPEL approach, including the selection of allowable limits should be provided. The methodology used for setting the allowable limits should be discussed in detail. 5. Any other pertinent information PacifiCorp feels is warranted should also be provided in order to assist UDAQ in the review process. PacifiCorp’s Four-Factor Analysis Evaluation Response for Hunter and Huntington154 PacifiCorp proposed that UDAQ make the following adjustments to obtain a more representative cost effectiveness value for the installation of SNCR at the Hunter and Huntington plants: • Utilize an SNCR NOx control efficiency of 20% for the Hunter and Huntington boilers, which is expected to be achievable based on unit size and firing configuration; 154 PacifiCorp’s full evaluation response for the Hunter and Huntington Power Plants can be found in appendix C.3.C or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2021-011726.pdf 143 • Utilize capital and O&M costs provided by S&L which are site specific and more accurate than the generalized costs provided by the CCM model; • Utilize PacifiCorp’s actual weighted average cost of capital of 7.303% as the interest rate in the model instead of the 3.25% rate originally used by UDAQ; • Utilize the current and accurate net MW generation rates and net unit heat rate provided in Table 1155 to calculate boiler heat input; and lastly; • Utilize the actual 2015-2019 average annual capacity factors in Table 3156 instead of the rates included in Table 2, which are inaccurate. PacifiCorp believed that use of the S&L capital and O&M cost data when combined with an SNCR 20% control efficiency and 7.303% interest rate will provide an accurate representation of unit-specific cost effectiveness. This is demonstrated by UDAQ’s and PacifiCorp’s SCR cost effectiveness determinations which provide essentially equivalent dollar-per-ton values. The following tables provide a summary of PacifiCorp’s revised SNCR cost effectiveness values for the Hunter and Huntington plants applying these adjustments. The estimates are based on a systemwide SNCR control efficiency of 20% and an interest rate of 7.303%. Note that the provided values do not incorporate minor changes in annualized capital and O&M costs which will occur when the April 9, 2020, S&L studies are updated to incorporate the current 7.303% interest rate and use of the 20% SNCR NOx control efficiency versus the studies’ original use of a 7% interest rate and anticipated SNCR-controlled permit limit emission rates. Table 55: PacifiCorp Updated Hunter SNCR Cost Effectiveness Cost Effectiveness Hunter 1 Hunter 2 Hunter 3 Baseline Heat Input (MMBtu/year) NOx Emissions Rate (lb/MMBtu) NOx Emissions (tons/year) 28,482,643 0.200 2,842 30,101,030 0.193 2,902 31,182,279 0.280 4,359 NOx Emissions w/ SNCR (20% efficiency) Controlled NOx Emissions Rate (lb/MMBtu) Controlled NOx Emissions (tons/year) 0.160 2,273 0.154 2,322 0.224 3,487 SNCR Annual NOx Removal (tons/year) 568 580 872 SNCR Cost Effectiveness (7.303% interest rate) Annualized Capitalized Costs (20-yr life) Total Annualized O&M Costs $1,546,424 $2,168,400 $1,546,424 $2,208,800 $1,546,424 $3,176,600 Total Annual Cost ($/year) $3,714,824 $3,755,224 $4,723,024 Cost effectiveness ($/ton) $6,536 $6,469 $5,417 155 Located on page 4 of appendix C in PacifiCorp’s Four Factor Analysis Evaluation Response 156 Located on page 5 of appendix C in PacifiCorp’s Four Factor Analysis Evaluation Response 144 Table 56: PacifiCorp Updated Huntington SNCR Cost Effectiveness Cost Effectiveness Huntington 1 Huntington 2 Baseline Heat Input (MMBtu/year) NOx Emissions Rate (lb/MMBtu) NOx Emissions (tons/year) 28,063,728 0.212 2,968 27,150,145 0.208 2,825 NOx Emissions w/ SNCR (20% efficiency) Controlled NOx Emissions Rate (lb/MMBtu) Controlled NOx Emissions (tons/year) 0.169 2,374 0.166 2,260 SNCR Annual NOx Removal (tons/year) 594 565 SNCR Cost Effectiveness (7.303% interest rate) Annualized Capitalized Costs (20-yr life) Total Annualized O&M Costs $1,560,724 $2,256,200 $1,560,724 $2,156,000 Total Annual Cost ($/year) $3,816,924 $3,716,724 Cost effectiveness ($/ton) $6,431 $6,579 In conclusion, PacifiCorp submitted that the above table’s use of accurate annualized capital and O&M costs when combined with an appropriate SNCR NOx control efficiency of 20% provide reasonable SNCR cost effectiveness determinations for the Hunter and Huntington units. PacifiCorp has requested that S&L update their April 9, 2020, studies to utilize the current interest rate of 7.303% and the more conservative SNCR NOx control efficiency of 20% for all Hunter and Huntington units. These updates are currently being finalized and are not anticipated to materially impact the data provided here. PacifiCorp will notify UDAQ if any material changes occur. UDAQ Response Conclusion Interest Rate Upon consulting with the Control Cost Manual and EPA staff,157 UDAQ has found that it is preferable for a source’s four-factor analysis to use a source-specific interest rate. After further discussion with the Utah Department of Public Utilities, UDAQ has confirmed that 7.34% is PacifiCorp’s most recently approved interest rate in Utah.158 However, as noted in the company’s Four-Factor Analysis Evaluation Response for Hunter and Huntington above, “The actual weighted average cost of capital is calculated using the rates approved by the six state regulatory authorities where PacifiCorp conducts business and the percentage of energy delivered by PacifiCorp to each of those states.” UDAQ accepts the resulting 7.303% interest rate as an appropriate source-specific rate across the company's service territory and notes that this rate is more conservative than the Utah Public Service Commission approved 7.34% with regard to control-cost assessment. 157 See email correspondence with Larry Sorrels (EPA) in Appendix D.2.H. 158 Source: https://pscdocs.utah.gov/electric/20docs/2003504/3168662003504ro12-30-2020.pdf 145 SO2 As noted above, all five units at both plants have FGD in place to control SO2 emissions, and all units have SO2 emission limits (generally 0.12 lb/MMBtu 30-day rolling average) that correspond to these controls as included in the approval orders for both plants. Since controls were installed/upgraded, all five units at both plants have operated at levels below the 0.12 lb/MMBtu SO2 emission limits, ranging between approximately 0.6 and 0.10 lb/MMBtu as shown in Figure 53 below. UDAQ does not believe it is possible for the Hunter and Huntington units to scrub to the SO2 emissions level of 0.03 lb/MMBtu specified in the original four-factor submittal RPEL proposal with the existing FGD controls. As PacifiCorp states in their comments159: The Utah Units’ SO2 pollution control equipment (scrubbers) have design rates from 0.08 to 0.10 lb/MMBtu, and the costs indicated in the 2020 RP Analysis are to optimize these rates. The design parameters were necessary to ensure compliance with the Units’ 0.12 lb/MMBtu emission limits. The existing Utah Units’ scrubbers cannot control to lower SO2 emission rates. To achieve a 0.03 lb/MMBtu SO2 rate, new scrubbers would have to be constructed at an estimated capital cost of $180 million for each unit. UDAQ views the 0.03 lb/MMBtu rate as an artifact of the way the RPELs were calculated, and – as discussed in the NOx section below – UDAQ does not concur with this methodology or the RPELs that result from it. 159 See appendix C.3.D to view PacifiCorp’s response to comments regarding SO2 scrubbing 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Hunter Huntington 1 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.15 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.07 0.09 2 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 3 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18 lb / M M B t u Figure 53: Hunter and Huntington SO2 Rate 146 The 2019 Guidance states that it “may be reasonable for a state not to select an effectively controlled source. A source may already have effective controls in place as a result of a previous regional haze SIP or to meet another CAA requirement.” The guidance goes on to provide “scenarios in which EPA believes it may be reasonable for a state not to select a particular source for further analysis,” including the following example: For the purpose of SO2 control measures, an EGU that has add-on flue gas desulfurization (FGD) and that meets the applicable alternative SO2 emission limit of the 2012 Mercury Air Toxics Standards (MATS) rule47 for power plants. The two limits in the rule (0.2 lb/MMBtu for coal-fired EGUs or 0.3 lb/MMBtu for EGUs fired with oil-derived solid fuel) are low enough that it is unlikely that an analysis of control measures for a source already equipped with a scrubber and meeting one of these limits would conclude that even more stringent control of SO2 is necessary to make reasonable progress. As previously stated, all of PacifiCorp’s Utah units have permitted SO2 limits of 0.12 lb/MMBtu, which is well below the 0.2 lb/MMBtu limit provided in the 2019 Guidance. For the foregoing reasons, UDAQ concludes that SO2 emissions are well-controlled at all five Hunter and Huntington units. These units have operated at rates between 0.06 and 0.10 lb/MMBtu in recent years, and this range is consistent with the design parameters of the existing scrubbers. UDAQ also acknowledges that potential variations in the sulfur content of coal impact the ability of the existing controls to consistently scrub to lower levels in rejecting lower limits for these units. Because Utah participated in the Section 309 compliance pathway for SO2 in its round one SIP, the existing SO2 emission limits were not included among the Section IX.H controls for regional haze. Since the continued operation of these controls is essential to making reasonable progress as demonstrated by the WRAP photochemical modeling and helps eliminate the possibility of backsliding on past emissions reductions, UDAQ is adding the existing SO2 emission limits for all five units to SIP Section IX.H.23 to ensure federal enforceability in the regional haze context. However, UDAQ is eliminating the startup, shutdown, maintenance/planned outage or malfunction exemptions found in the approval order for Huntington Units 1 and 2 to ensure that the limits are applicable to these sources continuously to be consistent with CAA requirements. NOx Four-factor Analyses For NOx controls, specifically SNCR and SCR, UDAQ concurs with PacifiCorp’s calculations supporting their four-factor analyses (as amended or further justified in the company’s follow-up submittals). However, UDAQ does not concur with the company's four-factor analysis calculations for the proposed RPELs. First, the emissions reductions ascribed to the RPELs were based upon the application of SNCR controls – a technology the company claimed not to be cost-effective – to each plant's plantwide applicability limit (PAL). Furthermore, the control costs associated with the RPELs were estimated based solely on the cost of additional 147 scrubbing of SO2, while the estimated emissions reductions included both NOx and SO2, and the RPEL cost-effectiveness analysis used an unrealistic baseline emissions scenario (i.e., 100% of the PAL). As a result, the RPEL cost-effectiveness estimates cannot be meaningfully compared to those for physical controls. For these reasons, UDAQ rejects the proposed RPELs. Regarding SNCR and SCR cost-effectiveness, the company’s analysis was based upon applying recent (2015-2019 average) heat inputs (in MMBtu/year) and emissions rates (in lb/MMBtu) to calculate emissions (MMBtu/year X lb/MMBtu = lb/year) compared to using the same heat inputs at the control emissions rates for SNCR and SCR. The delta between the recent actual emissions versus emissions with new controls represented the emissions reductions associated with each control. The total annual cost of each control was then divided by tons reduced per year to establish a cost-effectiveness metric of dollars per ton ($/ton) of emissions reduced. PacifiCorp’s analysis yielded cost-effectiveness values ranging from $5,417/ton to $6,579/ton for SNCR and $4,401/ton to $6,533/ton for SCR, as summarized in Table 57 below. Table 57: Cost-effectiveness of SNCR and SCR and Hunter and Huntington Power Plants Unit SNCR $/ton SCR $/ton Hunter 1 $6,536 $6,533 Hunter 2 $6,469 $6,488 Hunter 3 $5,417 $4,401 Huntington 1 $6,431 $5,979 Huntington 2 $6,579 $6,294 As noted above, PacifiCorp’s cost-effectiveness estimates were calculated using a baseline of recent actual emission levels. However, as EPA notes in its 2019 Guidance: A state may choose a different emission control scenario as the analytical baseline scenario. Generally, the estimate of a source’s 2028 emissions is based at least in part on information on the source’s operation and emissions during a representative historical period. However, there may be circumstances under which it is reasonable to project that 2028 operations will differ significantly from historical emissions. Enforceable requirements are one reasonable basis for projecting a change in operating parameters and thus emissions; energy efficiency, renewable energy, or other such programs where there is a documented commitment to participate and a verifiable basis for quantifying any change in future emissions due to operational changes may be another.160 160 See Guidance on Regional Haze Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period (Aug. 20, 2019) (2019 Regional Haze Guidance) at 29, available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-08/documents/8-20-2019_-_regional_haze_guidance_final_guidance.pdf. 148 In its July 2021 clarifications memo, EPA adds that there may be instances in which state projections of changes in future utilization are unenforceable, leading to the need to establish utilization or production limits to ensure reasonable progress at existing emission rates: . . . in some cases, states may have projected significantly lower total emissions due to unenforceable utilization or production assumptions and those projections are dispositive of the four-factor analysis. For example, a state that rejected new controls solely based on cost effectiveness values that were higher due to low utilization assumptions. In this circumstance, an emission limit that requires compliance with only an emission rate may not be able to reasonably ensure that the source’s future emissions will be consistent with the assumptions relied upon for the reasonable progress determination. EPA anticipates these circumstances will be rare. One option a state may consider in this case is to incorporate a utilization or production limit corresponding to the assumption in the four-factor analysis into the SIP. Although not required, this approach is one way for states to address circumstances in which a specific emission rate does not, by itself, represent the reasonable progress determination.161 Furthermore, EPA recognized that in instances in which control costs are dominated by a relatively high proportion of fixed capital costs, actual cost-effectiveness will be highly dependent on the future utilization levels of the facility. In instances where utilization is lower than initially projected, controls will be less cost-effective, while higher future utilization will result in improved cost-effectiveness, since there will be more tons reduced by a given control but for the same fixed costs when utilization increases. In such instances, EPA notes that a mass- based emission limit may be appropriate to demonstrate reasonable progress: . . . if the annualized cost for a measure is dominated by fixed capital costs, the state may have determined that the measure is necessary to make reasonable progress if the operating level is high (making cost/ton and cost/Mm-1 relatively low) but not if the operating level is low (making cost/ton and cost/Mm-1 relatively high). In this case, a mass-based emission limit may be reasonable because it could relieve the source of the requirement to install the control if it manages its operating level strategically. . . . in addition to considering technology-based emission control measures, a state may consider restrictions on hours of operation, fuel input, or product output. Such restrictions could be implemented directly or by a time-based limit on mass emissions.162 To further assess the appropriateness of installing physical controls at these facilities, UDAQ developed a plant utilization sensitivity analysis for installing SCR at all five units at both plants. In this analysis, UDAQ assumed a baseline emission scenario using historical utilization levels 161 See Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period (July 8, 2021) (2021 Regional Haze Clarifications) at 12, available at https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-07/clarifications-regarding-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-for-the-second-implementation-period.pdf. 162 See 2019 Regional Haze Guidance at 45, available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-08/documents/8-20-2019_-_regional_haze_guidance_final_guidance.pdf. 149 (based on 2015-2019 actual emissions), and then varied potential future utilization relative to that baseline to create four alternative emissions scenarios: • 125% of baseline utilization • 75% of baseline utilization • 50% of baseline utilization UDAQ also scaled O&M costs by the same factors in an attempt to account for changes in variable costs but kept fixed capital costs constant. Figure 54 below summarizes this sensitivity analysis. As can be seen, higher unit and plant utilization yields lower $/ton estimates (more cost- effective), while lower utilization yields higher $/ton estimates (less cost-effective). This sensitivity analysis raises the question of how the units at both plants are likely to be utilized throughout the second regional haze planning period. In its attempt to address this question, WRAP relied on the Center for the New Energy Economy (CNEE) at Colorado State University to project 2028 emissions for coal- and gas-fired EGUs throughout the West for use in modeling to support WRAP states in their SIP development.163 For coal-fired units, these estimates were based on 2016-2018 utilization (i.e., gross load), heat rates, and emissions rates, but were adjusted for certain known or “on-the-books” (OTB) changes in emissions 163 See http://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/Final%20EGU%20Emissions%20Analysis%20Report.pdf. Figure 54: SCR Cost-effectiveness by utilization level at Hunter and Huntington Power Plants 150 controls, fuel switching, and unit closures. For example, in Utah, CNEE accounted for the previously announced closure of Intermountain Power Plant (IPP) Units 1 and 2 in 2025 by reducing emissions accordingly. Using this OTB methodology, WRAP projected 2028 NOx emissions of 10,001 tons/year for Hunter and 6,091 tons/year for Huntington.164 These emissions estimates are similar though not identical to PacifiCorp’s recent actual emissions used in its four-factor analyses, with the differences stemming from the use of different averaging periods and methodologies. Anticipated Changes in Utilization The electricity generation industry is experiencing significant change with the introduction of cheap natural gas and renewable sources such as wind and solar altering previous operating practices. Other factors affecting change include increased grid coordination (e.g., the Energy Imbalance Market (EIM), the potential establishment of a new Western regional transmission organization (RTO), new transmission capacity, etc.), dramatic improvements in lighting and other equipment efficiency, uncertainty regarding the future of climate regulation, and increased customer preference for cleaner energy resources. Low-cost renewable electricity in particular has forced operators to switch “baseload” EGUs, such as Utah’s coal-fired plants, to “follow” load between periods when renewables are available and unavailable. This trend is reflected in the utilization165 of the Hunter and Huntington power plants as shown in Figure 55 and Figure 56 below. 164 CNEE originally estimated 9,992 tons/year for Hunter and 6,083 for Huntington, but the final WRAP projections included additional non-EGU sources at each plant to arrive at the values above. 165 From Utah Geological Survey Energy Utah Energy and Mineral Statistics, Table 5.1 (https://geology.utah.gov/docs/statistics/electricity5.0/pdf/T5.1.pdf) and Table 5.15a (https://geology.utah.gov/docs/statistics/electricity5.0/pdf/T5.15.pdf). 74%68%63%63%66%69%66%70% 59%62%60%63%58% 79%74%67%65% 74%74%69%66%61%59%56%54%50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Hunter and Huntington Capacity Factors(based on Nameplate Capacity) Hunter Huntington Figure 55: Hunter and Huntington Capacity Factors 151 These changes in utilization, coupled with existing emission reduction controls, have led to decreases in NOx emissions from Utah’s coal-fueled EGUs, as shown in Figure 57. 86%79%74%73%76%80%76%81% 68%72%69%73%67% 90%85%77%75% 85%85%79%75%69%68%64%61%57% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* Hunter and Huntington Utilization(based on Net Summer Capability) Hunter Huntington Figure 56: Hunter and Huntington Utilization (based on Net Summer Capability) - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 20 0 0 20 0 2 20 0 4 20 0 6 20 0 8 20 1 0 20 1 2 20 1 4 20 1 6 20 1 8 20 2 0 20 0 0 20 0 2 20 0 4 20 0 6 20 0 8 20 1 0 20 1 2 20 1 4 20 1 6 20 1 8 20 2 0 Hunter Huntington to n s / y e a r 1 2 3 Figure 57: Hunter and Huntington NOx Emissions by Unit 152 While there is always uncertainty regarding the future utilization of a facility, PacifiCorp’s 2021 Integrated Resource Plan (IRP)166 helps shed light on the likely future operation of Hunter and Huntington Power Plants. Indeed, it provides the company’s most recent and robust assessment of the projected future resource utilization. As shown in Figure 58 (2021 IRP Figures 1.4-1.7), the 2021 IRP preferred portfolio includes approximately 6,000 MW of new solar capacity, over 3,500 MW of new wind capacity, over 6,000 MW of new storage capacity, and over 2,500 MW of new non-emitting resources (e.g., hydrogen, nuclear, etc.) through 2040. Over the same period, it anticipates over 4,000 MW of coal retirements or conversion of coal units to natural gas, as shown in Figure 59 (2021 IRP Figure 1.12) below. 166 https://www.pacificorp.com/content/dam/pcorp/documents/en/pacificorp/energy/integrated-resource-plan/2021-irp/Volume%20I%20-%209.15.2021%20Final.pdf Figure 58: PacifiCorp 2021 IRP Cumulative Resource Additions 153 Figure 60 compares PacifiCorp’s remaining coal capacity (MW) to both the coal share of total energy (% of total MWh) and total capacity (% of total MW) over the 2021 IRP planning window. In 2021, coal-fired units are responsible for 49% of total energy, but only 31% of total capacity. Over time the coal energy share declines at a steeper rate than the coal capacity share as renewables and non-emitting resources enter PacifiCorp’s system, with the metrics crossing each other in 2031 at 11%. By the end of the IRP planning window in 2040 when the Hunter power plant is the only coal-fired unit remaining in PacifiCorp’s system, the coal capacity share is only 3% and the coal energy share is only 1% of the total system. Importantly, it is energy generation, not capacity, that correlates with emissions levels for a given emission rate. Of particular interest is the period from 2029 through 2036 during which both in- and out-of-state coal capacity remains flat. Yet over the same period, the coal-fired share of total energy declines from 18% to just 6%. This chart helps illustrate that PacifiCorp’s coal-fired units switch Figure 60: PacifiCorp 2021 IRP Coal Capacity (MW) vs. Coal % of Total Energy and % of Total Capacity 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Ca p a c i t y ( M W ) Hunter Capacity Huntington Capacity Remaining Coal Capacity Coal % of Total Energy Coal % of Total Capacity Figure 59: PacifiCorp 2021 IRP Cumulative Coal Retirements/Gas Conversions 154 from being energy resource to capacity resources over time, as they transition to their new role of supporting zero-emission resources. While the 2021 IRP projected plant-level and unit-level capacity factors for Hunter and Huntington are confidential and, therefore, not available to include in the SIP, the redacted comments of interveners before the Utah Public Service Commission (PSC) who have been granted access to these projections provide an additional degree of confidence that the utilization of these plants is likely to change. For example, excerpts from the redacted comments by Western Resource Advocates (WRA)167 shed light on the projected future utilization of PacifiCorp’s coal-fired plants: With the planned new resources in PacifiCorp’s Preferred Portfolio, the transformation of PacifiCorp’s coal fleet is projected to accelerate significantly over the coming decade from the provision of round-the-clock energy to seasonal dispatch with limited annual hours of operation. (page 10) Confidential Exhibit 4 is comprised of six pages, and displays monthly capacity factors for PacifiCorp’s long-lived coal plants: Jim Bridger, Wyodak, Hunter, and Huntington. A review of the exhibit makes clear that once take-or-pay contracts expire, the units at Hunter and Huntington operate only seasonally… (pages 15-16) Affordability In addition to concerns that reduced future plant utilization will erode the cost-effectiveness of physical controls at Hunter and Huntington, it is important to note that PacifiCorp believes that these controls are unaffordable under the current constraints the company faces as a regulated public utility and in the face of post-pandemic supply chain issues and rising inflation. As PacifiCorp states168: …the dollar-per-ton cost-effectiveness value for SCR does not represent all of the considerations necessary to determine whether SCR is a reasonable control that should be required at the Utah Units. As the Affordability Analysis shows, a demonstration that SCR is the least-cost, least-risk option for PacifiCorp’s customers faces likely insurmountable obstacles. In addition, over the past decade, the requirement to install SCR has led to early retirement or refueling of numerous other coal-fueled generating plants in the region and across the country. External factors including increased regulatory scrutiny of investments in coal-fueled resources, state laws limiting the market for coal-fueled power and increasing competition from renewable and storage resources add to the pressures making SCR unaffordable, especially for a regulated utility. The decision to retire a coal-fueled unit rather than install SCR is not merely “a voluntary business decision[ ] that the benefits of continuing to generate electricity at the affected units were outweighed” by other factors. Instead, an early retirement decision is a 167 See https://pscdocs.utah.gov/electric/21docs/2103509/322689RdctdWRACmnts3-4-2022.pdf. 168 PacifiCorp’s public comment period submission can be found at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2022-007454.pdf 155 regulatory necessity as continued plant operation becomes unfeasible because “the costs of [SCR] . . . [are] so onerous that the source[ ] simply could not afford them” making “the sources’ decisions to cease operations . . . in essence involuntary.” In the Wyodak Facility SCR Affordability Analysis (August 25, 2020) supplied with their public comments on the proposed SIP, PacifiCorp identifies several coal units across the country that have either been retired or repowered rather than installing SCR to meet regulatory requirements, including: - Cholla Plant, Arizona - Craig Unit 1, Colorado - San Juan Generating Station (retirement of two of four units), New Mexico - Progress Energy and Duke have shut down 22 units subject to BART instead of installing controls, North Carolina - Boardman Plant elected to cease burning coal instead of installing SCR, Oregon - Dave Johnson Plan will retire Unit 3 by 2027 rather than installing SCR, Wyoming More recently, PacifiCorp has announced that it will convert Jim Bridger 1 and 2 to natural gas rather than installing SCR. Affordability concerns have led some 2021 IRP commenters to opine that SCR might be considered an imprudent investment relative to unit closures in the economic regulatory arena, including parties who in their round two proposed SIP comments to UDAQ claim SCR to be a cost-effective control. For example, in redacted comments before the Utah PSC, the Sierra Club states, “SCR requirements will at some point be required under the Clean Air Act. At that time, the early retirement case becomes roughly equivalent from an economic standpoint to the current preferred case, depending on the price-policy scenario.”169 Here it is important to note that EPA has historically held that it does not have the authority to force the retirement of a unit under the regional haze rule: “Generally, EPA does not interpret the regional haze rule to provide us with authority to make a BART determination that requires the shutdown of a source.”170 Additional affordability concerns were raised in public comments from Deseret Power, which owns an undivided 25.108% of Hunter Unit 2. Deseret states171: For over 20 years, Deseret has operated as a financially distressed company under the terms of a troubled debt forbearance (the “Debt Forbearance”) with its principal creditor. Under the terms of the Debt Forbearance, Deseret essentially pledged all of its available net cashflow toward partial payment of long-term indebtedness which Deseret has been unable to pay in full. A key provision of the Debt Forbearance is that Deseret cannot 169 See https://pscdocs.utah.gov/electric/21docs/2103509/322718RdctdSierraClubCmnts3-4-2022.pdf 170 79 FR 5032, 5045 (Jan. 30, 2014). 171 The public comments submitted by Deseret Power can be found at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2022-007475.pdf 156 incur any added indebtedness without prior express consent of the existing creditor. The creditor understandably does not allow Deseret to take on new debt without first scrutinizing whether and to what extent the new debt would result in increased net cashflows to help repay the outstanding arrearage on existing debt held by the creditor. In its present condition, Deseret is not certain it would be able to raise capital necessary to finance its portion of costs to install any additional and costly post-combustion controls at Hunter II. It would be left to the decision of Deseret’s creditor to refuse to allow Deseret to solicit or draw on any new source of financing for such controls. These affordability concerns and the potential for forced unit closures weigh in favor of considering reasonable alternatives to requiring the installation of physical controls. Balancing the Four Statutory Factors Given the likely reduction in utilization of Hunter and Huntington in future years and the erosion of the cost-effectiveness of physical controls that would accompany such a reduction, UDAQ is establishing enforceable mass-based limits on future emissions from these facilities to reduce uncertainty and ensure that the plants operate at or below emissions levels at which physical controls are not cost-effective. To identify these limits, UDAQ calculated the utilization and resulting emissions levels that would result in a $5,750/ton level for SNCR and SCR for all units at both plants, as shown in Table 58 and Table 59 below. UDAQ then used the more stringent of the two scenarios (based on SCR) to set limits at which both SNCR and SCR are not cost- effective. Table 58: 2028 Mass-based NOx Limit - SNCR Cost-effectiveness Item (unit) Hunter 1 Hunter 2 Hunter 3 Huntington 1 Huntington 2 Total 2028 Utilization (% of 2015-2019 Average) 144.6% 134.2% 85.6% 133.0% 138.3% 2015-2019 Average Heat Input (MMBTU) 28,482,643 30,101,030 31,182,279 28,063,728 27,150,145 2028 Limit Heat Input (MMBTU) 41,183,800 40,400,840 26,683,091 37,329,312 37,542,964 Existing Control Rate (lb/MMBTU) 0.200 0.193 0.280 0.212 0.208 Proposed Control Rate (lb/MMBTU) 0.160 0.154 0.224 0.169 0.166 Emissions w/ Existing Controls (tons/year) 4,109 3,895 3,730 3,948 3,906 Emissions w/ Control (tons/year) 3,295 3,111 2,989 3,154 3,116 Emissions Reduction (tons/year) 814 785 742 793 790 Annualized Capital Costs $1,546,424 $1,546,424 $1,546,424 $ 1,560,724 $ 1,560,724 Total Annual O&M Costs $ 3,135,346 $ 2,964,595 $ 2,718,259 $ 3,001,112 $ 2,981,296 Total Annual Cost $4,681,770 $4,511,019 $4,264,683 $4,561,836 $4,542,020 $/ton $ 5,750 $ 5,750 $ 5,750 $ 5,750 $ 5,750 2028 Emission Limit (tons) Hunter Plantwide: 11,735 Huntington Plantwide: 7,854 19,588 Table 59: 2028 Mass-based NOx Limit – SCR Cost-effectiveness Item (unit) Hunter 1 Hunter 2 Hunter 3 Huntington 1 Huntington 2 Total 157 2028 Utilization (% of 2015-2019 Average) 115.9% 115.0% 73.6% 104.6% 111.0% 2015-2019 Average Heat Input (MMBTU) 28,482,643 30,101,030 31,182,279 28,063,728 27,150,145 2028 Limit Heat Input (MMBTU) 33,016,004 34,628,669 22,963,607 29,357,153 30,136,124 Existing Control Rate (lb/MMBTU) 0.1995 0.1928 0.2796 0.2115 0.2081 Proposed Control Rate (lb/MMBTU) 0.0500 0.0500 0.0500 0.0500 0.0500 Emissions w/ Existing Controls (tons/year) 3,294 3,339 3,210 3,105 3,135 Emissions w/ Control (tons/year) 825 866 574 734 753 Emissions Reduction (tons/year) 2,469 2,473 2,636 2,371 2,382 Annualized Capital Costs $12,141,691 $12,141,691 $13,490,472 $11,787,158 $11,787,158 Total Annual O&M Costs $ 2,052,876 $ 2,078,799 $ 1,667,280 $ 1,844,255 $ 1,909,166 Total Annual Cost $14,194,567 $14,220,490 $15,157,752 $13,631,413 $13,696,324 $/ton $ 5,750 $ 5,750 $ 5,750 $ 5,750 $ 5,750 2028 Emission Limit (tons) Hunter Plantwide: 9,843 Huntington Plantwide: 6,240 16,083 While UDAQ is not establishing a cost-effectiveness threshold per se, the agency believes that a level of $5,750/ton for physical controls, when balanced against the remaining three statutory factors, is not cost-effective. As a result, UDAQ concludes that physical controls are not necessary to demonstrate reasonable progress. What follows is a brief summary of the remaining factors, beyond cost-effectiveness, that help in leading UDAQ to this conclusion: Time Necessary for Compliance Due to the delayed nature of the round 2 regional haze SIPs, there is only a short window available for control installation of approximately five years, depending the final approval date. This is likely not enough time for the potential installation of SNCR or SCR at up to five units. In contrast, enforceable annual mass-based limits can begin to be implemented immediately upon approval of the round 2 regional haze SIP. Energy and non-air quality environmental impacts According to PacifiCorp’s four-factor analysis, the installation of SCR on Hunter and Huntington would result in a large parasitic load of 12.5 MW at Hunter and 8.6 MW at Huntington, which equates to 115,687 and 79,743 more tons of CO2, respectively. In addition, the installation of SNCR or SCR could potentially lead to increases in water use, coal consumption, coal combustion residuals, and other consumables and waste products associated with coal combustion (e.g., water treatment chemicals, anhydrous ammonia reagent, urea reagent, mercury control system reagent, and diesel fuel), since physical controls would enable the plants to operate more under the existing PALs relative to mass-based limits. In addition, these plants are currently projected to assist in the transition towards intermittent renewable resources. Should the cost of physical controls lead to early plant closures, alternative resources will be required to provide such support. 158 Remaining Useful Life The currently anticipated economic life of Huntington is approximately 14 years (16 years fewer than EPA’s 30-year control life of SCR). The economic life of Hunter is approximately 20 years (10 years fewer than EPA’s 30-year control life of SCR). While the respective closure years of 2036 and 2042 are not currently enforceable, closure of these facilities at or before the end of their economic life would further erode the cost- effectiveness of physical controls by shortening the amortization period for control costs. Ongoing scrutiny of expenditures associated with coal-fired power plants by state public service commissions and the establishment of clean energy requirements in California, Oregon, and Washington increase the risk that these facilities may face early closure. Mass-based Limits and Flexible Compliance While Table 59 above shows the emissions levels that would result from constraining cost- effectiveness at $5,750/ton for SCR at the unit level, UDAQ is summing these estimated unit- level emissions at each plant to develop plantwide emission limits to provide compliance flexibility. In particular, UDAQ is establishing a 2028 plantwide NOx limit of 9,843 tons per year for Hunter and a 2028 plantwide NOx limit of 6,240 tons per year for Huntington. In addition, UDAQ is establishing an initial plantwide NOx limit for Hunter of 11,041 tons per year and an initial plantwide NOx limit for Huntington of 6,604 tons per year, both effective upon SIP approval. These initial levels are based on each plant’s highest emission value over the past five years (2017-2021). Finally, UDAQ is establishing an interim 2025 plantwide limit of 10,442 tons per year for Hunter and an interim 2025 plantwide limit of 6,422 tons per year for Huntington, to create a compliance glidepath to aid in the transition from recent actual utilization levels to the final 2028 limits. The interim limits for each plant were calculated as the average of (i.e., the midpoint between) the initial and 2028 plantwide limits for each plant. The limits are compared to recent actual emissions and the outgoing PAL in Table 60 and Table 61 below. UDAQ notes that flexible compliance mechanisms such as plantwide limits and glidepaths are commonly used in environmental regulation (e.g., plantwide applicability limits; Tier 3 fuel averaging, banking, and trading; the Tier 3 vehicle fleet averaging glidepath from 2017-2025; cap and trade programs, etc.) and are appropriate in this application. Table 60: Hunter Actuals and Limits Year or Limit Unit 1 Unit 2 Unit 3 Total 2015 3,274 3,210 5,107 11,591 2016 2,806 2,556 3,506 8,869 2017 2,518 2,789 4,466 9,773 2018 2,422 2,975 4,372 9,770 2019 3,188 2,981 4,344 10,514 2020 2,996 2,955 3,336 9,287 2021 3,032 2,905 5,103 11,041 2022 Initial Limit 11,041 2025 Interim Limit 10,442 2028 Final Limit 9,843 Outgoing PAL 15,095 159 Table 61: Huntington Actuals and Limits Year or Limit Unit 1 Unit 2 Total 2015 3,563 2,899 6,462 2016 2,810 3,400 6,210 2017 2,990 2,940 5,931 2018 2,462 2,692 5,153 2019 3,013 2,193 5,206 2020 2,476 2,337 4,814 2021 3,111 3,493 6,604 2022 Initial Limit 6,604 2025 Interim Limit 6,422 2028 Final Limit 6,240 Outgoing PAL 7,971 As discussed previously, UDAQ has historically used plantwide limits (i.e., PALs) to limit emissions from Hunter and Huntington power plants while providing PacifiCorp operational flexibility. According to EPA’s 2020 “Guidance on Plantwide Applicability Limitation Provisions Under the New Source Review Regulations”:172 A PAL is an optional flexible permitting mechanism available to major stationary sources that involves the establishment of a plantwide emissions limit, in tons per year, for a regulated NSR pollutant. A PAL represents a simplified NSR applicability approach that provides a source with the ability to manage physical and operational changes, and the impacts of those changes on facility-wide emissions, without triggering major NSR or the need to conduct project-by-project major NSR applicability analyses. The added flexibility of a PAL allows a source to respond rapidly to market changes with reduced permitting burden and greater regulatory certainty. While sources may favor such regulatory flexibility, the ability for emissions to vary from unit to unit under a plantwide limit raises the question of how such variations might impact visibility at CIAs. On this point, UDAQ notes that the distance between the outermost stacks at Hunter is approximately 596 feet, and the distance between the stacks for units 1 and 2 at Huntington is 265 feet. In contrast, the distance between each plant and the CANYI IMPROVE monitor for Arches and Canyonlands is 431,589 feet (Hunter) and 490,433 feet (Huntington). While distances from these facilities to each IMPROVE site vary, the CANY1 example illustrates that differences in visibility impairment that stem from the proximity effects associated with plantwide limits are likely to be negligible. Visibility impacts related to using plantwide limits are more likely to stem from other factors that might favor or constrain the utilization of one unit relative to other units than from differences in proximity to CIAs among units. 172 https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2020-08/documents/pal_guidance_final_-_signed.pdf 160 Cost-effectiveness Thresholds On the subject of decision thresholds, the 2019 Guidance notes that states “may” use thresholds, but the use of such thresholds must be justified with respect to consideration for other relevant factors: A state may find it useful to develop thresholds for single metrics to organize and guide its decision-making. As the Ninth Circuit explained in NPCA v. EPA, 788 F.3d at 1142, the Regional Haze Rule does not prevent states from implementing “bright line” rules, such as thresholds, when considering costs and visibility benefits. However, the state must explain the basis for any thresholds or other rules (see 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)). If a state applies a threshold for any particular metric to remove control measures from further consideration before all other relevant factors are considered, it should explain why its selected threshold is appropriate for that purpose, i.e., why its application is consistent with the requirement to make reasonable progress. In general, UDAQ believes that such “bright line” thresholds are neither required nor appropriate for determining reasonable progress. As discussed in Section 7.A.1 regarding the selection of sources for controls determination, UDAQ’s Q/d threshold value of 6 is only the starting point for screening sources for further evaluation. UDAQ augments this threshold with both a secondary screening and a WEP analysis to ensure that it has accurately captured sources in need of evaluation. Similarly, a bright line cost-effectiveness threshold (i.e., cost/ton) is not required and may be of limited utility. In fact, the 2019 Guidance states that such cost/ton thresholds must be justified, and comparisons among various cost/ton estimates may or may not be useful for assessing compliance costs: If a state applies a threshold for cost/ton to evaluate control measures, we recommend that the SIP explain why the selected threshold is appropriate for that purpose and consistent with the requirement to make reasonable progress. … a cost/ton metric and comparisons to the cost/ton values for measures that have been previously implemented may or may not be useful in determining the reasonableness of compliance costs. Historically, UDAQ has not utilized cost-effectiveness thresholds for compliance cost assessment, whether for RACT, BACT, or other air quality program control measures. Selecting a cost-effectiveness threshold provides a “target” that sources could potentially exploit to adjust their compliance cost analyses to avoid control requirements. In the round 2 regional haze context, the selection of a bright line $/ton threshold would inappropriately limit UDAQ’s ability to consider the remaining three statutory factors and related considerations. That said, a review of cost-effectiveness thresholds and ranges in various states – either incorporated directly into regional haze SIPs, used internally by staff and shared via the interstate coordination process, or shared by commenters on the proposed SIP – reveals that UDAQ’s determination that 161 physical controls are not cost-effective at a $5,750/ton level is in line with the range considered by other states as shown in Figure 61 below. Annual Limits vs. Short-term Limits or Emission Rates Given concerns that the use of an annual limit might not be sufficiently short to limit visibility impairment on Most Impaired Days (MIDs), UDAQ evaluated the seasonality of nitrate impairment on MIDs at Utah’s CIAs using the last five available years of visibility data.173 As shown in Figure 62, nitrate impairment is largely seasonal with the MIDs with the highest light extinction happening during the winter months. This result is consistent with the secondary formation of particulates that UDAQ sees along the Wasatch Front and is not unexpected. 173 Source: "TSS Ambient Species Composition of Daily Light Extinction by Percentile Days - Product #XATP_ECSB_GDYR." WRAP Technical Support System (TSS); The Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) and the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA), 20 Jun 2022 $10,000 $10,000 $6,100 $5,800 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,528 $2,900 $1,000 $6,500 $5,100 $18,000 $10,000 $8,500 $- $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000 $16,000 $18,000 $20,000 CO OR ID HI WA NV NM TX AZ MO WY AR $/ t o n r e d u c e d Cost-effective Additional Justification Needed Depends on Source Range Under Consideration Figure 61: State Control Cost-effectiveness Ranges 162 While nitrate light extinction has a single annual peak in the wintertime, the Hunter and Huntington power plants have two gross load (and associated NOx emissions) peaks each year, one in the summer and one in the winter, as shown in Figure 63 below. As a result, UDAQ believes that the company is unlikely to utilize the majority of its annual mass-based NOx limit for each plant during the wintertime gross load and MID nitrate impairment peaks, since it must retain enough headroom to accommodate the summer gross load peak. Thus, UDAQ concludes 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 1/ 1 / 2 0 1 4 2/ 2 4 / 2 0 1 4 4/ 1 9 / 2 0 1 4 6/ 1 2 / 2 0 1 4 8/ 5 / 2 0 1 4 9/ 2 8 / 2 0 1 4 11 / 2 1 / 2 0 1 4 1/ 1 4 / 2 0 1 5 3/ 9 / 2 0 1 5 5/ 2 / 2 0 1 5 6/ 2 5 / 2 0 1 5 8/ 1 8 / 2 0 1 5 10 / 1 1 / 2 0 1 5 12 / 4 / 2 0 1 5 1/ 2 7 / 2 0 1 6 3/ 2 1 / 2 0 1 6 5/ 1 4 / 2 0 1 6 7/ 7 / 2 0 1 6 8/ 3 0 / 2 0 1 6 10 / 2 3 / 2 0 1 6 12 / 1 6 / 2 0 1 6 2/ 8 / 2 0 1 7 4/ 3 / 2 0 1 7 5/ 2 7 / 2 0 1 7 7/ 2 0 / 2 0 1 7 9/ 1 2 / 2 0 1 7 11 / 5 / 2 0 1 7 12 / 2 9 / 2 0 1 7 2/ 2 1 / 2 0 1 8 4/ 1 6 / 2 0 1 8 6/ 9 / 2 0 1 8 8/ 2 / 2 0 1 8 9/ 2 5 / 2 0 1 8 11 / 1 8 / 2 0 1 8 1/ 1 1 / 2 0 1 9 3/ 6 / 2 0 1 9 4/ 2 9 / 2 0 1 9 6/ 2 2 / 2 0 1 9 8/ 1 5 / 2 0 1 9 10 / 8 / 2 0 1 9 12 / 1 / 2 0 1 9 Li g h t E x t i n c t i o n , M m -1 BRCA1 CANY1 CAPI1 ZICA1 Figure 62: Daily Nitrate Light Extinction MIDs at Utah CIA IMPROVE Sites, 2014-2019 163 that an annual mass-based limit is a sufficient to reduce the likelihood of excess emissions impact CIAs during periods of high electricity demand. Other Considerations UDAQ finds it additionally compelling to incorporate these enforceable mass-based emission limits to ensure that the EGU nitrate contribution to light extinction at Utah (and other states) CIAs does not exceed the emissions levels utilized in WRAP’s photochemical modeling.174 Such mass-based emission limits would help ensure that Utah is making reasonable progress as demonstrated by the WRAP modeling, while eliminating the possibility of backsliding on past emissions reductions. Importantly, the mass-based emissions limits outlined above result in combined emissions that are generally consistent with WRAP’s 2028 OTB projections that are explicitly accounted for in Utah’s projected 2028 RPGs, such as the example shown for Canyonlands in Figure 64. 174 See Appendix A for UDAQ’s proposed Part H language for emission limits and controls enforcement - 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 4,500,000 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 MW h to n s / y e a r NOx (tons)Gross Load (MW-h) Figure 63: Combined Hunter and Huntington Monthly NOx Emissions vs. Monthly Gross Load, 2014-2021 164 Finally, this approach provides regulatory flexibility for PacifiCorp, which can meet the mass- based emission limits either by limiting or otherwise modifying operation, installing controls, switching fuels, closing units, or some combination of these options. Refer to section 8.D.3 for UDAQ’s reasonable progress determinations for the Hunter and Huntington power plants. 7.C.4 Sunnyside Cogeneration Associates- Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility Four-Factor Analysis Summary and Evaluation175 Facility Identification Name: Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility Address: State Road 123, #1 Power Plant Road, Sunnyside, Utah Owner/Operator: Sunnyside Cogeneration Associates UTM coordinates: 552,984 m Easting, 4,377,786 m Northing, UTM Zone 12 Facility Process Summary The Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility (Sunnyside) is in Sunnyside, Carbon County, Utah (approximately 25 miles southeast of Price). The nearest Class I areas and their respective distance from the facility are Canyonlands National Park, (91 miles), Capitol Reef National Park (95 miles), Bryce Canyon National Park (171 miles) and Zion National Park (217 miles). The Sunnyside power plant began operations in May of 1993. The electricity it produces is sold to PacifiCorp, operating as Utah Power and Light [UPLC). The plant qualifies as a small power production facility and qualifying cogeneration facility (“QF”) under the Public Utility Regulatory 175 Sunnyside’s full four-factor analysis can be found in appendix C.4.A or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2020-008928.pdf Figure 64: Example of projected RPGs for Canyonlands and Arches CIAs 165 Policy Act of 1997 (‘PURPA”). The facility operates a coal-fired combustion boiler that features circulating fluidized bed (CFB), a baghouse and a limestone injection system. The facility also operates an emergency diesel engine and emergency generator. All process units are currently permitted in its UDAQ Title V air operating permit (Permit # 700030004) which was renewed on April 30, 2018. The CFB boiler is subject to the NESHAPS Part 63, Subpart UUUUU Mercury and Air Toxics Standards [MATSI Rule. As a result, Sunnyside is required to meet a standard of 0.2 lb./MMBtu of SO2. This standard requires continuous monitoring with a continuous emission monitor system (CEMS). The plant’s CFB boiler, designed by Tampella Power, produces steam that drives a Dresser Rand turbine generator. The CFB boiler and baghouse uses limestone injection. Historically, CFB boilers have been one of the primary low emission combustion technologies for commercial and small utility installations using low grade fuels. This trend continues with CFB technology being considered for smaller coal fired units as a means to effectively utilize lower quality fuels and meet environmental requirements. The current boiler produces emissions from one stack at Sunnyside’s cogeneration facility. For the purposes of a control technology review, only the emissions from the boiler stack itself are considered as well as the operations from the emergency diesel engine and emergency generator. Facility Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions Sources The source consists of the following emission units: • Circulating Fluidized Bed Combustion Boiler – Rated at 700 MMBtu/hr and fueled by coal, coal refuse or alternative fuels, and fueled by diesel fuel during startup, shutdown, upset condition and flame stabilization. This boiler is equipped with a limestone injection system to the fluidized bed and a baghouse. This boiler is subject to 40 CFR 60, Subpart Da and CAM. • One diesel engine, approximately 201 HP, used to power the emergency backup fire pump, and various portable I/C engines to power air compressors, generators, welders and pumps. • A 500-kW emergency standby diesel generator, used in the event of disruption of normal electrical power and testing/maintenance. 1.4 Facility Current Potential to Emit The current PTE values for Sunnyside, as established by the most recent NSR permit issued to the source (DAQE-AN100960029-13) are as follows (in tons/year): SO2 1,289.26 NOx 771.2. Facility Current Potential to Emit The current PTE values for Sunnyside, as established by the most recent NSR permit issued to the source (DAQE-AN100960029-13) are as follows: Table 62: Sunnyside: Current Potential to Emit (Tons/Year) Pollutant Potential to Emit (tons/yr) SO2 1,289.26 NOx 771.2 166 Sunnyside Four Factor Analysis Conclusion The facility currently uses CFB technology to lower NOx emissions and achieves Title V permitting NOx limits as currently operated. SCR is a technically feasible control option for this boiler but is not cost effective with a control cost greater than $10,000 per ton of NOx removed. While SNCR may represent a cost-effective option for NOx emissions reduction, the introduction of substantial ammonia slip has the potential to cause adverse environmental impacts. The ammonia and PM2.5 emissions have the potential to cause direct health impacts for those in the area, and present additional safety concerns for the storage and transportation of ammonia. Despite not having SNCR or SCR installed, the Sunnyside boiler is achieving a NOx emission rate on a lb./MMBtu basis that is comparable to PSD BACT levels set on CFB boilers. Therefore, additional add-on controls for NOx emissions reductions are not necessary on the Sunnyside CFB boiler. UDAQ Evaluation Summary and Conclusion176 UDAQ noted several potential errors in Sunnyside’s analysis: 1. The Sunnyside four-factor analysis for SO2 eliminated both wet scrubbers and spray dry scrubbers from consideration as an SO2 control because it does not have the water rights that would be needed for operation of the wet scrubber or a spray dry absorber. 2. Sunnyside Cogen did not provide justification for including the cost for a new replacement baghouse with a dry scrubbing option. 3. Sunnyside’s analysis was inconsistent regarding the amount of sorbent required and the possible resulting efficiency. 4. The Sunnyside dry sorbent injection analysis assumed too high of a cost for auxiliary power. 5. The Sunnyside dry scrubbing cost analysis improperly included annual costs for taxes and insurance and assumed unreasonably high annual costs for administrative charges. 6. The Sunnyside dry scrubbing cost analysis improperly assumed a 30% increase in cost as a retrofit factor. 7. The Sunnyside dry sorbent injection cost analysis used too high of an interest rate and too short expected life when amortizing costs. 8. Sunnyside assumed too high of an interest rate and too short of a life of controls in determining the annualized capital costs of SNCR and SCR The Sunnyside SCR and SNCR cost effectiveness analyses assumed a 4.75% interest rate and a 20- year life of both SCR and SNCR. 9. Sunnyside assumed a very high cost for aqueous ammonia that was not justified. In its SNCR and SCR cost analyses, Sunnyside Cogen assumed a cost for 29.4% aqueous ammonia of $2.50 per gallon. 176 UDAQ’s full evaluation of Sunnyside’s four-factor analysis submittal can be found in appendix C.4.B or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/DAQ-2021-009630.pdf 167 10. Sunnyside assumed a higher cost for electricity than it assumed in its dry sorbent injection analysis in its SCR and SNCR cost analysis. At this time, UDAQ is unable to proceed with its review and requests additional information as follows: 1. The source needs to resubmit the Four Factor analysis correcting the errors mentioned above. 2. Additional information must be provided regarding the infeasibility of SCR. A. This information can include additional details on economics as well as technical limitations. 3. Additional information must be provided regarding the infeasibility of SNCR. A. As with SCR, this information can include additional details on economics as well as technical limitations. 4. Any other pertinent information Sunnyside feels is warranted should also be provided in order to assist UDAQ in the review process. Sunnyside’s Evaluation Response177 1. HAR technology is not feasible as flue gas exiting the CFB boiler at Sunnyside typically contains approximately 10% unreacted calcium oxide in the in the fly ash and even less in the bottom ash.178 Additionally, there is a significant amount of ash already entrained in the CFB boiler which would make additional ash infeasible. SDA technology requires significant amounts of water that Sunnyside is unable to adequately source, thus they find it infeasible. Given the configuration of existing units, there is not enough space between the CFB boiler and existing baghouse for the addition of a further CDS/CFBS unit without significant reconfiguration of existing equipment. Of all the add on control technologies considered, CDS/CFBS is the only potentially feasible option. Existing controls for SO2 as defined in Sunnyside’s Title V air operation permit (#700030004) Condition II.A.2 currently provide SO2 controls to the circulating fluidized bed (CFB) boiler, which involves limestone injection. 2. Sunnyside included a cost analysis for a CDS/CFBS as per UDAQ request as it is the only technically feasible add-on unit. However, the average estimated cost for a CDS/CFBS able to achieve 90% SO2 control ranges from $81 to $400 million plus another $1.7 million for a new baghouse required with this technology. Ash Grove does not consider this device economically feasible. 3. Sunnyside has updated this formula in the revised cost analysis to utilize the Sargent & Lundy formula for estimating the amount of lime needed for the Sunnyside CFB boiler. This formula now assumes that use of lime could achieve 74% SO2 reduction resulting in a lime injection rate of 0.0921 tons per hour or 184 lb/hour. 4. Sunnyside has revised the cost for auxiliary power to be consistent with the UDAQ comments. Specifically, the busbar cost for electricity has now been calculated based on 177 Sunnyside’s full evaluation response can be found in appendix C.4.C or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/pm25-serious-sip/DAQ-2021-017202.pdf 178 Based on fly ash characterization results conducted at Sunnyside Cogeneration Associates. 168 2018 operating data. The resulting rate is $49.45 per MW. Additionally, the electrical usage rate has been updated to match the UDAQ comments and as displayed below: 0.028% x 58.33 MW x 8031 hours/yr x $49.45/MW-hr = $6,486 per year. The analysis provided under Question 2, 3, and 4 along with the attached cost analysis should replace information found in Sections 5.4 and 5.5 of the Four Factor Analysis. 5. The UDAQ suggested that there are tax exemptions in Utah for control equipment. UAC R307-120 exempts the purchase of control equipment from sales/use tax. As a result, sales tax is no longer included in CDS/CFBS cost analysis provided. Sales tax rates and property taxes are not used in either the SCR or SNCR cost analyses due to the equation format provided by EPA. Insurance rate was based on a 1% of the Total capital investment (TCI) which is documented in the EPA Cost Control Manual, Section 1, Chapter 2 Cost Estimation: Concepts and Methodology, Subsection 2.6.5.8 Property Taxes, Insurance, Administrative Charges and Permitting Costs. The administrative cost calculation has been updated to be consistent with SCR as suggested by the UDAQ. 6. The UDAQ questioned the retrofit factor (RF) of 1.3 used all cost analyses, as a result Sunnyside reevaluated the use of this factor on a technology specific basis. Referencing the EPA Control Cost Manual, Sunnyside believes the 1.3 retrofit factor is justified for use in their cost calculations for CDS/CFBS and SCR. They reconsidered their SNCR calculations and instead used a 1.0 retrofit factor. 7. A 20-year life span and 7% interest rate has been applied to the cost control analyses provided by Sunnyside. 8. The equipment life and interest rate explanations provided in Question 7 are not control technology specific. Thus, the same conclusions are applicable, namely, a 20-year life span and 7% interest rate are appropriate for the cost analyses provided. 9. In response to the UDAQ’s request, Sunnyside obtained a cost estimate for 19% aqua ammonia from Thatcher Group, Inc (Thatcher). Thatcher quoted $0.18 per lb. of solution. Based on this value, if we assume a density of 19% ammonia is estimated to be 7.46 lbs/gal to 7.99 lbs/gal. This results in a cost per gallon ranges from 1.34 $/gal to 1.438 $/gal. This cost is significantly higher than the EPA estimate of $0.293, which is acceptable as it states, “User should enter actual value if known”. Furthermore, it should be noted that the cost for ammonia based on the most recent U.S. Geological Survey, Minerals Commodity Summaries, which was quoted in the original Four Factor Analysis is also significantly higher and based on a density of 29% ammonia. Since the $1.438 is still less than the originally used $2.5 per gallon, these calculations have been updated to include the vendor quote. 10. As discussed in Question 4, Sunnyside has revised the cost for auxiliary power to be consistent with the UDAQ’s comments. Please see section 4 for additional information. A revised cost analysis for SCR and SNCR have been provided in Attachment A to replace the cost analysis in the original Four Factor Analysis. 169 UDAQ Response Conclusion UDAQ agrees with the amendments included in Sunnyside’s evaluation response and finds the answer’s provided in the facility’s response satisfactory. Refer to section 8.D.5 for UDAQ’s reasonable progress determinations for the Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility. 7.C.5 US Magnesium LLC- Rowley Plant179 Facility Identification Name: Rowley Plant Address: 12819 North Skull Valley Road 15 Miles North Exit 77, I- 80, Rowley, Utah Owner/Operator: US Magnesium LLC UTM coordinates: 4,530,490 m Northing, 354,141 m Easting, Zone 12 Facility Process Summary US Magnesium LLC (USM) operates a primary magnesium production facility at its Rowley Plant, located in Tooele County, Utah. USM produces magnesium metal from the waters of the Great Salt Lake. Some of the water is evaporated in a system of solar evaporation ponds and the resulting brine solution is purified and dried to a powder in spray dryers. The powder is then melted and further purified in the melt reactor before going through an electrolytic process to separate magnesium metal from chlorine. The metal is then refined and/or alloyed and cast into molds. The chlorine from the melt reactor is combusted with natural gas in the chlorine reduction burner (CRB) and converted into hydrochloric acid (HCl). The HCl is removed from the gas stream through a scrubber train. The chlorine that is generated at the electrolytic cells is collected and piped to the chlorine plant where it is liquefied for reuse or sale. USM Rowley Plant is a PSD source for CO, NOx, PM10, PM2.5, and VOCs. Facility Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions Sources The source consists of the following emission units: • Three (3) gas turbines/generators and duct/process burners (natural gas/fuel oil) • Chlorine reduction burner (CRB), and associated equipment • Riley Boiler, 60 MMBtu/hr (natural gas) • Solar pond diesel engines, 30 engines rated between 90 and 420 hp • Fire pump engine, one additional diesel engine rated at 292 hp Facility Current Potential to Emit The current PTE values for the Rowley Plant, as established by the most recent NSR permit issued to the source (DAQE-AN107160050-20) are as follows: Table 63: Current Potential to Emit Pollutant Potential to Emit SO2 24.10 NOx 1,260.99 179 US Magnesium’s full four-factor analysis submittal for the Rowley Plant can be found in appendix C.5.A or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/DAQ-2020-014024.pdf 170 US Magnesium Four-Factor Analysis Conclusion This outlines USM’s evaluation of possible retrofit options for all NOx emitting units onsite at their Rowley Plant located in Tooele County, Utah, in an attempt at reducing their NOx emissions facility wide and reducing their impact on visibility impairment issues. The results of this report found that it is potentially technologically and economically feasible to install a flue gas recirculation unit on the Riley boiler, reducing their NOx emissions by an estimated 22.6 tons annually. Aside from this change, there were currently no other technically or economically feasible options available for USM’s Rowley Plant. Pending further technological and cost refinement, the implementation schedule for the installation of the FGR unit may be installed prior to the end of 2028. Therefore, the emissions for the 2028 modeling scenario could be an estimated 22.6 tons less than the 2018 baseline year NOx emissions. UDAQ Evaluation180 Several errors were made during the analysis of the various control options outlined in this document. While the errors ultimately do not change the outcome or results of the analysis, they should be corrected prior to final acceptance by DAQ. The following lists the errors noticed by DAQ and the resulting effect each error leads to in the final result: Incorrect interest rate used for control cost calculation – rather than using the current bank prime rate of 3.25%, the source calculated all control costs with either an interest rate of 7% (used as the default in the control cost manual) or 5.5% (used as the default in the SCR control cost spreadsheet). Both calculations result in a higher control cost in $/ton. Second, the source used only a 20-year expected life for application of an SCR, which is lower than the standard 30-year lifespan. Again, this would artificially inflate the control cost by increasing the annualized cost. However, the overall cost of the SCR system as estimated by the source was lower than expected, with an initial cost of just $87,000. The low initial cost serves to lower the resulting control cost. DAQ reanalyzed the use of SCR on the Riley Boiler under two different scenarios. Under PTE, assuming full load, the application of SCR might be expected to remove as much as 188 tons of NOx at a control cost of $4,073/ton of NOx removed – assuming the same 90% removal efficiency as did the source. However, the Riley Boiler did not operate at that high an output level – reporting just 45.25 tons of actual emissions in 2018. Adjusting the emission reduction for 90% of the actual emissions gives a removal of 40.7 tons of NOx (as opposed to the 38 tons suggested by the source), at a control cost of $18,800/ton of NOx removed. Similar errors were made with respect to the FGR calculations on the Riley Boiler. The incorrect interest rate was used – 7% vs 3.25%. FGR systems typically have a potential lifespan of 15 years rather than the 20 years suggested by the source. DAQ recalculated the control costs correcting for these errors and obtained a modified value of 22.5 tons of NOx removed at a control cost of $1,880/ton of NOx removed. None of the other equipment requires additional evaluation, as each is currently well controlled. While the same types of errors were 180 UDAQ’s full evaluation of US Magnesium’s four-factor analysis submittal can be found in appendix C.5.B or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/DAQ-2021-009628.pdf 171 made in the source’s analysis, the resulting outcomes and conclusions remain unchanged. DAQ recommends that FGR be considered for retrofit control application on the Riley boiler. Should the source increase utilization of the Riley boiler, then the application of SCR should be considered. US Magnesium’s Evaluation Response181 US Magnesium re-evaluated the status of the Riley boiler and the Riley boiler NOx emission factor utilized in US Magnesium’s 2018 air emission inventory (AEI) that was the basis for the 4- factor analysis of that unit. In summary, the US Magnesium 2018 AEI grossly overstated the NOx emissions associated with the Riley boiler in two ways: 1) the Riley boiler is a 60 MMBTU boiler but the AP42 emission factor in the 2018 AEI is for a >100 MMBTU boiler, and 2) the Riley boiler, from the time of its installation, is outfitted with a low NOx burner, but the AP42 emission factor in the 2018 AEI is for an “uncontrolled burner.” The implications are summarized in the table below: Table 64: US Magnesium’s Reevaluation of Riley Boiler Controls Riley Boiler 2018 NOx emission factor AP 42 Table1.4-1. Emission Factors for NOx and CO from Natural Gas Combustion Estimated NOx emissions (TPY) AEI as submitted 190 lbs./MMscf >100MMBTU (Large) Uncontrolled 45.2499 AEI corrected for actual status of Riley boiler 50 lbs./MMscf <100MMBTU (Small) Controlled - Low NOx burner 11.9074 Corrected 2018 NOx emissions for the Riley boiler, implications on the 4-factor analysis: • Using the same reductions assumed for FGR (up to 50% NOx), the estimated reduction would be about 6 tons/year. • Using the same reductions assumed for SCR (up to 90% NOx), the estimated reduction would be about 10.7 tons/year. • Using DAQ’s modified calculation for FGR: $1,880/ton * 22.5 tons = $42,000/yr. Correcting to 6 ton/yr reduction = $7,050/ton. • Using DAQ’s modified calculation for SCR: $18,800/ton * 40.7 tons = $765,160/yr. Correcting to 11.9 ton/yr reduction = $64,300/ton. UDAQ Response Conclusion UDAQ does not agree with US Magnesium’s evaluation response. We do not possess any records of an LNB control on the Riley boiler. Using the original four-factor analysis submittal, 181 US Magnesium’s full evaluation response can be found in appendix C.5.C or at: https://documents.deq.utah.gov/air-quality/planning/air-quality-policy/regional-haze/DAQ-2021- 011902.pdf 172 FGR on the Riley boiler remains a cost-effective and viable control option. UDAQ would require proof of the existence of the LNB and its NOx removal efficacy before agreeing it is a satisfactory justification for altering the control cost calculations. Refer to section 8.D.6 to review UDAQ’s reasonable progress and controls determination for the Rowley Plant. Chapter 8: Determination of Reasonable Progress Goals 8.A Reasonable Progress Requirements The RHR requires Utah to submit a long-term strategy (LTS) that includes measures necessary to achieve the Reasonable Progress Goals (RPGs) in each CIA. This strategy must consider major and minor stationary sources, mobile sources, and area sources. Section 169A (a)(4) and other subsections of the Clean Air Act call for reasonable progress "toward meeting the national goal" of eliminating anthropogenic (manmade) impairment of visibility. Utah is required under the RHR to establish visibility deciview goals for each of its five CIAs that allow them to meet the RPGs towards natural visibility by 2064. RPGs are interim goals that represent incremental visibility improvement over time toward the goal of natural background conditions and are developed in consultation with FLMs and nearby affected states. In determining the criteria for reasonable progress, Utah was required under Section 169A(g) of the CAA to consider four factors: cost of compliance, the time necessary for compliance, energy and non-air environmental impacts of compliance, and the remaining useful life of existing sources that contribute to visibility impairment.182 8.B. Regional Modeling of the LTS to set RPGs The RHR requires states to demonstrate progress every ten years toward the CAA goal of no manmade visibility impairment. WRAP conducted the modeling necessary to track this progress for Utah. EPA guidance for tracking visibility progress183 defines a visibility impairment tracking metric (measured in deciviews) using observations from the IMPROVE monitoring network sites that represent CIAs. EPA defined in the RHR and guidance a Uniform Rate of Progress (URP) glidepath for the 20% most impaired days as the straight line from the 2000-2004 IMPROVE 5- year average baseline to EPA estimates of future natural visibility conditions, plotted for 2064. In the first regional haze planning period, 2000-2018, EPA guidance184 defined most impaired days as those days with highest total haze. States were required to demonstrate visibility progress by 2018 compared to the URP glidepath for the haziest days and no degradation of visibility on the clearest days from the 2000-2004 IMPROVE 5-year average baseline. Visibility on the clearest days improved between 2000 and 2018 across the Class I areas in the western U.S. However, 182 See 42 USC § 7492(g)(1). 183 The EPA Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-12/documents/technical_guidance_tracking_visibility_progress.pdf 184 The EPA Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-12/documents/technical_guidance_tracking_visibility_progress.pdf 173 smoke from wildfire and wildland prescribed fire events and dust events on the haziest days made tracking the visibility benefits due to reducing U.S. anthropogenic emissions more difficult. For the second regional haze implementation period, 2018-2028, states are required to demonstrate visibility progress by 2028 for the most impaired days and no visibility degradation for the clearest days. EPA guidance185 defined most impaired days as those days with the highest fractional contribution to aerosol light extinction from anthropogenic sources. EPA statistical methods use IMPROVE measurements of carbon and crustal materials to separate contributions from episodic extreme natural events (e.g., wildfire or dust) from routine natural and anthropogenic contributions. Ammonium sulfate and ammonium nitrate are assigned primarily to anthropogenic emissions with smaller contributions from routine natural sources. This statistical approach does not separate contributions due to U.S. anthropogenic emissions from those of international anthropogenic emissions. Since states do not have authority to reduce international emissions, WRAP conducted source apportionment modeling analyses to evaluate U.S. anthropogenic contributions to haze and progress in reducing U.S. anthropogenic contributions to haze over time. 8.C URP Glidepath Checks186 These charts illustrate the Uniform Rate of Progress (URP) Glidepath, as defined by EPA guidance,187 compared to IMPROVE measurements for the period 2000-2018. The URP glidepath is constructed (in deciviews) for the 20% most impaired days (MID) or clearest days using observations from the IMPROVE monitoring site representing a Class I area. The URP glidepath starts with the IMPROVE MID for the 2000-2004 5-year baseline and draws a straight line to estimated natural conditions in 2064. For clearest days, the goal is no degradation of visibility from the 2000-2004 5-year baseline, therefore glidepath for clearest days is a straight line from the 2000-2004 baseline to 2064. In the second regional haze planning period, 2064 natural conditions estimates are the same as the 15-year average of natural conditions on most impaired days or clearest days in each year 2000-2014. IMPROVE annual average values are presented as points. IMPROVE 5-year average values are presented as solid lines covering the periods 2000-2004 and 2014-2018. The 2028 On the Books (2028OTBa2) visibility projection in deciviews is illustrated as a point that can be compared to the Uniform Rate of Progress glidepath. UDAQ has chosen the “2028OTBa2 w/o fire” projection that excludes wildfire from MID to more accurately represent future emissions from sources UDAQ is better able to control. This projection reduces the impact of elemental carbon and organic carbon from fires from the original 2028 EPA projection to remove additional fire impacts that were not fully eliminated by the move from haziest days metric (used during the first planning period) to most impaired days metric (used during the 185 The EPA Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program can be found at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-12/documents/technical_guidance_tracking_visibility_progress.pdf 186 40 C.F.R. § 51.308(f)(3)(i) 187 The EPA Guidance for Tracking Progress Under the Regional Haze Rule can be found at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-03/documents/tracking.pdf 174 second planning period). The 2028OTBa2 visibility projection reflects Utah’s LTS, including the results of the reasonable progress determinations found in 8.D, with the exception of the anticipated 22.5 tons of NOx emissions reductions associated with the installation of FGR controls on the Riley Boiler at U.S. Magnesium’s Rowley Plant. However, the resulting reduction in NOx emissions is a small percentage of Utah’s total 2028 NOx emissions. The 2028OTBa2 visibility projection includes emissions from the now-closed Kennecott Power Plant, which was projected to have 1,152 tons of NOx, 2,152 tons of SO2, and 135 tons of PM2.5 emissions in 2028. The 2028 projections also include emissions from the Tesoro Refinery not accounting for the refinery’s recent PM2.5 SIP BACT analysis which resulted in an annual mass-based SO2 limit and an estimated 408-ton SO2 reduction. The omission of these emissions reductions in the 2028OTBa2 projection make our glidepath comparisons conservative, as actual 2028 visibility can be expected to improve due to lower emissions levels. Refer to section 6.A.10 to review Utah’s Long-Term Strategy and additional details on the emissions reductions UDAQ is relying on to make reasonable progress in the second implementation period. 8.C.1 Bryce Canyon National Park The 2000-2004 URP baseline in Bryce Canyon for MID is 8.4 dv. The 2014-2018 average observations for MID is 6.6, meaning visual range on the most impaired days has increased from 104.62 miles to 125.26 miles, an improvement of 20.64 miles. The projected visibility in 2028 without fire impacts is 6 dv, which, represented by the orange triangle on the graph, is below the URP glidepath. For clearest days, the 2000-2004 baseline for Bryce Canyon is 2.8 dv. The 2014-2018 average observations for clearest days are 1.5 dv meaning that visual range on the clearest days has increased from 183.16 miles to 208.59 miles, an increase of 25.43 miles. Figure 65: Projected 2028 RPG Bryce Canyon National Park 175 The projected 2028 visibility on clearest days is 1.2 dv, which, represented by the blue triangle, is below the no degradation limit for clearest days. 8.C.2 Canyonlands and Arches National Park The 2000-2004 URP baseline in Canyonlands and Arches National Park for MID is 8.8 dv. The 2014-2018 average observations for MID is 6.8, meaning visual range on the most impaired days has increased from 100.52 miles to 122.78 miles, an improvement of 22.26 miles. The projected visibility for MID in 2028 without fire impacts is 6.2 dv, which is below the URP glidepath. For clearest days, the 2000-2004 baseline for Canyonlands and Arches is 3.7 dv. The 2014-2018 average observations for clearest days are 2.2 dv meaning that visual range on the clearest days has increased from 167.40 miles to 194.49 miles, an increase of 27.09 miles. The projected 2028 visibility on clearest days is 1.9 dv, which is also below the no degradation limit for clearest days. Figure 66: Projected 2028 RPG Canyonlands and Arches National Parks 176 8.C.3 Capitol Reef National Park The 2000-2004 URP baseline in Capitol Reef for MID is 8.8 dv. The 2014-2018 average observations for MID is 7.2, meaning visual range on the most impaired days has increased from 100.52 miles to 117.96 miles, an improvement of 17.44 miles. The projected visibility for MID in 2028 without fire impacts is 6.6 dv, which is below the URP glidepath. For clearest days, the 2000-2004 baseline for Capitol Reef is 4.1 dv. The 2014-2018 average observations for clearest days are 2.4 dv meaning that visual range on the clearest days has increased from 160.83 miles to 190.64 miles, an increase of 29.81 miles. The projected 2028 visibility on clearest days is 2.1 dv, which is below Capitol Reef’s no degradation limit for clearest days. Figure 67: Projected 2028 RPG Capitol Reef National Park 177 8.C.4 Zion National Park The 2000-2004 URP baseline in Zion National Park for MID is 10.4 dv. The 2014-2018 average observations for MID is 8.7, meaning visual range on the most impaired days has increased from 85.66 miles to 101.53 miles, an improvement of 15.87 miles. The projected visibility for MID in 2028 without fire impacts is 8.3 dv, which is below the URP glidepath. For Zion’s clearest days, the 2000-2004 baseline for is 4.5 dv. The 2014-2018 average observations for clearest days are 3.9 dv meaning that visual range on the clearest days has increased from 154.53 miles to 164.08 miles, an increase of 9.55 miles. The projected 2028 visibility on clearest days is 3.5 dv, which is below the no degradation limit for clearest days in Zion. Figure 68: Projected 2028 RPG Zion National Park 178 8.C.5 Summary of URP Glidepaths The table below summarizes the information from Figures 65-68 above, comparing visibility on the most impaired and clearest days for the baseline, 2028 URP, and 2028 EPA w/o fire projection values for each of Utah’s CIAs in addition to stating whether the CIA is below the URP glidepath and no degradation line. Table 65: Comparison of baseline, 2028 URP, 2028 EPA w/o fire projection for worst and clearest days CIA IMPROVE Site WORST DAYS CLEAREST DAYS Baseline (dv) 2028 URP (dv) 2028 EPA w/o Fire Projection (dv) % Progress to 2028 URP 2028 Below URP Glidepath? (Y/N) Baseline (dv) 2028 EPA Projection (dv) 2028 EPA w/o Fire Projection (dv) 2028 Below No Degradation Line? (Y/N) BRCA1 8.42 6.68 6.03 137.60% YES 2.77 1.22 1.20 YES CANY1 8.79 6.92 6.19 139.10% YES 3.75 1.94 1.92 YES CAPI1 8.78 6.87 6.63 112.28% YES 4.10 2.17 2.10 YES ZICA1 10.40 8.35 8.27 103.73% YES 4.48 3.65 3.54 YES 8.D Reasonable Progress Determinations The following sections contain UDAQ’s determinations on what controls are necessary for Utah’s CIAs to make reasonable progress in this implementation period. UDAQ believes these determinations will help protect reasonable further progress demonstration and visibility in Utah. All emissions limits, operating procedures, and compliance strategies for the following reasonable progress determinations which limit NOx, SO2, and PM are identified in SIP Subsection IX.H.21 and 23, which are made enforceable through EPA approval and incorporation into the Utah Air Quality Rules. 8.D.1 Reasonable Progress Determination for Ash Grove Cement Company – Leamington Cement Plant Upon reviewing Ash Grove’s four-factor analysis for the Leamington Cement Plant and their evaluation response, UDAQ finds that it is adequately controlled for the purposes of the Second Implementation Period. UDAQ has determined that the existing SCNR control and emissions limits for the Leamington Cement Plant are effective measures necessary for reasonable progress in Utah’s Second Implementation Period of regional haze planning. The Leamington Cement Plant’s existing controls and emissions limits will be implemented and enforced through SIP Subsection IX.H.23 to ensure the plant will continue to implement existing measures and will not increase its emission rate. Refer to section 7.B.3 to review the four-factor analysis and evaluation response results for the Leamington Cement Plant. 179 8.D.2 Reasonable Progress Determination for Graymont Western US Incorporated – Cricket Mountain Plant Upon reviewing the Graymont Western US Inc. four-factor analysis for their Cricket Mountain Plant and their evaluation response, UDAQ finds that additional controls are not required for reasonable progress in this implementation period based on their cost/ton and the potential proprietary costs of SNCR technology for the kilns. UDAQ has determined that the existing controls and emissions limits for the Cricket Mountain Plant are effective measures necessary for reasonable progress in Utah’s Second Implementation Period of regional haze planning. The Cricket Mountain Plant’s controls and emissions limits will be implemented and enforced through SIP Subsection IX.H.23 to ensure the plant will continue to implement existing measures and will not increase its emission rate. Refer to section 7.B.4 to review the four-factor analysis and evaluation response results for the Cricket Mountain Plant. 8.D.3 Reasonable Progress Determination for PacifiCorp: Hunter and Huntington Power Plants Upon reviewing PacifiCorp’s four-factor analysis and evaluation response, UDAQ is establishing plantwide annual mass-based NOx emission limits. At the resulting utilization and emissions levels, UDAQ finds SNCR and SCR not to be cost-effective. UDAQ is also adding PacifiCorp’s existing SO2 emission limits from their Title V permit for all five units to ensure federal enforceability in the regional haze context. These emission limits are to be implemented and enforced through SIP Subsection IX.H.23. Please refer to section 7.C.3 to view PacifiCorp’s and UDAQ’s complete analysis and conclusions. 8.D.4 Reasonable Progress Determination for Sunnyside Cogeneration Associated – Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility Upon reviewing the Sunnyside Cogeneration Associated four-factor analysis and evaluation response containing corrections to their analysis of the Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility, UDAQ has found no cost-efficient control options for the facility for the purposes of the Second Implementation Period. UDAQ has determined that the existing controls and emissions limits for the Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility are effective measures necessary for reasonable progress in Utah’s Second Implementation Period of regional haze planning. The Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility’s controls and emissions limits will be implemented and enforced through SIP Subsection IX.H.23 to ensure the facility will continue to implement existing measures and will not increase its emission rate. Refer to section 7.B.6 to review the four-factor analysis and evaluation response results for the Sunnyside Power Plant. 8.D.5 Reasonable Progress Determination for US Magnesium LLC – Rowley Plant Upon reviewing US Magnesium LLC’s four factor analysis for their Rowley Plant, UDAQ does not agree with its assessment of an LNB on the Riley Boiler. UDAQ has no record of the existence of an LNB on this unit or it’s NOx reducing efficacy. UDAQ therefore refers to US Magnesium’s original four-factor analysis submittal information suggesting that FGR is a cost- effective and viable control option for the Riley Boiler. UDAQ recommends the installation of 180 FGR on the Riley Boiler to ensure that Utah makes reasonable progress in this implementation period. UDAQ has also determined that the existing controls and emissions limits for the Rowley Plant are measures necessary for reasonable progress in Utah’s Second Implementation Period of regional haze planning to ensure the plant will continue to implement existing measures and will not increase its emission rate. Implementation of these control determinations are to be enforced through SIP Subsection IX.H.23. Refer to section 7.B.7 to review the four-factor analysis and evaluation response results for the Rowley Plant. 8.D.6 Intermountain Power Service Corporation – Intermountain Generation Station As discussed in section 7.A.2, the planned replacement of the IGS coal-fired units with an EPS- compliant combined-cycle natural gas plant is expected to dramatically decrease regional haze- causing pollutants (PM, SO2, and NOx). Though the coal-fire units are expected to cease operation by mid-2025, UDAQ has established a firm closure date of no later than December 31, 2027 to ensure that the coal-fired units at IGS will not continue operation beyond the conclusion of the second implementation period while allowing flexibility for closing the plant in addition to rescinding its permit and approval order. UDAQ has also determined that the existing controls and emissions limits for IGS are measures necessary for reasonable progress in Utah’s Second Implementation Period of regional haze planning to ensure the plant will continue to implement existing measures and will not increase its emission rate. The implementation of the IGS closure and its existing control measures are to be enforced through SIP Subsection IX.H.23. 181 Chapter 9: Consultation, Public Review, Commitment to further Planning 9.A Federal requirements In developing each reasonable progress goal, Utah must consult with those States which may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in CIAs within Utah.188 Where the State has emissions that are reasonably anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in any mandatory Class I Federal area located in another State, Utah must consult with the other State(s) in order to develop coordinated emission management strategies.189 Utah must demonstrate that it has included in its implementation plan all measures agreed to during state-to-state consultations or a regional planning process, or measures that will provide equivalent visibility improvement and document all substantive interstate consultations.190 Utah must also provide the FLMs with an opportunity for consultation no less than 60 days prior to the SIP public hearing or public commenting opportunity.191 This consultation must include the opportunity for FLMs to discuss their assessment of the visibility impairment at CIAs and their recommendations on the development and implementation of strategies to address visibility impairment.192 Utah must include a description in their implementation period of how it addressed any comment provided by FLMs.193 9.B Interstate Consultation Throughout the second implementation period, Utah has met regularly with its surrounding states. Utah also participates in WESTAR Planning Committee and Four Corners meetings for state RH planning coordination. Table 66 includes a summary of interstate meetings UDAQ took part of. See Appendix B for further documentation of interstate consultation and agreements. UDAQ conducted further consultation and SIP review of the second implementation period status of the non-Utah sources identified in UDAQ's WEP analysis and included this information in Table 67 to Table 68. As shown, all out-of-state sources identified by UDAQ’s WEP analysis of Utah’s CIAs are either: • outside state jurisdiction, • have Q/d values too low to be screened in by the state, • were screened out due to effective Round 1 BACT controls, or • are subject to controls or closure in this implementation period. 188 See 40 CFR § 51.308 (d)(1)(iv) 189 See id., § 51.308 (d)(3)(i) 190 See id., § 51.308 (f)(2)(ii)(C) 191 See id., § 51.308 (i)(ii)(2) 192 See id., § 51.308 (i)(ii)(2) 193 See id., § 51.308 (i)(4) 182 Table 66: Summary of Interstate Meetings with UDAQ Date Time Entity Topic Result 4/28/2021 10-11a Wyoming Wyoming and Utah Regional Haze Second Planning Period Update Debrief after PacifiCorp meeting. Shared draft Montana SIP with Wyoming. They shared their draft SIP with us. We offered ours as soon as it is more complete. 4/30/2021 1-2:30p Four Corners States Regional Haze Consultations Four corners states do not expect to require other states to enforce controls for emissions affecting their Class I Areas. NM discussed in length where they are in their SIP writing process. 5/5/2021 9-9:30a Wyoming WY-UT RH Coordination Call Discussion emissions affecting the other state. 5/5/2021 2-4p WESTAR Regional Haze Results Meeting #9 Discussion of different modeling resources available and uses. 5/6/2021 2-3p WESTAR WESTAR Planning Committee Call RH updates and deadline considerations. 5/12/2021 2:30-3:30p New Mexico NM-UT DEQ Regional Haze Consultation NM described their SIP writing process and showed us the modeling tools they plan to use for the out of state emissions section. We offered to exchange draft SIPs. 6/1/2021 1:30-2p Colorado CO-UT Regional Haze Consultation Discussed controls implementation. 9/9/2021 12-12:30p Arizona UT-AZ RH Consultation Neither state is looking for additional controls in the other. Consulted about interest rates and control cost thresholds. 9/9/2021 2-3:30p WESTAR State-Only RH Call 10/15/2021 10-11a New Mexico (Mark Jones) Control Cost Consultation Discussed control cost thresholds and justification. 11/04/2021 2-3p WESTAR Planning Committee Meeting Discussed RH updates and interstate consultation documentation emails. 11/08/2021 1-2p Wyoming RH Controls Implementation Consultation Discussed sources and controls implementation. 11/15-16,2021 10a-4p 4 Corners Annual AQ Meeting Participated in giving RH updates with other 4 corners states. 1/7/22 10-11a New Mexico WEP Analysis Consultation Discussed WEP analysis methodologies and CAMx photochemical low-level source apportionment. 1/13/22 1:30-3p WVPPI Western Visibility Protection and Planning Initiative Discussion of the key components of Section 169a of the CAA. 2/10/22 1:30-3p WVPPI Western Visibility Protection and Planning Initiative Discussed, RH history, the relationship between reasonable progress and long-term strategies. Utah volunteered to help plan an in-person meeting between states, FLMs, and EPA. 2/24/22 1-2p RHPWG Regional Haze Planning Work Group Discussed the NGO actions letter submitted to EPA and 60-day notice to file suit. 3/3/22 2-3p WESTAR Planning Committee Discussed RH updates. 3/10/22 1:30-3p WVPPI Western Visibility Protection and Planning Initiative States discussed reasonable progress and long-term strategies. 4/5-4/7/22 8a-5p WESTAR/WRAP Spring Meeting States presented on air quality, visibility, and wildfire modeling and updates. 4/13/22 1:30-3p WVPPI Western Visibility Protection and Planning Initiative States discussed how reasonable progress can be determined and challenges faced by states whose largest sources of impairment are not anthropogenic sources. 4/14/22 2-3p WESTAR Planning Committee States gave RH updates. 5/5/22 2-3p WESTAR Planning Committee States discussed visibility modeling strategies 183 5/12/22 1:30-3p WVPPI Western Visibility Protection and Planning Initiative States discussed how to incorporate EJ into RH planning. 6/9/22 2-3p WESTAR Planning Committee States were updated by the WRAP work groups. 6/16/22 2-3:30p WVPPI Western Visibility Protection and Planning Initiative States discussed challenges with incorporating EJ into RH planning due to a lack of guidance on how to address or make decisions considering EJ in visibility standards for CIAs. 6/21/22 Various CA, CO, NM, and NV RH SIP Controls UDAQ corresponded with neighbor states inquiring the controls status of non-UT sources ranking in WEP analysis for UT CIAs. 184 Table 67: Second Implementation Period Status of Non-Utah Sources Identified in NO3 WEP Analysis Facility Name Source State Utah CIA WEP NOx Rank NOx Q/d WEP_NO3 (% of total) Four-Factor Analysis? (Y/N) Proposed Controls Notes Bonanza TR CANY1 3 30.8 59,301.8 (6.4%) N Likely closure in 2030 due to settlement McCarran Intl NV ZICA1 3 11.1 9,235.4 (3.7%) N Majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources (aircraft take-offs and landings) PNM - San Juan Generating Station NM CANY1 4 33.7 47,113.4 (5.1%) Y TBD, NM has not finalized their second implementation period draft Subject to four-factor analysis in NM’s draft SIP. PNM has announced plant closure in 2022 Four Corners Power Plant TR CANY1 6 17.8 24,859.3 (2.7%) N APS has announced plant closure in 2031 Pg&E Topock Compressor Station CA ZICA1 6 3.2 7,620.0 (3.1%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in CA’s proposed SIP due to low NOx Q/d Chaco Gas Plant NM CANY1 8 7.8 14,056.2 (1.5%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in NM’s proposed SIP Bonanza TR CAPI1 8 21.9 9,450.1 (1.1%) N Likely closure in 2030 due to settlement Lhoist North America and Granite Const. (Apex) NV ZICA1 9 7.5 7,041.9 (2.8%) Y NV proposed SIP requires SNCR on Kilns 1, 3, & 4 as well as LNB on Kiln 1. Kilns 3 & 4 have existing LNBs. NV's proposed SIP requires SNCR on Kilns 1, 3, & 4 as well as LNB on Kiln 1. Kilns 3 & 4 have existing LNBs. RED ROCK GATHERING- PREMIER BAR X C.S. CO CANY1 10 0.6 11,567.0 (1.3%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in CO’s proposed SIP due to low NOX Q/d Table 68: Second Implementation Period Status of Non-Utah Sources Identified in SO4 WEP Analysis Facility Name Source State Utah CIA Rank SO2 Q/d WEP_SO4 (% of Total) Four-Factor Analysis Y/N Proposed New Controls Notes CHEMICAL LIME NELSON PLANT AZ BRCA1 1 8 43,684.7 (21.8%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls CHEMICAL LIME NELSON PLANT AZ ZICA1 1 10.9 38,687.4 (24.8%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls ASARCO LLC - HAYDEN SMELTER AZ ZICA1 3 6 6,672.2 (4.3%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls Four Corners Power Plant TR CANY1 4 11.1 32,557.0 (8.0%) N APS has announced plant closure in 2031 CHEMICAL LIME NELSON PLANT AZ CAPI1 4 5.7 25,448.1 (6.4%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls McCarran Intl NV ZICA1 4 1.2 4,713.6 (3.0%) N Majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources 185 (aircraft take-offs and landings) ASARCO LLC - HAYDEN SMELTER AZ BRCA1 5 5.8 14,391.7 (7.2%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls ASARCO LLC - HAYDEN SMELTER AZ CAPI1 6 5.2 10,351.8 (2.6%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls Phoenix Sky Harbor Intl AZ ZICA1 6 0.6 4,554.6 (2.9%) N Majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources (aircraft take-offs and landings) Four Corners Power Plant TR BRCA1 7 7.4 5,413.2 (2.7%) N APS has announced plant closure in 2031 TUCSON ELECTRIC POWER CO - SPRINGERVILLE AZ CANY1 7 15.1 13,923.7 (3.4%) Y SO2 Limits for Units 1 & 2: a) 16.1 tons SO2/day based on a daily rolling 20-calendar day average. b) 3,729 tons SO2/12-month rolling total New SO2 limits for units 1 & 2 included in AZ’s proposed SIP California Portland Cement Co. CA ZICA1 7 2.8 4,038.8 (2.6%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in CA’s proposed SIP not required because it is subject to AB 617 which requires local air districts to evaluate large stationary sources to ensure reasonable controls are installed. CHEMICAL LIME NELSON PLANT AZ CANY1 8 4.6 13,409.0 (3.3%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in AZ’s proposed SIP due to Round 1 BART FIP controls Republic Services Sunrise NV ZICA1 8 1 4,025.8 (2.6%) N Not subject to four-factor analysis in NV’s proposed SIP due to low Q/d TUCSON ELECTRIC POWER CO - SPRINGERVILLE AZ BRCA1 9 15.4 3,654.7 (1.8%) Y SO2 Limits for Units 1 & 2: a) 16.1 tons SO2/day based on a daily rolling 20-calendar day average. b) 3,729 tons SO2/12-month rolling total New SO2 limits for units 1 & 2 included in AZ’s proposed SIP Bonanza TR CANY1 9 6.9 11,908.4 (2.9%) N Likely closure in 2030 due to settlement NORTH VALMY GENERATING STATION NV CAPI1 9 4 5,620.2 (1.4%) Y Permanent closure of units 1 and 2 by 12/31/28 NV’s proposed SIP includes a federally enforceable closure date of 12/31/28 TUCSON ELECTRIC POWER CO - SPRINGERVILLE AZ ZICA1 9 14.5 3,447.7 (2.2%) Y SO2 Limits for Units 1 & 2: a) 16.1 tons SO2/day based on a daily rolling 20-calendar day average. b) 3,729 tons SO2/12-month rolling total New SO2 limits for units 1 & 2 included in AZ’s proposed SIP 186 Phoenix Sky Harbor Intl AZ BRCA1 10 0.6 3,615.9 (1.8%) Majority of NOX emissions from non-road sources (aircraft take-offs and landings) PNM - San Juan Generating Station NM CANY1 10 3.7 10,995.1 (2.7%) Y Subject to four-factor analysis in NM’s draft SIP. PNM has announced plant closure in 2022 Bonanza TR CAPI1 10 4.9 4,809.0 (1.2%) Likely closure in 2030 due to settlement 9.C Documentation of Federal Land Manager consultation and commitment to continuing consultation UDAQ continuously met with the FLMs throughout the second implementation period planning process. A summary of the meetings UDAQ held with the FLMs is outlined in the table below. UDAQ will continue to consult and collaborate with the FLMs in its future regional haze planning efforts. Table 69: Summary of FLM Meetings with UDAQ Date Time Entity Topic Result 5/5/21 8-9a Utah DEQ/US Forest Service Prescribed Fire and Regional Haze Brief history of Utah’s smoke management program and policy regarding it. 5/6/21 1-1:30p FLM FLM/UT – Regional Haze Check-In Updated FLMs on timeline and current RH SIP progress. They informed us on their view that visibility should not be main focus of 2nd planning period and to follow the rule more than the guidance document. They are primarily concerned about 4-factor analyses. 6/22/21 12-12:30p US Forestry Service - Ples Mcneel RH update, introductions Introduction to Ples Mcneel. Wants to be included in updates to FLMs and Paul Corrigan. 10/12/21 12-11a NPS Regional Haze Update/Timeline change Discussed RH SIP draft submittal. 2/9/22 11:30a-1p NPS NPS UT Regional Haze Consultation NPS presented UDAQ with the results of their 60-day review period 2/23/22 11a-12p USFS – Ples Mcneel and Paul Corrigan Rx Fire Endpoint Adjustments Discussed the Rx fire endpoint adjustments available to Utah. 3/13/22 1:04p NPS RH Public Comment Schedule Corresponded via email on the public comment process for UT’s RH SIP. 5/2/22 9:56a NPS Appendix D.2.C Provided PDF version of appendix D.2.C via email. 5/3/22 4:20p NPS Additional Source Information Corresponded via email about additional information submittal by Sunnyside and Paradox. 4/21-5/18/22 Various NPS Additional Source Information UDAQ provided additional information provided by Sunnyside, PacifiCorp, and USM via email. 5/16-5/17/22 Various NPS Public Comment Hearing Corresponded via email on the logistics of the RH SIP public hearing. 5/31/22 3:20p NPS Public Comment Submittal NPS provided UDAQ with their comments on the RH SIP. 6/7/22 7:13p NPS Additional Source Information UDAQ provided NPS with comment submittals from Sunnyside and PacifiCorp as well as the link to all public comments. 6/26/22 1:25p NPS Additional Source Information UDAQ provided NPS with an additional information submittals by Sunnyside. 187 9.C.1 FLM SIP Review194 UDAQ submitted its draft RH SIP for the second implementation period to the NPS on December 7th, 2021 and the USFS on December 15th, 2021. On February 14th, NPS and USFS provided UDAQ with their respective SIP reviews which can be found in Appendix D. Documentation of the public notice published by UDAQ on its website from April 25th to June 2nd, 2022 can be found in Appendix F. 9.C.2 NPS Feedback Summary and UDAQ Responses195 1. In general, NPS agrees that Utah’s source selection process resulted in a reasonable subset of sources to evaluate in the draft SIP. Utah’s recommendation to use a lower emission over distance threshold of six versus ten—as recommended by the WRAP—is more rigorous and resulted in a reasonable selection of facilities for evaluation. 2. UDAQ has not identified a cost threshold under which the evaluated controls would be considered reasonable. Many of the controls identified in the four-factor analyses for Utah sources are cost-effective based on cost criteria/thresholds identified by other states. NPS also feels that PacifiCorp should be subject to a higher cost threshold due to their plant’s proximity to Utah’s CIAs. The SIP should document the full rationale upon which the reasonable progress decisions are based. UDAQ Response: UDAQ will not be establishing a control cost threshold at this time. Please refer to chapter 8 for Utah’s reasonable progress determinations for the second implementation period and the accompanying justifications, which UDAQ believes are sufficient. 3. NPS recommends that UDAQ require all technically feasible, cost-effective controls identified through four-factor analysis in this planning period. UDAQ Response: UDAQ has required all controls it has deemed technically feasible and cost effective. Please refer to the updated part H language in Appendix A to view the enforceable actions resulting from UDAQ’s reasonable progress determinations for the purposes of the second implementation period. 4. In the draft SIP UDAQ writes that “Utah has analyzed the WRAP photochemical modeling for OTB 2028 and found that emissions from Utah do not significantly impact visibility at CIAs in other states.” While it does not appear that this conclusion impacted the source selection process, it is not clear how Utah used this conclusion or whether it influenced their control technology determinations. NPS believes UDAQ’s conclusion is 194 See Appendix D for all FLM RH SIP review documents 195 See Appendix D.1 and D.2 to view the full NPS review of Utah’s RH SIP and supporting cost analyses 188 not compatible with their findings regarding the impact of Utah sources in Class I areas of neighboring states, and NPS recommends that UDAQ revise this section of the draft SIP by using a 1% threshold for determining significant impacts. UDAQ Response: Section 6.A.2 has been revised in response to this comment. 5. Utah requested more information regarding where Utah stands in terms of RAVI for Class I areas. RAVI is a separate process from periodic SIP revisions. This avenue is rarely used by the FLMs to address specific sources causing visibility impairment at Class I areas. The NPS will not likely pursue RAVI certification unless the approaches identified in the periodic SIP revisions do not adequately address documented impairment. 6. UDAQ asked for feedback on using prescribed fire data from USFS to adjust projections. NPS does not take a position on the adjustment of glidepath end points for prescribed fire. We support UDAQ’s determination to not use glidepath adjustments for estimated contributions from international emissions. 7. In Table 27: Sources initially selected to perform a Four-Factor analysis in draft SIP, section 7.A.1, NPS recommends identifying the nearest Class I area referenced in the “distance to nearest Class I area” column. UDAQ Response: A column identifying the nearest CIA has been added to Table 27 in section 7.A.1. 8. In section 8.D.6 there appears to be a typographical error listing Intermountain Generation Station closing in 2017. UDAQ Response: The typographical error in section 8.D.6 has been fixed and the closing year for IGS now reads as 2027. 9. NPS recommends UDAQ revise the permit limits for the Paradox Resources Lisbon Natural Gas Processing Plant to reflect the assumptions used to exclude this facility from four-factor analysis. NPS also recommends including the plant’s recent actual emissions data in the SIP. UDAQ Response: UDAQ has received 2021 inventory data for the Lisbon Plant and created an emissions summary with resulting Q/d values in section 7.A.2. 10. NPS recommends that UDAQ conducts or requires a four-factor analysis for the Intermountain Power Intermountain Generation Station exploring opportunities to 189 improve the efficiency of the existing SO2 scrubbers considering NOx emissions for the remaining useful life of the facility. UDAQ Response: UDAQ has been in contact with IGS concerning this matter. UDAQ believes the station’s existing SO2 scrubbers are sufficient and that the plant is well controlled. UDAQ has also included IGS’s 2028 closure in the proposed part H language for this SIP located in Appendix A, which would make the closure federally enforceable. 11. NPS requests that UDAQ provide a breakdown of emissions from the Kennecott units the state can regulate versus those it cannot regulate. UDAQ should explain how its PM2.5 SIP includes in-use requirements for this equipment. UDAQ Response: Section 7.A.2 was revised and a breakdown of Kennecott’s emissions was included in response to this comment. 12. NPS recommends that UDAQ reduce haze causing SO2 emissions from Hunter and Huntington facilities by requiring an evaluation of SO2 scrubber optimization and potential efficiency improvements and implement any technically feasible and cost- effective options identified. UDAQ Response: PacifiCorp has provided additional information concerning their existing SO2 scrubbing196. The existing FGD SO2 controls at the Hunter and Huntington power plants all have control efficiencies of at least 90% and each unit at these plants are subject to an SO2 emissions limit of 0.12 lb/mmBtu through their respective Title V permits. It is PacifiCorp’s stance that these controls are running as efficiently as possible and there are no cost-efficient upgrades available. The “RPELs” proposed in PacifiCorp’s original four-factor analysis “combined operational adjustments (such as reduced until utilization) with incremental capital and O&M costs”. Additionally, PacifiCorp cited EPA’s 2019 “Guidance on Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period” (“2019 Guidance”) which recognizes that it “may be reasonable for a state not to select an effectively controlled source. A source may already have effective controls in place as a result of a previous regional haze SIP or to meet another CAA requirement.”197 UDAQ is adding the existing SO2 emission limits for all five units to SIP Section IX.H23, Source Specific Emission Limitations: Regional Haze Requirements, Reasonable Progress Controls, to ensure federal enforceability of PacifiCorp’s SO2 limits in the regional haze context. Section 7.C.3 has been revised to include this information and additional discussion in response to this NPS comment. 196 Please refer to Appendix D.2.C to view PacifiCorp’s document on Regional Haze Second Planning Period Issues Regarding SO2 Controls for PacifiCorp’s Power Plants 197 See page 22 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-08/documents/8-20-2019_-_regional_haze_guidance_final_guidance.pdf?VersionId=QC2nPZHuAH1VYmm3EuhV9ABIGm5rQynb. 190 13. NPS generally agrees with UDAQ’s revisions to PacifiCorp’s NOx control technology cost analyses and used similar adjustments in their cost assessments. NPS also agrees with UDAQ that PacifiCorp’s demonstration that the interest rate of 7.303% is their site- specific value and appropriate for use in their four-factor analyses. 14. NPS shares UDAQ’s concerns with PacifiCorp’s RPEL recommendation and support UDAQ’s rejection of this proposal. RPEL would essentially be a “paper” reduction in emissions that would not reduce haze-causing emissions affecting visibility in Utah’s CIAs. 15. NPS suggest that UDAQ could consider environmental co-benefits of NOx emission reduction as part of this factor. NOx is an ozone pre-cursor emission and ozone is known to affect both human and ecosystem health. UDAQ Response: UDAQ recognizes the co-benefits associated with pollutant emissions reductions and may highlight these benefits in the final draft of this SIP. However, UDAQ also recognizes the four-factor analysis198 being the primary decision-making tool in this second implementation period and other benefits do not necessarily impact UDAQ’s reasonable progress determinations. 16. NPS believes the cost of controls for the Sunnyside Cogeneration Facility are more economical than the company’s estimates based on their calculations derived from the EPA Control Cost Manual. NPS disagrees with Sunnyside’s use of a 7% interest rate and recommends UDAQ consider their control costs using the bank prime interest rate of 3.25%. UDAQ Response: Sunnyside Cogeneration provided additional justification found in Appendix D.2.A for the 7% interest rate they used in their control cost analysis. This rate was supported by a variety of institutions and most closely matched the financial indicators known by Sunnyside. UDAQ agrees with the final iterations of Sunnyside’s estimated control costs. 17. NPS does not believe that Sunnyside has provided sufficient justification to exclude dry sorbent injection technology as technically feasible. UDAQ Response: UDAQ has received additional information regarding the feasibility and cost-effectiveness of dry sorbent injection technology from Sunnyside which has been included in Appendix D.2.G. 198 Please refer to section 7.B to view the four factors used to determine control feasibility in this implementation period. 191 18. NPS’s review of the Ash Grove Leamington Cement Plant suggests potential improvements may be available for their existing SNCR system. NPS recommends UDAQ request further evaluation of this opportunity to reduce NOx emissions from the facility. UDAQ’s Response: In response to UDAQ’s four-factor analysis evaluation, Ash Grove provided additional information on the efficiency of their SNCR system199. Based on this information, UDAQ believes this facility is well controlled for the purposes of this implementation period. 19. NPS’s review of the Graymont Cricket Mountain Plant finds that their permitted emissions levels are significantly higher than their recent emissions levels. NPS believes the costs of controls would be more cost effective if emissions increased to permitted levels. NPS recommends UDAQ consider tightening permitted emissions limits for NOx and SO2 to reflect future potential emissions and prevent backsliding. UDAQ Response: UDAQ contacted Graymont concerning their permitted emissions levels. The Cricket Mountain facility has seen a decrease in production over the past few years with special emphasis on the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Graymont views this as a temporary decrease as the market is currently in the midst of recovery while they anticipate growth in their market. As this decrease is temporary, Graymont does not foresee the need to reduce its limits at this facility as it could reduce their flexibility to meet the market recovery and growth. 20. NPS recommends that numerical NOx and SO2 emissions limits be incorporated into US Magnesium’s current permit for the turbines/duct burners, chlorine reduction burner, melt/reactor, riley boiler, and the diesel engines would ensure that reasonable progress assumptions and determinations for the facility are adhered to. UDAQ Response: UDAQ issued an order to US Magnesium to obtain the information required to respond to these comments. USM provided responses on April 26th and May 11th, 2022 which can be found in Appendix D.2.E and F. 21. NPS recommends UDAQ re-evaluate the feasibility and costs of US Magnesium installing SCR on their turbines. UDAQ Response: See response to comment 20. 22. NPS recommends UDAQ reconsider requiring implementation of SCR on US Magnesium’s riley boiler as part of this implementation period. Additionally, actual emission assumptions relied on to eliminate SCR from consideration be reflected in permit limitations for this unit. 199 Located in section 7.C.1 in Ash Grove’s Evaluation Response 192 UDAQ Response: See response to comment 20. 23. NPS requests additional information and emissions verification on US Magnesium’s diesel engines and engine replacement and/or electrification be included as additional emission control options in their four-factor analysis. UDAQ Response: See response to comment 20. 24. NPS recognizes the jurisdictional complexity of the Uintah and Paradox basins with 80% of the land being under tribal and EPA control. However, NPS recommends that air quality improvement will require cooperative and commensurate efforts from all agencies involved in air quality management in the basin and suggests UDAQ implement statewide rules to address oil and gas emission sources throughout Utah. UDAQ Response: Over the past several years, UDAQ has proposed and adopted a series of statewide rules specific to oil and gas operations found in Utah’s state administrative rules R307-500 to 511. Though these rules have been focused on controlling VOC emissions, there is also a state-specific rule for natural gas-powered engines associated with oil and gas production. Since the rule was put in place in 2018, several sources have provided engine stack test data that have led UDAQ, EPA, and the Tribes to initiate further research and compliance studies on engines in the Basin, with a focus on two-stroke smaller horsepower engines that power pump jacks associated with oil-producing wells. The data collected have indicated lower values for NOx emissions than what was reported in the 2017 oil and gas emission inventory for these engines, yet much higher emissions of VOCs. UDAQ will be evaluating this data and will be evaluating future rulemaking for engines associated with oil and gas operations that would be statewide. UDAQ will coordinate with EPA and the Tribe to encourage that rules are consistent across all regulatory jurisdictions, but ultimately any controls under EPA jurisdiction on sources in Indian Country will be determined by EPA and the Tribe. The main pollutant of concern in the Uinta Basin is ozone, with VOCs and NOx being the actual precursor emissions that create ozone. Photochemical modeling has been a challenge in this area due to the complexity of the chemical reactions and unique geography and wintertime conditions. Therefore, it has not yet been determined what emission reductions will be the most effective to lower ozone values. However, initial thoughts are that the area is NOx limited. If this is shown to be the case, then NOx reductions will have a greater impact and as about 80% of NOx emissions in the Basin are associated with engines, UDAQ will definitely evaluate the reduction in NOx limits. As part of this evaluation, UDAQ will also keep in mind the NPS comments regarding the potential positive impacts on regional haze management. In summary, the evaluation of potentially lower VOC and NOx limits for engines associated with oil and gas production is actively in progress and Utah is working on further controlling NOx from engines for 193 separate health standards. 9.C.3 USFS Feedback Summary and UDAQ Responses200 The USFS recognizes the emission reductions made in Utah over the past decade that have resulted in improvements in visibility at the Forest Service Class I Wilderness Areas and appreciates the working relationship among our respective staff. Overall, the USDA Forest Service found that the draft RH SIP is well organized and comprehensive. The Long-Term Strategies for this planning period appear to indicate that Forest Service Class I Wilderness Areas will continue to show visibility improvements better than the Uniform Rate of Progress (URP) through 2028, and USFS appreciates the commitment by UDEQ to evaluate progress in meeting the visibility goals during the 5-year progress reports. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B) allows states to adjust the glidepath to account for prescribed fire. The draft SIP states that no glidepath adjustment was made to account for prescribed fire emissions. The USFS encourages Utah DEQ to use the adjustment of glidepaths for the increased prescribed fire projections reflected in the “Future Fire Scenario 2” available in Product 18 of Modeling Express Tools of the WRAP TSS. When considering the Rx fire end-point adjustment, the USFS is concerned that industry or other groups could improperly argue that additional controls are not necessary to make further progress if modeling demonstrates that the Class I Area in Utah is below adjusted glidepaths, essentially arguing that the glidepath provides safe harbor from additional control requirements. The USFS believes this “safe harbor” argument is erroneous and is not supported by the Regional Haze Rule. UDAQ Response: UDAQ appreciates the feedback from USFS as well as their work on the wildland prescribed fire adjustment. UDAQ acknowledges the visibility impacts expected future increases in wildland prescribed fire may have on Utah as well as the importance of prescribed fire for conservation. However, the impact of USFS’s glidepath adjustment is less significant for Utah’s CIAs than for those in other states. While the international and wildland prescribed fire adjustments are available for Utah’s CIA glidepaths, UDAQ is choosing to remain conservative for the purposes of this implementation period by not using them. However, this choice does not preclude the use of glidepath adjustments in future planning periods, since international and wildland prescribed fire emissions do impact Utah CIAs and are largely beyond the control of individual states and since prescribed fires are seen to be an increasingly important tool for land managers in the future. 200 See Appendix D.3 to view the full USFS RH SIP review document 194 9.D Coordination with Indian tribes Utah has five major tribes: the Ute, Dine’ (Navajo), Paiute, Goshute, and Shoshone. There is one source in Northeast Utah where the Bonanza Power Plant is situated, but it resides in EPA jurisdiction. UDAQ sent the regional haze SIP draft to the tribes in Utah on December 9th, 2021, concurrently with submission to EPA and FLMs for a 60-day review. UDAQ has received no feedback from the tribes as of the submittal of this SIP. Documentation of this outreach can be found in Appendix E. 9.E Stakeholder Outreach and Communication In the process of developing this SIP, Utah has been in contact with the five major sources subject to a four-factor analysis for controls feasibility. Upon evaluation of the five source’s original four-factor analysis submittals, Utah evaluated and requested responses from each of the sources. This correspondence is summarized in Chapter 7. Utah has had several meetings with PacifiCorp concerning the implementation of controls in its Hunter and Huntington facilities. Utah also holds regular industry stakeholder meetings and environmental advocate meetings to update these groups on Utah’s regional haze planning progress and address any questions or concerns they have regarding regional haze. Throughout the second implementation period, Utah also met with other state departments for coordination including the Department of Public Utilities and the Office of Energy Development. Table 70: Summary of Stakeholder Meetings with UDAQ Date Time Entity Topic Result Figure 69: USFS Fire Glidepath Adjustment for Bryce Canyon 195 4/27/21 4-5p PacifiCorp and Wyoming Regional Haze Pre-Meeting Discussed possible controls and power plant planning. 5/19/21 2-3p Air Quality Advocates DAQ-Utah Advocates Regional Haze Catch Up Introduction to members of HEAL Utah, Sierra Club, and NPCA. They expect requirements for additional controls at power plants, especially Hunter and Huntington. 6/23/21 12-1:05p PacifiCorp Presentation on legal risks and 4-factor evaluation Discussed possible controls and issues with 4-factor analysis. 7/7/21 10:30a-12p RH Advocates Meeting RH Update Gave RH updates and discussed guidance vs rule issue. 7/15/21 3:30-4:30p DAQ, OED, DPU RH and Power Plant Planning Gave RH overview/update, informed them of PacifiCorp 4-factor eval, control options, and rule vs. guidance. 7/19/21 9a PacifiCorp RH primer scheduling Kirsten Merrit called about times for RH backgrounder. 7/20/21 9:15a PacifiCorp RH primer scheduling Kirsten Merrit called about invitees for RH backgrounder. 10/27/21 8-9a PacifiCorp RH Follow-Up/Update We discussed implementing new PALs for Hunter based on the emissions reductions installing SCR on Hunter 3 would have and Huntington based on their recent actuals in the 2028OTB modeling. 11/3/21 10:30-11:30a Air Quality Advocates RH Update Gave presentation with RH overview, Utah’s RH history, current planning, and updated timeline for Utah’s round two SIP. 11/10/21 11a-12p NPCA, Western Resources, & Sierra Club RH Presentation Follow-Up UDAQ addressed additional question resulting from the presentation given at the Air Quality Advocates Meeting. 12/3/21 11a-12p PacifiCorp RH Update Discussed control options for Hunter and Huntington. 1/5/22 10:30- 11:30a Air Quality Advocates RH Update Offered to send the draft UT RH SIP to those who requested it via email. 1/26/22 11:49a Sunnyside Information Submittal Sunnyside provided control cost spreadsheets via email by NPS request 3/2/22 10-11:30a Air Quality Advocates RH Update Offered to send the FLM comment documents to those who requested it via email. 3/4/22 10-10:15a PacifiCorp – Kirsten Merrit RH Information Offered technical responses to FLM comments concerning the Hunter and Huntington power plants 3/14/22 2-3p Paradox Resources RH Planning Met with Paradox Resources to discuss FLM comments regarding their source, updating their permit for the Lisbon Plant, and obtaining 2021 inventory data. 3/17/22 3-4p PacifiCorp RH Planning Discussed PacifiCorp’s SO2 scrubbing equipment and efficiency as well as the possibility of optimization. 3/14/22 2-3p Paradox Information Request Discussed emissions inventory data. 3/14/22 1:12p Sunnyside Interest Rates Sunnyside provided interest rate justification via email. 3/17/22 4:12p PacifiCorp SO2 Scrubbing PacifiCorp provided additional justification for SO2 scrubbing 3/21/22 1-2p Sunnyside Information Request Discussed DSI feasibility. 4/18/22 1-2p PacifiCorp RH Discussion Discussed future utilization. 4/20/22 4:42p PacifiCorp EPA Comments UDAQ provided EPA public comments. 5/4/22 10-11:30a Air Quality Advocates RH Update UDAQ provided the advocates with a RH update. 5/24/22 1:30-2:30p Sunnyside NPS Comment Questions Sunnyside requested clarification on NPS comments. 5/24/22 2p PacifiCorp Public Hearing Discussed public hearing logistics. 5/27/22 11:58a Sunnyside Public Comment Submittal Sunnyside submitted public comments. 5/31/22 4:25p PacifiCorp Public Comment Submittal PacifiCorp provided public comments on the RH SIP. 196 6/10/22 1-2p PacifiCorp RH Information Discussed SO2 scrubbing. 6/22/22 10-11a Sunnyside Water Rights/CDS Discussed water rights and CDS feasibility. Sunnyside provided additional documentation via email. 6/22/22 10:05a PacifiCorp Air Preheaters PacifiCorp provided information on air preheater costs. 9.F Public Comment Period Utah’s RH SIP for the second implementation period was presented to the Air Quality Board at their April 6th, 2022 meeting. The Board approved a 30-day public comment period beginning on May 1st, 2022 and ending on May 31st, 2022. Notices regarding the public comment period and availability of the SIP draft were published in the State Bulletin, posted on the UDAQ webpage, published in the Salt Lake Tribune (04/26/2022), Deseret News (04/27/2022) and the Spectrum (05/01/2022), and the AQ board actions update. UDAQ held a public hearing on May 26th, 2022 for the submission of verbal comments. UDAQ’s public notice was published on UDAQ’s webpage from April 30th to June 2nd, 2022. Documentation of this notice can be found in Appendix F. 9.G Comment Conclusions During the public comment period, UDAQ received written and verbal comments from the following: • EPA • Sunnyside Cogeneration • NPS • Intermountain Power Service Corporation • The Conservation Organizations201 • Utah Associated Municipal Power Systems • Utah Petroleum Association • City of Moab • Utah Mining Association • Grand County Commission • PacifiCorp • 657 individuals • US Magnesium 201 Comments submitted jointly by the National Parks Conservation Association, Sierra Club, Utah Physicians for a Healthy Environment, The Coalition to Protect America’s National Parks, the Healthy Environmental Alliance of Utah, and O2 Utah 197 UDAQ reviewed all comments202 which are summarized by topic and responded to in Appendix H. Some comments resulted in SIP revisions which include: • Updated inventory graphs in Section 3.A.4 upon request from the Air Quality Board. • Section 6.A.10 was updated with a table detailing emission reduction quantification for the long-term strategy. Strategies were not changed; the table was added for clarification. • A new table in Section 7.A.2 to show existing controls in Utah’s SIP for screened sources that have resulted from other SIP revisions, including PM2.5. • Part of section 7.A.3 was struck out and rewritten for clarity and improved justification for emission limits at Hunter and Huntington power plants. • An environmental justice analysis and writeup was added to section 7.A.5. • Additions to appendices to include additional information that sources have submitted. • Multiple minor additions or deletions due to oversights, or for clarifications. • SIP Subsection IX.H.23 changes include: o emission limits for screened-in sources’ existing limits that were not already in IX.H, o annual stack testing at US Magnesium, o SO2 limit exemptions were removed for startup, shutdown, and malfunction for Huntington, and o minor adjustments to Hunter and Huntington limits based on the improved justification. 9.H Commitment to Further Planning Utah will continue its regional haze planning efforts through consultation efforts, participation in regional haze work groups, and SIP development. 9.H.1 Process for conducting future emissions inventories and future monitoring strategy Utah will continue to triennially update its statewide emissions inventory as dictated by the Air Emissions Reporting Requirements (AERR)203 and Utah’s Continuous Emissions Monitoring Program204 to track regional haze progress, participate in regional haze modeling efforts, and track emissions trends. 202 All public comments received by UDAQ on this SIP revision can be found on UDAQ’s Current Regional Haze Planning web page here: https://deq.utah.gov/air-quality/regional-haze-in-utah#planning 203 73 Fed. Reg. 76539, 76552 (Dec. 17 2008). The AERR rule can be found at https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/air-emissions-reporting-requirements-aerr 204 Utah Admin. Code r. R307-170. 198 9.H.2 Commitment to provide other elements necessary to report on visibility, including reporting, recordkeeping, and other measures Utah will provide any additional reporting, recordkeeping, and other measures necessary to continue its regional haze progress deemed necessary by the EPA or the regional haze work groups Utah participates in. At this time, no such additional efforts have been identified. 9.H.3 Commitment to submit January 31, 2025 progress report Under the RHR, states must submit periodic progress reports to EPA evaluating their progress towards their RPGs. The 2017 RHR amendments adjusted the next progress report due date to be submitted by January 31, 2025. Utah commits to submitting this progress report and confirms that it will contain the following elements pursuant to the RHR:205 • Status of implementation of SIP measures for RPGs in Utah’s CIAs and those outside the State identified as being impacted by emissions from within the state. • Summary of emissions reductions in Utah adopted or identified as part of the RPG strategy. • A five-year annual average assessment of the most and least impaired days for each CIA in Utah including the current visibility conditions, difference between current conditions and baseline, and change in visibility impairment over the five-year period. 205 See page 6 of https://gardner.utah.edu/wp-content/uploads/ERG2022-Full.pdf?x71849.