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HomeMy WebLinkAboutDSHW-2019-000862 - 0901a06880999484Div of Waste Management and Radiation Control January 21, 2019 JAN 2 2 2019 8200-FY19-003 sY-Alifil-2401,-000e62- Scott T. Anderson, Director Department of Environmental Quality Division of Waste Management and Radiation Control ATTN: Jeff Vandel P.O. Box 144880 195 North 1950 West Salt Lake City, Utah 84114-4880 RE: Post-Closure Permit, ATK Launch Systems Inc. - Promontory Facility, EPA ID# UTD009081357, Response to DWMRC Groundwater Modeling Comments Dear Mr. Anderson, ATK Launch Systems Inc. Promontory facility is submitting with this letter in response to the UDWMRC November 8, 2018 comments on the updated groundwater flow and contamination transport model. If you have questions, or need additional information, please contact Paul Hancock at (435) 863-3344. Kris H Blauer, Manager, Environmental Services ATK Launch Systems, Inc. • P.O. Box 707 Brigham City, Utah 84321 • (801)250-5911 RESPONSE TO NOVEMBER 8, 2018 COMMENTS FROM THE UTAH DIVISION OF WASTE MANAGEMENT AND RADIATION CONTROL CONCERNING THE UPDATED GROUNDWATER FLOW AND CONTAMINANT TRANSPORT MODE, ATK PROMONTORY, UTAH FACILITY DWMRC Comment #1: The text states, "The agency has recently indicated that they are now comfortable with the model showing separate aquifers if needed to provide better predictive results. This current model update was performed with the separate aquifers in mind." Please explain how the separate aquifers are set up in the six-layer model. Was the flow model modified? Is a specific layer set up to represent the perched aquifer everywhere in the model domain, followed by a low conductivity zone to represent an aquitard? Does its thickness vary over the model domain? Please elaborate. Response: Layers in the 2018 model update were consistent with the 2008 model (EarthFax Engineering, 2008). These layers are shown schematically in Figure 2-1 (attached) from that report. As shown, groundwater flow and contaminant transport at the Promontory facility were modeled using six layers generalized as follows: • Layer 1 - Fine-grained, low-permeability unconsolidated materials overlying the regional groundwater system • Layer 2 - Unconsolidated coarser-grained sediments of the regional groundwater system • Layer 3 - Generally unconsolidated sediments containing perched groundwater • Layer 4 - Low-permeability, generally unconsolidated, sediments underlying perched groundwater • Layer 5 - Fractured bedrock • Layer 6 - Unfractured bedrock At the request of the Division, the 2013 model combined the perched aquifer with the regional aquifer. This modification was reversed for the 2018 model, which again evaluated the perched aquifer and its underlying low-permeability layer consistent with the 2008 model. The flow model was recalibrated to account for this change. Consistent with the 2008 model, the thickness of the low-permeability layer underlying the perched aquifer was set at a constant value of 1 foot. Since the perched aquifer is unconfined, the thickness of this layer is defined by the elevation of the groundwater surface relative to the elevation of the underlying low-permeability layer. DWMRC Comment #2: The text states that calibration targets for the mean average error, normalized root mean square error, and mass balance error were all achieved. Is it possible to supply calibration charts for the flow model (e.g., observed vs. modeled heads) and the transport model (e.g., observed vs. modeled TCE and perchlorate concentrations)? These charts seem to 1 be missing in the appendices. What is the rationale for performing linear interpolation from measured values in model cells to estimating perchlorate mass concentrations, as concentration data can be non-linear? Please elaborate. Response: Calibration charts for head, perchlorate, and TCE are attached as Figures 1, 2, and 3, respectively. Calibrated steady-state heads ageed well with the observed heads in each layer except Layer 3 (the perched groundwater layer). This was not unexpected given the steep hydraulic gradient of groundwater in the perched aquifer, particularly in the area southeast of the burning ground (see Plate 2-2 of EarthFax Engineering, 2008). Figures 2 and 3 show excellent agreement between observed and calibrated perchlorate and TCE concentrations. These concentrations were predicted by the transient model at a time of 22,265 days (61 years), which represents the approximate time to 2018 since site operations began in 1957. The mass of perchlorate in groundwater underlying M-136 was estimated at 61 points based on data collected from 11 monitoring wells. This required that estimates be made in multiple coordinate directions based on the closest set of monitoring wells. Although perchlorate concentrations may vary non-linearly at the site, the data are insufficient to determine the degree of that non-linearity for all of the directional combinations that were needed. Thus, the data did not justify estimates by any means other than linear. DWMRC Comment #3: The text states that two alternatives were considered: Alternative 1: Full and instantaneous remediation of all source areas. Alternative 2: No remediation of or continued contaminant input at any source area. It is unclear which alternative is recommended, or if there is any alternative in between these two bounds which is preferred. Were the predictions in both cases run without any perchlorate emanating from M-136-associated source areas entering the model domain? Please elaborate. Response: These were alternative model scenarios, chosen to represent the range of anticipated outcomes represented by full source remediation and no source remediation. Other scenarios between these two bounds could have been modeled, but these scenarios were considered adequate for representing the range of potential outcomes. The purpose of the alternative model scenarios was not to develop a recommended remediation approach but rather to estimate the range of potential outcomes that might be expected from natural attenuation with and without source remediation. Alternative 1 assumed that all perchlorate was removed instantaneously from the source area, while Alternative 2 assumed that no perchlorate was removed from the source area. In each case, it was assumed that no active remediation of groundwater downgradient from the source area would occur. Thus, the alternative scenarios represent the range of potential outcomes expected from natural attenuation with and without source remediation. 2 Reference EarthFax Engineering, Inc. 2008. Groundwater Flow and Contaminant Transport Model Report for the ATK Promontory Facility. Revised project report submitted to ATK Launch Systems, originally submitted in December 2005. Midvale, Utah. 3 Calculated vs. Observed Head : Steady state • Layer *I • Layer*2 • Layer *3 ✓ Layer *4 95% confidence interval 95% inteival 4237.1 4337.1 Observed Head (ft Max. Residual: -187.843 (ft) at J-3/A Min. Residue 0.256 (ft) at EW-511 Residual Mean : 0.476 (ft) Abs. Residual Mean : 13.317 (ft) Num. of Data Points : 88 Standard Error of the Estimate : 3.237 (11) Root Mean Squared : 30.196 (11) Normezed RMS : 13.387 ( % ) Correlation Coefficient : 0.625 FIGURE 1. HEAD CALIBRATION CHART, ATK PROMONTORY GROUNDWATER MODEL ==.= I 41,11\11 I I • • kVA EarthFax Calculated vs. Observed Concentration : Time = 22265 days • Layer #2 : Conc001 • Layer #3 : Conc001 A Layer #4 : Conc001 9E% confidence interval 9E% interval 9E.3 Observed Concentration mg/L) Max. Residual: 2.887 (mg/L) at B-4/CONCENTRATION Min. Residual: 0 (mg/L) at LF-4/A Residual Mean : o.osa (rngiL) Abs. Residual Mean : 0.421 (mg/Li Num. of Data Points : E2 Standard Error of the Estimate : 0.11 (mg/1..; Root Mean Squared : 0.788 MO.:: Normalized RMS : 0.37 % Correlation Coefficient : 1 FIGURE 2. PERCHLORATE CALIBRATION CHART, ATK PROMONTORY GROUNDWATER MODEL. EarthFax Calculated vs. Observed Concentration : Time = 22265 days Layer *2 : Con c001 4, Layer *3 : Conc001 A Layer #4 : Conc001 V Layer #E : Conc001 Layer:* : Conc001 9E341 confidence interval 95% interval Observed Concentration (mg/L Max. Residual: -0.45 (mg,'L'i at B-6/CONCENTRATION Min, Residual: 0 (mg/L) at M-636B1/A Residual Mean : 0.003 (mg/12.; Abs. Residual Mean : 0.081 (mg;L Num. of Cate Points : 55 Standard Error of the Estimate : 0.018 (mg/L) Root Mean Squared : 0.131 (mg/L) Normalized RMS : 1.671 ( % ) Correlation Coefficient : 0.996 FIGURE 3. TCE CALIBRATION CHART, ATK PROMONTORY GROUNDWATER MODEL. II=0 MINIM =MP IMMOMM 4.16. NEM W rM 1• ' EarthFax Layer 3 erched Aquifer Ground Surface Potentiometric Surface P ik er 1 • Confining Clay Layer:4 C6nfirfiri9. !Layer:. Layer 5 Fractured Bedrock Layer 6 Unfractured Bedrock NOT TO SCALE kVA FIGURE 2-1. GENERALIZED HYDROGEOLOGIC CROSS-SECTION EarthFax